Spot the Differential
14 April 2018 2102 comments
James H James H
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Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi delivered for us last week as a cost-effective pick with two assists against Southampton, so we’ve chosen three more budget options in our latest selections.

Two of those players benefit from playing twice in Double Gameweek 34, while a returning Swansea City forward is backed to make his mark against an Everton defences that has struggled on the road.

Jordan Ayew

Back from suspension for Swansea City’s home encounter against Everton, Ayew now looks a great option for both Gameweek 34 and the season run-in.

The Ghanaian has scored in two of the Swans’ three previous home matches and this afternoon takes on a Toffees side that suffered away from Goodison Park.

No team has conceded more goals (15), or given up more big chances (18), than Sam Allardyce’s defence over the last six away matches.

Everton also lost on their last trip to south Wales, with Ayew providing an assist in the 1-0 victory for the Swans.

The 6.2%-owned forward should provide some much-needed cutting edge for the Welsh club, who have only managed a single goal since he was sent off in the goalless draw with Huddersfield Town last month.

He has produced more shots (six) and efforts on target (four) than any team-mate over the respective last four matches.

Crucial to Ayew’s appeal is the fact Swansea also play in the reduced Gameweek 35, albeit away to Manchester City, while they also feature twice in Double Gameweek 37 (bou SOT).

Given his 5.3 price tag in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Ayew could emerge as the leading third forward option for the run-in and he could prove be an effective signing for those who want to avoid the clamour for Double Gameweek 34 assets.

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

With Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane and Manchester United’s Romelu Lukaku among the four most bought players this week, many managers will need to free up funds to be able to afford either forward.

Having started every match since Mark Hughes took charge at St Mary’s, Southampton’s Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg looks an ideal budget enabler.

The Dane found the back of the net in the 2-0 win over Wigan Athletic in their FA Cup quarter-final and has impressively fired more shots (eight) than any team-mate over their three matches in all competitions under Hughes.

The Saints midfielder has been handed more freedom to push forward, with Hughes adopting a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Indeed, his total of two shots inside the penalty area over the last two Gameweeks is equal to his haul over the first 31 matches under Mauricio Pellegrino.

The south coast club face a home clash against Chelsea and a trip to Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34.

The Blues have only managed one clean sheet from their last eight encounters, while only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 they have shipped since Gameweek 25.

Meanwhile, Leicester have also produced just a single shut-out from their last eight matches and have conceded in each of their last four at home.

Hojbjerg’s appeal is also boosted by the fact Southampton play twice in Double Gameweek 37, when they face trips to Everton and Swansea.

Available for just 4.3 and owned by a paltry 0.3%, he could prove the ultimate Gameweek 34 “enabler”.

Jesse Lingard

Manchester United’s Double Gameweek 34 fixtures (WBA bou) appear the most favourable of all the eight teams who play twice, and Jesse Lingard stands out as a cheaper midfield option.

The England international sets us back just 6.0 in FPL and is part of a United side that will be full of confidence following their 3-2 win over Man City.

Lingard is enjoying his best ever FPL campaign, having already produced eight goals and five assists.

He registered a goal in the reverse fixture against West Brom, as part of a 10-point haul, and has the platform to deliver further attacking returns over the next two matches.

The Baggies have managed just one clean sheet from their last 15 road trips, while Bournemouth have only produced one shut-out from their previous 13 at the Vitality.

While his minutes over Double Gameweek 34 are a little less secure than team-mates Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez, Lingard is far kinder on the budget.

The underlying statistics also suggest he could still profit, even if his minutes are managed for the trip to Bournemouth, given that an FA Cup semi-final with Spurs follows just three days later.

Over the last four matches, he has registered more shots (seven) than both Lukaku (five) and Sanchez (four), while his average of a shot every 36 minutes is comfortably superior to both the striker (72) and his fellow midfielder (84).

With his ownership still only at 10.8%, Lingard looks a hugely tempting option for those managers bidding to cover United’s attack without splashing on a big-hitter option.

  1. Reuser
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Which do you prefer on a FH?

    A) Tarkowski, Sanchez, Mahrez
    B) Alonso, Pogba, Salah

    Thanks

    1. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Is this real?

      B by a country mile

      1. Reuser
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Thanks - very real.

        Have been on A all week (Having already sold Salah On FH) but suddenly doubting the relative value of Sanchez....

        1. Stupendous
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Sanchez could be the weeks top scorer but collectively B is way better

          1. Reuser
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            I'm not sure I'm brave enough to captain Sanchez over Kane and Lukaku, so maybe collective is better......

    2. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A.

    3. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      B

    4. Root
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

    5. RyanC
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

  2. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    10.8% quite high for a differential. I'm fearing Alexis on 4% ownership more than Salah.

  3. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    All set???

    Ryan
    Alonso Tarkowski Long
    Salah Son Willian Mahrez
    Kane(c) Vardy Barnes

    Cech Robertson Kenedy Holebas

    Sad to bench Robertson but oh well. Keeping Almost tempted to BB. TC week 37

  4. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Could you advise me on this one??

    1. Kane Kaku Lingard Mustafi -4
    2. Kaku Vardy Salah ManUtd Def or Spurs Def
    3. Kane Vardy Salah 5.0 Def

    1. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      2 with smalling

  5. Drew a Blank
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Swapped Lingard for Pogba last minute last night. I’m on a wildcard. Good move or bad move??

    1. MikeDuff
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Much of a muchness but you’re 2m down

    2. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      depends on what you did with the 1.8

  6. Johnny too hotty
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Ok ive done it.
    Auba and vardy to kane and barnes with my 2 ft.

    Hard choice with no wc or fh left but at least i wont be bricking it about kane exploding in a fit of points.

    Yes ive lost a player next gw but ill evaluate whether the hit is worth it next week. I can field 7 with no hit.

    Fellow scouters can i get a hail Mary?

    1. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Mental transfers though good luck. I just got in Vardy for a hit.

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Lunacy

      1. Johnny too hotty
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Why is this lunacy guys? My rival has kane.

        1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          You have sold two good players to get in one good player and one dross so have weakened your team

  7. saadinxs
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Who are you guys triple captaining? Torn between Sanchez and Lukaku

    1. MikeDuff
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I would go Lukaku

      1. MarkoSD
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        kaku

    2. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Alexis would be my pick if I had him. I'm sticking with bench boosting my mediocre bench. Maybe TC Kun dgw 37.

    3. Drew a Blank
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Kane GW 37

  8. wolves_simmo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Which scores more?

    A) DDG & Mahrez
    B) Ryan & Hazard

    1. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

    3. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      a

    4. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

      1. Fresh_From_Desh
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        A

    5. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

    6. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Since I have all 4, I don't really mind any one scoring more than the other.
      But to answer your question, A has a much higher ceiling, unless Hazard explodes.

  9. Bubbles1985
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    My BB team is :

    Ryan
    Mustafi - Morgan - Dunk
    Mahrez(vc) - Willian - Salah - Gross
    Auba(c) - Barnes - Kane

    Lloris - Ibe - Lowton - Masuaku

    Leaves me with 1.6m itb

    I played WC last week, which one is better

    Auba+Mustafi > Lukaku+6.1m def
    Auba+Mustafi > Vardy+Valencia
    Auba > Lukaku

    Is it worth a hit after WC?!
    Made a huge mistake swapping Smalling to Mustafi last minute last week!

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      No United defense is scary, do I'd go with Auba+Mustafi > Vardy+Valencia, and Kane (C).

      DDG is better, but it looks like you are forgo-ing him.

  10. Henning
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    0 m in The bank 0 ft. Gtg or is anything worth a hit? Gonna use ft next gw.

    de Gea

    Davies Chilwell Duffy

    Salah Mahrez William Gross

    Kane Vardy Lukaku

    pickford Milivojevic Fernandez Mee

    1. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Mee is injured if you’re BBing

      1. Henning
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        TC this gw

  11. Taking the Mkhitaryan
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Anyone without Salah needs the biggest sofa after last time he played Bournemouth and he destroyed Daniels so badly he got hooked at half time

    1. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Just got the 1 goal. Bou are flying it and should be a good audition for a top job for Howe. I fancy 3:2 to Bou.

      1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Bold

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Defo need to sofa. Almost everyone in my ML still have him. Hazard better cover the points up over 2 games.

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I have Daniels and no Salah hehehe

  12. tattywelshie
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Barnes > Austin for a -4pt?

    A. No way!
    B. Do it, good move!

    1. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      not for a hit

    2. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

    3. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

  13. FredtheRed
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    With the revaluation that Lakaku was throwing up in the toilet after the City win, does this affect anyone’s choice of captain?

    Does this mean Lukaku is ill and will be rested? Or did he over exert himself and will be fine?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      This is positive news as it means he was ill last week but still played.

      Now that he’s not I’ll, his performance can only improve.

      1. FredtheRed
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Thanks for the reply. I hope you’re right!

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      First time ever i have seen "lukaku" and "overexert himself" in one sentence

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        I’m still waiting...

        1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Alright alright Mr pedantic

      2. FredtheRed
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Yes I did do a double take when I wrote it, but couldn’t find any better words.

    3. Reuser
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      From what I understand, both Lukaku and Young were ill - and are fine now.

      1. FredtheRed
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Thanks for that.

    4. FredtheRed
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      *Revelation

  14. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Getting jitters with no Utd attack.
    Gross to Lingard for a -4???

    1. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      no

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I'm thinking of the same. I have Lukaku though.

      1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Lol then no way I would be looking at this move. Need 2 scrappy Utd wins to save the day with Ddg in the forefront

        1. WE GO FOR IT
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Cheers! Holding on to him! 🙂

    3. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      No. But I'd have the jitters too. 🙂

    4. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Groß will get an assist / 1 goal max. Lingard probably the same.

      1. MarkoSD
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        this

  15. doy
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    I'm gonna BB in 37 to try and counter the Kane TC'ers that gameweek. I reckon BB34 won't be that lucrative!

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I had this thought too but rotation could be heavy at that stage of the season with world cup incoming

      1. doy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        I'm gonna take the punt mate. Last 2 seasons, DGW37 has been golden! I got no TC left.

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Same as me, although I am going to get the best 15 players I can and not really view it as a bench

      1. doy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Best wishes Hotdogs!

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Am with you

      1. doy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        High 5

  16. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    No FH; stick with Auba, or bring in Lukaku?

    1. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      kaku

  17. Gubbins94.
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Lukaku Lukaku or Kane captain will be the death of me

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Kane. Easy mate.

    2. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      2 Lukakus wont beat kane

      1. Fresh_From_Desh
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Same dilemma

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      (K)ane

  18. MarkoSD
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    a. tarko
    b. long and 0,5m to play with
    ?

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      What will you do with the 0.5?
      Tark is a BAPs magnet if they manage to keep a CS.

      1. MarkoSD
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        maybe get austin instead of barnes, maybe save for rainy days

        1. WE GO FOR IT
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Will Barnes to Austin be for a hit?
          Long will be gone one Mee returns. If the rest of your defense is good, Long can be a great enabler in post DGW.

          1. WE GO FOR IT
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            once*

          2. MarkoSD
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            no, I got 2 ft. Yep, I think also he is great enabler

    2. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      b

  19. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Gtg?

    Ryan
    Alonso Tarkowski Long
    Salah Son Willian Mahrez
    Kane(c) Vardy Barnes

    Cech Robertson Kenedy Holebas

    Sad to bench Robertson but oh well. Keeping Almost tempted to BB. TC week 37

    1. Reuser
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Looks good.

  20. @NF_Janner
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    On a bench boost and have Robertson in my team. No free transfer left. Do I swap him out for a -4? Im not sure if he starts!?!

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Depends on who you can get really.
      Anyway, I think he starts. Next week will be the worry imo. I'd keep him.

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Keep

  21. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    BB this week. FH next week

    DDG RYAN
    ALONSO MORGAN CHILWELL LOWTON Mustafi
    Salah MAHREZ LINGARD WILLIAN Kenedy
    LUKAKU KANE BARNES

    1) gtg
    2) Mustafi to Christensen (-4)

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      1

  22. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Bit of a poor differential pick in this article

    1. KGFC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Who's for you?

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        None of those ... rotation risked Lingard and a defensive Soton midfielder ? I have 7 DGW players and Ayew hasn’t even made it off my bench

        Mili, Arnie, Albrighton, King straight off the top of my head ...

        1. KGFC
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          I like Arnie and Milli.. not so sure about Albri or King... I'm thinking Haz could be a BIG differential.. has played better away from home.. but hes not exactly pocket light..

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I like the Hojbjerg pick; it at least explains Mark's pick for the official website.

      Don't expect him to set the world alight, but a nice BB option.

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Hasn’t actually scored or even assisted this season ?

    3. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Care to offer alternatives?

  23. Bushman
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    On BB with 1FT & £1.2m itb. FH in Gw35.

    A) Mustafi -> Rudiger
    B) Mustafi -> Vert
    C) Nordfelt -> Schmeichel
    D) Mustafi & Nordfelt -> A/B & McCarthy

    Thanks

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      B

  24. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Moses -> Valencia (-4) is a no go right?

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A few days before FA Cup semi-final for both teams. It might not make difference.

      I wonder if Moses will get two games too.

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Thing is Zappa still looks injured. Could result in 65' in both tbf.
        Valencia slightly better fixtures, and more nailed, but could too be rested. (-4) seems overkill.

    3. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Not for a hit

  25. Tekkerslovakiaftw
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Keep or sell Gudmunson ?

  26. Forever In Our Shadow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Seen a few saying that bb37 is better than bb34 because arent great. Good luck filling your benches with top players in 37. You will always need cheapie fodder. When you get to those prices it is luck so 34 and 37 there is little beween them imo.

    1. olidooley
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Everyone playing and no injuries is worth a BB...even if not all DGWers

    2. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I guess I have regularly believed that defense is overrated...tempted to BB in GW36 when the fixtures are better...

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Do we think Long is Nailed until GW36 or Meet back imminently?

  27. The Curse of Falcao
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    *1FT* Want to get another United player in.
    a)Mustafi > Smalling
    b)Son & Mahrez > Sanchez & Lingard -4

    DDG
    Mustafi Morgan Dunk
    Salah Mahrez Son Gross Willian
    Vardy Kane

    Ryan|Barnes|Lowton|Tarkowski

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Mahrez out is a bit mad imo

      1. Fresh_From_Desh
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Yeah keep Mahrez

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A
      Mahrez has to stay.

  28. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    2.4 mil ITB and 0 FT.

    What would you do with these options ?
    .. (a) Son -> Salah
    .. (b) Mahrez -> Salah
    .. (c) Ignore Salah and just play this 7 DGW attackers with BB

    *DDG - Hennessey
    *Alonso - *Tarkow - *Lowton - *Simpson - Mariappa
    *Mahrez - *Son -* Willian - *Lingard - A.King
    *Kane - *Lukaku - *Vardy

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      C

  29. Bushman
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    BB with 1FT. FH in Gw35.

    A) Mustafi -> Rudiger
    B) Mustafi -> Vert
    C) Nordfelt -> Schmeichel
    D) Mustafi & Nordfelt -> A/B & McCarthy

    Thanks

    1. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      B. That transfer will see you through the end of the season

  30. chrispaterson1
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Morning guys, how nailed on is Bavies now for the rest of the season? Struggling to pick between him and Verts, but do want those consistent starts due to spurs' favourable run-in.

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      With the FA Cup Semi next week, Rose is almost certain to play midweek imo.

    2. Fresh_From_Desh
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Vert is nailed, Davies could be rotated

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Vert offers very little attacking threat and I think Davies will out score him until the end of the season