Spot the Differential
14 April 2018 2102 comments
James H James H
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Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi delivered for us last week as a cost-effective pick with two assists against Southampton, so we’ve chosen three more budget options in our latest selections.

Two of those players benefit from playing twice in Double Gameweek 34, while a returning Swansea City forward is backed to make his mark against an Everton defences that has struggled on the road.

Jordan Ayew

Back from suspension for Swansea City’s home encounter against Everton, Ayew now looks a great option for both Gameweek 34 and the season run-in.

The Ghanaian has scored in two of the Swans’ three previous home matches and this afternoon takes on a Toffees side that suffered away from Goodison Park.

No team has conceded more goals (15), or given up more big chances (18), than Sam Allardyce’s defence over the last six away matches.

Everton also lost on their last trip to south Wales, with Ayew providing an assist in the 1-0 victory for the Swans.

The 6.2%-owned forward should provide some much-needed cutting edge for the Welsh club, who have only managed a single goal since he was sent off in the goalless draw with Huddersfield Town last month.

He has produced more shots (six) and efforts on target (four) than any team-mate over the respective last four matches.

Crucial to Ayew’s appeal is the fact Swansea also play in the reduced Gameweek 35, albeit away to Manchester City, while they also feature twice in Double Gameweek 37 (bou SOT).

Given his 5.3 price tag in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Ayew could emerge as the leading third forward option for the run-in and he could prove be an effective signing for those who want to avoid the clamour for Double Gameweek 34 assets.

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

With Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane and Manchester United’s Romelu Lukaku among the four most bought players this week, many managers will need to free up funds to be able to afford either forward.

Having started every match since Mark Hughes took charge at St Mary’s, Southampton’s Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg looks an ideal budget enabler.

The Dane found the back of the net in the 2-0 win over Wigan Athletic in their FA Cup quarter-final and has impressively fired more shots (eight) than any team-mate over their three matches in all competitions under Hughes.

The Saints midfielder has been handed more freedom to push forward, with Hughes adopting a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Indeed, his total of two shots inside the penalty area over the last two Gameweeks is equal to his haul over the first 31 matches under Mauricio Pellegrino.

The south coast club face a home clash against Chelsea and a trip to Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34.

The Blues have only managed one clean sheet from their last eight encounters, while only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 they have shipped since Gameweek 25.

Meanwhile, Leicester have also produced just a single shut-out from their last eight matches and have conceded in each of their last four at home.

Hojbjerg’s appeal is also boosted by the fact Southampton play twice in Double Gameweek 37, when they face trips to Everton and Swansea.

Available for just 4.3 and owned by a paltry 0.3%, he could prove the ultimate Gameweek 34 “enabler”.

Jesse Lingard

Manchester United’s Double Gameweek 34 fixtures (WBA bou) appear the most favourable of all the eight teams who play twice, and Jesse Lingard stands out as a cheaper midfield option.

The England international sets us back just 6.0 in FPL and is part of a United side that will be full of confidence following their 3-2 win over Man City.

Lingard is enjoying his best ever FPL campaign, having already produced eight goals and five assists.

He registered a goal in the reverse fixture against West Brom, as part of a 10-point haul, and has the platform to deliver further attacking returns over the next two matches.

The Baggies have managed just one clean sheet from their last 15 road trips, while Bournemouth have only produced one shut-out from their previous 13 at the Vitality.

While his minutes over Double Gameweek 34 are a little less secure than team-mates Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez, Lingard is far kinder on the budget.

The underlying statistics also suggest he could still profit, even if his minutes are managed for the trip to Bournemouth, given that an FA Cup semi-final with Spurs follows just three days later.

Over the last four matches, he has registered more shots (seven) than both Lukaku (five) and Sanchez (four), while his average of a shot every 36 minutes is comfortably superior to both the striker (72) and his fellow midfielder (84).

With his ownership still only at 10.8%, Lingard looks a hugely tempting option for those managers bidding to cover United’s attack without splashing on a big-hitter option.

  1. MarkoSD
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    can't...resist...the...austin...lure...

    or just stay with no risk barnes?

    2ft to burn, fh 35

    tarko to long other transfer

  2. Newms
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    On a FH

    Gudmundsson and Mahrez or Eriksen and Hojberg

    I have Kane and don't have Vardy currently. Austin 3rd striker.

    1. Vedas
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      G and M

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      GM

  3. Punty McPuntface
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Going forward from now till the end of the season, would you rather...

    A Ashley Young
    B Luka Milivojevic

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Real Sociabledad
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

  4. Bring the Cavalry
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Why is Firmino flagged?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Neck problem, but is fine now

      1. AThousandSuns
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        How do you know he is fine now?

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          “Bobby had a little [issue] with his neck but should be OK, I think.”

      2. Bring the Cavalry
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Hopefully is, can’t afford anyone and can’t get Vardy, thanks mate

    2. Vedas
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Neck stiffness apparently, will have a late test

  5. wolves_simmo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Son or Mahrez?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mahrez. Nailed to start both games.

  6. Jinkys Oars
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Ok, we'll try that again!

    Free hit team, gtg?

    De Gea
    Simpson Smalling Long
    Willian Salah Ericksen Romeu
    Vardy Kane Lukaku (c)

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane (c)

      1. Jinkys Oars
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Kane more points than Lukaku considering their fixtures?

    2. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Nice except for Romeu.

      1. Jinkys Oars
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, i needed a cheap enabler though

    3. elwardio
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Romeu not that enticing but rest of team makes up for it. GTG

      1. Jinkys Oars
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

    4. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane captain for me fella

      1. Jinkys Oars
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Looks like it will go right to deadline between Kane and Lukaku for the armband!

  7. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    BB team gtg? * are 2 single week players

    De Gea Ryan
    Lowton Smalling Morgan Mustafi* Alonso
    Salah* Son Mahrez Willian Gudmundsson
    Lukaku (c) Vardy Barnes

  8. Shack
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Morning all, this one is officially doing my but in.
    Only way I can get Kane and Lukaku/Sanchez is taking out Alonso and Vardy/Mahrez for a hit. Therefore would you:
    A: Just get Kane (have Son)
    B: Just get Lukaku
    C: Just get Sanchez (probably for Willian)
    D: Take the hit and get Kane and one of Lukaku or Sanchez
    Cheers

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B, wouldn’t take out Alonso or the Leicester lads and especially not for a hit

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

  9. The Notorious
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Hey guys what do think of my team? Might be activating bench boost
    Ddg/lossl
    VVD Davies chillwell Lowton ogbonna
    Salah Ibe mahrez willian rcl
    Barnes Kane lukaku
    Thanks! Thoughts?

  10. PL Ball
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    De Gea (Ryan)
    Morgan, Duffy, Smalling (Lowton, Kiko)
    Salah, Mahrez, Willian, Son (Lewis Cook)
    Vardy, Lukaku, Auby

    Would you do this for 2 FTs

    Auby and Son ==> Kane and Grob?

  11. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Foster
    Lowton Ake Alonso
    Lingard Shaqiri Eriksen Hazard
    Barnes Lukaku Aubamayang

    Elliot Walcott Baines TAA

    Already on a -8 and am probably going to use BB this week, so are any of the below worth another-8?

    A Elliot & TAA > Hart & Long
    B Elliot & Baines > Lloris/Schmeichel/Courtois & Long
    C Baines & Walcott > Tarkowski & Pogba
    D Baines & Walcott > Long & Son
    E Foster & Baines > DDG & Long

  12. FPL Footy Show Pod
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    THE EGYPTIAN KING IS BACK

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mido?

      1. FPL Footy Show Pod
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Hossam Ghalyv

    2. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Ragabolly?

    3. FPL Footy Show Pod
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Just brought him back for KDB - sod my plans I’ll find another way to bring back Sir Harold

      Still tempted to hand the TC armband to Dave De Great instead of big red rom - plenty of time before that deadline!

    4. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Elneny?

    5. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Zaki?!

  13. HODGE
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Any news on Burnley’s Gudmondsson?

    1. Side Salah
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      It all seems very vague. I brought him in for this week especially but I'm considering taking him out... but for who!?

      Already have a Bournemouth mid so would probably be Milli. Any thoughts?

    2. Mini Mane Mo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Should be fine to play at least 1

  14. PL Ball
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    RP

    De Gea (Ryan)
    Morgan, Duffy, Smalling (Lowton, Kiko)
    Salah, Mahrez, Willian, Son (Lewis Cook)
    Vardy, Lukaku, Auby

    Would you do this for 2 FTs

    Auby and Son ==> Kane and Grob?

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No, purely because of Gross

      1. PL Ball
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Any alternatives to him?

    3. corderz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

      Could you do Auba + Salah > Kane + Sanchez?

      1. PL Ball
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Tripled out.

    4. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

  15. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    2.5 ITB. Anyone worth upgrading for a hit?

    DDG / Ryan
    Vertonghen / Christensen / Lowton / Chilwell / Dunk
    Mahrez / Alli / Willian / Lingard / Gross
    Lukaku / Vardy / Wood

    1. Vedas
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Gross to Son maybe

      1. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Not a bad idea that Vedas!

        1. Van der Faart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Sons minutes will be reduced this week though. Something to keep in mind

  16. Kudo Warrior
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Stick with Son or get Erikson for -4?Already have Kane

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Get Eriksen

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Stick, rather have Son +4

    3. Mini Mane Mo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      If u think Son won’t play both games go for Eriksen

    4. thisisdiz
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Not for -4

  17. Lecky Legs FC
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Who to captain for the DGW?

    A) Kane

    B) Lukaku

    C) Salah

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Not C

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Why not C I'm off to the game today and Salah could out easily score more points in a SGW then the other two with doubles.

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Not in my opinion

          1. Lecky Legs FC
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Clearly you don't watch Liverpool at home often Salah also competing for the golden boot he's an option obviously not a popular one as he doesn't have a double but still one worth looking at.

          2. Begbie.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Salah has as many goals in his last four home matches as Lukaku does his last 22 games total.

            I'm not saying he's a better captaincy pick than Kaku but I wouldn't be surprised if he outscores him again this GW.

            1. Lecky Legs FC
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 8 months ago

              My thoughts exactly he's home form is so consistent he's a nice differential pick amongst the DGW players

            2. vinniebolton
              • 12 Years
              7 years, 8 months ago

              Exactly! I’m going Kaku but Salah could easily be the highest scorer this gw even though he only plays once

        2. WE GO FOR IT
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          He could but you have to back the 2 strikers who cost you around 24m combined to get more points in 2 games than a player who has only 1 game.

          1. Lecky Legs FC
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Yeah they could easily score 4 points each too though but I'll probably gotta with Kaku now seeing as though he has a double against fairly easier opponents

            1. WE GO FOR IT
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 8 months ago

              Salah has more chance of blanking tbh. Can easily be rested as well.

    2. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. corderz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    4. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    5. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      My points guess
      A -19
      B - 12
      C - 13

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I think your spot on about A Kane against a psychological damaged City side can only mean a good score

    6. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Currently on C myself but may switch.
      Think having him is a bit of a differential on here.
      Also many in here sold him so are kacking themselves.

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        You'd be mad to sell him even if we are occupied with Europe Mo wants that Golden Boot let them hide behind couches 😉

  18. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Predict DGW points:

    A: Valencia
    B: Moses

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A - 12

      B - 6

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Moses - > Valencia (-4) could be good then 😀

        1. QuintonFortune25
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Yeah go for it imo

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Around 10
      Less than 10

    3. The White Pele
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      21
      2

  19. QuintonFortune25
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Last minutes tinker:

    A) Mustafi to Smalling (-4pts)

    B) Gross to Lingard (-4pts)

    C) Don't take a hit, G2G.

    DDG - McCarthy
    Alonso - Vertongen - Mustafi - Lowton - Morgan
    Alli - Mahrez - Willian - Gross - King
    Lukaku - Kane - Barnes

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      C

    2. corderz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A if any

  20. sergioaguero67
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Any fitness updates on the following:

    Ibe (Bournemouth)

    Gudmundsson (Burnley)

    Please help

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Both are back I guess but obviously should get limited minutes.

  21. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Liverpool lineup leaked yet?

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      If it has it'll be on @anfieldexpress

      1. Giovanni Giorgio
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

  22. Clump
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Not kept my finger on the pulse this week.
    Any presser news on
    1) Gudmundsson
    2) Christensen

    Thanks

  23. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Captain Vardy, Mahrez, Salah or Kane?

    1. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Vardy for me

    2. The White Pele
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

    3. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

    4. Mini Mane Mo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Salah

    5. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

  24. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Repost

    Sanchez triple this week
    Yay or nay ?
    Thoughts

    1. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I've kaku too

    2. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Great if chasing.

      Think I am going with Lukaku (TC) though. Simply because I think he will play both, and he usually scores vs. those kind of teams.

      1. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Agreed
        But still confused with his playing time

    3. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      If chasing Yes!

      1. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers I think I'll go for it then

    4. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      If chasing a lead yes. I see no better differential TC option opportunity than Sanchez this week.

    5. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I would.

    6. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks cheers

  25. dee_top
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Better (c) --> Kane or Kaku?

    1. VICTORIOUS SECRET! !
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku. I'm mostly going to go with Kane though.

  26. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    0.7ITB - somerhing for a hit?

    DDG/Ryan
    Alonso/Smalling/Morgan/Tark/Lowton
    Salah/Son/Mahrez/Wilian/Gross
    Kaku/Vardy/Barnes

  27. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    So 2 Salah goals today, 3 bonus, 15 points, would the sellers be happy with that? Or are they actually anticipating a blank? Or do they expect Son/Mahrez to score 15 points +? More chance of Mo scoring 15 in 1 game home to Bournemouth IMO. Infact i reckon he can score more than 15 points this weekend

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Anything less than 10 and I'll be happy.

    2. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      15 points would hurt, but I would survive. Afterall I brought in Eriksen for Salah last week.

      Eriksen would have to score 5 this DGW then.

  28. Dele
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    BB Active G2G?

    DDG
    Vert, Smalling, Tark
    Alli, Son, Mahrez, Willian
    Lukaku(c), Vardy, Auba

    Ryan, Lowton, Morgan, Mili

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No Kane is the obvious negative but otherwise it looks good! All the best! (y)

  29. Reuser
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    FH34 - good to?

    DDG
    Tarkowski, Morgan, Lowton
    Sanchez, Eriksen, Mahrez, Arnie
    Kane (c) Lukaku, Austin

    Thanks.

    1. Root
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      go

    2. Mini Mane Mo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Will Austin start both games?

      1. Reuser
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Doubtful - but the thing about Austin is that he is more than capable of scoring points off the bench.

        It's a punt - but at 0.8% ownership, I'm willing to take it.

  30. Angin out the Begović
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Whats the latest on Pope you think he will only get 1 game?