Wisdom of the Crowd - Gameweek 38 - Best FPL Tips, Advice, Team News, Picks, and Statistics from Fantasy Football Scout

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Dalot	MUN	4.5m	98.9%	Likely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.7m	99.2%	Maybe
Maguire	MUN	4.3m	93.6%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	90.4%	Unlikely
Scott	BOU	5.0m	85.0%	Unlikely
E.Le Fée	SUN	4.9m	85.5%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	82.7%	Unlikely
Šeško	MUN	7.2m	80.4%	Unlikely
Konaté	LIV	5.4m	76.1%	Unlikely
Gabriel	ARS	7.1m	79.1%	Unlikely
Martinez	MUN	4.8m	78.3%	Unlikely
Ekitiké	LIV	8.9m	68.3%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	68.7%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.6m	66.8%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	63.2%	Unlikely
Wilson	FUL	5.9m	53.5%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	61.5%	Unlikely
Adli	BOU	5.4m	60.8%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	58.8%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	59.6%	Unlikely
Madueke	ARS	6.8m	57.9%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	56.0%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	55.2%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	54.8%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	54.6%	Unlikely
Nallo	LIV	3.7m	47.2%	Unlikely
Kayode	BRE	4.5m	45.7%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	41.9%	Unlikely
Rodon	LEE	3.9m	41.0%	Unlikely
Ødegaard	ARS	7.8m	40.4%	Unlikely
M.Fernandes	WHU	5.5m	39.2%	Unlikely
G.Jesus	ARS	6.4m	39.1%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	38.9%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	38.8%	Unlikely
Buendía	AVL	5.3m	38.3%	Unlikely
João Pedro	CHE	7.7m	45.9%	Unlikely
Raúl	FUL	6.1m	33.6%	Unlikely
Lammens	MUN	5.0m	35.4%	Unlikely
Reinildo	SUN	3.8m	36.9%	Unlikely
Solanke	TOT	7.2m	34.6%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Cucurella	CHE	6.1m	100.0%	Very Likely
Roberts	BUR	4.4m	94.7%	Maybe
Aké	MCI	5.3m	98.0%	Maybe
Kilman	WHU	4.2m	94.9%	Maybe
Minteh	BHA	5.6m	93.7%	Maybe
Wood	NFO	7.2m	90.9%	Unlikely
Bentancur	TOT	5.3m	89.5%	Unlikely
Kluivert	BOU	7.0m	89.8%	Unlikely
Bajcetic	LIV	4.3m	88.6%	Unlikely
Poveda	SUN	4.8m	88.4%	Unlikely
Trésor	BUR	4.4m	86.9%	Unlikely
D.Leon	MUN	4.2m	87.7%	Unlikely
Alleyne	MCI	4.1m	78.4%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.7m	84.4%	Unlikely
Mayenda	SUN	5.2m	81.5%	Unlikely
Collins	BRE	5.0m	80.0%	Unlikely
Byram	LEE	3.8m	79.7%	Unlikely
Tchaouna	BUR	4.9m	78.7%	Unlikely
Fredricson	MUN	3.8m	78.3%	Unlikely
Sels	NFO	4.6m	77.1%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	77.6%	Unlikely
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.1m	76.9%	Unlikely
L.Miley	NEW	4.5m	75.6%	Unlikely
Gnonto	LEE	5.2m	75.5%	Unlikely
McGinn	AVL	5.4m	74.1%	Unlikely
Bruno G.	NEW	6.9m	71.5%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	74.2%	Unlikely
Ekdal	BUR	3.9m	73.1%	Unlikely
Soler	BOU	4.0m	70.9%	Unlikely
Lewis-Skelly	ARS	5.1m	70.0%	Unlikely
Isak	LIV	10.3m	68.9%	Unlikely
Tarkowski	EVE	5.7m	66.4%	Unlikely
Heaton	MUN	3.9m	66.5%	Unlikely
Bruun Larsen	BUR	5.3m	66.0%	Unlikely
Brobbey	SUN	5.5m	59.6%	Unlikely
Clarke	ARS	3.8m	63.9%	Unlikely
Valdimarsson	BRE	3.9m	59.9%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	60.3%	Unlikely
Perri	LEE	4.5m	58.0%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.5m	59.6%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
Up	Alisson	LIV	C, Vs
Up	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
Down	Raya Martin	ARS	C
Up	Martinez	AVL	A, Vs
No Change	Petrovic	BOU	B, Vs
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 21 Feb, 2026 7:48am

	Player	Club	Factors
Up	van Dijk	LIV	A, Vs
Down	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	B
Up	Hill	BOU	A, Vs, £
Up	Andersen	FUL	C, Vs
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	B
No Change	Marc Guehi	MCI	B
No Change	Muñoz	CRY	C
Up	Kayode	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Cash	AVL	C, Vs

Last updated: 21 Feb, 2026 7:55am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
Up	Salah	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Rogers	AVL	B, Vs
No Change	Semenyo	MCI	A
No Change	Wilson	FUL	B, Vs
Up	Dango Ouattara	BRE	B, Vs
No Change	Ismaila Sarr	CRY	B
Down	Rice	ARS	B
Up	Rayan	BOU	A, Vs
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £
No Change	Ndiaye	EVE	B, VsX

Last updated: 21 Feb, 2026 8:15am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Ekitiké	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Bowen	WHU	A
No Change	Watkins	AVL	B, Vs, Rest
No Change	Kroupi	BOU	C, Vs, Rest, £
No Change	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	C

Last updated: 21 Feb, 2026 8:19am

Each week we have been reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

I’m delighted to make it to the end of the season without missing a round! Fingers crossed for a successful FPL weeked for everyone.

GAMEWEEK 37 REVIEW

Let’s not dwell too much on Gameweek 37 shall we? Only 2% predicted Brighton to beat Man United, and 1 % expected City’s 0-0 draw with Huddersfield.

Abi Jacob won the Yellow Cap in the Fantasy Football Scout league, bringing up his 500th Superbru cap in the process.

Mr Crowd Wisdom – using the aggregated predictions of the crowd – remains near the top FFScout pool out of over 480 players. The aggregated predictions of the community are making better predictions than most individual players in the game, suggesting that there is credibility in the Wisdom of the Crowd concept.

The crowd’s average picks have now taken the Crowd Wisdom user into the top 2% on the global leaderboard.

GAMEWEEK 38 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in Gameweek 38:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

With the caveat that the final week is often tricky to predict, Manchester City looks like the best bet in attack and Manchester United and Liverpool seem worth backing in defence. This suggests that those swooping for Red Devils back up keeper Sergio Romero will prosper, given Jose Mourinho has confirmed the Argentine will start against Watford in place of David De Gea.

Those handing this season’s hero Mohamed Salah the armband for a ceremonial finish to the season will be encouraged to see Liverpool in second place on the predicted goals chart, with United in third and Spurs in fourth.

Aside from the usual premium defenders, Burnley, Swansea and Crystal Palace defenders are worth considering at the back.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.

Good luck! I’ll do one final article next week to look back at Mr Crowd Wisdom’s season, and potentially look ahead to the World Cup Predictor game.

J0E

7 years, 9 months ago

Thanks for this.

Really enjoyed these articles over the season. 🙂

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Defcons are for Kinnear

Great work over the season. Always look forward to this. Thanks buddy

Desperately Seeking Dusan

For those keen to deride "Group think on here", the Wisdom of the Crowd is a much tested theory that proves the group tends to win out in predictions, even over experts. That doesn't mean that on a one-off somebody won't out predict - for example, hindsight Harry's saying Auba was obvious this week - but over a season they will.

Thanks so much for these articles guys. A in depth book of the concept is "The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few".

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Wisdom-Crowds-Many-Smarter-Than/dp/0349116059/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1526050419&sr=8-1&keywords=wisdom+of+the+crowd

MTPockets
7 years, 9 months ago
Haven't read the book but from what I have read it depends on the make up "the crowd".
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Reedy

Thanks for a great series of articles. And for anyone who hasn't tried it yet, the Superbru predictions game from which these articles are compiled is well worth a look, too. Looking forward to next season already!

MTPockets

Cheers. No liverpool so fingers crossed.

Shiva_Destroyer

Maguire Vardy Jesus out TAA auba Firmino IN... -8 yay or nay?

RedLightning

Thanks, H_J.
Good to see the return of the predictions to 2 places of decimals - so much more informative than just the rounded figures. 🙂

Lieutenant Frank Columbo

Likelihood of either Sanchez or Lingard staring for Man U?
I have them both in my draft going into a final day decider and am thinking of getting rid of both?

Rash
7 years, 9 months ago
High chance neither start
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Wisdom of the Crowd – Gameweek 38

GAMEWEEK 37 REVIEW

GAMEWEEK 38 PREVIEW