Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who has the edge here?

    15 points +
    Ryan
    TAA Chambers Vertonghen Tarkowski
    Hazard Sane Salah
    Kane(C) Jesus Ayew

    VS

    Ederson ..
    Tomkins Naughton Mustafi
    Arnautovic Zaha Salah Sane
    Kane(C) Auba Firmino

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Why would B captain Kane instead of a differential?

      1. lespaul
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Kane is a differential

  2. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any line up rumours or players who may not start?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lots

      1. FPL Maldini
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Any reliable ones?

        1. The Nuttmxn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Ask Sonic.

  3. bertie
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    why is everone selling D SIlva, is he not playing?

      1. bertie
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Thx Viper

      2. Wetdream
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        How legit is that ?

    1. Wetdream
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Nobody knows

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Nobody knows, probably won't, I just think he's so good it's worth keeping him in case he does.

  4. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Would you do Pope > Romero for -4?

    1. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No.

  5. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Vardy prospects improving with all this talk about Poch rotating CBs?

    1. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sure

  6. Bleach †
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Ryan
    Vert - Lowton - Smalling(Mawson)
    Son - Sterling - Zaha - Lingard
    Vardy - Kane(c) - Jesus

    Any changes for a hit?

  7. barracuda
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A- FPL
    B- Chess

    1. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. Bleach †
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

    3. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B.

    4. balint84
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      fantasy chess

    5. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      One sided. Why do I waste time with this crap then? 🙁

  8. Ibracadabra
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Willian and Lingard -> Sane and RLC (or McCarthur) (-4) is my latest tinker.

    Vying with Willian -> Zaha / Arnie for my final move(s).

    Frustrating as both a Lingard & Willian owner.

    Good luck to all!

    1. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I’m worried Zaha is not in my team

      1. Ibracadabra
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        HE failed for me on my free hit chip and also owned him GW1 and then he got injured - so my last experience with him is not great but he and Arnie look good prospects today.

  9. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Good idea to double up on Liverpool defence?

    A Karius and Robertson or
    B Romero and Robertson

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

  10. klavan
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    From city forum; "Just seen the team no otta mendy d silva or yaya"

    1. Trippier Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Can you give link to source?

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No Otta 🙁

    3. Weeb Kakashi
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Link

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No Mendy at LB, means more chance of Sané starting?

  11. Simon69
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Afternoon all! Any thoughts on how to use my final FT would be much appreciated - Have 1.7 ITB. Also, should I squeeze Mili in? Feels strange having him on the bench for this GW.

    Ederson

    Klavan, van Aanholt, Ogbonna

    Salah (vc), Arnautovic, Sterling, Zaha

    Vardy, Aubameyang (c), Jesus

    Subs: Elliot, Milivojevic, Zeegelaar, Dunk

    1. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Your team looks great for this week. The only thing I could suggest was risking an attacking defender like Bellerin or Monreal.

  12. UpAndAway
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best defender this week up to 6.6?

    1. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Otamendi?

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Robertson / Bailly

  13. sentagoda
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    People . I Need a def for 4.3 . Shipping out Simpson. Please help !? Long , smalling , Mustafi, hegazy

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      TAA

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ogbonna.

  14. OldBenKenobi
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Looking for some fresh opinions on this:

    Defending my ML by 19 points and chasing in 2 other ML by 6 points

    Bauer & Willian > TAA & Arnautovic -8?

  15. klavan
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Ki or RLC?
    Will they start?

  16. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Boring last day of the league really.

    The relegation places are decided and all the only thing to really get excited about is the prospect of Liverpool missing out on a CL spot.

    Bit of an interesting battle for the FPL crown alright that is still up in the air.

    I am in two minds to watch the Spanish F1 GP instead just for some bit of excitement.

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Relegation battle will get nervy when Southampton are 4-0 down at half time.

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Just watch the team you support then there is always interest.

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Man United are already on the beach. 🙁

  17. VDiesel26
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on:

    Smalling, Willian, Pogba > Arnautovic, Zaha, Otamendi (-8)

    It would still leave me with Son (Rotation risk) & Mahrez vs Spus...

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I'd not get Otamendi

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Not for me.

    3. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Only Smalling & Willian to VvD and Arnie/Zaha would be nice

  18. eazy
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone else still clueless about their transfers and looking desperately for team news? 😀

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah . Would like to hear that son doesn't start.

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        This, think I may get rid for Martial

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Did my transfer, just clueless if I'll actually get 11 out with all these posts about rotation all over the place.

    3. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes. And captain.

  19. Bis_78
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Please advise:

    A) Salah + Van Aanholt (-4 hit)
    B) Salah + Blind (-4)
    C) Eriksen + Van Aanholt (no hit)
    D) Eriksen + Blind (no hit)
    E) Other

    4 points behind leader but need two transfers to get Salah and have Smalling to get rid of.

  20. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Would you take a -4 hit to get Kane or just captain Sterling?

  21. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is my bench in the right order?

    Pope
    Otamendi Vertonghen Tarkowski
    Sterling Salah Shaq Townsend Zaha
    Jesus Kane

    Hennessey Monreal Smalling Quaner

    1. arndff_
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

      1. The Royal Robin
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Now considering selling Ota for -4.

        1. arndff_
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Nah

        2. VDiesel26
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          why?

          1. The Royal Robin
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            He is in and out of that squad, betcha he doesn't play.

  22. GalacticosFC
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I have no idea who to bring in for my FT.

    I can do Zaha, Salah, Auba in for Sane, Eriksen, Jesus for -8, seems a bit of a sideways move though.

    Fabianski
    Mawson - Vertonghen - Chambers
    Sterling - Sane - Eriksen - Arnautovic
    Ayew - Kane - Jesus

    Dubravka - Smalling - Yedlin - Kennedy

  23. jackhammer1
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best liverpool defender to get?

    1. arndff_
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      VvD or Robertson imo

    2. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      TAA

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Robertson

    4. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Milner

  24. arndff_
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) DDG > Romero
    B) DDG, Lowton > Romero, PvA (-4)
    C) Other

    DDG (Nordfelt)
    Alonso Vert Long (Lowton Cedric)
    Salah(c) Sterling Son Arnie (Kenedy)
    Kane(vc) Jesus J Ayew

    1FT

    1. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

  25. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    10pts behind the top 10k..

    Still achievable?
    Salah C or risk someone else?

    de Gea
    Vertonghen, Mawson, Lowton
    Salah, Sterling, Sane, Gudmundsson
    Kane, Jesus, Ayew

    Ryan | Lingard, Cedric, Morgan

    1 FT, 0.0 ITB
    DDG --> Romero?

    1. arndff_
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      DDG > Romero is ok
      Top 10K is achiavable
      Salah C for me too

      1. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        thx!

  26. Adams6
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A Cedric to 5.0 TTA/Rob/Cresswell
    B Tadic/Gross to 6.5?
    C Barnes to 5.6?

    God help me please.

  27. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Vardy/Son/Silva/VDH > Rashford/Salah/Zaha/TAA

    Should I have some fun with this - 12?

  28. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    If you were trailing your ML leader by 1pt, would you do a -8?

    just heard Ota isn't in the starting line up so I need to get him out I think as I am playing my BB chip....

    Thoughts please?

    1. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Probably worth trying to 15 starters for your BB chip.

      GW 38 is the worst week to play it imo because it historically throws up some strange lineup selections.

    2. There's Always One!
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Dont think i would take 2 hits. Especially as you have BB

  29. potatoace
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Did someone say VdH out?

  30. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is Ota > VVD worth it?

    1. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      For -4?

    2. arndff_
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Nah

    3. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No.

      But have a good bench option.

      If he plays it’s a clean sheet, if not then that’s a bit of an issue.

    4. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      no