Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. doy
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    -12 as I'm done with this shocker of a season....

    DDG to Romero
    Smalling to Robertson
    Alli to Salah
    D.Silva to Zaha

    1. soup natsi
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      All good transfers, good luck

      1. doy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        cheers, what the heck, this season is dead..time for a punty punt.

    2. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      DO IT

      1. doy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        =D

    3. doy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Should I also do Jesus to Auba/Firms to make it a -16?

    4. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Keep alli

      1. doy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks but already did the trfs last night!

  2. HamezMace
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I’ve been looking at the transfer screen for 2 hours and just can’t decide what to do! Help me out please.
    1 FT and 0.1m itb.

    DeGea Fabianski
    Lowton Ogbonna Davies (Lascelles Dunk)
    Sterling Sane Eriksen Arnautovic (Milivojevic)
    Jesus Vardy Aubameyang

    I’m thinking of bringing in Rashford, as he has security of starting and a good fixture.
    Also TAA is being considered.
    ....maybe Firmino too?

    1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      TTA seems a safe sensible acquisition.

      1. HamezMace
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I’m all about safe and sensible

    2. Clump
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Rash for Vardy.
      Simples.

      1. HamezMace
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Vardy on pens, and against a potentially under strength spurs team.....this is why I can’t make a decision.

        I actually think Jesus is more likely to struggle today.

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ogbonna to Trent and you’re laughing.

      1. HamezMace
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Ogbonna was a legend in GW37...emotionally I can’t axe him 🙂

    4. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy > Rasford, Martial or Firmino

      1. HamezMace
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        you think Vardy over Jesus too?

  3. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Valencia in the squad today? Did Mourinho say he’ll play??

    1. Mr Arsenal
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mourinho is the ultimate FPL troll. Don’t put any of your ManU players on the bench thinking they won’t play.

    2. Tauruspt
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Rumour Darmian to be played on the right

    3. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Think darmian plays today

    4. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I don’t think been mentioned either way.

    5. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers all

  4. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    My 9 year old son had FH Chip to play this week. Never thought I’d be jealous of a child

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Send him to his room for the rest of the day... that’ll teach him... teach him real good!!!

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Told him as a punishment I will be picking his starting 11 for GW1 next season

  5. Gunned Down
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Son keep or sell?

    if sell , then for whom? already have Arnie

    Options are martial,zaha,ramsey

    Would probably have to take a hit since i have smalling too!

  6. soup natsi
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Have Son but no Sterling.

    A. Son > Zaha (or Arnie, or Lallana)
    B. Son, Kompany > Sterling, VvD (-4)
    C. Son, Jesus > Sterling, Firmino (-4)
    D. Son, Jesus > Sterling, Lacazette (-4)

  7. Elvy
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Does that rumoured Man City backline improve Austin as an option?

    1. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What’s the rumoured backline?

    2. soup natsi
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      what's rumoured?

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Is Austin playing at the back for city.

    4. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thinking same. See below as I am currently considering Austin > Firmino.

    5. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

  8. RashFraud
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    So we’re all captaining Salah then?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes. Over 200% EO.

  9. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any thoughts on these transfers.

    a) Son + Willian > Salah + RLC -4
    or

    b) Son + Willian + Austin > RLC + Arnie + Firmino

    Cheers

    1. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      *b) for - 8 ....

  10. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    chances of vert not starting?

    1. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      0-100%

  11. penno09
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Gudmunsson or Mili?

  12. Mike82
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What’s the best option;
    Firmino or Lacazette

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Firm

    2. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      In the same boat, prefer Laca.

  13. mad_beer ✅
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anything here worth a hit?

    DDG, Ryan
    Smalling, Long, Morgan, BDavies, Naughton
    Zaha, Son, Sterling, Pogba, LCook
    Kane (C), Jesus (VC), JAyew

    2.1 ITB

    1. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pogba DDG Smalling not playing today

  14. Taking one for the team
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is hazard to Salah worth it? Feel hazard might do something today!

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Why get rid if you think he will do something?

    2. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm wondering the same although for me it involves a hit.

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Get Salah.

  15. Balls of Steel
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Christensen, Dilva & Lingard > TAA, Salah & RLC worth a -8 ?

  16. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Help here

    Loris
    Fernandez smaling azpi lowotn (chilwel)
    Arnie sterling salah son (king)
    Jesus kane (barnes)

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA
    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A. Robertson

  17. rdamjan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Lacazette should start right?

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah, you'd imagine so.

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Middle.. lol

  18. FPL DONKEY
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who's gonna start in goal for West Ham this week? Have exact money for:

    DDG + Lingard -> Adrian + Sane (-4)

    1. There's Always One!
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      You would imagine Adrian

      1. FPL DONKEY
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers!

  19. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play Gundmundsson or J. Ayew?

    1. Ceebes
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Gud

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Disco Stu should play Ayew.

      1. Disco Stu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Disco Stu says Thank you

  20. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anything of any substance behind everyone dumping Son? I had him as a good pick this week

    1. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      He has been in poor form - I think thats it. I am worried enough to be considering ditching him..

  21. Spike ⚽️
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Looking at -16 pts just to put a decent 11 players out. Had - Ddg, Pope, Smalling, Kenedy, Barnes and Kompany in my original team. Final rank not an issue anymore )-;

  22. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is that Irish twitter account reliable?
    Lineup looked strange to me without Hendo

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Link?

  23. Prøfeßör …
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jamie Stinron's Twitter:

    #THFC team to play Leicester today:
    Lloris Walker-Peters Foyth Sanchez Vertonghen Rose Wanyama Eriksen Son Dele Kane

    1. Prøfeßör …
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      *Jamie Stinton

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Who he?

        1. tisza
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Bein sports. covering the game today.

    2. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Reliable?

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers!

    4. Clump
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I so hope that's correct

    5. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Bavies??
      Is it a reliable source?

    6. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Is he reliable ?

    7. Prøfeßör …
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I don't know how reliable he is.

  24. klavan
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    best mid under 4.7m
    A)RLC
    B)Ki
    C)McArthur
    D)Carrick

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going for RLC

  25. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is powell here?Do u have leaked chelsea lineup??

  26. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Chasing ML by 11 points and I have TC to try win league who to captain?

    Salah (he will probably captain him)
    Aub
    Sterling

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B or C

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Is Salah not safe bet though epic?

        1. RashFraud
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Safety don’t mean anything when you’re chasing in the last week

    2. RashFraud
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Auba

  27. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Should i start Lowton or Fernandez?

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Lowton

    2. Ceebes
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      lowton

    3. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      thanks

  28. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Zaha or Jesus captain?

    Trying to make up over 20 points gap.

  29. Daghe Munegu
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    Robertson Vertonghen Lowton
    Sané Son Sterling Zaha
    Kane Jesus Ayew

    DDG Smalling Mustafi King

    Son + DDG > Salah + Romero - 4?
    Yes or no?

  30. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Ditch Willian or GroB?

    Willian likely to be benched and GroB likely to get a two pointer.

    1. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Willian. Can only score points if on the pitch, and at least Groß provides that.