Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Godot - Fashanu Zealand
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Smalling -> PVA (-4) or play Morgan?

    I plan to take another hit for sure, but I will have nobody on my bench if Smalling is confirmed out.

    1. reeceon
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      just play smalling, morgan on the bench

  2. Klaren
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) De Gea to Karius (otherwise Karnezis will play)
    B) Monreal to Alexander Arnold
    C) Monreal to Davies or Trippier (already have Vertonghen)

    Any suggestions on the above? Could do both A and 1 of B and C for a hit, but don't really want to take a hit.

    1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      C seems No No

  3. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Are the blue moon leaks to be trusted?

    Any other team new Song?

  4. aarrgghh
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Dilva to Bilva done.See you next season

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Why did you do that? Bilva probably wont start

    2. COLLIN QUANER
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Dilva is starting this week

  5. Lux0r
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    do you fancy jesus (1) over aubameyang (2)
    Will lead to -4 hit?

  6. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Sod it. Spurs team sheet puts me off Kane a bit. Salah(c), hope Silva starts, DDG out for Romero...

    Romero
    Vertonghen Maguire Ogbonna
    Salah(c) Silva Sterling Lingard
    Kane(c) Jesus Ayew

    McCarthy VDH Dummett KENEDY

    1. MTPockets
        7 years, 7 months ago

        What spurs team sheet?

        1. shirtless
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Tweets going around few pages back.

      • Stevie B
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Two captains? Salah and Kane.

    2. tafrère
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Courtois

      Smalling Naughton Lowton

      Salah (C) Alli Son Zaha Lingard

      Kane Vardy

      Bench : Pope / Daniels Chillwell Barnes

      Already took a -4, do I need to worry about some players on my starting XI ?

    3. WrightnBright
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I don't mind a further hit (-8) as my season has petered out so should I do Son > Arnie for abit more 'fun'?!

      1. WrightnBright
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Frontline of
        Salah Sterling Son Zaha
        Kane Jesus Perez

      2. Reggie Nainggolan
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        No looks good

        1. WrightnBright
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Ta, West Ham v Everton could quite easily play out a dreary 0-0 anyway

    4. Mongreloid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      So... I’ve already taken a -4 to do DDG to romero. With the rumours flying around do I do Smalling & Dilva to TAA & Salah and end up with -12 but Captain Salah?

      Romero (Ryan)
      Sakho Smalling Lowton (Dummet, Chilwell)
      Sterling Pogba Dilva Son (King)
      Kane(c) Vardy Jesus

      Top of ML but only by 20points and rival has KDB+Sane which worries me...

    5. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Is Son starting in this leak?

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yes

        1. _Gunner
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          source please?

        2. Scapegoat Salah
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Have you got the leak please? Thanks

          1. ILOVEBAPS
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            It was writ large on a previous page. Go one or two back.

            1. Scapegoat Salah
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              Ok thanks

      2. SheBangsTheDrums
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        What about Alli?

    6. upthemiddle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Is Jesus out for Lacazette worth -4?

      1. VDiesel26
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Probably not

      2. doublyG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        No

    7. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lingard Willian Alonso -salah mili taa...

      1)yes
      2)no..

      Guys..one last time...TIA..

    8. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      More chance of a CS between Pool and Spurs?

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Liverpool

      2. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Pool

    9. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      This stinton guy is a troll scroll back a few tweets everyone

      1. Greenbackbøøg…
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Agree, don't see it being real

        1. Ask Yourself
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Being told Barkley won't be joining Spurs this window and are now in talks with Crystal Palace for Midfielder Jason Puncheon instead.
          #THFC

          Think he’s a joker

      2. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        He certainly is that

        This is the problem with social media when people are looking for information and they post any old shite they can find without thinking about it

      3. AYEW KI-EDEN MEE
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Blocked him a while back. Not trustworthy.

    10. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Silva/Davies/DDG -> Salah/TAA/Romero

      Yay or Nay?

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yay

      2. Reggie Nainggolan
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yes

    11. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Which to start

      A. Dunk
      B. PVA -4

    12. Prøfeßör …
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No Milner?

      A very questionable source though. Definitely take it with a pinch of salt.

      https://mobile.twitter.com/littlemiss_lane/status/995607407270285312

      1. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Agreed. He wouldn't say anything to her prior to press conferences.

        1. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          She met him today at the ground before the match. Perfectly possible he told her Milner is not playing

    13. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Has the city line up been leaked?

      1. NATSTER
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I'm waiting for it too

      2. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        No

        There are a few dodgy line ups but I wouldn't trust any of them

        1. George James
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Walker to start you think SYD?

    14. MFC86
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Boring one but

      Start Romeu or Maguire ?

      1. Balls of Steel
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Mag

    15. mahone24
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      With Davies + Lingard not expected to start would you
      A/ DDG + Lingard -> Romero + Zaha (play double BUR + Naughton)
      or
      B/ Lingard + Bavies -> TAA + Zaha / Ramsey

    16. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Hi, who will get more points?
      A. Alli, Vardy + 4 pts
      B. Zaha, Laca

      Thanks 🙂

    17. George James
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Is walker starting?

    18. Yordan Letchkov
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      GTG?

      DDG (Ryan)
      Verthongen Naughton Lowton
      Mahrez Zaha Gross Sterling
      Vardy Jesus Kane

      Ryan Ibe Morgan Duffy

      Not very happy but decided to not take any hit in the last GW and keep the starters like Vardy, Mahrez, Gross etc..
      Did Willian -> Zaha for free.

    19. EDUARDO DA SILVA
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Slow Lallana on left side means more space for fast Robbo?

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Nice link up I can see

      2. ooooo
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Who said Lallana is playing?

        1. EDUARDO DA SILVA
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Leak 😀

    20. Weeb Kakashi
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ryan
      Alonso Vertonghen Chambers Tarkowski
      Hazard Son Sane
      Jesus Kane Ayew

      How to get Salah? 1 FT

      Earlier had decided Son Alonso > Salah TAA (-4)
      Son starting itseems.

      So do what
      A Hazard > Salah
      B Sane Alonso > Salah TAA (-4)?

      1. Gentle_Turks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Son starting? Source?

        1. Ask Yourself
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Unreliable

        2. Nemes1s
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          For what it's worth Son isn't in this video posted from players checking in at Wembley today. https://twitter.com/RickSpur/status/995627228431077377

      2. Stevie B
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I think A.

    21. Sahil Yadav
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Where to use the FT? Nothing in bank

      DDG
      Lowton, Tark, VDH
      Salah, Sane, Sterling, Son
      Kane, Vardy, Barnes*

      Ryan, Matic, Cedric, Maguire

      1. Mongreloid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        One of tark/Lowton to TAA

    22. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA
      B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino (343, ferndnez bench)
      C) smaling chilwel to TAA creswel (-4) (442, fernandez bench)
      D) smaling king to gudmundson TAA (-4) (352, fernandez bench)

    23. Swinner
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ryan
      Alonso, Lowton, Smalling?
      Sterling, DSilva?, Gross, Kante
      Kane (c), Jesus, Vardy
      [DeGea, Cedric, Morgan, Kenedy] (£0.5 ITB)
      Rate my team (RMT) - 49.68 pts

      Chasing a 17pt swing to top ML :

      A: Kenedy > Milivoj RMT=53.02
      B: 1Hit: DDG, D.Silva > Adrian, Salah (C?)
      C: 1Hit Smalling, Kenedy > VVD, Miloj
      D: 2Hit DDG, Kenedy, Vardy > Adrian, Salah (C?) JAyew
      E: 3Hit DDG, Smalling, Kenedy, Vardy > Adrian, PVA, Salah (C?) JAyew

      Cheers!

      1. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Similar position but chasing 13 points. Be mindful that you're widening that gap with every hit.

        I can push it to -8 but anything beyond that seems counterproductive. B or D

    24. Stevie B
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Anything worth a hit?

      Ryan (de Gea)
      Vertonghen, Long, Lowton (Smalling) (Morgan)
      Salah, Sterling, Son, Arnautovic (Lewis Cook)
      Kane, Jesus, Jordan Ayew

      Thank you!

    25. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Can anybody helps pls?

      Play:

      A- Lowton
      B- Fernandez

      Already playing Fab and Long.

      Cheers fellas

      1. Prøfeßör …
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        B, marginally.

      2. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        lowton for me, swan have to go for the win,cant play to defensive

      3. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Thank you guys.