The Pre-Match Preamble - Gameweek 38 Opinion
13 May 2018 3112 comments
Mark Mark
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Today brings that bittersweet mix of excitement that the final day always brings, tinged with the regret that another season has passed.

For some, the end of this campaign and the approach opportunity to start afresh cannot come soon enough.

I don’t feel like that, though I can reflect on a season which has offered few notable highs or lows.

Like a good few managers, I hit a peak and then got stuck in a rut until the Double Gameweeks and chips arrived to give me a jolt.

Looking back, I’d obviously angered the Fantasy Gods when I suggested in my previous preamble that we were edging towards a formulaic method of play.

My Gameweek 37 which followed was nightmarish. Coincidently, others namechecked shared my suffering.

I admit that the tone of the article in question was badly conceived.

Of course, the objective was not to belittle the efforts of those enduring a torrid time or to play down the achievements of those flying higher. It was to acknowledge and question the impact that the Double Gameweek period and how that has changed the game and perhaps even our perception of a good and bad season.

I still believe that – approaching a third term with the chips – we’re going to start craving new variables to shake things up.

We already have some of our plans for 2018/19 – Wildcard early, save the Free Hit for the postponements and the other chips for Double Gameweeks.

Couple that with a cautious strategy that considers Effective Ownership and we begin to see how a proven formula for success can take shape.

It’s convenient, it probably works, but is it going to be fun for another season?

I’m a part of the problem. I write, report and recommend these solutions because they are clearly advised strategies for any player. But I’m just one voice, and they’ll be even more next season, no doubt preaching the same tactics.

I play the game and built this site because of the pure thrill of finding the right player at the right time.

The “Double Gameweek and chips” hasn’t necessarily reduced that pleasure, but it does encourage further rigidity in our thinking and certainly the “end game”.

It’s now a cornerstone of the FPL 101 and to push back against it is to risk missing out on a hike in rank over the final stretch.

But things can change. These strategies and game mechanics remain at the mercy of swings in form and the twists of the season.

There’s no doubt that Mohamed Salah’s incredible debut campaign has been a factor in influencing how we have played over the last nine months.

His consistency created a highly owned asset so powerful that it became a big risk to captain Harry Kane. That is difficult to fathom and, because it took me ages to accept it, I lost out.

Much as I am in awe of Salah’s achievements, performances and goals, in Fantasy terms, I don’t want to see the like again.

I want Alexis Sanchez and Eden Hazard to be reinvented as viable alternatives. For Kane and Sergio Aguero to be joined by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang in keeping our choice of heavy-hitting striker and Gameweek captain fluid.

There’s every chance we’ll get just that.

And if we do, then the joys and successes in the game will go back to being a little bit more about inspired player selection and less about the consideration of ownership or the management of chips.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. arndff_
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Can't decide:

    A) Karius
    B) Romero

    1. Rocky FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      B for me even though its 50-50

      1. nevins84
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        This

    2. Playing_the_Numbers
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Karius has better chance for a clean sheet, but keep an eye on your rivals teams and do it last minute as you are chasing.

    3. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A for me with United rotations

    4. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      B imo

    5. #FPLBhuna
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

    6. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

    7. Runaway
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A

    8. Playing_the_Numbers
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Karius clean sheet probability - 55%
      Romero - 45%
      But as I said you are chasing 15 pts and you may need differentials.

  2. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    I love the smell of panic and dodgy rumored leaks. Will miss this. 🙂

    1. Meinhoff
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Fantasy World cup starting soon, there will be plenty of dodgy lineups from Serbian and Saudi Arabian media

  3. Hardly Athletic
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    0FT and 0.2ITB.
    Fabianski
    van Dijk - Tomkins - Vertonghen
    Sterling - Arnautovic - Eriksen - Salah (c)
    Kane - Jesus - JAyew

    Subs: McCarthy - King - Dummett - Chilwell

    Good to go?

  4. R Whites
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Should i be concerned not having salah going into final game, around 40 pts clear in ML although second has TC left to use (he didnt have mo last week but reckon he will put him in).

    DDG - Hart
    Lowton - smalling - morgan - dummett - tomkins
    sterling - sane - eriksen - lingard - zaha
    kane (c) - jesus - barnes

    Lots of united coverage/gametime risks so I plan to downgrade DDG to Adrian, and upgrade Lingard or barnes or alternatively, lose a city mid or eriksen to Salah.

    1. Mongreloid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      You can afford a hit with 40points and blocking him may be your best bet. I’d bring Mo in and give him the armband

    2. Deulofail
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      My rival's 10 points behind with Salah (probably captain) and I decided to keep Eriksen over getting Salah. Selling Lingard wa a higher priority and much fewer people would take a hit for Salah in a normal GW than this week. In your position I would take the four points, because you don't need to invest when when you're 40pts ahead. Just reap the rewards of your current team

      1. R Whites
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        cheers for response. im thinking this and armband on kane..

  5. Mongreloid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    So... I’ve already taken a -4 to do DDG to romero. With the rumours flying around do I do Smalling & Dilva to TAA & Salah and end up with -12 but Captain Salah?

    Romero (Ryan)
    Sakho Smalling Lowton (Dummet, Chilwell)
    Sterling Pogba Dilva Son (King)
    Kane(c) Vardy Jesus

    Top of ML but only by 20points and rival has KDB+Sane which worries me... Cheers!

    1. R Whites
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I would avoid a -12 for one gw. Halved your lead right there

  6. RVP20
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Is Kenedy & Barnes > McArthur & C Wilson worth -4?

    1. yakirh
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Meh

  7. Mike82
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Start Naughton or Gundagon?

  8. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Foster
    TAA Vert Alonso
    Shaqiri Ramsey Eriksen Sterling
    Kane Jesus J Ayew

    Elliot Lowton Lingard Kompany

    1FT, 0.0M ITB

    Which one please?
    A Jesus > Firmino
    B Elliot > Adrian
    C Alonso & Eriksen > Bailly & Salah (c)
    D Eriksen & Sterling > Salah (c) & Martial
    E Elliot & Jesus > Romero & Firmino(c)

    1. mahone24
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Dont know if I like any of these

  9. Differentiator
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Who from Utd is definitely starting? Were Romero, Blind and Bailly confirmed as starters by Mou?

    1. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Yes. + Carrick, Rash, Martial and someone else. Mata I think.

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Romero, Blind, Bailly, Carrick, Mata, Martial, Rashford

    3. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I read somewhere that he mentioned about starting these three. Nothing is certain though.

  10. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Any of these worth a -4?
    A) smalling to VVD
    B) DDG to Romero

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Maybe A

  11. penno09
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Who to play, gudmunsson or mili?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Mili personally

    2. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Mili

    3. Jersey
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      gud

    4. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Mili but have you considered Fernandinho?

  12. knight_king2
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Nice last preamble! Been enjoying every preamble piece you have written.
    Who is your captain, Mark? Taking any risk for the last time, or no? 😉

  13. Elvy
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    To fund Salah:

    A. Azpi -> Ogbonna

    B. Vardy -> JAyew?

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      B

      1. Elvy
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks

  14. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Chasing ML by 11 points and I have TC to try win league who to captain?

    Salah (he will probably captain him)
    Aub
    Sterling

  15. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Help here

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA (442, fernandez play)

    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino (343, ferndnez bench)

    C) smaling chilwel to TAA creswel (-4) (442, fernandez bench)

    D) smaling king to gudmundson TAA (-4) (352, fernandez bench)

  16. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    GTG??

    No hits this week I think, want to secure top 10k.

    Ryan
    Tark/Lowton/Vert/VVD
    Salah(c)/Sterling/Son/Arnie
    Kane/Vardy

    DDG/Gross/Morgan/Barnes.

  17. yakirh
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Are there leaked lineups of Liverpool/Spurs/City ?

  18. Sahil Yadav
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Which one:

    Option A: Lowton/Tark to TAA, Bench Barnes and play one of Cedric and Matic

    Option B: Barnes to Ayew, Play both Lowton, and Tark. Bench Matic and Cedric too

  19. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Any tweets?

    1. soup natsi
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      approx 150k per minute

    2. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      One was massive

  20. Tiki-Taka
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Any chance Joe Hart plays instead of Adrian? Need Adrian to raise funds for Salah

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Slim, Jim. 🙂

      1. Tiki-Taka
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers mate, has Moyes said anything about it in press conference either way or not?

        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Not that I'm aware of - but I have been busy on Twitter ...

  21. adam28193
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    start lowton, VDH or Masuaku?

  22. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Earwig 0, Earwig 0 ...

    1. soup natsi
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      hey doosra, where is your numbers? cheers!

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        They are one or 2 out, but here you are:

        ARS : hud 127
        BOU : bur -182
        BRI : liv -629
        BUR : BOU 182
        CHE : new 192
        CPL : WBA 189
        EVE : whm -65
        HUD : ARS -127
        LEI : tot -309
        LIV : BRI 629
        MCY : sou 662
        MUN : WAT 586
        NEW : CHE -192
        SOT : MCI -662
        STK : swa -187
        SWA : STK 187
        TOT : LEI 309
        WAT : mun -586
        WBA : cpl -189
        WHM : EVE 65

        1. soup natsi
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          thanks! good luck today!

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Your welcome. Ta. 🙂

      2. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Try the Hot Topics tab...

  23. Optic1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Amy further Son news?

    1. Optic1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Any*

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Starting apparently

      1. Greenbackbøøg…
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        that source is unreliable

        1. Optic1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          What is the source? Link?

        2. Down with this sort of thin…
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          What source?

      2. fr3d
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        fake

    3. MTPockets
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Nothing reliable

    4. The Great Statuto
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Posted but got lost in traffic. Rashford, Giroud or Ferminho?

      1. Meinhoff
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Rash

    5. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Is there any Laca owner here?

      Good luck 🙂

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Would really like him but other issues sadly

    6. Pierce34
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I don't see how it is 'difficult to fathom' that Kane has been a captaincy risk during the season. He's been very unpredictable and, purple patch before Christmas aside, looked frankly quite poor at times.

      1. Pierce34
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        That's right, I read the article instead of posting a last-minute panic question 😛

    7. Taking one for the team
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Is Wood likely to be fit or Vokes the safest forward option for Burnley

      1. Mongreloid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Vokes

    8. Mongreloid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Desperate for a bit of help here

      So... I’ve already taken a -4 to do DDG to romero. With the rumours flying around do I do Smalling & Dilva to TAA & Salah and end up with -12 but Captain Salah?

      Romero (Ryan)
      Sakho Smalling Lowton (Dummet, Chilwell)
      Sterling Pogba Dilva Son (King)
      Kane(c) Vardy Jesus

      Top of ML but only by 20points and rival has KDB+Sane which worries me...

    9. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Welcome TAA + Martial

    10. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Pens down yet?

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Pen is down.