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Spot the Differential

Jesus a tempting differential for Manchester City’s post-Gameweek 32+ fixture swing

Once again differentials had a lot of success in Gameweek 31+.

The likes of Eddie Nketiah (£4.4m), Christian Pulisic (£6.9m), Matt Ritchie (£5.3m) and one of last week’s selections, James Justin (£4.7m), all delivered for their owners, suggesting there is still value to be found.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 32+ and beyond.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: CHE | new | BUR | nor | WAT

Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at West Ham United.

Having arrived at the London Stadium in January from Hull City, where he registered 16 and six assists goals in 29 Championship appearances this season, Bowen does not look out of place in the Premier League.

He’s now started four back-to-back matches for the Hammers, scoring his first goal on his first start against Southampton in Gameweek 28, and went close on Tuesday against Tottenham Hotspur, with one effort blocked and another rattling the post.

Following a second consecutive defeat, David Moyes’ side remain precariously above the relegation zone on goal difference alone.

However, until they were forced to chase the game at Spurs, they were well drilled and limited their opponents to just a few chances, and the return of Sébastien Haller (£6.8m) from a hip problem could give them a sharper edge going forward.

Despite a tricky tie against Chelsea on Wednesday, the Blues will have played twice since the Hammers last played a game, and the real appeal lies in Bowen’s fixtures to follow, which includes promising home matches against Burnley, Watford and Aston Villa.

With a crucial run of games coming up, 23-year-old Bowen can make a real impact, and could be a bargain at just £6.4m.

Gabriel Jesus

  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £9.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: LIV | sou | NEW | bha | BOU

With Sergio Agüero (£11.7m) facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines, Gabriel Jesus (£9.6m) looks set to profit, which hands FPL managers an intriguing, and potentially explosive differential for the run-in.

Ahead of last night’s match against Chelsea, Pep Guardiola revealed the Brazilian forward was carrying a knock which prevented him from starting, but having appeared from the bench in the second half, he should be fit and raring to go when Liverpool visit on Thursday.

This campaign has felt a lot like previous ones for Jesus – almost half of his appearances have come from the bench, yet he has still racked up 18 goals in all competitions, and has the second highest xG per 90 of players who have registered 200+ minutes. Whilst it can be difficult to draw strong conclusions from that data (he doesn’t start as many of the big games as others), it does demonstrate his ability to get into good shooting positions.

Like Bowen, this is a move with fixtures from Gameweek 33+ in mind, when the highest ranked team Manchester City will face is Newcastle United in 13th.

Jesus has never been able to hold down a spot in the City starting XI due to the brilliance of Agüero, but now has seven Premier League matches to impress, and although it’s unlikely Guardiola will start him in every game until the end of the season, he will certainly get more chances, and could be an ideal gamble for those willing to roll the dice.

Abdoulaye Doucouré

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: SOU | che | NOR | NEW | whu

27-year-old midfielder Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.6m) joined Watford from Rennes in 2016 and has been one of their most consistent performers since.

Whilst he’s been coached by five different managers during that time, some of his best performances have arrived this season when playing in a more advanced midfield role. Manager Nigel Pearson pushed the Frenchman further up the pitch in his first match in charge, and he’s largely stayed there, registering three goals and three assists.

Doucouré was close adding to his tally in Gameweek 30+ against Leicester City, when he missed a great opportunity to open the scoring, and despite dropping to the bench last night, the feeling amongst supporters is that it was purely for rotation purposes, bearing in mind it was Watford’s second game in five days.

Watford need a reaction against Southampton on Sunday and will want to be safe by Gameweek 37+ when they face a Manchester City side who have beaten them 6-0 and 8-0 in their previous two encounters.

You get the feeling the Hornets’ season will be defined by their next three home matches, which sees them take on Norwich City and Newcastle United after the Saints.

The task of avoiding relegation won’t be easy for Watford but they have enough quality to survive and, whilst many FPL managers will turn to Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m), Doucouré is an interesting, cheaper alternative who has the ability to thrive.

FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 31+

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612 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Eat my goal!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    13 days, 4 hours ago

    After a great BB team suffered the following week, am I gtg?

    Pope
    TAA AWB Doherty
    Son Bruno KDB Mount
    Jimi Rash Auba

    1. Would Ed Woodward
      • 1 Year
      13 days, 4 hours ago

      Captain?

      1. Eat my goal!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Prob Jimenez but might gamble on Auba

    2. La Roja
      • 8 Years
      13 days, 4 hours ago

      If Auba starts in FA cup then alarm bells

      1. Eat my goal!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Figure he'll feature in both tbh - not that appeals. I've taken the cap off him currently for this very reason

    3. wulfranian
      • 3 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      yes

  2. The King Wilson return
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    13 days, 4 hours ago

    Hi some opinions please:
    Martinez (pope)
    Aurier taa Doherty (lasc lamptey)
    Mane kdb martial Bruno pulisic
    rashford Jimenez (nketiah)

    Would you play nketiah ahead of anyone?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Nope

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 1 Year
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Difficult one, maybe ahead of Puli

    3. The King Wilson return
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Thanks!

  3. Zilla
    • 2 Years
    13 days, 4 hours ago

    Just noticed 10 out of my starting 11 will be away this GW, that's mad!

    1. La Roja
      • 8 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Nailed on for a 22 pointer GW

      1. Zilla
        • 2 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Had those at the start so hopefully that was me getting them away early

  4. I Member
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Coming around to the idea of captaining Mane against City.

  5. In a Rush
    • 3 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Any thoughts on this please, am I good to go?
    A bit unsure on captain/vice at the moment

    Ddg
    Taa Lascelles Doherty
    Salah kdb Bruno martial son(vc)
    Nketiah Jimenez(c)

    Martin ayew Kiko Holgate
    Cheers all

  6. XABI 15
    • 4 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    For a hit I could get this BB team in 33.

    Pope (SHU) Ryan (nor)
    Alonso (WAT) Doherty (ARS) Boly (ARS) TAA (AVL) Sot (LEI)
    KDB (sou) Salah (AVL) Barnes (LEI) Cantwell (BRI) Martial (Bou)
    Jimenez (ARS) DCL (tot) Rashford (Bou)

    32 - Mane + Ings > Rashford + Martial
    33 - Button + Rico > Alonso + Ryan

    worth it?

  7. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Best captain:
    A) Bruno
    B) Martial
    C) KDB
    D) Auba
    E) Jiminez

  8. Would Ed Woodward
    • 1 Year
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    No transfers left this week and bench boosting, don't mind a hit if anything is worth it. Feels like I have a lot to change moving forward, where would you prioritise?

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Stevens*
    Salah Son Bruno Martial
    Vardy* Jota* DCL

    Martinez Taylor Masina Saka, 0FT 1.6m itb.

  9. La Roja
    • 8 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Just a reminder to Liverpool fans, you dont win the title if the season gets cancelled due to a second wave. Stay home, win the title.

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Surely as they’re automatic champions they will win??

      1. La Roja
        • 8 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Ok so shall I repost this and encourage fans to celebrate outside? 😛

        1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          13 days, 3 hours ago

          I completely disagree with their celebrations, completely ignorant and unaware to the situation. Just because they’re Liverpool fans however the media won’t criticise them

    2. diesel001
      • 3 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Season will not be voided now. Will just end and the controversy will be around CL places and relegation. Although Norwich can't really complain about relegation in such a situation, tbh.

    3. Berbs
      • 9 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Liverpool are champions fella, and there's absolutely nothing anyone or anything can do about it.

      1. Top Mark.S
        • 3 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Berbs! I wish I could hug you man. We did it 🙂

        1. Berbs
          • 9 Years
          13 days, 3 hours ago

          Last night I was emotional, today I'm so happy. Hopefully we shall all meet one day when things go back to normal!

      2. La Roja
        • 8 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Congrats Berbs, fully deserved

        1. Berbs
          • 9 Years
          13 days, 3 hours ago

          Thanks mate, top man

    4. Top Mark.S
      • 3 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      LOL

      I love it!

      We are the champions!

      Keep dreaming!

      Guys like you make this all the sweeter!

      Go on respond!

      1. In a Rush
        • 3 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Ha ha yes get in,30 years of waiting finally over!

      2. La Roja
        • 8 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Guys like me?

        What are you on about dude?

        1. Top Mark.S
          • 3 Years
          13 days, 3 hours ago

          This is a day for celebration.

          But people like you have been trying to take this moment away since the season got stopped.

          Not gonna happen buddy.

          We won. It's done.

          Season could get curtailed for sure but no one can take it away from us now.

          So celebrate I can and celebrate I will.

          But go on keep posting drivel about us potentially not being champions. It only makes it sweeter.

          Btw I agree with you on safe celebrations and I have not seen one of my many mates who are pool fans because I choose to behave responsibly. That part I obviously agree with. But dont celebrate cause you dont have it yet? Come on dude! Just wow!

          We are the champions!

          YNWA

          1. La Roja
            • 8 Years
            13 days, 3 hours ago

            Nobody is disputing how much Liverpool deserves and been absolute top top team even last season.

            I think got a bit carried away with your celebrations and emotions but all good. You missed the point of my post.

            Congrats Again and stay safe pal

            1. Top Mark.S
              • 3 Years
              13 days, 3 hours ago

              Sorry bud. But you have not seen my celebrations cause I have stayed home as I said.

              Please dont judge me because of what you see on television.

              Your post clearly states that we might not yet be champions which is tone deaf on a day of celebration after 30 years. I will celebrate and safely. We cant lose it and I wont have blokes like you throwing in garbage in a day where I have had a permanent smile.

              I have celebrated safely and advocate for it.

              You dont tell the bride and groom on wedding day that divorce looms. You celebrate their day.

              1. La Roja
                • 8 Years
                13 days, 3 hours ago

                I think it sounds like you need to carry drinking fella 😆

                1. Top Mark.S
                  • 3 Years
                  13 days, 3 hours ago

                  There you go judging again. I dont drink alcohol.

                  1. La Roja
                    • 8 Years
                    13 days, 3 hours ago

                    Nobody is judging you. I’ll never claimed you went out and celebrated with ignorance either. I meant your was with emotions, this it how came across to me, because I don’t think you understood the irony of my post. It’s a simple joke and you’re getting wind up for no reason.

                    Just chill out and enjoy your celebrations, no need to be too hostile fella.

                    1. La Roja
                      • 8 Years
                      13 days, 3 hours ago

                      Your post was*

                2. Top Mark.S
                  • 3 Years
                  13 days, 3 hours ago

                  Been impressed with many other teams fans who give sincere congratulations with no ifs and buts. Many man u supporters have impressed me.

                  But u sir can say congrats all you want I just hear allegations on celebrations and drinking which were preceded by stop celebrating cause u have not won anything yet. Oh and congrats

                  1. La Roja
                    • 8 Years
                    13 days, 3 hours ago

                    It’s fine dude. I’ll let you to “assume” whatever you want. I couldn’t care less of your silly attitude 😀

                    1. Top Mark.S
                      • 3 Years
                      13 days, 3 hours ago

                      Dude there is no irony in your post. Just sour grapes.

                      1. La Roja
                        • 8 Years
                        13 days, 3 hours ago

                        Dude, carry on replying and console your silly ego

                    2. Top Mark.S
                      • 3 Years
                      13 days, 3 hours ago

                      We are the champions! 🙂

                      1. La Roja
                        • 8 Years
                        13 days, 3 hours ago

                        Yes you absolutely are and I absolutely love that! I’m a pompey fan ffs, why would there be sour grapes? 😆

                        And who is judging now? Tone it down and shake hands( or fist bumps) lol

                      2. Top Mark.S
                        • 3 Years
                        13 days, 3 hours ago

                        Sorry we are only the champions if we stop celebrating and the season is not cancelled.

                        Great joke!

                      3. La Roja
                        • 8 Years
                        13 days, 3 hours ago

                        Your not an example of a fan of champions though. You’re just full of your ego, nothing else. Be humble and keep it quite. I won’t reply your silly messages anymore, I don’t need to justify anything to you

                      4. Top Mark.S
                        • 3 Years
                        13 days, 3 hours ago

                        You don't know me at all!

                        We are the champions!

                        Cheers!

                      5. Top Mark.S
                        • 3 Years
                        13 days, 3 hours ago

                        "Keep quiet"

                        LOL

                        Who is this guy?

    5. FOO FIGHTER
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      3 decades. Finally LFC will return to dominance!

  10. mr messi
    • 9 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Keep Son or swap for Martial? Already have Fernandes and Rashford?

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Keep Son. Bruno+Rash is enough united attack

  11. trinzoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Please RMWC Team:

    Patricio / 3.9
    TAA / Doherty / Maguire / Aurier / 3.9
    Salah / KDB / Martial / Pulisic / Foden
    Rash / Jimenez / Nketiah

    One would say benching headaches but I'm not vulnerable to rotation. I need to chase too.

    1. teneighty
      • 5 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Looking great!

  12. SHOOTER MCGINN
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Guess Saka is by far the best budget 5th mid these days, especially for this GW. Cantwell/Norwich look done. Ultra-cheap Guendouzi seems to be out of the picture. Hayden too defensive.

    1. In a Rush
      • 3 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Yes Saka is the one

    2. Would Ed Woodward
      • 1 Year
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Reports/gossip today that Guendouzi has told Arteta that he wants to leave after being dropped from the squad.

      1. Klaren
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        I'd guess the order of the events is the other way around. He said he wants to leave so Arteta dropped him. There are reports that Arsenal received an offer for him.

    3. Klaren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Davis is an option. He didn't start the last game but was expected with the short gap between games and playing after a long break and injury period.

  13. Pep Roulette
    • 2 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    On FH

    A. Double up with Salah & Mane (No City)

    B. Salah & KDB

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 1 Year
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      B

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        A

  14. Bavarian
    • 2 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Hello Guys
    Play 2 please (All Away games)

    A-Saiss (AVL)
    B-Boly (AVL)
    C-Soyuncu (EVE)
    D-Fernandez (BOU)

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 1 Year
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      AB

      1. Bavarian
        • 2 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Thanks Tony

  15. FOO FIGHTER
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    What is the points per match of your starting eleven combined?

    Patricio - 4.1
    Alonso 6.2, TAA 6, Doherty 4.7, Aurier 3.7
    Salah 7.3, Mane 6.7, Martial 5.8, Son 5.7, Pulisic 4.7
    Rashford 6

    Total: 60.9 points per match

  16. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Want to bench boost my GW32+ team. Best time to BB?

    Pope
    TAA,Doherty,Saiss,Wan-Bissaka
    Bruno,KDB,Martial
    Auba,Ings,Jiminez

    McCarthy, Perez,Lascelles,Sarr

  17. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Martinez
    TAA Aurier Boly AWB Simpson
    Son Fernandes Salah KDB Saka
    Rashford Jimenez Nketiah

    Can i get away with no Doherty? Or what can i do to get him in?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      How much cash have you left?

    2. Fernandito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      nothing ITB

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Tough, obviously have to downgrade mid or fwd.

  18. Wolves Ay We
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Worth a risk punting on Auba and making him captain?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      I wouldn't. This guy trolls me everytime I pick him.

      1. fish&chips
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        Me too but this is his time

    2. Wolves Ay We
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      He can't go on blanking. Very unlucky v Southampton

    3. james 101
      • 8 Years
      13 days, 2 hours ago

      No. I don’t think so mate

  19. DIMITRIS
    • 1 Year
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Diogo Jota or DCL ?
    One has better fixtures but is a rotation risk and the other plays 90 minutes every game, but has tougher fixtures. Who's better option?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      You could always go Nketiah instead.

      1. DIMITRIS
        • 1 Year
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        I can't stand Arsenal, they are the shadow of the team they used to be. I already have Pepe and watching Arsenals last three games gave me headache. Double up is too much for me.
        But if I hadn't have Pepe I'd probably get Nketiah as a punt.

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          13 days, 3 hours ago

          If cash allows, rather go Ings instead of DCL/Jota.

          1. DIMITRIS
            • 1 Year
            13 days, 3 hours ago

            I might just do that. Cheers

  20. Klaren
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Any thoughts about Doherty vs Boly?

    With Wolves performing better in the 4-3-3 formation since the restart, I'm not sure Doherty is worth the 0.7 extra funds. He assisted vs West Ham with a good cross but didn't really get close to an attacking return and didn't seem dangerous otherwise and his only chance in Bournemouth was from a set piece which Boly has good stats on as well.

    I do have the option to go with him over Boly on my WC but really not convinced about his attacking output while playing with Traore in 4-3-3. Also Boly tends to better on BPS (when no attacking returns for either) and is arguably more nailed.

    1. Klaren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Sorry extra 1.5 fund not 0.7 obviously

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      If you can afford Doherty then pick him. If not then Boly.

      1. Klaren
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        13 days, 3 hours ago

        I can afford him but just feel like I might be wasting 1.5 on him when they'll get similar scores for the rest of the season. I just haven't been impressed with his role in the team since the restart but of course I might be wrong.

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          13 days, 3 hours ago

          I Doherty as he offers attacking returns.

      2. james 101
        • 8 Years
        13 days, 2 hours ago

        Yes

    3. pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      13 days, 3 hours ago

      Think Boly is a decent call

      One wrinkle is whether Wolves cs are sustainable - they have a poor record generally for cs since they came up. They’re definitely over performing right now.

      If cs do dry up then arguably Doherty is the one to be on as more likely to get returns from attack

  21. No MO limits
    • 3 Years
    13 days, 3 hours ago

    Who to bench this week guys? Currently on Saka.

    a. Jota
    b. Mount
    C. Saka

    Krul (Leno)
    TAA - Doherty - Lascelles (Baldock Lundstram)
    KdB - Fernandes - Mount - Martial (Saka)
    Auba - Jota - Jimenez

    1. james 101
      • 8 Years
      13 days, 2 hours ago

      Yes

  22. james 101
    • 8 Years
    13 days, 2 hours ago

    Current team

    Marty
    TAA Doherty Ritchie
    KDB Son Fernandes Salah Martial
    Rashford Jimmi

    Button Taylor Nk Robertson

    Considering Son to Mahrez after the pool game, though there’s an argument for doing it earlier. Could see it being an explosive game.

    Thoughts?

  23. MHG
    • 3 Years
    13 days, 1 hour ago

    Which two to bench?

    A Calvert Lewin
    B St Maxim
    C Aurier
    D Van Aanholt

    I'm thinking A&B

    Thanks

  24. robith
    • 2 Years
    13 days, 1 hour ago

    McCarthy/Button

    Doc/Trent/Aurier/AWB/Lascelles/Holgate

    Salah/KDB/Mahrez/Martial/Saka

    Nketiah/Jimi/Rashford

    GTG? I'm on a wildcard