Pro Pundits - Andy
17 July 2020 3051 comments
andy85wsm andy85wsm
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Ownership is often discussed within the Fantasy Premier League community.

Is a player so highly owned that it’s a risk to sell? Does a player have low enough ownership to consider them as a true differential? These are just some of the conversations FPL managers will have over 38 Gameweeks.

A lot of the time FPL managers will look for differentials under 10% ownership, or preferably under 5% ownership, but I think a player can have 30-40% ownership and still be considered a differential.

At that level of ownership, every six or seven managers out of 10 don’t own that player – that’s still big in my books, especially if the player mentioned is a reliable heavy hitter. When you factor in captaincy, you could be onto a winner.

In this article, I’m going to look at the top 10,000 ownership levels from Live FPL to see if we can determine who might be some of the best differentials going into the final two Gameweeks of the season.

I’m using top 10,000 ownership is I think that’s a better indicator at this stage of the season of active FPL manager ownership than overall ownership, which may include some teams that are no longer active.

Additionally, it’s where a lot of people are striving to finish by the end of the season.

It’s also worth noting that these ownership levels are taken from Gameweek 36+. Any transfers before Gameweek 37+ won’t be included so it’s possible that ownership levels could be higher or lower, especially if a player has performed well, or poorly in the recent Gameweek, and of course dependent on upcoming fixtures. But either way, it’s still a good indicator.

Lets take a look at some of the most popular teams first.

FPL Lessons Learned From Gameweek 36+

3,051 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Neo-Viper
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Bench Trent?

    to play Greenwood Jimmy Jesus(c)

    Awb Doherty Tarkowski in defence

    1. Neo-Viper
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Top post no reply.

      How unlucky!!

    2. The Train Driver
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Would bench Awb out of those...

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Same

    3. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No other way to fit him in? Always has a monster haul in him, and it can be the "tougher" fixtures he gets them in

      1. Neo-Viper
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Pope
        Taa Doherty Awb Tarkowski
        KDB Mane Bruno DSilva
        Jesus Jimmy
        Martin Greenwood St. Maximin Simpson

        Currently lined up like this. What do you reckon?

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          6 years, 2 months ago

          I think greenwood gets his rest in the fa cup and starts at home vs West ham but can see West ham scoring so AWB bench and greenwood start for me

  2. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Rice 36
    Deeney 31
    Soucek 30

    Antonio 24

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Small win

  3. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Please tell me Antonio isn’t getting Baps ?

    1. JURGENAUT
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Rice 37
      Deeney 32
      Antonio 30

      1. TheDragon
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        That’s not final

        1. JURGENAUT
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Oh okay sorry, it just updated to that from different figures so I assumed

  4. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Repost,

    Been a busy day,

    Whats the latest news and likely hood of the following playing?

    A. Holgate
    B. Taylor
    C. J Rod

    1. Kno
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      A: out for the season
      B: out for the weekend
      C: should be good for the weekend

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Thank you sir.

        J rod or woods is the question

        1. Saint Tim
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Wood

  5. Cok3y5murf
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Wasted my FH with 71 points when my original team would've scored 63

  6. OverTinker
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Probably the worst week of the season for me. I guess big week for Freehitters

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      This and GW 28.

      1. OverTinker
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I was so near to 3 digit rank for the first time but now back to 3k - still possible but now it needs some miracle.

  7. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    What do you think prices will be for the following next season?

    A. Pope
    B. Ings
    C. Bruno
    D. KDB?

    1. Cok3y5murf
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      5
      8.5
      11
      12

      1. Davido989
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Pope 5.5

        1. Cok3y5murf
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Wouldn't surprise me.

    2. Whiskerz
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Pope and ings a slight increase but they still play for poorer teams.

      Bruno 10m
      KDB 11.5m

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Think KDB more than that.

    3. OverTinker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Bruno 11
      KDB 11.5

  8. langey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Which one for next gameweek?
    a) Pulsic (liv)
    b) Foden (wat)

  9. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Last Man Standing Semi Final Update (7 teams)

    Current safety score with autosubs = 43
    Top score = 84 by Old School
    LMS average = 47.14 (-1.14) = 46.0

    The finalists are known

    Old School - no chips
    Eduardo Cruz - BB left
    Blasting Wand - FH & TC left
    Sweetboi - no chips

    Congrats to the final 4 and commiserations to the 3 knocked semi finalists.

    1. Davido989
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      What are their ORs as a matter of interest?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Before today, 4K, 14K and 2 @ 22K
        Need to use the live rank feature for up to date rank.

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Blasting Wand has the upper hand.

      1. TheDragon
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        I hope that’s not a metaphor

    3. OverTinker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I am finally knocked out - thanks for the game TM!!

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Amazing run by you, good luck in the last 2 GWs. 🙂

  10. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Which transfer would you do as a 1 week punt (FHing in 38)

    Pulisic > Antonio

    or

    Azpilicueta > VVD

    Rest of Team

    Pope Ramsdale

    Boly Egan Fernandez Stevens xxxxxxxx

    KDB Martial Foden Fernandes xxxxxxxx

    Jesus Rashford Ings

    Any ideas would be welcomed

  11. Jet5605
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Any word on Holgate starting this next game (GW37) or will he be out?

  12. RamboRN
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Pope

    Taa Egan Sais
    Kdb sterling mahrez Bruno martial
    Vardy greenwood

    Subs martinez iheanacho kiko killman
    1ft 1.7m itb. Any changes you would do? I'm thinking vardy for someone... possibly aubam or bring in woods for inheanacho and bench greenwood?

  13. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who are the must have players if you free hit next GW?

  14. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Top 10k average: 51.43
    Top 10k FH average: 57.92

    https://www.livefpl.net/top10k

  15. Bob B
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Free hit already used.

    DDG
    TAA Doherty Azpilicueta (Holgate)
    KDB Mahrez Foden Fernandes Martial
    Vardy Jimenez (DCL)

    A. Save FT
    B. Vardy to Aubameyang
    C. DCL to Ings, but move into starting XI for?
    D. Azpilicueta to Tarkowski

  16. JURGENAUT
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Mourinho on Aurier:

    Jose Mourinho has admitted he is unsure at present if Serge Aurier will take part in Tottenham's game against Leicester City on Sunday.
    "Let's see, let's wait."
    "If he comes back tonight to train tomorrow morning he will be, I don't know, he will be available."
    "He did it in very difficult circumstances against Newcastle. Now he goes to France, to see family, comes back."
    "Let's see. It'll be always Serge's decision, it'll be him opening his heart and let us understand his conditions."

    What do you predict from that?

  17. Spartac Mac
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Is Tarkowski a much better choice than the other Burnley defenders?

    Debating a -4 to have team set for
    GW38, or no hit and settle for Long / Bardsley

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      You just know Long will score the header tomorrow...

    2. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Tark over long not worth a -4

  18. Mr. Mystic
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Dunk or Bardsley/Pieters for next GW?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Latter

    2. Planet_Marss
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      i actually think its a tough one this

      1. Planet_Marss
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        i would say 50/50. dunk has a higher ceiling. better bookie odds for a cleansheet and a lot more likely for an attacking return.

        1. Mr. Mystic
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Thanks mate, also on the basis I already have Pope in goal. I think Dunk it is!

  19. stefanbkanev
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    I need advise guys.... I`m around 16k aiming for top10k and left with TC only.

    Martinez/3.9

    TAA/AWB/Saiss/Aurier/3.9

    Wilian/Puli/KDB/Martial/Bruno

    Vardy/Ings/Nketiah

    2 FT and 4.9 ITB

    My team looks so bad this week Wilian and Puli away vs pool, KDB high risk of rotation again.... Vardy away vs TOT..... Any suggestions? Maybe TC Martial/Bruno or wait for last week?

    1. JURGENAUT
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I wouldn't say Vardy is a bad choice... he hit the post, could easily have added a couple of more assists. Tottenham will need to win too, so the game shouldn't be a borefest in my opinion. Regarding Aurier, see my post above? See what you think from Mourinho's comments, I need opinions on that too. Liverpool look leaky, I'd imagine if there's a best time to play them, this would be it. The players you have are going to be in many people's teams in and around your OR so I don't think I'd be too worried personally. But this is just my rookie opinion, I'm new here.

  20. Saka Punch
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Who would you start?

    A) Pulisic (liv)

    B) Greenwood (WHU)

    Thanks

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Greenwood

  21. LewanGOALski
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Vardy ➡ Auba - Yay or Nay?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Nay

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Nay because spurs can't defend, and also mainly because I think mourinho being as sly as he is would prefer Leicester get top 4 over utd or Chelsea as they are his main rivals. It wouldn't surprise me if I saw random rotation

    2. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I would

    3. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      For Free Yay for a hit no

    4. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Nay

    5. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      It’s the move I’m doing. Captain him in 38 as well. Will be a big points swing for you as he’s not massively owned considering his ability to score for fun

  22. @persecuted_by_mods
    6 years, 2 months ago

    If I get Wood in for DCL that means benching Puli or Greenwood. Is it worth it?

    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Yes. Bench Greenwood

    2. The Train Driver
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      No, save 2ft for gw38

      1. Mighty Banana
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Save those 2 fs and hope for early team news...

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Cheers guys

          Should have given context, 30ish points behind rival who has wildcarded and copied my team thus wood would be a differential

          1. @persecuted_by_mods
            6 years, 2 months ago

            Not keep on captain differential when Bruno is likely gonna be in the points

  23. Assisting the assister
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Giroud and Mahrez > Wood and Dilva?

    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Nice

  24. Mr. Mystic
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Best sub 5m defender to bring in for Lascelles just for next GW?

    Dunk, Pieters, Saiss?
    (Already have Pope & Doherty)

    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Boly. Double Wolves. Go for it!

  25. PepSala
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Start Vardy or Greenwood?

    OR

    Vardy to Jesus(c) for a hit

    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Start vardy

  26. Saint Tim
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Had 2 FTs. Just done Pulisic and Greenwood to Martial and Wood to leave me with:
    Pope
    Laporte, Doherty, Boly
    Bruno (C), Martial (VC), KDB, Mane
    Jimi, Rash, Wood
    Bench: Martin, Foden, Azpi, Reid
    £0.5m ITB. FH GW38+. G2G? TIA

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      As a saints fan does Ings start this week?

      Team looks great. That’s a stacked bench too.

      1. Saint Tim
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Absolutely. Ings is fit => he starts. Look at Ralph’s comments too. Confirms as much. He’s gonna score six and jump to the top of the golden boot league. But I never get Saints players in FPL - i end up cursing them!!

        1. TheDragon
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Thank you 🙂

    2. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      excellent team mate!

  27. The Train Driver
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Phew, after leaving Antonio out and him scoring in the 6th minute I thought that decision would hurt much more than it did in the end. No bonus either, nice!

  28. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    RINSEBOY1 min ago

    Do I need more city this week or not worth the hassle? One FT. 2.2 ITB
    A - Pullisic to Dilva
    B - Pullisic to Mahrez
    C - Salah to Sterling
    D - Salah to KDB
    E - Wait till 38

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Aurier Fernandez
    Salah Martial Bruno Foden Pullisic
    Vardy Jesus Greenwood

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I’m considering B or E. Same boat really. I’m not needing to play pulisic so I’m maybe swaying towards e

  29. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Gonna take a -4 but for which one

    A) PVA out for Dunk
    B) PVA our for Tark
    C) Pulisic out for David Silva

    My defence is currently VVD and Justin but then I have Azpi, PVA and Dawson. Azpi I plan on playing on the final week.

    I have Jesus and foden for coverage for city currently

    Thanks

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 2 months ago

      I'd just play azpi

  30. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 2 months ago

    Watford at 6/5 to get relegated, £100 on that

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 2 months ago

      Who do u think will overtake them?

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Bournemouth

      2. @persecuted_by_mods
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Bournemouth may just squeak it

      3. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 2 months ago

        Goal difference the likely factor.

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 13 Years
          6 years, 2 months ago

          Yep