Metrics
18 July 2020 2444 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
Share:

Just under a third of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10k are preparing to use their Free Hit chip on the final day of the season.

With 2.6% of them deploying it for Gameweek 37+, that brings the total usage of that chip at this level to 68.9% with one round left to go.

That means 31.1% are saving the Free Hit for Gameweek 38+, a sizeable number and certainly enough for significant change to take place in the top 10k on the final day of the campaign.

Meanwhile, an additional 2.2% of managers at this level will be lining up with a completely brand new squad on Sunday, considering that’s how many of them are yet to play their second Wildcard.

As well as a large number of top 10k line-ups expected to fluctuate between the final two Gameweeks of the season, there will be a noteworthy number of Triple Captains in play.

2.5% of them used the enhanced armband for Gameweek 37+, bringing the total for the season to 91.7%. Therefore, 830 managers from the top 10k are likely to be heading into the final day of the campaign with their skipper armed with a Triple Captain chip.

What all of those numbers boil down to is that 54.3% of top 10k managers have no exhausted their chip supply for the 2019/20 season.

It means that 45.7% of them will have the ability to deploy one on the final day of the season.

As already mentioned, this is a significant portion of the top 10k managers, which could lead to plenty of rank changes in the upper echelon.

Bringing things back to Gameweek 37+, it is the Manchester United attack that will determine the narrative of this season’s penultimate round of action.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.1m) has amassed the highest level of support ahead of West Ham’s visit to Old Trafford, 35.8% of the top 10k managers handing him the armband.

The Portuguese international has now broken the 100-points mark after just 12 games in a Manchester United shirt, which is probably why the top 10k see him as the more reliable option.

However, those who have backed Anthony Martial (£8.5m) can feel relatively secure going into Gameweek 37+ too. The Frenchman has delivered in every home match since the Premier League restart, averaging 16 points per game in that time. The fact that just over 30% of the top 10k made the same decision to captain him, they are somewhat protected in that respect too.

Fernandes and Martial are the only two players to boast more than 100% effective ownership at this level for Gameweek 37+, on 131.9% and 100.8% respectively.

Despite proving unfortunate to blank in his last two outings, Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) has only convinced 7.6% of the top 10k to back him for the captaincy.

However, those who felt confident enough to do so will probably enjoy how few managers handed Salah the armband. Considering how poor Chelsea’s defence has looked on the eye recently, there does appear to be an opportunity for the Egyptian’s backers to make up real ground if he delivers the big haul he has been promising in recent weeks.

Martial’s increasing popularity in the top 10k can be spotted by his showing in the Free Hit squads at this level.

The Frenchman was chosen by 95.1% of such managers, more than Fernandes (91.3%) and more than any other player in any other position.

The Free Hitters were big fans of Manchester United, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m) and Marcus Rashford (£8.9m) both making it into this matrix of most popular assets chosen on them.

They were clearly put off by Manchester City’s awkward FA Cup schedule though. Despite a favourable trip to Watford, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) is the only Citizen to be given serious consideration by the top 10k Free Hitters this week.

Gabriel Jesus (£9.8m) has suffered a similar fate in the overall ownership at this level.

He was the third-most-popular forward in the top 10k for Gameweek 36+ but has dropped out after the latest deadline.

Replacing him in the template is Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m). The Wolves forward netted against Burnley and faces a Crystal Palace defence that has conceded 15 goals since the Premier League returned.

Outside of that switch, there has not been a tremendous amount of fluctuation in the template between the two most recent Gameweeks, perhaps suggesting that some top 10k managers are holding a free transfer ahead of the final round of the season.

In midfield, Christian Pulisic (£7.4m) has dropped from 50.5% to 32.9% ownership at this level, leapfrogged by Salah, although the Egyptian only rose from 43.12% ownership to 43.2%.

The only other relatively major change is in defence, where Serge Aurier (£5.1m) has replaced Wan-Bissaka in the top-five, the right-back perhaps suffering as managers try to realign how they are tripled-up on Manchester United assets.

Stats taken from LiveFPL.net

2,444 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. DAZZ
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    So considering the position they all play, Auba should be classified as a Midfielder next season if Salah and Mane are. Or Salah and Mane classified as strikers. Only fair. They all play out wide

    1. Isco Disco
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      THIS!
      Next season he should be classified as a Mid since Laca and Nketiah are their strikers

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It's a tricky one. Greenwood and Rashford mids also?

      1. Greek Freak
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Auba has played the entire season on the left so he should absolutely be a mid if guys like Sterling, Salah and Mane are mids.

        I don't know if Rashford and Greenwood have played enough time as the central striker to warrant staying as forwards.

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Should all be strikers if we are being honest

      1. Greek Freak
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I 100% agree with this. There are enough 'proper' mids like KDB and Bruno and would make the game more balanced.

      2. Says
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        a dedicated positions for wingers would perhaps be better

    4. DAZZ
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think its tricky. If we’re calling all front 3 strikers, then the likes of Willian and Pulisic who play in a 3 are up for debate, i dont know how to differentiate them all. Its tough

      1. LE CHARO
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        It would depend on their role on the pitch. Not all front 3 would automatically be strikers, those who are mostly staying near the line to create chances and whose primary role is not to score like Mahrez or Willian are mids, but players like Sterling, Salah, Mané, Pulisic etc who are often the most advanced on the pitch, should all be labelled strikers.

    5. El Lobito 10
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No. Salah and Mane should be forwards. Ridiculous they aren't. If we actually consider them as midfielders it seems frankly stupid

    6. DontPiqueTooSoon
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      FPL should be consistent so Rash, Auba midfielders but in reality they are all strikers

    7. One More Hit
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It'd just lead to everyone playing 4-5-1 though? There's almost a need for some level of mis-classification just to keep the game working. They'll have to review some stuff though, if this five subs thing carries on, the 60 minute marker for 2 appearance points is a lottery

  2. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pep contemplating 6 changes vs Watford then?

    1. Sargasso C
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nope. This is a great result for fantasy managers

  3. Niho992
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Kyle Walker is average at his best.

  4. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I cant see Pep not starting his first 11 next game after this loss. He will be pissed off and want his team to regain confidence before Madrid

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Best way to regain confidence is to smash some teams 5-0+ (and keep the CS).

  5. Fred54
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pep is so smart, made sure this didn't go to extra time.

  6. Bobby Digital
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Can't be fussed to start making my FHTeam tonight. Anyone else feel the same?

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Gonna have to unless you want to pay 7.0 for Pieters.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hahaha 🙂

      2. Bobby Digital
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Only player in my defense I can take out without losing money is Tarko and he's close to a rise himself.

  7. EmreCan Hustle
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arteta using Pep's tactics against him. Trying to stop the flow of the game.

  8. JohnnyCroat
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Basically a full game for Dilva, that's him rested until GW38

  9. Champions united
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sell taa to free up funds
    On fh

  10. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    2FTs and TC in gw38. Vardy and Pulisic probable fall guys.
    Other notables in squad: Salah, KDB, Bruno, Greenwood, Jim

    1) Vardy, Pulisic > Jesus, Antonio
    2) [same] + Doh > Ings, Sterling, 3.9 (-4)
    3) [same] + DougLuiz > Jesus, Dilva, Guendouzi (-4)
    4) [same] + Trent > Auba, Dilva, Tark (-4)

  11. el polako
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    As an Auba owner I'm not sure how I feel about this... ?

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      You've missed his easier game 🙁

      1. el polako
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Who would have thought eh ?

    2. FPL Pillars
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He is nick knackered From all the defending but he’s had a rest last league game so should be fine

      1. el polako
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        As long as he is not rested in next one.

    3. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Great sign! Imagine what he’ll do to Villa!

      1. el polako
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Even without captaincy great differential in my ML

    4. Karhumies
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Same here. Might end up being weak BB this GW.

  12. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arteta's boys bringing out all the dark arts that Pep taught him.

    Beautiful.

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The apprentice beating the master.

      Always a great narrative.

      1. Rainer
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        He's brilliant, as is his master.

  13. Syd.
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arteta doing a fantastic job

    Makes you wonder why they didn't appoint him when the give Unai Emery the job

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      They were waiting for Arteta to learn more of Pep's tactics and secrets?

  14. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Aubameyang is one of those players who consistently outperforms his xG by a huge margin.

    His xG is lower than Neal friggin Maupay's, yet has twice as many goals.

    Quality finisher.

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not in previous seasons actually...

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Maybe he's just been lucky this season...

    2. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Very clinical. Surprised he didn't finish the first (easier) chance then followed up with a very difficult finish.

    3. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Where are you getting that from? Per Understat I have:

      Auba - xG:14.9 aG: 20
      Maupay - xG: 13.3 aG: 10

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        FFS Members

        OPTA I think.

        1. Rotation's Alter Ego
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Yep Opta - understat use a different method for calculating xG hence the difference

          Maupay and Auba absolute polar opposites.

  15. El Lobito 10
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Auba captain in fantasy. Cue 4 pointer! 😀

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sorry buddy

  16. Shark Team
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    No more Pep rotation I think... He has to find the best starting lineup for the ucl

  17. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arteta gets full credit here for putting up a positive attacking line up and hitting City where they are most vulnerable.

    Making of a top top manager.

  18. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Decent Week for Arsenal

    Spurs - Lose
    Liverpool - Win
    Man City - Win

    2 out of 3 ain't bad as they say

  19. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Didn’t know Jesus was still playing

  20. Salalalalah
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Jesus still playing, can't tell

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It's a miracle.

      1. Salalalalah
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        For a main striker to be invisible in a team that has been in full mode attack this half, is a miracle indeed ....

  21. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    How are peoples draft FH teams looking?

    What’s the template defence?

    So hard to pick attackers between Auba, Kane, Salah, Sterling, KDB, DSilva, Jesus, Martial, Fernandes, Son

  22. Crouching Tiger
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hopefully both Sterling & KDB are benched for Tuesday.. that would make sense for Pep.. have all boys fresh for PL last game, also home game. Silva hat trick.. 🙂

  23. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Based on tonight do Mahrez and Foden start v Watford ??

    1. Syd.
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lucky dip ain't it

    2. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Who the Pep knows.

    3. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Couldn't care less, nothing you can do now.

    4. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That's the logial thinking so both will be benched

    5. Crouching Tiger
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Most likely, we'll see.

  24. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez should start against watford, right?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yup

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Probably, but not sure Pep is one for logic tbh

    3. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hooked in the biggest game of the season after doing nothing for an hour, wouldn't be so sure.

    4. JohnnyCroat
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I hope so. I imagine, given the huge break... "huge" until 38+, that it'll be Sterling, KdB, Mahrez, Bilva, Foden, Rodri starting? Then the optimal XI for 38.

    5. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Depending on how angry Pep is?

  25. Debauchy
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    WP Boys ..

    1. Davido989
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Congrats. Go and win the thing now!

      1. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Ha , yeah hope so , would be a good kickstart for the new season

      2. Amey
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        😀

    2. Syd.
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Very well played

      They have been immense and have got the tactics spot on

      1. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I thought you guys were a touch off but 90 min with no blunders from Arsenal was a joy to behold

        1. Syd.
          • 17 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I thought it was more a case that Arsenal just didn't let City have any space and every Arsenal player stuck to the script and when you gave a player of Aubas class a sniff he will punish you.

    3. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Congrats mate. Well deserved

      1. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers HY

    4. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Well done Debauchy,hope to be seeing ye in the final. 🙂

      1. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers fella ,yeah ..

  26. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Foden to start or be benched then vs. Watford?

  27. Thomas Shelby from Birmingh…
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Want City to take out all their frustration on Watford this week and score a lot of goals

  28. lilmessipran
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    For someone not watching the match telecast, Bemba's comments here serve as hilarious commentary.. Thanks Bemba, never stop!

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      OMG a fan.

  29. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arsenal's Arteta 😎

    Better win it now 😉

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Will be Arsenal - Chelsea final

      1. Rainer
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Not the worst. Your boys are looking like they care again, for the first time in years.

        1. Qaiss
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          It's so refreshing. Just need to give Auba what he wants and add depth.