Metrics
18 July 2020 2444 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Just under a third of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10k are preparing to use their Free Hit chip on the final day of the season.

With 2.6% of them deploying it for Gameweek 37+, that brings the total usage of that chip at this level to 68.9% with one round left to go.

That means 31.1% are saving the Free Hit for Gameweek 38+, a sizeable number and certainly enough for significant change to take place in the top 10k on the final day of the campaign.

Meanwhile, an additional 2.2% of managers at this level will be lining up with a completely brand new squad on Sunday, considering that’s how many of them are yet to play their second Wildcard.

As well as a large number of top 10k line-ups expected to fluctuate between the final two Gameweeks of the season, there will be a noteworthy number of Triple Captains in play.

2.5% of them used the enhanced armband for Gameweek 37+, bringing the total for the season to 91.7%. Therefore, 830 managers from the top 10k are likely to be heading into the final day of the campaign with their skipper armed with a Triple Captain chip.

What all of those numbers boil down to is that 54.3% of top 10k managers have no exhausted their chip supply for the 2019/20 season.

It means that 45.7% of them will have the ability to deploy one on the final day of the season.

As already mentioned, this is a significant portion of the top 10k managers, which could lead to plenty of rank changes in the upper echelon.

Bringing things back to Gameweek 37+, it is the Manchester United attack that will determine the narrative of this season’s penultimate round of action.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.1m) has amassed the highest level of support ahead of West Ham’s visit to Old Trafford, 35.8% of the top 10k managers handing him the armband.

The Portuguese international has now broken the 100-points mark after just 12 games in a Manchester United shirt, which is probably why the top 10k see him as the more reliable option.

However, those who have backed Anthony Martial (£8.5m) can feel relatively secure going into Gameweek 37+ too. The Frenchman has delivered in every home match since the Premier League restart, averaging 16 points per game in that time. The fact that just over 30% of the top 10k made the same decision to captain him, they are somewhat protected in that respect too.

Fernandes and Martial are the only two players to boast more than 100% effective ownership at this level for Gameweek 37+, on 131.9% and 100.8% respectively.

Despite proving unfortunate to blank in his last two outings, Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) has only convinced 7.6% of the top 10k to back him for the captaincy.

However, those who felt confident enough to do so will probably enjoy how few managers handed Salah the armband. Considering how poor Chelsea’s defence has looked on the eye recently, there does appear to be an opportunity for the Egyptian’s backers to make up real ground if he delivers the big haul he has been promising in recent weeks.

Martial’s increasing popularity in the top 10k can be spotted by his showing in the Free Hit squads at this level.

The Frenchman was chosen by 95.1% of such managers, more than Fernandes (91.3%) and more than any other player in any other position.

The Free Hitters were big fans of Manchester United, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m) and Marcus Rashford (£8.9m) both making it into this matrix of most popular assets chosen on them.

They were clearly put off by Manchester City’s awkward FA Cup schedule though. Despite a favourable trip to Watford, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) is the only Citizen to be given serious consideration by the top 10k Free Hitters this week.

Gabriel Jesus (£9.8m) has suffered a similar fate in the overall ownership at this level.

He was the third-most-popular forward in the top 10k for Gameweek 36+ but has dropped out after the latest deadline.

Replacing him in the template is Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m). The Wolves forward netted against Burnley and faces a Crystal Palace defence that has conceded 15 goals since the Premier League returned.

Outside of that switch, there has not been a tremendous amount of fluctuation in the template between the two most recent Gameweeks, perhaps suggesting that some top 10k managers are holding a free transfer ahead of the final round of the season.

In midfield, Christian Pulisic (£7.4m) has dropped from 50.5% to 32.9% ownership at this level, leapfrogged by Salah, although the Egyptian only rose from 43.12% ownership to 43.2%.

The only other relatively major change is in defence, where Serge Aurier (£5.1m) has replaced Wan-Bissaka in the top-five, the right-back perhaps suffering as managers try to realign how they are tripled-up on Manchester United assets.

Stats taken from LiveFPL.net

2,444 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Boomerang V
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I am happy I got Wood and Long for -4. I am 9 points up in the deal.

    But to think I was so close from getting Pieters instead of long is just cruel.

    1. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It happens, thin line.

    2. Aztec Kamara
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I hear you. All week I was bringing Pieters in then for some reason bottled it on the double up and got Egan instead. Arse.

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Which 2 players would have played instead?

    4. Ginkapo FPL
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Who did you sell?

    5. suddenorgan
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      you got rid of Greenwood and Alonso, how do you know you're 9 points up

      1. Ginkapo FPL
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        haha, so a mistake then

        1. Boomerang V
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah probably

    6. FanDoc
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Almost took a -4 to get Wood in. Decided to take a -4 hit instead on Pulisic > Martial and Maguire > Pieters
      Pieters 12 points was unexpected especially since I avoid taking hits on defenders.
      Sometimes it pays to go with your gut feeling.

    7. Boomerang V
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I sold Alonso and Greenwood. I have have cash to do Foden to Antonio in 38+

  2. SoapAFC
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    pretty proud of my triple Burnley defence for this GW, already had pope, and did my two transfers of Burr and Saiss to Bardsley and Tarkowski, playing BB to get all points, 20 from the 3 of them!

    1. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nice... hope you get 100 plus...

    2. Aztec Kamara
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nicely done! He who dares Rodney, he who dares.

      1. SoapAFC
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers lads, felt like a plum fixture with Norwich already gone

    3. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nice one!

    4. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Surely Saïss has a good chance of a CS this week??

    5. Fabtastic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I did the exact same move SOAPAFC, high five! I also already had Pope, but wanted to bench boost with triple Burnley defense, knowing that if it failed, at least the backstop was a home game against Brighton in Gwk38+.

      Taylor > Bardsley and Wan-B > Pieters so that I could facilitate Pulisic > Martial as my third United player. -8 hit but has come off nicely so far with Pieters and Bardsley. Now just need McCarthy, Saiss and Nketiah to also contribute on the bench boost. Another reason I went with the bench boost this week rather than the final week was that Wolves were away to Chelsea on the final day and Nketiah should hopefully start in midweek having now served his ban. Fingers crossed

  3. pundit of punts
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who’s your captain?

    Ings captain here

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martial

    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Fernandes

    3. Avery
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martial

  4. LABILLEPOGBATHEGOAT
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    who would you guys have capatained this week, bruno or martial.?

  5. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Got Dilva a week too early 🙁

    No chance he starts vs watford now is there?

    Hopefully doesnt come on either... dangerous calver lewin waiting to come on

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      You got his points last week - how too early?

  6. FPL Daniel
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Officially scared after reading this article. Inside top 10K without chips

    1. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      #Humble_brag

    2. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah, 22nd without chips. Will probably fall out of top 100

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        We need to get the captain right

        1. Woy_is_back
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I think I will go with Dilva. Last game for him, His teammates will want him to score

      2. Sasquatch Slayer
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Fantastic rank . Well done

        1. Woy_is_back
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Thanks, hopefully better next year 🙂

      3. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hang in there!

        1. azahr007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          What an awesome player you are. Three top 10k Finishes in a row and now 28. You should start your own YouTube channel you have better credentials than other YouTubers

  7. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    ML Rival with Pope and Tarkowski vs my Pieters so jammy

  8. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Announce Chucky Pro Pundit!

    1. Chucky
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Pro sinbin* 😛

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Chucky in heaven juhuuuu

        1. Chucky
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Juhu Danny 😀

  9. tucaoneo
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I find it hard to make a FH move on midfielders. Only bought Silva so far. I have money tied in the other four and they are all good options... Would you sell any of them for Antonio for example?
    Silva KDB Sterling Martial Fernandes

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Team/player value isn't important - it's all about points.

  10. yer old da
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Lascelles to Pieters this week, doubled up with Pope. Love it!

    1. Amey
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Awesome

  11. Whits
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to TC GW 38?

    A. KDB
    B. Foden
    C. D. Silva
    D. Kane
    E. TAA

    1. Puncheon Guly
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A or D

  12. Puncheon Guly
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    That city team is bad news for David Silva owners

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hoping for a full no show now.

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        He will come at 85th for KDB imo

    2. OverTinker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      hopefully he will come for last 20 minutes for 1 pointer

      1. Tempestic
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        This

        1. Tempestic
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          My mini league rival has saka first sub and I can already see a Dilva no show and Saka coming off the bench with 10

          1. OverTinker
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            GL but the chances are that he might not come for a cameo I guess

    3. Lilac Breasted Roller
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Good for GW38

      1. Avery
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Worth bringing in Dsilva for GW 38?

  13. sunzip14
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who wins?

    A) Basham, Sterling, Son, Ings (Captain Rashford, both have)
    B) Pieters (12), Foden, Pulisic, Kane (Captain Kane, only one has)

  14. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Dropped 31 spots because I have only Pope. LOL

  15. Jet5605
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Relieved Tark owner. Was more confident about next week's home game to Brighton and happy to come out with 6 points

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      For real? Was expecting a goal

      1. Jet5605
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Still time for that next week. Good way to round off the season

  16. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Knew I should have done TAA + Willian > Bardsley + Salah(C) -4

    Inevitable Salah haul coming whilst my captain Rashford fails

    1. ZeBestee
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Wait til the game is played, early pessimism doesnt help.

      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hit already repaid with Bardsley is why I’m pessimistic basically

  17. merin
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What MUN players are you having for your FH in GW38+?

    1. Amey
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Tony Martial

      1. merin
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        So just 1?

        1. Amey
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Yes

    2. Jack Burton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Got Rash Bruno and Martial gonna keep them all I think

  18. Amey
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Get Son Jesus Peiters guys !!
    Going up in price 😉

    1. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Got 3 City already with Silva in. Silva is also rising.

      1. Amey
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks for Silva call

        1. tucaoneo
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Actually I was wrong Silva is about 50% atm.

          1. Amey
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Ha ha
            Just saw that 😀

  19. Firmino
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Long was such a horrible pick.....

    1. Sasquatch Slayer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Clean sheet points . How dare he !

    2. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The fullbacks wouldn’t have been half as involved without the reds.

    3. JJO
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not as bad as Tarko

  20. ritzyd
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else tempted to roll out Auba and Kane on FH for 38?

    1. Sasquatch Slayer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If you’re chasing

    2. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      At least 1, maybe two, Salah dependent...

  21. Salarrivederci
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Where can I check my rank as it stands with the Burnley points added?

    1. OverTinker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      livefpl .net

    2. Jack Burton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      fpl live

    3. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Livefpl

    4. Salarrivederci
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      thanks all 😉 !

  22. KadMan
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What we saying on Aurier and Charlie Taylor's chances of starting in GW 38+?

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Aurier should start and could haul

  23. Surfeit of Lampteys
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Fella on the radio said it was McNeil with the cross for Godfrey og so what a pleasant surprise when I log in to check bonus and it was actually Pieters 🙂

  24. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    3 city a must for fh38? there are so many nice options cant fit them all 🙂

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KDB, Dilva and Mendy(if starts)

  25. Bouncebackability
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    6 points for a moron kicking it in to his own goal, under absolutely no pressure. Righto.

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hmm can taste the salt from here

  26. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Silly question. If I play the free hit chip tonight, I can make unlimited transfers until next sunday?

    1. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. WOLVERiNES
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      yes

    3. KadMan
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes but wouldn't expect this from a 10y member

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Lol

      2. George Agdgdgwngo
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah I know. Just starting to doubt myself!

  27. Jet5605
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Have a feeling Son will destroy Palace next Sunday. Many will be distracted by City assets

  28. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Key decisions for FH GW38:

    Salah v/s Mane
    Kane v/s Auba
    Sterling v/s KdB
    Pulisic v/s Antonio

    The only players I am certain of is Jesus and maybe Ings

    1. Old Gregg
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martial v Bruno

  29. Right In The Stanchion
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arsenal win today lads. Get the tissues ready

  30. Salarrivederci
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which 3 defenders to join 'the amazing 7' up front for GW38?

    Martinez
    X - X - X
    Sterling - KDB - Dilva - Fernandes - Martial
    Rashford - Ings

    A: Doherty
    B: Azpilicueta
    C: Aurier
    D: Pieters
    E: Bardsley

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Too much Man U imo

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Nah I trust them to whoop Leicester like Bournemouth did