Metrics
18 July 2020 2444 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Just under a third of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10k are preparing to use their Free Hit chip on the final day of the season.

With 2.6% of them deploying it for Gameweek 37+, that brings the total usage of that chip at this level to 68.9% with one round left to go.

That means 31.1% are saving the Free Hit for Gameweek 38+, a sizeable number and certainly enough for significant change to take place in the top 10k on the final day of the campaign.

Meanwhile, an additional 2.2% of managers at this level will be lining up with a completely brand new squad on Sunday, considering that’s how many of them are yet to play their second Wildcard.

As well as a large number of top 10k line-ups expected to fluctuate between the final two Gameweeks of the season, there will be a noteworthy number of Triple Captains in play.

2.5% of them used the enhanced armband for Gameweek 37+, bringing the total for the season to 91.7%. Therefore, 830 managers from the top 10k are likely to be heading into the final day of the campaign with their skipper armed with a Triple Captain chip.

What all of those numbers boil down to is that 54.3% of top 10k managers have no exhausted their chip supply for the 2019/20 season.

It means that 45.7% of them will have the ability to deploy one on the final day of the season.

As already mentioned, this is a significant portion of the top 10k managers, which could lead to plenty of rank changes in the upper echelon.

Bringing things back to Gameweek 37+, it is the Manchester United attack that will determine the narrative of this season’s penultimate round of action.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.1m) has amassed the highest level of support ahead of West Ham’s visit to Old Trafford, 35.8% of the top 10k managers handing him the armband.

The Portuguese international has now broken the 100-points mark after just 12 games in a Manchester United shirt, which is probably why the top 10k see him as the more reliable option.

However, those who have backed Anthony Martial (£8.5m) can feel relatively secure going into Gameweek 37+ too. The Frenchman has delivered in every home match since the Premier League restart, averaging 16 points per game in that time. The fact that just over 30% of the top 10k made the same decision to captain him, they are somewhat protected in that respect too.

Fernandes and Martial are the only two players to boast more than 100% effective ownership at this level for Gameweek 37+, on 131.9% and 100.8% respectively.

Despite proving unfortunate to blank in his last two outings, Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) has only convinced 7.6% of the top 10k to back him for the captaincy.

However, those who felt confident enough to do so will probably enjoy how few managers handed Salah the armband. Considering how poor Chelsea’s defence has looked on the eye recently, there does appear to be an opportunity for the Egyptian’s backers to make up real ground if he delivers the big haul he has been promising in recent weeks.

Martial’s increasing popularity in the top 10k can be spotted by his showing in the Free Hit squads at this level.

The Frenchman was chosen by 95.1% of such managers, more than Fernandes (91.3%) and more than any other player in any other position.

The Free Hitters were big fans of Manchester United, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m) and Marcus Rashford (£8.9m) both making it into this matrix of most popular assets chosen on them.

They were clearly put off by Manchester City’s awkward FA Cup schedule though. Despite a favourable trip to Watford, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) is the only Citizen to be given serious consideration by the top 10k Free Hitters this week.

Gabriel Jesus (£9.8m) has suffered a similar fate in the overall ownership at this level.

He was the third-most-popular forward in the top 10k for Gameweek 36+ but has dropped out after the latest deadline.

Replacing him in the template is Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m). The Wolves forward netted against Burnley and faces a Crystal Palace defence that has conceded 15 goals since the Premier League returned.

Outside of that switch, there has not been a tremendous amount of fluctuation in the template between the two most recent Gameweeks, perhaps suggesting that some top 10k managers are holding a free transfer ahead of the final round of the season.

In midfield, Christian Pulisic (£7.4m) has dropped from 50.5% to 32.9% ownership at this level, leapfrogged by Salah, although the Egyptian only rose from 43.12% ownership to 43.2%.

The only other relatively major change is in defence, where Serge Aurier (£5.1m) has replaced Wan-Bissaka in the top-five, the right-back perhaps suffering as managers try to realign how they are tripled-up on Manchester United assets.

Stats taken from LiveFPL.net

2,444 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    These Sterling misses. Why didn't he do this against Brighton!

  2. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is KDB playing defensive midfielder?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Much more attacking second half

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Statement or hope?

    2. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Tell Pep he is, Pep will sleep well.

    3. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He always does when Silva plays

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        this

  3. Party time
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling is just a poor man’s Nathan Dyer

    1. Davido989
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Rich man's Wayne Routledge.

  4. Davido989
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    If Arteta is going to stick with this long-term, Adama Traore would be a fantastic fit.

    1. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Stop insulting Adama!

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Saint-Maximin, Traore, Ings. A non-top 6 front three.

      1. Rainer
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Auba has to start in a non-top 6 front 3.

        1. Davido989
          • 16 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Son too. 😉

        2. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Auba 31 though.

          1. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            He is still young though

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Compare Rooney and Vardy for example...

  5. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Will De Bruyne play against Watford. I got rid for Martial.

    1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nothing we can do now

  6. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arsenal need to get out.

    Wont get as lucky as they did vs Liverpool just trying to hold on.

  7. 272MK
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    If this keeps up surely it'll be KDB Sterling 90mins (maybe 120)

    1. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yup!

      1. 272MK
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Foden will come on for Mahrez

        Bilva will come on for Dilva

        Rodri come on for Gundo

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah hope it goes all the way to pens.

    3. Isco Disco
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Just what I want to happen.
      Rival has Sterling(C) so that would be lovely to chase my 45 pt gap.
      Want KDB and Sterling to be benched

  8. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Kdb passing has been poor today

  9. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pulisic, Dilva or Antonio for 38?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Dilva atm.

    2. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      On Dilva but considering a sneaky hit for Antonio from United mid. May go for it if Villa are down by 38

  10. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling to Mane vs NEW injury ridden defence looking better than having Sterling at this point.

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      At this point or the next 2 games?

  11. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Just threw this together for 38+ FH during half time. How’s it look? Plenty cash left to do upgrades.

    Martinez
    TAA, Digne, Pieters
    KDB, Dilva, Sterling, Martial, Antonio
    Auba, Ings

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah or Mané the obvious omission as it stands

    2. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good imho.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks boss. Full week to tinker but gives me a rough outline

        1. Sgt Frank Drebin
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah, a tough choice ahead of us... I wonder if not to pich Fernandes after all as probably he will still be one of the most owned players...

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 10 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah Martial could be Bruno. Would protect me a little more I guess. Thanks

    3. Drexl Spivey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No Bruno?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Martial could be Bruno. Think Martial looks the better pick atm

        1. Drexl Spivey
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Better players to tinker with than the most owned player.

    4. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nice

      A that an auto select of TAA? Prefer Kane to Auba. Think Liverpool mid looks too good to ignore.

      Ditch TAA and turn Martial into Mo

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah that’s a decent option. Thanks for the input matey

    5. Karhumies
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Burnley def double up vs Brighton? Watford and Bournemouth should be fighting against relegation, so I would not count on Arsenal and Everton CS.

  12. Salarrivederci
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Martinez looking great. Leno should sit when fit

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah he looks like a really great goalkeeper. Can see him starting the season as a first choice gk.

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Shame as Leno is a fantastic keeper too. He should move to another PL club to be first choice

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Chelsea perhaps?

  13. Salarrivederci
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Laca looking tired

    1. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Laca sleep. 😛

    2. Davido989
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lacafitness

  14. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on my FH draft? Did I forget anything? Something you would change?
    Pope
    Bardsley - Egan - Aurier
    Salah - Sterling - Silva - Martial - Antonio
    Jesus - Kane

    1. sandman58
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Where's Bruno?

  15. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arsenal the new atletico Madrid

  16. Irish Villan 1985
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Triple Captain for David Silva lads?

    1. sandman58
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He's not exactly prolific

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Last 3 home games tho mate....9, 17, 13

      2. Pep bites Kun
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        🙂 understatement?

  17. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    KDB and Silva FK range

  18. Moderately content penguin
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is TAA going to feature in FH sides?

    33 points from last 9.

    Not a lot of competition for defenders but he’s not exactly on fire.,

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That price... Frees a lot of funds

  19. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I genuinely am considering starting next season Cityless. Surely can have a top team without Pep roulette 🙂

    1. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      We might all have to. United City Chelsea and Wolves mat start the season late

    2. Niho992
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      There wont be Pep roulette for KdB if they stay in battle for tittle.

    3. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KDB will be one of the players i'll build my team around but the rest will probably have to wait.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        KDB will play deep by the looks of things.

    4. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If Messi joined City, do you think Pep would rotate him?

      1. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        at his age, definitely

      2. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Messi won't be joining City.

      3. Tinkermania
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        100%

      4. Superflymonk
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Pep would rotate everyone. I'm surprised Ederson has started so many matches. Bravo injury played a huge part.

    5. Superflymonk
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yep, me too. My season has been singlehandedly ruined by two players Sterling at the start of the season and Aguero from gw23 up to dgw 30 when he got injured. Never again!

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Had Sterling GW1, ditched around GW6. He was woeful.

  20. Niho992
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Dive by Sterling.

  21. BOATIES FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is there anyone in the country other than Southgate and Pickfords mum who still think he is better than Pope. I'm not saying Pickford is league one or something he's obviously OK or he wouldn't be at Everton but Pope just is better.

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Pickford has a bigger price tag.

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Isn’t Henderson better?

    3. sandman58
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Pope by far the best English keeper...

    4. Party time
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Henderson
      Pope
      Ramsdale
      McCarthy
      Pickford

      In that order for me

    5. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Pickfords mom is a pope owner

  22. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling with the pass back

  23. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling ugly dive

  24. Ógie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Not gone on that new Man City strip at all.

    Looks like a broken mirror or something.7 years of bad luck incoming.

    1. Goro Majima
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Fingers crossed.

  25. Digital-Real
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Disgraceful from Sterling with that dive. Supposedly a role model.

    1. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      i think you misheard. He's a 'roll' model

    2. Drexl Spivey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Because we've never seen Premier League players take a dive...

  26. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Rodrigo and foden coming on

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Gundo and mahrez subbed

  27. Niho992
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez was far better than Sterling.

  28. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    As a Mahrez(C) should I be happy he is subbed ?

    1. BOATIES FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  29. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez saved fro Watford hopefully

  30. Salarrivederci
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    My 20 months old son is getting that 'Foden-cut' first thing in the morning. Scissors ready!