Scout Betting
19 September 2020 934 comments
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We’re combining Fantasy football with a flutter as we take a small bet or two on the upcoming Premier League action.

Once again we’re turning to the vast array of player and team statistics available on our site to lay the groundwork for our selections, although we’ll be leaving room for our (ample) gut to inspire a pick.

After an eight-game Blank Gameweek 1, we have a full complement of fixtures to pore over this weekend with both Manchester clubs, Burnley and Aston Villa getting their 2020/21 league campaigns underway.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

But please always remember with gambling: when the fun stops, stop.

BRAZILIAN TO GO NUTS?

Only Mohamed Salah had more attempts on goal than Richarlison in Gameweek 1, with the Brazilian racking up seven attempts – five of them in the box – against Spurs last Sunday.

Further encouragement can perhaps be drawn from the fact that this weekend’s opponents, West Bromwich Albion, allowed Harvey Barnes five efforts on goal in their 3-0 defeat to Leicester City.

The relevance there? Barnes, like Richarlison, occupied a wide-left position on the opening weekend.

The Everton man is 4/1 with bet365 to score first at Goodison Park this weekend and 5/4 to have over 3.5 efforts on goal – that’s half of what he managed in north London.

He is 6/1 to bag a brace, meanwhile.

SLAM DUNK

Lewis Dunk’s horror miss against Chelsea will still be haunting him but it underscored his goal threat from dead-ball situations.

No Premier League centre-half had more efforts on goal than the Brighton stopper last season.

Albion face Newcastle United this weekend, with the Magpies ranked bottom or joint-bottom for chances conceded from set plays in each of the last three seasons – including this embryonic one.

An outside bet he might be, but Dunk is 28/1 to get the first goal on Tyneside on Sunday or 12/1 to score at any time.

Both meetings between these two sides finished 0-0 last season – which brings us to bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer.

If you fancy a 1-0 Brighton or a Newcastle win by the same margin (both 7/1), bet365 will refund your stake if the game finishes goalless.

Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

PAYING (OUT ON) THE PENALTY

Manchester United take on Crystal Palace this weekend, with the Red Devils’ 2020/21 campaign finally getting underway after a delayed start.

The Red Devils were awarded a league-high 14 spot-kicks in the top flight in 2019/20, with a further eight arriving in the cup competitions.

It was a United-Palace one-two for penalty awards in 2018/19, meanwhile, with the Eagles top of the charts in the preceding season as well.

With a number of rapid, foul-drawing wingers and forwards on show at Old Trafford on Saturday, who would bet against another spot-kick award?

It’s 7/4 for any penalty to be given (converted or not) in the United v Palace game on Saturday, with the hosts 4/1 to score one and the Eagles 12/1 to do likewise.

HOME BANKERS?

If some of the punts above seem a bit leftfield, then an accumulator on the four Premier League teams who are at home – and odds-on favourites to win – on Saturday takes us right back into mainstream territory.

Backing Arsenal, Manchester United, Leeds United and Everton all to win returns 3.72/1 with bet365, at the time of writing.


For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org



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934 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Tomerick
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Don’t appreciate these articles at all. I’m here for fantasy football not betting. Sell outs.

    1. GENERATION X
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Perhaps Mark can preamable about it shortly

    2. Pacer.
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It's annoying

      Of greater concern though it that companies whose profits are linked directly to the outcome of football matches have been allowed to gain an enormous foothold in... football

      I mean, it's not rocket science. Premier League is the tip of the iceberg. Imagine what this is doing to the thousands of readily corruptable lower league matches taking place every day

      Not to mention that we are basically just replacing smoking or drinking sponsorship with gambling

      You can't swear on this site, but they can advertise gambling. Just get your head around how bent the money has already made them

      1. Tinker Nat
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Its a free site unless your a member right, I am sure you can put up with a few adverts.

      2. Duffy Dunk
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I totally agree on how betting affects prime sports in a negative way.
        Money talks & matches are being fixed, VAR has gone crazy several times but many seem like not willing to admit it, assuming they are referee errors.

    3. Rogue Todd
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I don't see how it is not against betting regulations that a site can recommend bets where they make money if the bet loses! Very clever for them to put it on a Saturday morning when the pages are flying though.

      1. Ginkapo FPL
        6 years, 1 month ago

        How do they make money if the bet loses?

        1. Rogue Todd
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Bet365 affiliates scheme - 30% of all overall losses for anyone who signs up through link on affiliate website goes to the affiliate.

          1. Tomerick
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Didn’t know that. That makes it even worse. All the while ramping up the push for membership like I’ve never seen before.

  2. Hernanred
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 1 month ago

    CPL will concede more penalties this season. One per season is unsustainable.

    Auba has only scored one goal against WH. Arsenal have scored 11 against WH since he signed.

    Food for thought.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      So Auba (c), Bruno (vc)

      1. Hernanred
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Maybe WH know how to nullify Auba.

        1. KGFC
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Damnit... Ssssshhhhhhhhh

          1. Klopp it
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Just don't be surprised if West ham show up, its a Derby after all, thank alot off people are guna be burnt by Abumayang, maybe I'm wrong

            1. Hernanred
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              6 years, 1 month ago

              It’s not as cut and dried as people are making out. As you say, it’s a derby. WH won one of the games 1-0 last season too.

            2. KGFC
              6 years, 1 month ago

              I don't own Auba and actually hoping (more like praying) for a Hammering for Gunners!!!! 😆

              1. Klopp it
                6 years, 1 month ago

                I don't have him either lol so I'm hoping they get hammered, no pun intended off course lol

        2. Ron_Swanson
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Moyes is a tactical genius...

        3. GENERATION X
          6 years, 1 month ago

          They couldn’t even nulify Hendrick

    2. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah. This Palace have only conceded a few pens argument is meh for me.

      1. Hernanred
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 1 month ago

        It’s nonsense. It’s also making an assumption that all of Bruno’s points are pens. They’re not.

        1. Ginkapo FPL
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Gets appearance points too

  3. Loðbrók
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Wc. Can you please tear my team apart? Already GOT headache days ago..

    0,5itb

    Martinez / Steer
    Digne Lampey Justin / Saiss James
    Auba Sterling Rash Jrod Klich
    Jim DCL / Brewster

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Think it’s G2G lad.

      1. Loðbrók
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks bro. Can switch Rash, DCL and Breester to Bissouma Martial and Richarlison. Toughts?

  4. el polako
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Made a draft that I really like, the only issue is no Werner... not sure how I feel about it he did look very switched on against Brighton.

    1. Eleven Hag
      6 years, 1 month ago

      You can bring him In when everyone is fit for Chelsea and they start firing

      1. el polako
        6 years, 1 month ago

        True, at the moment got Jimenez and Martial up front with two big hitters in midfield too.

        1. Moderately content penguin
          6 years, 1 month ago

          That’s fine

  5. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Should I just hold this week and try to survive the United game?

    Ramsdale
    Taylor - Trent - Lascelles
    Auba - Salah - ASM - Pereira
    Kane - Werner - Mitro

    1. Sanchit
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Manchester United struggled to score goals in their last few fixtures last season.
      I don't think they'll be the free scoring team everyone thinks they will.
      They had a very easy run post lockdown and stats are skewed.

      1. AC Pilkington
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Very true

      2. KGFC
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I think they looked pretty good since Bruno joined and even better when Pogba was back again giving more freedom to the front four. Don't see any reason for United not to continue their form. Plus, Palace conceded many chances to Southampton as well though they didn't take it. Think United will with those players up front. Just my opinion.

  6. Sanchit
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Can we all please come up with a common name for James Rodriguez?
    Some mention James, some Games and some Rodriguez.

    Will have to be creative and JRod has already been taken.

    Suggestions?

    1. Sanchit
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hamez* not Games

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Can he not be Rodríguez and his position or fixture dictate if he is the Everton mid or the Burnley forward?

      1. The 12th Man
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yeh if people look into the context or a question they should be able to tell whether it’s
        James (Chelsea)
        James (Man Utd)
        James or Rodriguez (Everton)
        J. Rodriguez (Burnley)

        1. Sanchit
          6 years, 1 month ago

          All the 'James' in FPL this season.

          Matty James
          Reece James
          Daniel James
          James Maddison
          James Rodriguez
          James Milner
          James Ward-Prowse
          James Tarkowski
          James Justin
          James McArthur
          James Tomkins
          James Mcarthy

          1. Hairy Potter
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Sit down

            1. Rogue Todd
              6 years, 1 month ago

              😀

          2. The 12th Man
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Most of them you would use the surname.

      2. Sanchit
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I wish!

    3. yalala
      6 years, 1 month ago

      World cup golden boot James

    4. Flair
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Call him Rodriguez, it sounds cool

      1. Sanchit
        6 years, 1 month ago

        If the Burnley forward becomes an option it'd be confusing

    5. Zombiesmurffi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think HRod would be awesome

    6. el polako
      6 years, 1 month ago

      mr World Cup wunderkid - bit too long probably.

    7. Christina.
      6 years, 1 month ago

      HRod
      =Hot Rod

    8. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      6 years, 1 month ago

      J’ames

    9. ritzyd
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Jeverod

    10. Yome
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Jamon

    11. Eleven Hag
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Asssissister - assisting the assister

    12. Dank Squid
      6 years, 1 month ago

      We should refer to World Cups - yes, he won the golden boot 2014, but he also delivered vs Poland 2018. Two assists, the second one was "Messi-magic".

    13. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Roddy

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Like it 🙂

        The Colombian Snoddy.

    14. Pacer.
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Rodders Plonker

    15. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Roddy.

    16. KING KOUNDER
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hamas

  7. Jebiga
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any decent wc teams for afternoon? 🙂

    1. Sanchit
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Check 'kings if the week' on the official site.
      Most managers are just trying to fit in whoever scored the most points last week

  8. Eleven Hag
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Shaw or James on WC?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      James for me - haven’t considered Shaw

      1. Eleven Hag
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah James looks to start more games than he did last season

    2. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Shaw

  9. Ginkapo FPL
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Comparing player sale prices without considering the timescale on payment isnt particularly fair. Apples and oranges

  10. Moderately content penguin
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Do people have transfers planned for today to catch inevitable Manchester price rises?

    1. Flair
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Already have Martial and Sterling isn't rising until his brace against Leicester so no

    2. GENERATION X
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not planned but on standby based on United performance. No such luxury with City.

    3. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Auba > KDB

      1. Moderately content penguin
        6 years, 1 month ago

        That’s the one I’m just not sure on - KdB offers better value long term but short term Im not convinced on output.

    4. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Good chance they’ll be zero’d and hopefully no rush tonight (barring a Tony-Rash-Bruno-Greenwood mega haul)

      1. Moderately content penguin
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Have a potential Vardy Ings to Martial Werner if United look brilliant. Much prefer to hold the swap though.

  11. ☈☾
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Charlie Taylor a better option than Justin?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No, did he start in midweek?

      1. ☈☾
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yes but that's probably cause he had no pre season

        Gudmundson out as well so Pieters may play Mid

    2. No imo

    3. Kudo Warrior
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Long term, yes.

    4. Hughes Your Daddy
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Staying Justin, but Taylor is on my radar.

    5. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If you have Justin no reason to remove immediately, assuming he keeps his place til Pereira returns. Starting LB could be a worry in that respect with Thomas lurking.

  12. Miguel Sanchez
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Dullest repost ever, which 4.0 GK from:

    A) Peacock-Farrell (Pope’s deputy)
    B) Button (Johnstone’s deputy)

    First keeper is Martinez and also have Grealish so don’t want to lock out on Villa options with Steer in case Watkins become an option

    1. Ginkapo FPL
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The reason you are struggling to decide is because it really doesnt matter

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Every little helps. Button’s kit is pretty garish though.

    2. GENERATION X
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Id guess Button. A few beatings and they may take Johnstone out of the firing line

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Probably Button out the 2.

  13. el polako
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Why would I go Rashford over Bruno ?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      To save 1.0

      1. el polako
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thats one reason.

        Do we think they will share pens again ?

        1. Make United Great Again
          6 years, 1 month ago

          No

        2. Miguel Sanchez
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Prob not

    2. Yome
      6 years, 1 month ago

      To improve my defence. I did Bruno to Rash on WC, I feel great

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Because you want less points? 😉

  14. Bruno Commando
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Help with some tough decisions please?

    1) Sterling
    2) KDB

    &

    A) Bardsley
    B) CTaylor
    C) Pieters

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1A

  15. Scout
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bruno, DCL, shaw and Justin
    Or
    Rashford, Jimi/lacazette, Justin and 4.5 def

  16. Goooo Rickie
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Martial or RASHFORD????

    Rashford as Mid is the factor here.. and no I can't invest the extra, 0.5 to improve my team elsewhere...

    HELP!

    1. Martial imo

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martial great value IMO.

    3. KGFC
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think there is too much emphasis on mids having an extra CS point and a point for goal. It misses the point that forwards have a higher chance to get 3 bonus points for their goals. That's like an extra assist!!

    4. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martial.

    5. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martial scoring more goals. Simple.

  17. Anyone thinking of going Sterling over KDB after Aguero news?

    1. Kudo Warrior
      6 years, 1 month ago

      what aguro news?

      1. Out for 1-2 months according to Pep

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Im going both on WC later today.

      1. Who are you sacrificing?
        Salah? United assets?

        1. Weak Become Heros
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I started without Salah (went Mane) and scared to do it again. So it will be a United asset.

    3. KGFC
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yep and might even go either Jesus or another mid with that.

    4. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Still KDB for me. On penalties with Aguero out and already the biggest influence

    5. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling is more tempting with Kun out, for sure
      But still Kev for me, probz

    6. Hairy Potter
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Was thinking Sterling any way TBH. If I don't WC then Auba to KDB/Sterling will be my move this week. Will see how City look this week.

      If I was bringing in for GW2 then I'd go Sterling.

    7. Dank Squid
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Absolutely. Looking at last season, Raz hauled when Kun didn´t start/feature.

      Sterling struggles in the "Sané 2.0" role, being right-footed - not the case when Kun is missing. The front trio shifts to the right. Sterling on the left side of the box, Jesus on the right side (while the LB provides width and front RW becomes a mid winger).

      1. Jarnathan
        6 years, 1 month ago

        So you're suggesting that Sterling becomes more of an inside forward than a winger in the absence of Kun.

        Do you have the data?

        1. Dank Squid
          6 years, 1 month ago

          PL games last season in which Sterling had multiple attacking returns:

          GW 1, WHU: 3g - Kun didn´start
          GW 19, wol: 2g - Kun didn´start
          Many hauls after the restart: Kun injured

          Raheem was blanking a lot in PL, in between those games, while still hauling in other competitions (CL/national team) - indicates that it wasn´t related to form (which many on here believed) - team structure/role was different.

          Eye test was the best confirmation, though. I still have the post-restart games available, re-watched some of them last few weeks.

          Something was different during the second half of 2018/2019 season. Pep started benching Sané and played Sterling in the LW role already back then, he was getting quite good returns - even if Kun started most of the games. But I´ll assume last season is a better indicator of things to come.

  18. Kudo Warrior
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Son + DCL
    OR
    someone below 7m + Martial

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Second.

    2. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Grealish & Martial

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  19. Flair
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Darren Wiles with ranks of 103, 569 and 140 in his last 4 seasons. Insane

    1. Lev Yashin
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sounds more like Darren Wily.

    2. TheDragon
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That’s borderline unbelievable

      Either he is in he luckiest run ever known (like a billion to 1) or he is playing the game in a very different way to everyone else

      1. Flair
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I'm sure it's the latter. Why this guy isn't on every podcast and tips section on this planet I don't know, though I figure he doesn't really want that.

  20. fridge
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Left my team on part autofill last week so have a bit of deadwood, doh. Which would you do this week? 1 ITB

    McCarthy
    TAA. Dallas. Taylor
    Salah. Auba. ASM. Son
    Jiminez. Werner. Davis

    4.0. Douglas. Vinagre. McCarthy

    A) Son > Rash
    B) Vinagre > Saiss
    C) Vinagre > Justin
    D) Son & McCarthy > Rodriguez & Podence

  21. One Wheels Enough
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I don't think I've ever seen so much analysis and knee jerks after just a single game week!

    I managed 70+ last week with 7 of my players contributing just 11 points.

    Am I suppose to WC coz the 7 (McA, Egan, TAA, JWP, Son, ASM, Mitro) are rubbish 🙂

    1. ☈☾
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

      1. One Wheels Enough
        6 years, 1 month ago

        🙂

        It'll be hilarious if this week turns out to be a reverse of last week and eveyone wants half their team back...

        1. TheDragon
          6 years, 1 month ago

          It’s what usually happens this time of the season

    2. Ron_Swanson
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah maybe

    3. TheDragon
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes - people on here will suggest you delete your team to save the pain

  22. Tomerick
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Havertz to Rodriguez worth a -4?

    1. Did it with FT but wouldn't do it for a hit

  23. yalala
    6 years, 1 month ago

    (C) Wilson who's with me

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 1 month ago

      4 goals in 6 appearances vs Brighton but not for me

    2. KGFC
      6 years, 1 month ago

      VC for me buddy.
      Can't look past Martial for this one. Maybe too biased but will see!

  24. Millie7
    6 years, 1 month ago

    McCarthy
    Holding Trent Taylor Egan
    Auba Son Salah
    Wilson Werner Adams

    Nyland Soucek Mitchell Bissouma

    Not confident at all with how this looks, should i use my FT with 1.5ITB?

    1. Scout
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good. Maybe swap son for Bruno?

    2. Here is Cash, give McGinn
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I had almost the same team and situation... I did Son to Bruno, IMO easy decision

    3. Millie7
      6 years, 1 month ago

      thanks guys

  25. More Cowbell
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Will Jorginho start lads?

  26. Scout
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    Justin shaw saiss
    Auba Sterling salah Bruno bissouma
    DCL, Wilson

    1) Bruno, DCL, shaw out for rashford, Jimi/lacazette, 4.5 either Lewis or bardsley
    2) keep the same?
    3) any other suggestions

  27. CRO KLOPP
    6 years, 1 month ago

    So,who is hitting WC button today?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nope

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Me.

    3. Whats the Huth
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Depends how united and city looks

  28. dylano21
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Would you rather have

    A) Doherty and James Rodriguez
    B) Rashford and 4.5 def

  29. Tripleh123
    6 years, 1 month ago

    McCarthy

    TAA, Egan, Justin Taylor (Mitchell)

    Auba(C), Salah(VC), Alli (Soucek,Bissouma)

    Werner, Mitro, Martial(VC)

    Alli out for a hit(-4) and Taylor over Soucek?

    1. Positive vibes
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Wow have almost the same players, I have Bavies instead of Egan. Keep Alli for this gw and sell him after more info. And I still cant decide Soucek vs Taylor as Soucek is good on threat. Please let me know your decision. Ta.

      1. Tripleh123
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Currently on Taylor over Soucek , though worried that Soucek will nick a goal due to aerial prowess. Would you swap Alli out in gw3(vs NEW) if he blanks or wait til gw4?

  30. The real slim shady
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Kane, Vardy or Salah?

    1. Scout
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy

    2. Flair
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy

    4. KGFC
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah from those