Spot the Differential
10 September 2021 2203 comments
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Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. sunzip14
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Go with this move for 2FT? Or any better options?

    Ings+Barnes> Jimenez+Greenwood

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      difficult to comment on better options without knowing your team.

      in isolation, it looks decent.

  2. No Kane No Gain
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Antonio to CR7 worth a -4 this week?!

    1. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Probably not

    2. Drexl Spivey
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Ronnie fever kicks in...

    3. Bubz
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      No way

    4. Kitman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Don't take a hit to remove the most in form player in FPL

    5. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      No.

    6. Costa Nostra
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      LOL

    7. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Cheers guys. That’s that then lol

  3. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Start Sá or Carson?

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      really no point getting carson on wc if you're not going to play him this week?

    2. DF
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I'd sell Carson if you're on a wc. We'll all need 3 city spots eventually. But start Carson orherwise

  4. LordEllison
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    2 FT and 0.0 ITB

    Sanchez Steele
    TTA Shaw White Ayling Livra
    Salah Greenwood Bruno(C) Benrahma Mahrez
    Antonio Toney Perica

    A) Bruno & Toney > Ronaldo & Gray
    b) or Mahrez to Jota and have 2 Frees next week?
    been bugging me all week, Thanks!

  5. Patty
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    So what’s the consensus on Bruno > Ronaldo for -4?

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      people seem to be stepping away from it because Solskjaer didn't say he would definitely start, like he was ever going to say that.

  6. Pep Roulette
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Son & Ings to

    A. Lukaku & 6.5
    B. Ronaldo & 5.5

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Livramento
    Salah Bruno(C) Son* Gray Benrahma
    Antonio Ings*

    Steele Ayling Tsimikas Scarlett

    0 ITB
    1 FT

    1. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      A and raph/sarr/ good options

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Cheers mate

    2. winchester
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      similar team. doing B myself with sarr or torres. are you still captaining Bruno?

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Bruno if B
        Lukaku if A

  7. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Why is Lukaku still flagged on fpl site?

    1. OLLY G
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Unflagged now.

  8. 272MK
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Bruno --> Traore
    Ings --> Ronaldo is off now.

    Ings --> DCL also seems riskt

    Jimenez then?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Yeh that’s my plan

    2. FF Dirtbag
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Whys it off?

      1. Drexl Spivey
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        "He'll be on at some point."

        1. FF Dirtbag
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 28 days ago

          Ohh... Hmmm

  9. bigshlong
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    A) TAA + Gray
    or
    B) Jota + Shaw

    1. Hog Roast Junkie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      A

  10. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    1 FT here where to use? 1.0 ITB and ESR* is doubtful

    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA Shaw Digne (Ayling Tsimikas)
    Salah Bruno Greenwood Traore ESR*
    Ings Antonio (Perica)

    A. Ings > DCL
    B. ESR > Gray
    C. Bruno Ings > Torres Ronaldo (-4)
    D. Save FT

    1. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Esr should be fine. Link a couple pages back

  11. Timbomars
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    On WC - Gray or Benrahma for this GW?

    Will be replacing with Raphinha next week…

    1. Hog Roast Junkie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Benny

  12. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Anyone worried DCL may be minutes managed due to this injury and Rondon arrival? Surely Rondon not just gonna sit on bench the whole time. Made me think to go Bamford instead.

  13. OLLY G
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Would you captain Bruno or Salah?

    Thanks.

    1. Joey Tribbiani
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Salalalala

  14. MattyW
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Wildcard or hits guys …

    Pickford/4.0
    TAA, White, Shaw (Livra) (Webster)
    Salah, Raph, Bruno, Benrahma (ESR)
    Ings, Toney, Wilson

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Roll transfer, let ESR sub on for Wilson.

  15. Jeremiah
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Is Barnes > Raph worth it for a hit?

    1. MattyW
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Considering he may not play and if he does he plays Liverpool … def don’t hit

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Not if he is not playing

  16. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Any advice here? Think this is the final, final WC draft

    Sanchez/Steele
    TAA/Christensen/Coady/White/Livramento
    Salah/Torres/Jota/Traore/Allan
    Ronaldo/DCL/Antonio

    1. LC1
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      It's making me wish I'd wildcarded.

      Great team

      1. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Thank you

  17. Fit_to_drop
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Is Ben Foster likely to become Watfords permanent keeper when he returns from injury does anyone know?

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      he wasn't when he was fit last season.

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      No

  18. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    So with the latest news, DCL or Jiminez?

    1. Bubz
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      DCL

    2. MattyW
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Jimi

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Jim

    4. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I went for Jimi. I really want DCL, but paying 0.8 more for worst fixtures and playing through a pain barrier doesn't seem sensible. It's already my second transfer in this slot: Watkins > Wilson > Jimenez.

    5. Hog Roast Junkie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Bamford maybe?

  19. Rushford
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Coufal
    Salah Bruno Benrahma Greenwood Raphinha
    Antonio Ings
    Tsimikas on bench blocks Jota. 1ft

    A) Roll transfer, C Bruno and hope for Ronaldo blank
    B) WC to get in Ronaldo and Jota
    C) Bruno + Ings -> Ronaldo + Sarr/Torres
    D) Ings-> Jimenez and skip Ronaldo all together

  20. Oooo Matron
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    No idea what to do here - Ings & Son to Ronaldo & Saka?

    Bachmann
    TAA Shaw Semedo Veltman
    Salah Son Greenwood Benrahma
    Ings Antonio

    Subs: Foster, Allan, Livramento, Obafemi

  21. Manani
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Ings > DCL or save?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Do it

  22. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Captain Bruno, Salah or Lukaku?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Kaku > Salah > Bruno

    2. MattyW
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Lukaku

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Lukaku

  23. Uns95
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Ronaldo vs non-Ronaldo WC, would appreciate any thoughts?

    A. Ronaldo, Ayling, Gilmour
    B. DCL, Greenwood, Digne

    Sa
    Cristensen, TAA, Ayling*
    Salah, Jota, Gray, Gilmour*
    Lukaku, Ronaldo*, Antonio

    Steele, Duffy, Livramento, Allan

    or

    Sa,
    Cristensen, TAA, Digne*
    Salah, Jota, Gray, Greenwood*
    Lukaku, Antonio, DCL*

    Steele, Duffy, Livramento, Allan

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      3 x premium team hurts my eyes

      1. Uns95
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        i am swaying towards the non-Ronaldo team as think it opens up better options for Bamford DCL Lukaku / Bamford Antonio Lukaku front line. Just concerned by only Greenwood for United...

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      A

  24. Ppss90
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Thoughts?

    A)
    Sanchez / foster
    TAA shaw Semedo / williams, Livra
    Salah Torres Jota Gray / sissoko
    Antonio Jimenez Ronaldo

    B)
    Sanchez/ foster
    TAA semedo tierney / williams, Livra
    Salah torres Gray Trincao/ sissoko
    Kane dennis Ronaldo

    C)
    Sanchez/ foster
    TAA semedo white / williams, livra
    Salah gray traore raph / sissoko
    Lukaku antonio ronaldo

    1. cravencottage
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Easier if you highlight the differences. but A

    2. Ppss90
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Big q is whether to sacrifice and get lukaku now or punt it and bring in kane as a real differential (low ownership)

  25. DMil
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Anyone know if Bruno good to go tomorrow? Any issues with quarantining after coming back from Azerbaijan having played there on Tuesday?

  26. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Jota only 0.58% in the captaincy poll...

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I will if you will

      1. DavvaMC
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Was going to say the same, I am very tempted!

      2. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        He's my vice. I'm on Kane, who only has 3.31% against Palace!
        Would love an excuse to go for Jota. Who are you on?

  27. Andre_The_Giant
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Assuming Ronaldo starts on the bench, would you still fancy these moves for a -4?

    Ings => Ronaldo
    Fernandes => Jota
    Tsimikas => Duffy

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      No

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Nope

    3. Stupendous
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Yup

    4. Drexl Spivey
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Nope.

    5. space mercenary
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Yes

    6. Andre_The_Giant
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Fairly conclusive, cheers

      1. polis
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Gunna say yes, only so it's not conclusive at all.

  28. Gunners in Haaland
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Pep Guardiola has said Ferran Torres has to "eat a lot of soups at dinner time" to become like Jamie Vardy

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Which means?

      1. Drexl Spivey
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        He's a beans on toast man.

      2. polis
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        That he's been hanging out with Cantona.

  29. Malinwa
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Best

    1. polis
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Absolute worst

  30. Hog Roast Junkie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Sanchez, Steele
    TAA, Shaw, Tierney, Livra, Williams
    Salah, Jota, Torres, Benrahma, Sarr
    Ronaldo, Antonio, Pukki

    Having Pukki / Sarr as strong 3rd Fwd / 5th mid allows me to cover the odd benching of Jota and Torres.

    Thoughts?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Not for me, just a headache