FPL

Keep or sell? The best options and replacements for Bamford’s FPL owners

Patrick Bamford (£8.0m) will miss Leeds United’s clash with West Ham United this weekend, with an ankle injury keeping him sidelined.

No timeframe has so far been put on the striker’s return but over 260,000 of his owners in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) have seen enough, selling him ahead of Saturday’s deadline.

Over two-thirds of the voters who took part in our on-site poll are also in favour of ditching Bamford:

We take a quick look at the options available to the managers who own the mid-price forward, focusing on alternatives at Bamford’s price point or cheaper. Owners could, of course, use the Leeds striker’s injury as a springboard for a team restructure and bring in Romelu Lukaku (£11.6m) for his favourable runs of games.

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Providing you don’t have other fitness doubts such as Raphinha (£6.5m) causing you sleepless nights, then the chances are that you’ll have the option of bringing a bench fodder option into the fray this weekend and retaining Bamford’s services as a non-playing substitute.

Some of the more popular budget options, such as Valentino Livramento (£4.2m), Javier Manquillo (£4.0m), Allan (£4.6m) and Shane Duffy (£4.3m), have decent Gameweek 6 fixtures, although Kostas Tsimikas (£4.0m) is far from assured of game-time and Yves Bissouma (£4.5m) and Josh Brownhill (£4.5m) are carrying irksome yellow flags of their own.

With Bamford having already risen in price once after Gameweek 5, the likelihood is that many of his existing owners won’t be losing any sell value even if he drops by £0.1m over the coming days.

He and Leeds also have some excellent fixtures to come, starting with a Gameweek 7 clash with a Watford side who are yet to keep a clean sheet in 2021/22.

Even a longer absence of, say, three weeks could see him return in Gameweek 8, thanks to the respite offered by the October international break.

Keeping the striker until a more concrete update from Marcelo Bielsa arrives has its potential upsides, then, but the Leeds manager isn’t too forthcoming with exact timeframes these days (instead taking a Darwinian approach) and there is a chance that we get week-to-week press conference palm-offs from the Argentinean in lieu of a specific return date.

Given that there wasn’t any doubt from Bielsa whatsoever about his non-involvement against West Ham, there is always the worry that Bamford’s problem is not just a one-week affair.

GAMEWEEK 7/8 WILDCARDERS – A SHORT-TERM PUNT?

Above: Gameweek 6 and 7 fixtures ranked by difficulty on our Season Ticker

Those Fantasy managers with Wildcards to burn might be eyeing up Gameweeks 7 and 8 with keen interest, with fixture swings about to catapult the likes of Manchester City, Chelsea and Southampton up the Season Ticker.

A one or two-week punt on a Bamford replacement is one route for these managers, who can reassess the Leeds striker when their chip is activated and potentially even bring him back in providing he gets the medical all-clear.

Looking at our image above, Newcastle sit top of our ticker over the next two Gameweeks – and Allan Saint-Maximin (£6.7m) is certainly one option as a replacment. Four attacking returns in five matches sees the Frenchman sit fourth among FPL forwards for points, and, having been part of a strike partnership with Callum Wilson (£7.4m) at the start of 2021/22, he is now spearheading a 5-4-1. Saint-Maximin is overachieving his expected goal invovlement (xGI) output, it has to be said, and ranks only 14th for xGI among forwards this season.

Watford probably ought to be higher up the ticker given that Newcastle and Leeds are in such dire defensive shape, without a clean sheet between them this season. Joshua King (£5.5m) and Emmanuel Dennis (£5.3m) are low-cost short-term gambles for Gameweek 8 Wildcarders: the Hornets had lost their last three Premier League games without scoring before Gameweek 5 but racked up six big chances and three goals against Norwich, a reminder – if we ever needed it – of the importance of fixtures and how they often dictate form.

Everton have a tricky-looking Gameweek 7 match at Manchester United but for anyone looking for a one-week, Hail Mary gamble before hitting the Wildcard button, then Salomon Rondon (£6.0m) may fit the bill. He didn’t show anything to encourage investment in a rusty run-out at Aston Villa but faces Norwich this weekend, and everything we said about the Canaries in the above paragraph holds true for the Toffees this weekend.

LONGER-TERM BAMFORD REPLACEMENTS

There are a number of mid-price forwards who fit the dual requirements of positive short-term fixtures and a longer-term bright schedule.

Adam Armstrong (£6.0m) and Southampton sit top of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 6-12, with only a trip to Chelsea before the October international break off-putting. Armstrong has already got two attacking returns to his name and also thought he’d won his side a penalty at Manchester City last weekend, only for it to be overturned after VAR intervention. Despite tricky opening fixtures, he ranks second aming forwards for shots (16), with 11 of those attempts arriving inside the box.

Teemu Pukki (£5.9m) is also riding high with Norwich in the above image. On penalties, the Finn sits above all other sub-£7.0m forwards in our six-Gameweek FPL points projections – although Josh Sargent (£5.4m) does pose a possible threat to his place.

There’s little wrong with Raul Jimenez‘s (£7.5m) fixtures or underlying stats, with Wolves continuing their favourable run of matches from Gameweeks 6-14 and the Mexican among the top five forwards for both chances created and efforts on goal. The fact that just one of his 15 shots has landed on target and none have found the back of the net, however, does mean that we’re overlooking a current wasteful touch and gambling on him rediscovering past glories.

There is one name we haven’t yet discussed: Michail Antonio (£7.9m). Still well clear at the top of the FPL forwards’ points table despite a red card in Gameweek 4 and an enforced no-show last weekend, he is first among players in his position for goals scored, attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances (BCT, below) and penalty box touches.

A Leeds backline missing four centre-halves looks like a juicy match-up for Antonio in Gameweek 6, and while West Ham’s fixtures are so-so thereafter, they don’t meet any of last season’s top six until November.

WHAT THE FFSCOUT COMMUNITY SAY

326 Comments Post a Comment
  1. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Hi, a little stuck on what to do here...Which looks best please?

    A. Bamford & Bruno - Pogba & Lukaku
    B. Bamford - Antonio
    C. Bamford & Bruno - Zaha & Ronaldo

    Thank you

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      B & C look good to me for the next 3 at least. I'd just go B if others require hits.

      1. PascalCygan
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        This

      2. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Cheers. I have 2 free transfers

        1. Pep bites Kun
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Lovely! Good week to have 'em.

  2. TheTinman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    In case you missed it, Newcastle are without Willock and Lascelles for the weekend.

    Defence was looking to get stronger with others returning from injury but once again we're hit by injuries galore under the hapless Bruce.

    What does this mean?

    We've played a back 5 all season. So I expect that will continue. Lascelles injury means we will be welcoming Fernández back into the team, just back from injury himself. Willock injury, coupled with other injuries and a generally weak squad, means Hayden will have to move from CB into midfield. With either Schar or Krafth coming in at CB.

    All in all the two injuries mean our back 5 will change by two players yet again. Preventing them from developing any kind of understanding with each other, which we all know is crucial in a good defence.

    1. Mutter's Munters
        2 months, 11 days ago

        cheers

    2. Noregretz
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Conscious that I did Antonio to Bam last week and now I have no bench to play if Raph doesn’t. Next week can reassess Leeds.

      Options:
      1. Bam to SaintMaxim / Tonio
      2. Bench cover - Amartey to another £4m (manquilo/Williams of norwich).
      3. ??

      Martinez / Foster
      TAA, shaw, Marcal, coufal
      Salah, jota, benrama, asr, Raph,
      Ronaldo
      (bam, amarty, obafemi)

      1. PascalCygan
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        1 Antonio

      2. Pep bites Kun
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        1. Bam back to Antonio. It was a move that didn't work out. It happens.

    3. artvandelay316
        2 months, 11 days ago

        A - Tierney, White and Townsend, which gives me the funds for Vardy up front
        or
        B - Alonso, VVD and Gray, which gives me Saint Maxim up front

        Already have TAA, Rudiger, Livra in defence and Antonio, Ronaldo in attack. Cheers.

      • HadiSLIM
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 11 days ago

        A) Smirthrowe , Bamford OUT
        Sarr , Antonio IN for a -4

        B) Jota, Bamford OUT
        Barnes , Antonio IN for a -4

        C) Bamford OUT
        Antonio IN

        Thoughts ?

        1. mufcpaul
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          2 months, 11 days ago

          C, can't see you getting the value from the other options unless your bench are all blanking.

      • sgc
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        repost
        Sanchez - Bachmann ( injured)
        TAA- Livarmento- Caufal - Ayling (injured) - Digne(injured)
        Torres- Fernandes- Jota- Dele Ali- Raphina(Injured)
        Antonio - Aubamenyang- Jimenez
        1FT, 0m in bank.
        Please suggest 1 FT for whom or WC ( thought to use WC for GW 8)

        1. mufcpaul
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Probably WC, you need to ship at least 3-4 players there and good optimise a few others so WC and factor in what changes you might want to make 2 weeks with 2FTs.

      • mufcpaul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Thoughts on team and moves?
        Pretty close to pulling the WC trigger tbh - 1FT & £2.4m ITB

        Foster (Sanchez)
        White, TAA, Shaw (Amartey, Reid)
        Gray, Grealish, Bissouma, Mane, SR
        Antonio, Ronaldo (Bamford)