Up!

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Dennis

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But Foden to beat them both even though he's benched today

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Gundo. I believe in the stats. PKs will help too.

You'll need a bench cam

First on my bench.

First to go when KDB and or Foden and back up and running imo

No-one has under Pep. Keeps them sharp. But he's playing mighty stuff fair play.

Good punt for next 4-5 games,looks like all of those front players get a few games than its bench time

If City has the match wrapped up in 2nd half, I doubt he'll come on

Yes , esr starting . Leaked by trustmebro.uk

Arteta said 'hopeful' to start yesterday. Hoping here too with Jota out and Hwang only sub on my and Wolves bench.

Me to

Quit while you’re ahead.

Cancelo Jesus and Gundogan, let’s go large.

Hope it’s Gundigan

Whoever starts the most ...

Pretty sure he will blank today

Do a booking count as something?

The case with King is that he over the years has scored on a given % of his xG.
Unless something has dramatically changed (athleticism etc.) one would expect him to keep scoring around the same % of his xG over time.

When a player underperforms compared to his own baseline, we must decide if he's all of a sudden a much worse player than before or not. If not, we put it down to "form" (or natural variation) and expect him to start performing up to his own standards.

King is 29 and hasn't had any injuries that should severely reduce his performance over time, and that's why many believe he'll "come good".

Stats need to be used with common sense and the eye test together.
Like if Joelinton started posting amazing underlying numbers, I wouldn't just jump on and wait patiently for returns. As I know he's crap and misses chances regularly.
But when you get a player with proven pedigree who's posting excellent underlying numbers (lets say someone like Vardy), then it's probably time to start looking at that player and watching the games more closely.

As for King... he's not gunna suddenly become a 20+ goal striker is he? I think he's a good fit for being 1st bench player...

He's a professional striker with a history of scoring goals. Getting lots of shots is a sign that he could be hauling or at least ticking over. This is even true for players with terrible finishing ability, like Jesus! This reaks of hindsight and recency bias. I believe King owners are upset that he played too wide, which was unexpected. Players who score a lot of goals, usually have very 'good stats'.

Combine both ... it's complementary

If someone scores a lot of goals regularly he has good stats too. Not a great philosophy here. Some players may overperform or underperform xG regularly, but not as much, let's say 20% max. It may happen that some players go on a run of massive overperformance or underperformance in a short run, but on the long run it is unsustainable and there is no running from that. Everyone reverts to the mean after some time.

King's output is in proportion with his underlying numbers, which helps to stave off any worries about regression. Players don't keep up Dennis' output in the long run unless they're world class.

I remember Auba scoring something like 5 goals from 5 shots over a few games, then his output imploded. I dodged a bullet by avoiding him and his unsustainable conversion rate. Something similar could happen to Dennis, although I could be wrong and there's almost no way of knowing at this point.

If past points was a perfect indicator of future points, the whole game would be solved and we'd all score 2,500 points every season. It's all just guesswork, and guesswork based on underlying stats rather than previous points has given me and many others some great seasons.

Players who miss loads of chances can be top quality assets. Salah in his first season at Liverpool and Sterling in his best seasons at City show that. People who decried them as wasteful were left behind.

In Bilva we trust?

I think Bilva will start all and rest next week

Not in squad preducted, but not definite.

https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/liverpool-diogo-jota-james-milner-22432718

Won't come on unless absolutely needed if benched imo

If he's not fit enough to start, he won't be risked in the squad IMO

He has 7 goals in 155 PL appearances. Will be waiting a while probably

you buy him for xG not for points

He's injured now isn't he?

Guessing it'll be Armstrong & Broja today

3 goals in last 4 games vs Man City

Optimistic!

Do you also have Jota? 😉

As a new King owner, just get Dennis, still quite a few GWs before AFCON

Yes, I sold Jesus and transferred him in. Jesus will naturally brace today 😉

Last week Grealish, Sterling and Foden played ahead of him and he still scored twice.

Luckily you cannot call out jinxes like that, so now you reverse jinxed it.

One could argue I just reversed your reverse jinx, but then again, I also... etc.

I hate it when that happens...

The 3 pm games are all the best ones in my mind.

Do the most televised clubs get a rest in mid December from kicking off later in the weekend?

Rough feeling, although a few weeks ago I had 5 to play on Sunday and Spurs v Burnley was called off and Foden didn't play meaning I was then relying on Allan and a 0 pointer from Livramento to come in and save me. Sometimes I think I end up doing better when all my players are done early even though it makes looking at your rank dropping as the weekend goes on a bit annoying.

You have no United and no West Ham?

It's a good key word search too.

Guess Google alerts does that if you are researching anything specific.

I have Jota and happy if he is injured.

These questions are the worst, you're not talking to clairvoyants

ESR very likely to start. Jota much less so.

ESR will definitely get some minutes. He might not start though.

Foden to come on and bag a brace with Grealish assists, then?

I only bought him because I wanted him to stop scoring points for everyone else. Worked with Jota last week and Gallagher the week before.

Why get any? They share points

Broja is cheaper, I have him and Dennis 😉

As expected.

Expected then.