Scout Notes
18 December 2021 1517 comments
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Arsenal breezed past sorry Leeds United in the only Gameweek 18 match of the day to survive a postponement.

Our Scout Notes article reflects on the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from the fixture.

MARVELLOUS MARTINELLI

The Emile Smith Rowe (£6.0m) train just about keeps chugging along, with back-to-back goals helping to gloss over three successive benchings, but a separate budget Arsenal bandwagon is gathering momentum.

A Smith Rowe injury ahead of Gameweek 15 paved the way for Gabriel Martinelli (£5.2m) to establish himself on the Gunners’ left flank and the young Brazilian has effectively kept his teammate out of the side ever since, although alternative routes back into the starting XI at least do exist for Smith Rowe.

Martinelli made it six attacking returns in as many Gameweeks at Elland Road and while he’ll not sustain an average of 7.0 points per match over the season (he scored from his only two shots of the match on Saturday), he’s keeping company with some big midfielders on the underlying stats front over his last half-dozen appearances:

Above: FPL midfielders sorted by expected goal involvement (xGI) over their last six matches

Martinelli has historically posted some good numbers (he had the best rate of xGI among Arsenal players last season) but the issue with the budget midfielder has always been game-time, which he now has for the time being.

Bukayo Saka (£6.2m), Alexandre Lacazette (£8.5m) and Smith Rowe also chipped in with attacking returns against Leeds, too, but spurned big chances from the French striker in particular left a feeling of ‘what might have been’ for owners of the Gunners’ other attacking assets.

Unsurprisingly, Martinelli is now the most-bought player of Gameweek 19.

If you’re thinking about joining his growing band of owners, first consider that Arsenal’s Boxing Day opponents are Norwich City, a side whose Gameweek 18 fixture was called off on Thursday because of a coronavirus outbreak among the squad – and a 10-day isolation period would just about cover Gameweek 19 as a result. That fixture, then, must be in some doubt.

LEEDS DEFENCE A MESS… AND LIVERPOOL UP NEXT

Having started last season looking shifty (the fourth letter can be interchanged for another consonant) at the back but showing signs of improvement as the campaign went on, Leeds have come full circle.

Marcelo Bielsa’s troops have now shipped 16 goals in their last four Premier League matches and as many big chances – both, unsurprisingly, are league-worst totals.

Above: Premier League defences sorted by shots on target conceded over their last four matches

They allowed 11 shots on target in the first half of the loss to Arsenal alone, a record in the Opta era.

The absurd injury crisis is a huge contributing factor, of course. In the defence in Gameweek 18 were centre-halves Luke Ayling (£4.3m) and Robin Koch (£4.3m), better at right-back and in front of the back four, and Cody Drameh (£3.9m), barely out of his teens. Unavailability further forward was just as key: 10 first-teamers were sidelined in total, while Jack Harrison (£5.6m) limped off after half an hour.

Whether or not any Gameweek 19 fixtures go ahead is another question but if Leeds do make it to kick-off on Boxing Day having swerved a postponement, their next opponents are the Premier League’s top-scoring side, Liverpool.

RAPHINHA AT LEAST SECOND ON PENS

Raphinha (£6.6m) seems to be at least second in command in the Leeds United penalty-taking pecking order.

The Brazilian had scored twice from the spot already this season but both Patrick Bamford (£7.7m) and Mateusz Klich (£5.2m), the Whites’ primary takers in 2020/21, were off the field in those instances.

Klich was on the pitch for the Brazilian’s latest success from 12 yards this evening, however, an emphatic effort that moved him onto eight goals for the season – a total that only two FPL midfielders can better.

Budget FPL forward Joe Gelhardt (£4.6m) bagged the assist for the penalty, his second return in three Gameweeks.

COVID WATCH AND INJURY LATEST

Smith Rowe on bench as unchanged Arsenal face injury-hit Leeds

Nine Leeds players were known as being unavailable going into this match but a 10th, Diego Llorente (£4.5m), also didn’t show up. It was later revealed that the centre-back had tested positive for Covid-19, and he will now sit out Gameweek 19 as a result.

Arsenal also have their first cases of Covid-19 in a while, with Albert Sambi Lokonga (£4.8m) and Pablo Mari (£4.2m) contracting the illness.

The Gunners shut their training ground as a precaution on Thursday but returned thereafter.

“We had another player, as well, Pablo has Covid, so unfortunately they [Mari and Lokonga] will be out.” – Mikel Arteta

Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.7m) banked a clean sheet for his owners before limping from the field of play but Arteta wasn’t too concerned after the game.

“It was more a muscular issue. He’s got a big load on him, he’s played every single minute since he joined us and this week he’s been a bit struggling. We decided to take him off. He wasn’t 100% confident to finish the match and hopefully he’s not injured.” – Mikel Arteta

Bielsa gave an update on the limping Harrison after full-time, as well as some of his other absent players:

“It’s just a big knock [for Harrison], a very painful one just below his hip. It’s just knocks that prevent you from continuing to play, but they’re not injuries that take long to recover from. What was, was that he was on the pitch for thirty minutes where he really couldn’t play. Until the player convinces himself that he can’t play there are moments where he can’t do anything.

“Cooper has a long period of recovery, Phillips has a long period of recovery. Cresswell has a long period of recovery, Bamford and James no – they’re not that long but I can’t tell you if they’re going to be available for Liverpool. Rodrigo Moreno has a problem in his heels and this has made him inactive in the past two weeks. The way to heal or cure this injury is to manage the pain so it disappears.

“The injury of Rodrigo is something that’s not very frequent. In Pascal’s case in the Premier League you have this injury once or twice a season, it also demands the pain disappears for him to be able to play. With respect to Rodrigo he’s not going to play against Liverpool and Pascal I place him on the same range as Bamford and James. They are all subject to the evolution, I never not give up information that I possess. What I try to avoid is to not say something I’m not sure of. I take advantage when I made a reference to the operation of Phillips – I thought you were talking about the possible surgery to his shoulder, and the expression that was understood, perhaps I expressed myself wrong. I didn’t know whether he was operated under on the back part of his knee.” – Marcelo Bielsa

1,517 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. boc610
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    pep said a few weeks ago foden has ankle pain that has to be 'managed' with this schedule- yet jaws hit the floor on here when he's rested after playing midweek ?

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Agreed. I brought him too but I'm not angry because it's no real shock. Hopefully he can do something off the bench

      1. boc610
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        he is still worth owning imo, can still haul today but the small print is *comes with rotation*

        1. DycheDycheBaby
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          Exactly. And if City score for fun again like they did against Leeds then you expect Foden to be involved in one or two goals.

    2. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Well, he was their best player so a bit weird to bench him today. But Pep has done this before even with top form legends like Aguero, so....

  2. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Not a bad week for foden benching - unless you captained him

    Everyone having an awful week - and he will be well rested for Xmas now

    1. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Like all when there will no games. Come on if there are any weeks then this should be the one foden needed to start for many.

  3. Hooky
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    That's a very attacking line-up from Newcastle. City could get another 7 today

  4. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Bad timing pep..This is not the week to play with us. You will regret this 🙁

  5. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    It’s probably safest to just got with Bilva and Foden to avoid (somewhat) being Pep rouletted

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Yes but the return of KDB seems to have taken away Bernardo's attacking threat. Will be interesting to see what positions Bernardo gets into today.

    2. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      That advice has worked well today.

      1. FCSB
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        You can’t second guess Pep…

        By having both and a strong bench you’re covered unless really unlucky and he rests both… and even with a cameo there is a chance of points with city

  6. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    To all the cry babies, if you don't like it don't buy City players.

    Pathetic!

    1. Dammit_182
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Yea, I think it’s the but where your entire bench does not play which brings the tears on….

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

        1. Dammit_182
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          Haha. If a time needs me I’ll be in the freezer eating a whole tub of Ben and jerries and considering my FPL decisions….

    2. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      It's not like other weeks, it's a week where most of us struggling to field eleven.

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Waaaaaaaa

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          It’s a great point well made there Martin

          1. Ginkapo FPL
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            Have to agree with Pat on this one

  7. Zalk
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    For those who complain about not having all players playing, at least you didn't do 3 transfers (-8p) only to realise you have three strikers not left playing...

    1. Zalk
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      ...left not playing

  8. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    So Chelsea are starting 6 defenders, What is their formation?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Prime Tucheliban

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Kepa DM

    3. Stamford B
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      3421 Chalobah in midfield probably.

      1. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        That's how the BBC have got them lining up.

    4. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      James and Alonso as wingers hopefully.

  9. not_astarte
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    anyone with Ederson?

    1. Morthau
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

  10. Cok3y5murf
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    No one serious captained a Pep roulette player.

    1. Dammit_182
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      No. I captained cancello for the perfect mix of naild-ness and playing for city….followed by some salah regret later on.

      1. Cok3y5murf
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah, he's fine

    2. ‘Tis the Season
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Trolling as usual. There is always one on this site..don’t be that guy!
      Cancelo (C).

    3. Ginkapo FPL
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Nope. KDB

      1. Cok3y5murf
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Very overpriced. My cheap Mahrez will match him

  11. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    So Chelsea have Lukaku, Werner, Havertz, CHO, Chilwell, Jorginho, RLC, Christensen out with COVID, yet they’re forced to play?

    1. Will Kane
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah, my heart bleeds for them as a Leeds fan

    2. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Half of those are just injuries you mongrel

      1. George Sillett
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        And there are 7 covid cases on top of the injuries you mongrel.

      2. Ruinenlust
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Thomas Tuchel confirms there are 7 positive cases at #CFC heading into the game today.

    3. Ginkapo FPL
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      That is quite extreme

    4. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      They've a big squad. Barkley on the bench, all the attacking players available don't start. I wonder will they try bringing Gallagher back in January?

    5. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      RLC and Christensen other injuries

  12. Will Kane
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    I'm pleased to see Bernardo in the lineup, but there's a few people on here who seem to be under the impression that you get 20 points just for starting a match....

    1. Dammit_182
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      You do vs Newcastle

  13. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Good that Silva is starting but looking at that formation, I'm not sure I see him returning. Looks to be a defensive midfield role.

  14. fricky_
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Need that Jesus haul

  15. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    I'm surprised Traore and Semedo are benched. Thought they could trouble Alonso.

  16. TomSaints
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    The downside of this game order is I get to watch Cancelo blank, then Salah score 2. To just really hammer home the message.

    Always captain Salah

    1. TomSaints
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Or the elite, 9 pointer false hope from Cancelo followed by 15 from Salah

    2. FPL_ UP_Down
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Hopefully Cancello out score Salah

  17. jammie26
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Good to see Foden benched.

    1. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Why is that ?

    2. Tango74
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Why u want him benched?

  18. AIRMILES
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Off topic. Timothy Dalton is my favourite Bond. Licence to Kill on ITV today. Probably my favourite Bond film.

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I only liked him in Hot Fuzz

      1. AIRMILES
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Great film. He should manage a supermarket in real life.

    2. Tango74
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Listen to lyrics it’s
      license to KIL T

  19. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Silva suffered minor injury last time and was taken off, meanwhile de Bruyne isn't fully fit as he said himself. Ilkay and Phil could come on at half time. It makes sense to give all four 45 minutes to keep them up and running.

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I'm ringing Guardiola as we speak.

    2. DycheDycheBaby
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Yes I think that's likely especially if City are cruising 3-0 up at half time.

    3. AIRMILES
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I think managers should be given 5 subs, with 2 of them expiring at the second half restart.

    4. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      As a Gundogan and Bilva owner I'm afraid they'll share minutes from now on. KdB seems more nailed.

  20. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Come on then, Cancelo, Bilva, James & Rudiger all start!

    1. AIRMILES
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      That, plus Alonso for me, with Foden hopefully to come off the bench, even if just for a point.

      1. phoenixfromtheflames
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Ditto + Wilson (not that I expect him to score much)

        1 benched out of 7 ain’t bad

  21. Eze Really?
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Semedo Foden Gundo out. Having a pisx poor week

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      That's harsh.

      1. Eze Really?
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Yep. with a 12 point hit to boot (Grrr)

  22. C_G
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    is Son back? I did Son ---> Foden, hate this game haha

    1. Eze Really?
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Join the club

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Looks like it. Has had an interview with the Daily Mirror discussing his double vaccinated status, no mention that he's got Covid.

  23. Michelle Davin
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Here we go Sterling!

  24. BeWater
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Gundogan was a shocking pick on WC in GW16. City points are often spread, KDB was coming back, Pep Roulette and there are a plethora of much cheaper nailed players that are more productive than him.

    1. BIGREDDOG
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I've got him also. He has missed 2 or 3 big chances in those games though. I thought it was a good pick at the time and I stand by that. It's hard now though because I'm not sure if its worth -4 to get Foden in.

      1. BeWater
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        I brought Foden in this week to double up as well. I'm down to 5 players. Never known a WC that hurt my team this much.

  25. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    See you next season.

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Enjoy the break

  26. Bobby Crush
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    I was considering KDB, but is it worth the premium?

    It means players like Jota or Bilva will have to be moved out.

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      No one will play consistently when everyone is fit. So no. Too expensive.

      1. Bobby Crush
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Yes, I am just startled by Jota now being rotated with Firmino back, and Bilva further back with KDB back.

  27. Eze Really?
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    How many covid cases today in the UK?
    How many hospitalized compared to similar numbers at the start of Covid?

    1. AIRMILES
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Dunno the numbers, but Javid was on the final Marr show, saying those in hospital with Omicron now, on average caught it 17 days ago, so there's a big lag in hospital admissions, and there are a lot of NHS staff having to isolate with Omicron. Hoping hospitals don't get overwhelmed.

      1. Eze Really?
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        What I can see so far in SA Omicron nothing like the others. We have gone through the cycle. Triple the cases a third of hospitalizations.

        1. Ginkapo FPL
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          SA is in summer right now which helps

          1. Eze Really?
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            A little according to rates of infection but not regarding severity.

          2. ‘Tis the Season
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            Mild symptoms and sizzling summer. Very little hospitalizations and few deaths in South Africa. In Cape Town

            1. Eze Really?
              • 12 Years
              4 years, 6 months ago

              Yep. Summer months I am not sure about severity, just less spread I think.

      2. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Won't be announced to around 4pm, but the last two days have been the highest two ever for reported cases (over 90k each day). Hospitalisations are still low everywhere except for London.

        1. Eze Really?
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          The reason for my question really. I am not saying it is cast in stone but we are 3 weeks into it now an hospital cases right down, indicating less severity.

          1. bitm2007
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            Omicron has been widely reported as being less severe in this country but the government are trying to play that down stating that it's too early to tell how it's going to impact the National Health Service. London declaring a state of emergency due to the number of Covid hospitalisation yesterday is worrying.

            1. bitm2007
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              4 years, 6 months ago

              The London Mayor

            2. @persecuted_by_mods
              4 years, 6 months ago

              You seem more worried at the declaration instead of the reason for the declaration?

              1. bitm2007
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                4 years, 6 months ago

                I'm living with someone on the clinically vulnerable as I'm extremely worried about the reason for the declaration. We haven't been to a crowded place for nearly two years.

  28. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    What happened to Manquillo?

  29. Sandy Ravage
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Who's on penalties for City?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      KdB

    2. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      With that line up, mahrez or sterling

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Mahrez

  30. Grounderz
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Who here gave Foden the armband? Hope you are not too heart-broken to respond.

    1. Morthau
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I did, and it feels bad. Buy its not over before the last wistle. Can come in from bench and score?

    2. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I’d be very surprised if anyone on here did