Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 36

Double Gameweek 36 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Everton and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: TOT + avl | sou | WOL

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has slotted into Liverpool’s setup with ease following his January move from Porto.

The 25-year-old has been directly involved in five league goals across 10 appearances – scoring three and assisting two – and his performance against Villarreal in the Champions League semi-final summed up his season: he came on at half-time but was still the man of the match.

As a result of those displays, it now feels like Diaz is part of Jurgen Klopp’s strongest XI.

That certainly doesn’t guarantee two starts in Double Gameweek 36, especially given the timing of next weekend’s FA Cup final, but 110-120 minutes across both matches could be enough to haul. His impact as a substitute is also worth noting: already this season, he has returned against Everton and Villarreal from the bench.

Since his arrival on Merseyside, Diaz is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) is the only member of the Liverpool squad who averages a higher rate, while his 3.82 expected goals (xG) is another encouraging statistic.  

As for Liverpool, they are undefeated in 15 Premier League outings – netting 36 goals in the process – as they chase down a historic quadruple. And while the defensive data for Gameweek 36 opponents Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa suggests neither will roll over, matchups against Emerson Royal (£4.5m) and an advanced Matty Cash (£5.3m) does feel appealing for the Reds’ left-winger.

Diaz is an intriguing differential for the run-in, and could be an explosive option for those willing to gamble on his minutes.

YERRY MINA

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Yerry Mina (£4.9m) was back in the Everton starting XI in Gameweek 35 after he was rested for the defeat to Liverpool the previous weekend.

The Colombian international has only recently returned from a long-term quad issue and is being carefully managed, but has now had a clear week of training before making the trip to Leicester City on Sunday.

In his two outings since his return to fitness, it’s no coincidence the Toffees are unbeaten, with his presence in defence shoring up a backline that has struggled so often this season.

“With Yerry, I’m delighted he’s come back into the fray in terms of his fitness. You can see that leadership, presence and personality he brings. He is a big leader for us. It was great to see him play like that.” – Frank Lampard on Yerry Mina

Mina’s goal threat was a key part of his appeal when Everton spent £28m on him, having scored three headed goals for Colombia during their 2018 World Cup campaign. And it’s that potential from set-pieces that could be key in Double Gameweek 36, with opponents Leicester and Watford both susceptible to conceding chances from dead-ball situations.

Everton’s away form is a concern as they get set for two games on the road, but confidence is on the up following their 1-0 win over Chelsea, which moved them back within two points of Burnley and Leeds United, having played a game fewer.

Mina looks like an ideal gamble for the run-in, and could be set to put his threat inside the box to good use in Double Gameweek 36.

RIYAD MAHREZ

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 24 and beyond
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NEW + wol | whu | AVL

Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) has been in excellent goalscoring form for Manchester City this season.

The Algerian is the club’s overall top scorer with 24 goals in all competitions – next in the list is Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) with 15 – and clearly gives Pep Guardiola’s side something unique in attack.

Notably, only Salah can trump Mahrez’s 0.87 expected goal involvement (xGI) per minutes in 2021/22, whilst penalties are another nice route to points if City are handed a spot-kick.

NameGoalsStartsGoals per 90Mins-per-goalTotal shots
Mahrez11130.71127.157
De Bruyne11210.5317063
Sterling10210.46193.953

Riyad Mahrez has scored 11 goals in 13 Premier League starts in 2021/22

Of course, the above doesn’t necessarily mean Mahrez will start both matches in Double Gameweek 36, but like Diaz, it does feel like he has now worked his way into the best XI, which should ensure plenty of minutes during the run-in.

Man City now face Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers knowing they can’t slip up in the title race, which offers huge potential for their assets to haul in Double Gameweek 36 and beyond.

A move for any City midfielder this week certainly carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed minutes, which makes him such an exciting differential for the remainder of the season.


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697 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Flynny
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Hi....who is the best option for gw36 and gw38?

    A.....richarlison with slight injury doubt

    B....Jesus (got kdb)

    Thanks

    1. Bavarian
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      B

    2. Fish up a tree
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 9 days ago

      B

  2. SmallManFirminoooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Play Gordon or Justin?

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Sounds like the last 2 kids to be picked in a game of 70s playground football.
      We'll take Gordon if we have to.

      1. Fish up a tree
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 9 days ago

        I remember it well!

        Worse if one the captains picking says you can have both of them!

        1. SmallManFirminoooo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          The 70s was brutal. Guess cryboy Gordon starts over Justin the fatso.

  3. putana
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    is ake preferred over zinchenko?

    1. Klaren
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      I think Zinchenko is preferred over Ake in LB as he was the one to play against Real Madrid but probably also depends on opponent.

    2. MyNameIsBigManRedro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Yes, if Walker’s not fit I’d expect Ake to start at LB

  4. Lionac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Having both Mount and Werner and 2FTs. Would you get rid of both or keep one?

    Was thinking both to Foden & Richarlison

    1. MyNameIsBigManRedro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 9 days ago

      I’d maybe just do Werner to Richa I think

    2. LeightonBaines
        3 months, 9 days ago

        FT 36 DGW
        I would go with this team personally:
        Shmeichel
        TTA, Alonso, Cancelo, James
        Saka, KDB(c), Kulusevski, Son
        Gabriel Jesus(v), Richarlison
        Bench: Lewis, Gordon, Tsimikas, Richardson
        Sell Mount and useless Werner.
        Bring in James and Alonso in Defense if you have funds.
        KDB and Jesus should be starters in every game as CIty is underwhelmed and eliminated from UCL.
        Foden at a rotation risk and it's a dubious decision to give him a shot at the moment.

    3. Jabba12
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      On FH

      a) KDB, Cancelo, Gordon
      b) Mahrez, Maddison, Jesus

      1. BobbyDoesNotLook
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        A

      2. EugeMurts
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 9 days ago

        B

    4. Klaren
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Best defender to replace White for 5.0 or below?

      I’ll FH in 37 and don’t need him to play GW38 so only GW36.

    5. Catch the Gus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Stick or twist?

      Maddison to Luis Diaz????

      1. MyNameIsBigManRedro
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Not really a fan of that

        1. Catch the Gus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          What about Havertz to Diaz and keep Maddison

    6. BantasyFootball
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Dubravka + Ramsey + Broja > Foster + Gordon + Nketiah (-8) ?

      (playing BB)

      1. MyNameIsBigManRedro
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 9 days ago

        No

    7. SmallManFirminoooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Go for it or not? Sterling to Mahrez and upgrade Dennis to Richarlison(-4).

      Will give me this BB team:

      Schmeichel Foster
      Matip TAA Alonso Cancelo Laporte
      Saka Son Salah Mahrez Gordon
      Nketiah Richarlison Pukki

      1. EugeMurts
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Do it

    8. coarseGravy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      I have a free transfer and a wildcard, not sure if I should do much here or maybe use the wildcard to get KDB in?

      current team
      Schmeichel
      TAA Robertson Cancelo
      Foden Salah Kulu Son Saka
      Nketiah Pukki

      ramsdale Fofana Weghorst Livramento

    9. C_G
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Play Robbo and Amartey?

    10. Super AL9
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Im about to play my wildcard for this GW, who would you change out of my 11? My bench choice is for next weeks DGW.

      Kasper, Cancel, Matip, Robertson, Alonso, KDB, Salah, Mahrez, Kulus, Saka, Eddie

      Subs - Vydra (DGW) Mateta (DGW) Clynn (DGW)

      1.7 ITB as well…..

    11. Dan D
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Who will score more ( have two free transfers)

        1) Foden and Matip /
        2) Luis Diaz and Migns(or any 5 point defender like ( holdate / digne Mikolenko ) /
        3) Mount and Matip

        worry about Foden min

      • Forgetmeknot
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        36 weeks of careful planning and I am left with a BB (before transfers) of:

        - Dubravka (single gw of Man City)
        - Doherty (injured)
        - Ramsay (injured)
        - Broja (single gw and unlikely to start)

      • Scheister
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Best sub 5.0 defender?

        A) Digne
        B) Mings
        C) Justin
        D) Mina
        E) Mykolenko

      • Scheister
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Think my last spot comes down to:

        A) Mina
        B) Mykolenko

      • ShEhZu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        I need help
        Schmeichel
        Laporte Cancelo TAA James
        Mount Son Kulusevski Salah Saka
        Pukki
        Bench : Foster, Emerson Royal, Mateta, Gelhartd

        I am planning on TC Salah this weekend or if i`m brave enough TC Son. GW37 will be a FH - I have 2 free transfers this GW. Is there anything I can do to improve this team?

      • THEKID_88
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Bench Coutinho or Kulu?

      • BarryFabregas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Sell one buy one
        Mount or Havertz

        Buy
        Diaz or Jota or Foden or Mahrez

        1. Dan D
            3 months, 9 days ago

            sell Both