Scout Reports

FPL new signings: Who is Liverpool forward Darwin Núñez?

Erling Haaland’s arrival at Manchester City has been followed by Liverpool’s capture of their own big-money forward.

It sees Darwin Núñez arrive from Benfica in a deal set to be worth an initial £64m, potentially rising to £85m with add-on fees.

The 22-year-old striker was linked to various Premier League teams but Jurgen Klopp’s side quickly wrapped up the transfer to avoid a bidding war with the likes of Manchester United and Newcastle United.

“Darwin is a wonderful player; already really good but so much potential to get even better. That’s why it’s so exciting, to be honest. He has all the pieces we look for. He can set a tempo, he brings energy, he can threaten space from central and wide areas. He is aggressive and dynamic with his movement.

“He plays without fear, he’s powerful. I know he will excite our supporters.” – Jurgen Klopp

He comes with a big fee and high expectations but where does the Uruguay international fit in at Liverpool and what impact will he have in Fantasy Premier League (FPL)?

We’ll attempt to answer those questions below.

THE HISTORY

SeasonTeamAppsGoalsAssists
2021/22Benfica28264
2020/21Benfica29610
2019/20Almeria30162
2019Peñarol330
2018Peñarol1010
2017Peñarol101

His explosive season for Benfica has continued a fast escalation. It didn’t take many Peñarol appearances until Almeria snapped him up for the Spanish Second Division. One fruitful year later and he was off to the Portuguese capital for around £20m, with Almeria now set to benefit further by receiving 20% of Benfica’s profit.

Five assists arrived in his first four matches, netting on the fifth attempt against Belenenses. Yet his first season was fairly unspectacular, with the first nine appearances after a hamstring injury all cameos off the bench.

The 2021/22 campaign was very different. A spectacular 26 goals from 28 league matches included a trio of hat-tricks and five braces. Knee surgery over the preceding summer meant Núñez missed the first two outings but he quickly made up for lost time.

He was likely already on Klopp’s radar before their sides met in the Champions League quarter-finals, such is the forward-thinking Liverpool transfer team that brought in fellow Liga Portugal star Luis Diaz.

However, he made sure he remained in Klopp’s thoughts after scoring in both legs against Liverpool. The first saw him race into the box to receive a cross from the right wing, whereas the second came from a long ball that his teammate couldn’t control so Núñez stepped in to coolly finish.

Additional goals came against Barcelona, Bayern Munich and Ajax to ensure his first Champions League experience brought an impressive six from ten matches.

PLAYING STYLE/UNDERLYING STATS

“He has a similar style to [Edinson] Cavani but it seems to me that Darwin is faster and more powerful. He has the power that [Luis] Suarez had to go for it all, to go to the clash and fight with the rival. He also has the part of Cavani, of being a much more athletic player, more physical, more intelligent. I think he is a combination of those two things.” – Former Peñarol manager Leonardo Ramos

At 6ft 2in tall, Núñez offers more of a physical presence than Liverpool’s other attackers. His five headed goals of last season are more than everyone in the Premier League, with Harry Kane, Diogo Jota and Danny Welbeck finishing on four.

NameMins per goalMins per shotMins per shot in the boxMins per shot on targetMins per chance created
Salah1212024.650.645
Diogo Jota160.326.730.475.160
Mane176.928.935.876.569
Firmino205.834.34993.564
Díaz241.325.435.774.248
Nunez76.523.431.646.266

A crude comparison of the underlying stats shows Nunez more than matching his new teammates for a number of the key metrics, although we do have to slap a hefty ‘Primeira Liga’ tax on those figures. Still, while the opposition calibre increases in the Premier League, so too does the quality of player around the young Uruguayan and the level of service he will receive.

One thing that really stands out from last season is his goal conversion: 30.8% of the shots he took in the Portuguese top flight ended up in the net. That’s a figure we don’t see often at all in the Premier League: indeed, in 2021/22, only two first-choice forwards bettered 20%, let alone 30%, with their shot-to-goal conversion rates.

Can Nunez get close to matching that figure in 2022/23? There has to be some scepticism, with the mandatory highlights reel featuring some iffy Iberian goalkeeping and his goal conversion rate in the previous campaign being a less impressive 10.3%.

With all this talk of goals, it’s easy to label Nunez as a centre-forward when he has also proven his effectiveness from out wide. According to WhoScored, he often cuts inside from the left and is a strong dribbler.

Still developing, Núñez’s weaknesses include holding onto the ball and general link-up play. He also wanders offside too often. Indeed, he strayed offside on 23 occasions throughout last season’s Liga Portugal – a rate of 0.8 per match that only Cristiano Ronaldo and Maxwel Cornet could outdo.

WHERE NUNEZ FITS IN AT LIVERPOOL

Above: League heatmaps for (left to right) Darwin Nunez, Sadio Mane, Diogo Jota and Luis Diaz, taken from SofaScore

Naturally, he’ll be seen as a Sadio Mane replacement should the Senegalese star depart for Bayern Munich, although his heatmap for last season seems to closely resemble Jota.

Like the Portugal international, he’s nominally a central striker but able to play on the left flank. Mane, as it happens, had made the reverse move in the closing stages of 2021/22, featuring increasingly as the spearhead of a three-man frontline after spending the bulk of his career at Anfield on the left wing.

Núñez possesses the versatility needed for Klopp’s fluid attack, so at times he could be an FPL forward playing as an inverted winger.

As Klopp evolves his team to overcome staleness and age, Liverpool now have the option to mix things up via Núñez’s aerial threat.

IS NUNEZ WORTH BUYING IN FPL?

FPL new signings: Who is Liverpool forward Darwin Núñez?

The thought of adding these headers to the crosses of Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andrew Robertson is spellbinding. No team totalled more deliveries than Liverpool’s 897, with 221 successful.

Beyond that, he joins a generally outstanding attack. For 2021/22, Mohamed Salah, Mane and Jota all ranked within the top five FPL options for shots inside the box, penalty area touches and expected goals.

What may force Fantasy managers to adopt a ‘wait and see’ policy is the words of Klopp himself. At least five attack-minded options will be competing for three places and the head coach may decide to ease the Uruguayan into action.

“It’s important we all recognise we are getting a ‘work in progress’ with Darwin. He recognises that himself, for sure. I love how much focus and humility he has. We have wonderful attacking options already and he becomes part of that now. So there is no pressure on him at all. He signs for a very long time and we intend to nurture his talent and see it grow.” – Jurgen Klopp

“His playing style – rampaging around central defenders like a bull and dragging them into wide channels – has always suggested broad shoulders, as has his resistance to difficulties. If there is a note of caution, it is that Núñez’s high-impact style could end up taking its toll on him in the Premier League.” – European expert Andy Brassell

It’s also worth noting that four of Nunez’s league strikes in 2021/22 came from the spot and it looks unlikely that he’ll be able to rely on penalties at Liverpool, with Salah typically taking charge from 12 yards whenever James Milner hasn’t been on the field.

Considering the less prolific Roberto Firmino has always started the season between £8.5m and £9.5m, Núñez will probably be towards the top-end of that price bracket. It may be best to watch him over the first month before deciding whether to pounce, although a strong pre-season will no doubt tempt suitors.


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FPLMarc88 Newcastle fan that spends far too much time thinking about FPL.”

198 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Andy_Social
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 days, 14 hours ago

    My feeling is he'll explode in the 22/23 season, but this season he'll be more of a Jota in terms of FPL - lot of subbing on and off, taking time to find his mojo.

    1. Zim0
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      9 days, 12 hours ago

      It is the 22/23 season. U mean 23/24?

      1. Andy_Social
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 days, 12 hours ago

        +-I don't consider the 22/23 season to have started yet. Maybe when we get the fixtures.

        1. Zim0
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          9 days, 12 hours ago

          Uhh what?

        2. Zim0
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          9 days, 12 hours ago

          So he's going to be subbed on and off in the 21/22 season that's already finished? 😆

          1. zeslinguer
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            If it’s any help you’re both wrong lol. This is ‘off season’

            1. Zim0
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              9 days, 12 hours ago

              Haha u got me 😉

          2. Andy_Social
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            Oh, hang on. I mean in the coming season, he'll be used like Jota. In the subsequent season we'll see him at his best.

            1. Zim0
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              9 days, 12 hours ago

              I know what u meant. Just having a bit of fun 😉

              1. Andy_Social
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                9 days, 12 hours ago

                I knew that 🙂

  2. NateDog
    • 1 Year
    9 days, 14 hours ago

    Admittedly I've seen a lot less of Nunez than Haaland, from the bits and pieces I've seen it seems his positioning and movement are his best assets and the main reasons why he got pretty much all of his goals last season. I can certainly understand the Cavani comparisons, he looks like he has superb heading ability and he seems quite athletic and happy to run and run. That being said (as mentioned in the article), a fair few of his goals were down to some pretty poor defending or keeping so we'll have to see how that goes, but watching Tifo's video on him he seems to peel away towards the back post very well for crosses, I'm likely to start with Robbo but can see TAA making a heap of chances (and goals) for him.

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 days, 13 hours ago

      It's his finishing that is elite. He outperformed his xG by a huge amount.

      I don't think he's as good as Haaland at positioning and movement personally. And he seems a bit gangly on the ball. There's room to improve there in terms of link-up play.

      1. NateDog
        • 1 Year
        9 days, 13 hours ago

        I'd disagree his finishing is elite. He absolutely has it in him to score some very nice goals (his goal at Anfield being an example) but looking back on last season about 10 of his goals were deflections, shots the keepers got a hand to +/ should have saved or open goals, then throw in penalties too (which I'm not convinced by either in terms of placement and power but like Salah he seems to simply know how to send a keeper the wrong way which is generally enough).

  3. Little Red Lacazette
    • 5 Years
    9 days, 14 hours ago

    Father of football evolution.

  4. Nostalgic Thuggery
    • 9 Years
    9 days, 14 hours ago

    a natural FPL selection

  5. Andy_Social
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 days, 14 hours ago

    Excl: Nottingham Forest have opened talks with Manchester United to sign Dean Henderson on loan with option to buy [around £20m].

    Could prove popular 'round these parts.

    1. Kun Tozser
      • 6 Years
      9 days, 14 hours ago

      Such a shame Samba won’t be there, cult hero

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 6 Years
      9 days, 11 hours ago

      Also looks like Garner will be not coming again due to PL rules

  6. Inazuma X1
    • 4 Years
    9 days, 13 hours ago

    Another leak / rumour: Spurs v Southampton GW1

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 days, 13 hours ago

      It's literally tomorrow. Just wait. I'm not reading anything into these leaked fixtures.

      1. jay01
        • 7 Years
        9 days, 13 hours ago

        The person leaking is quite reliable i have been following his content all season

    2. Drumandbaines123
      • 1 Year
      9 days, 13 hours ago

      All aboard the Kane, Son & Kulu train for GW1...

      1. KujaliaFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 days, 13 hours ago

        Jan Bednarek will make you regret that.

      2. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        9 days, 12 hours ago

        Think I’d consider it. (Kane being a Halland placeholder)

      3. NateDog
        • 1 Year
        9 days, 12 hours ago

        Soton took 4pts from Spurs last season including beating them under Conte. Granted that game made me decide to go for Kane just as he kicked into form as he made and had numerous chances but I'm not too sure it'd be a straightforward start if true

        1. Inazuma X1
          • 4 Years
          9 days, 8 hours ago

          Spurs struggle against teams that press

          1. Andy_Social
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            Eriksen should fix that.

  7. McSauce
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 days, 13 hours ago

    Question -
    how does one remove fantasy football fix from fantasy premier league site?

    It's very annoying!

    1. SonnyPikey
        9 days, 12 hours ago

        what?

      • zeslinguer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        9 days, 12 hours ago

        Is it overlaying data onto the fpl website? I’d check your extension manager and delete it

    2. Bavarian
      • 4 Years
      9 days, 13 hours ago

      Just to feel older 🙂 ; When will the numbers beside our names change?

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 days, 13 hours ago

        They already have? I'm now at 12 not 11.

        1. Bavarian
          • 4 Years
          9 days, 13 hours ago

          Didn't change for me, still stuck at 4

        2. St Pauli Walnuts
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          8 days, 19 hours ago

          Posting to check what me number is!

      2. RedRo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 days, 13 hours ago

        I suspect it’s probably based on date joined rather than seasons. E.g. you join 15th Oct - it goes up. Could be wrong though.

        1. NateDog
          • 1 Year
          9 days, 13 hours ago

          I think it's this, I lurked here 2 summers ago but don't think I actually joined for a few months, pretty sure I remember getting my 1 last October or November

        2. Deulofail
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          9 days, 12 hours ago

          Yeah, mine changes on 23 or 24 January

      3. meerlight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 days, 10 hours ago

        On the renewal date on your profile, presuming you cough up the dosh

        1. RedLightning
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          9 days, 9 hours ago

          It's on the anniversary of your first registering your FFS username - you don't have to be a premium (paying) member.

    3. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      9 days, 13 hours ago

      Where would you say the cut-off is between mid-price and premium? 8.5/9.0?

      1. Little Red Lacazette
        • 5 Years
        9 days, 13 hours ago

        For mids/forwards premium >= 9.0
        For defs premium >= 6.0
        For goalies premium >= 5.5

        1. LangerznMash
          • 5 Years
          9 days, 12 hours ago

          ^this.

          Maybe 9.5 for mids/forwards

    4. FFS Ultras are for Kinnear
      • 9 Years
      9 days, 13 hours ago

      The next Diego Forlan

      1. JBG
        • 4 Years
        9 days, 12 hours ago

        Hopefully Nunez will have the same impact on Liverpool as Forlan had on MU.

    5. jay01
      • 7 Years
      9 days, 13 hours ago

      The person leaking the fixtures is quite reliable in my opinion and has been accurate all season. Ofc nothing is guaranteed but he is saying:

      City do not have Bournemouth
      Tottenham vs Southampton

      So far

    6. FFFoxy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      9 days, 12 hours ago

      Do we think the game will launch tomorrow alongside fixtures release. Anyone any ideas?

      1. SonnyPikey
          9 days, 12 hours ago

          lol no

        • Little Red Lacazette
          • 5 Years
          9 days, 12 hours ago

          No. Launch for next week.

          1. SonnyPikey
              9 days, 12 hours ago

              bit early. prob start of july

          2. Zim0
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            You'll find out when they start teasing prices. Probably releases within 3 days of that

          3. Camzy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            No. I agree with RedLightning's timeline which is Wednesday next week.

            Fixtures tomorrow. Prices being teased starting Friday or maybe Monday. Game released on Wed.

          4. Arn De Gothia
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 days, 10 hours ago

            no, but the madness starts, soon price reveals and more madness and then, BANG! 4 weeks of endless RMT:s

          5. KnightSlayer
            • 10 Years
            9 days, 10 hours ago

            I think usually in July

            1. KnightSlayer
              • 10 Years
              9 days, 10 hours ago

              Ok good to hear it is earlier

            2. RedLightning
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 11 Years
              9 days, 9 hours ago

              It used to wait till after the Sky and Telegraph games had launched, and they didn't release any prices in advance. Now it's one of the first, and we know it's getting close when they start releasing prices.

              In 11/12 it opened on 20th July,
              12/13: 19 July,
              13/14: 15 July,
              14/15: 18 July,
              15/16: 9 July,
              16/17: 19 July,
              17/18: 12 July,
              18/19: 5 July

              19/20: 27 June,
              20/21: 15 August,
              21/22: 22 June.

              So it's been in June for two of the last three seasons - 20/21 was a one-off because of the extremely late finish to the previous season, which had been extended because of Covid.

        • Is one premium mid or forward enough?
          Babit1967
          • 6 Years
          9 days, 12 hours ago

          Early doors here but anyone tempted by one premium & filling the rest of the team with a decent first 11 ie good mid priced options like TAA, Dias, Kulu, Maddison etc.

          1. Zim0
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            I'm considering it but I need the prices first

          2. KujaliaFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            If you have too many mid-priced options, you can miss out on building team value through the proverbial Ramsey/Pukki/Saka/Lundstram

            1. Zim0
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              9 days, 12 hours ago

              U just have to jump on that player when they show themselves though and u can downgrade any of the non-performing midpriced options for that easily.

              1. KujaliaFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                9 days, 12 hours ago

                I see what you mean. Mid-priced established FPL assets allow you to downgrade to the shiny 4.0 defender, and the next week, you the money you fee up can be invested into a premium with good fixtures?

                1. Zim0
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  9 days, 12 hours ago

                  Yessir

          3. LangerznMash
            • 5 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            Possibly, transferring the one £10m+ player for upside chasing.

            You could build a solid squad with no weak links doing this and cuts out captaincy choice headaches between multiple premium options.
            Something like...
            5.0,
            8.0, 7.0, 7.0, 6.0
            12.5, 8.5, 7.5, 6.5
            7.5, 7.0
            (4.0, 4.5, 4.5, 4.5)
            allows 4 x premium defenders and 5 x mid-range mids/fws to go with your premium captaincy pick.

          4. Andy_Social
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            I'm along those lines. My draft has Haaland and no one else in double figures.

            1. jay01
              • 7 Years
              9 days, 10 hours ago

              Can Son vs Southampton change that for you

          5. RedLightning
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 11 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            I'll probably have two premiums from different clubs for captaincy purposes.
            And the rest are likely to be a mixture of mid and low priced options.
            With only one premium, he has to be a set and forget captain, such as Salah has been in the past (but is he still?).

            1. Zim0
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              9 days, 12 hours ago

              Haaland could be that. Premium defenders could be a captaincy option as well so we won't have to permacap. Diaz might also turn out to be a good captaincy option.

            2. RedLightning
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 11 Years
              9 days, 12 hours ago

              But a structure such as that suggested by Langerznmash might perhaps be an equally good or maybe even a better option.
              I'll consider both possibilities.

              1. Zim0
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                9 days, 12 hours ago

                How about this?

                5 4
                7.5 7 6 5 4.5
                9.5 8.5 8 7 4.5
                12 7 4.5

          6. zeslinguer
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            9 days, 12 hours ago

            I’ll probably pick the two premiums with the best fixtures then trade them in and out as the fixtures change

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              9 days, 12 hours ago

              In my book, premiums are by definition fixture-proof.
              By going with Haaland as my only premium, I am intending to permacap him. If he flops, Kane stands in.

              1. Andy_Social
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                9 days, 12 hours ago

                The cost structure for my current draft going of Camzy's prices:

                6 4
                8.5 7.5 6 6 4.5
                9.5 8 6.5 6.5 5.5
                12 5.5 4.5

                1. CAVEAT KING
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  9 days, 11 hours ago

                  The above will restrict you if you need to jump onto a premium mid. It could work. Maybe easier though to maneuver a mid for captain. A safer route anyway.

                  1. Andy_Social
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    9 days, 11 hours ago

                    Can be done with a 2FT. Either lose an expensive defender or one of the 2 most expensive midfielders.

                    1. CAVEAT KING
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 8 Years
                      9 days, 11 hours ago

                      Fair enough but why plan 2 transfers before you start. Another issue is highly owned fails drop like a stone. The chances are there will be other transfer on the table early on. Just a viewpoint though.

                      1. Andy_Social
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 9 Years
                        9 days, 11 hours ago

                        I'm not. I'm just saying IF a premium mid became desirable, I could get to him. I think my squad looks resilient, meaning I hope to keep transfers to a minimum and avoid hits for a while. For now, anyway.

                        1. CAVEAT KING
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 8 Years
                          9 days, 11 hours ago

                          You know how to play the game bud. I guarantee as you have surely experienced the past, there will be a multitude of ideas in your head. Just wait for fixtures, pre season and transfers. Then it gets even more interesting. (Smile)

                    2. Uncle Baby Billy
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 1 Year
                      9 days, 11 hours ago

                      Keep the Belgian

                      1. Andy_Social
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 9 Years
                        9 days, 11 hours ago

                        Lost already. I do have a trio of Scandis, or 'horny hat pillagers' for the 'racists' reading 😉

                        1. Nostalgic Thuggery
                          • 9 Years
                          8 days, 22 hours ago

                          just tell them to belgium off

              2. zeslinguer
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                9 days, 11 hours ago

                Depends what you mean by fixture proof. I don't really see it as a binary 'this player will score in the easy games but not in the hard games' thing, but I see it more as 'do I expect this premium (or any player for that matter) to have a lower output against harder teams?', to which the answer is always yes imo. Like i don't think the premiums have 0% chance of scoring in the harder games, but I do think that in the long run their output will be lower against tougher competition. I think that's true for every player. E.g last season xGI/90 for games vs top 6 compared to xGI/90 in games against the other 14:

                Salah 1.05 vs 0.9
                Son 0.64 vs 0.64 (so fixture proof for last season, but I doubt this would hold across multiple seasons)
                KDB: 0.59 vs 0.48

                I think every player from Mo Diame to Mo Salah would have lesser returns against stronger opposition. And making the choice to not switch big hitters could be even more dangerous when there are lots of them (due to their capacity to score a lot of points, be well owned and be well captained). If you get into a situation where you have stuck with, say KDB and Salah when they play each other and Son has Forest at home... well I hope you have a big sofa haha

                1. Andy_Social
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  9 days, 11 hours ago

                  Sure, I get that and I think it's valid re. choice for captaincy in a given GW. But I wouldn't sell Salah just because he faces City one GW as I'd want him for the following games. Otherwise, you're tying up transfers and losing money.

                  1. zeslinguer
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    9 days, 11 hours ago

                    Oh definitely not for one but say City have 4 green fixtures while Liverpool have 4 red ones I'd happily roll with KDB and Haaland and then switch them to say Salah and Nunez when the fixture turns and I'd expect a decent point gain from it.

                    1. Andy_Social
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 9 Years
                      9 days, 11 hours ago

                      It's a somewhat unlikely scenario, but if the fixtures did fall that way, I'd agree with you.

                      1. zeslinguer
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 6 Years
                        9 days, 11 hours ago

                        idk, across a span of 38 games I'd think it will be very likely that every premium will have good fixture runs and have bad. Even if you take it in blocks of ~10 games, there will definitely be patches where some premiums outperform others due to the fixtures. Even if one of them has 6 home games in that time and the other has 4 I'd expect a swing. The other thing is we've been largely in a situation where all you needed was Salah from the premium bracket the last few years and you'd be ok (I'm stretching the truth a little bit here). But this season I think we'll have more premiums options than usual so a greater need to switch them in and out.

                        1. zeslinguer
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 6 Years
                          9 days, 11 hours ago

                          and I'm not talking extremes necessarily. But say one premium has West Ham (a), Leicester (a), Chelsea (h), Newcastle (a) and the other has Man U (h), Forest (a), Leicester (h), Newcastle (h) - I'd still expect a decent swing in favour of the latter. Add in injuries, fixture congestion etc being favourable to the latter player and I think you'd have a decision to make if you were sat on the first big hitter.

          7. Camzy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            No.

            I want two captains.

          8. NateDog
            • 1 Year
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            I can see the value in it structurally, but I think there will be a fair few worthwhile premiums this season so I don't think I'll have less than 2 at any point this season

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              9 days, 11 hours ago

              We're talking about the first squad, when TV is 100m. Later on, more are possible. So, realistically, we're looking at either 1 or 2. 2 is the common choice and I might end up with it, but I'm looking at a decent starting line-up if I only have 1 premium at the moment. 2 premiums means a weaker defence than I like.

              1. NateDog
                • 1 Year
                9 days, 11 hours ago

                I suppose it depends on what the other options are that you're looking at and whether having only one defined regular captaincy option is enough and how the money is spread. I'm generally predisposed to trying to have a solid squad rather than just an XI (covid or not) so normally I'd lean in this direction, but I'm hoping going with Son and Haaland will mean I won't have to sacrifice much elsewhere (as opposed to going with Salah and Kane, for example). All conjecture until prices are out anyway

                1. Andy_Social
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  9 days, 10 hours ago

                  One point we can discuss now id bench-strength. Last season, I maintained 13 viable outfielders due to covid. This time I think 11 is fine as with the 5-sub rule, the second and third sub will likely be less called upon - except for injuries, which you can cover with transfers.

          9. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Yes, this is something I'm considering

          10. Arn De Gothia
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 days, 10 hours ago

            im trying to do it, but as usual it wont go so

          11. Inazuma X1
            • 4 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            EO will destroy you if you pick just one premium

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              9 days, 8 hours ago

              I've never given a fig about EO. I just pick the players I think will get the points.

          12. FPLGOOD
            • 2 Years
            1 day, 11 hours ago

            Interestingly today this LiveFPL draft got me the most points for first 5 gw (by aggressively moving Sancho/Maddison to the likes of Bowen/Kulu GW2 and GW3).

            Just not sure if I dare to go without Haaland. Also I just might have my variables all over the place...

            Raya (Sanchez)
            TAA, VVD, Tierney, Chilwell, Perisic
            Salah, Sancho, Saka, Maddison (Caicedo)
            Jesus (Gelhardt, Greenwood)

            I'm assuming here Jesus goes to Arsenal of course.

        • Milk, 1 Šuker
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 days, 11 hours ago

          Rumours circulating that Dean Henderson could be replacing Brice Samba as Forest no.1. Would love that to happen as a Forest fan, as I personally think he is an upgrade on Samba. I would be tempted at 4.5m.

          1. Andy_Social
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Yeah, I posted about it earlier and suggested he'd be a popular choice at 4.5m

          2. Uncle Baby Billy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Whether or not he goes to Forest, I can't see him being 4.5m.

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              9 days, 11 hours ago

              If the transfer goes through after the prices are out, he'll be a 5m United player. But if he's a Forest player when he's priced, he should be 4.5. I think time is against that, though.

        • Who's the first name on your team sheet for this season???
          G-Whizz
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 4 Years
          9 days, 11 hours ago

          In the past seasons this has usually been an easy question to answer and I've normally started with Salah and worked my way from there, but this year he won't be the first name on my team sheet...

          Haaland will be popular with many and I'm not saying I'm not tempted myself 😆 but if you take any prices out of the equation, who will be the first name on your team sheet this season?

          1. Andy_Social
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            It is Haaland for me.

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 11 hours ago

              Sensible lad...

          2. mynameisq
            • 8 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Salah/Trent of course

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 9 hours ago

              Normally that would be my choice but maybe I'm overthinking it but I really fance Mané over Salah this season, at least to start with...

              1. Andy_Social
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                9 days, 9 hours ago

                Don't go on the internet then - you'll be sorely disappointed.

                1. G-Whizz
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 4 Years
                  9 days, 9 hours ago

                  *Gets on Twitter* 😆

              2. mynameisq
                • 8 Years
                9 days, 8 hours ago

                Bundesliga fpl? 😛

          3. jay01
            • 7 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Haaland for everyone..aside from him.. Son vs Southampton in the first week is too good to not have him for

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 9 hours ago

              You're not wrong!

              I've always liked having him in my teams...

          4. CAVEAT KING
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Son until further notice

          5. zeslinguer
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Cancelo and a Liverpool FB the only guarantees I think then whichever two big hitters have the best fixtures. Saying that if Salah is sat with 60% ownership then I'll probably get him even if I don't like the fixtures. Probably sub-optimal but I know I will bow to peer pressure haha

          6. Camzy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Cancelo is the first name on my team sheet.

            1. Camzy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              9 days, 10 hours ago

              I think it's super obvious. Cancelo had 5 xG last season and only scored 1 goal last year, plus he took the most shots of any City player. He's still as important as ever for City, they are the best and most fixture proof team.

              There's almost nothing that will make me not pick him. The fact TAA exists also means he won't be priced at like 8.5m or something which is what it would take for me to consider not getting him.

              1. Andy_Social
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                9 days, 10 hours ago

                TAA and Cancelo are the mainstays of my defence. You could say they're inked in with Haaland. No one else is totally nailed at this point.

                1. G-Whizz
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 4 Years
                  9 days, 9 hours ago

                  I can't start a season without them, but not sure they'll be my first pick. Still not sure who I'll bestow that honour to this year lol

              2. Ooh Ah Cantona
                • 1 Year
                9 days, 7 hours ago

                I think Id get Stones or Laporte instead of Cancelo, if it meant saving 1.5m

            2. Inazuma X1
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 8 hours ago

              If City sign Cucurella, would Cancelo still be the first name in your team?

              1. Andy_Social
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                9 days, 8 hours ago

                Would in mine. It would take time for Cucurella to learn Pep's system.

          7. NateDog
            • 1 Year
            9 days, 11 hours ago

            Funnily enough it was actually Bowen for a time, now I'm not too sure if I definitely will have him. The plan is Haaland, Son, Diaz but I can't fully rule out the possibility of it ending up as KDB, Kulu, Salah or something different. If Jesus goes to Arsenal I may pick him or Saka, or neither. I've had Chilwell set in my mind for a while yet if Chelsea don't get Kounde or it's dragged out for a while I may steer clear with their defensive losses. All feels quite up in the air yet in a way that feels fun.

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 9 hours ago

              Nice 🙂

              Love your midfield plan too...

          8. Arn De Gothia
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 days, 10 hours ago

            son

          9. Zim0
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            9 days, 10 hours ago

            Haaland

          10. Matjes_taet
            • 4 Years
            9 days, 10 hours ago

            Mitrovic

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 9 hours ago

              I like it...

          11. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
            • 5 Years
            9 days, 9 hours ago

            Cancelo

          12. Oscar Slater
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            9 days, 9 hours ago

            Harry Maguire.

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 9 hours ago

              😆

          13. RogDog_jimmy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            9 days, 9 hours ago

            I always start with the keepers.
            So Im guessing the first name will be be backup 4.0 keeper for Bournemouth.

          14. ritzyd
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            9 days, 9 hours ago

            Whoever the site picks when i try to get a single digit team ID

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 9 hours ago

              After that, who's your first pick...

              1. ritzyd
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                9 days, 9 hours ago

                Salah - boring but i see no reason not to start with him unless fixtures are crazy then TAA then Cancelo, likely Haaland too

                Liking the broad idea of a mid premium and fwd premium slot

                1. Andy_Social
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  9 days, 9 hours ago

                  For me the reason not to start with him is his form over the last half season.

                  1. RogDog_jimmy
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 1 Year
                    9 days, 9 hours ago

                    he's getting a rest over the summer whereas everyone else seems to be playing games non-stop.
                    he also doesn't have WC to worry about.
                    AND i think they'll rely on him a lot for continuity with Mane leaving and with the new/younger forwards.

                    i like Salah a lot for this season.

                    1. ritzyd
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 4 Years
                      9 days, 9 hours ago

                      Same, agreed. Plus you know what you are getting with him

                    2. NateDog
                      • 1 Year
                      9 days, 8 hours ago

                      He hasn't actually been having much of a rest though, he played for Egypt through an injury that Liverpool wanted to scan but he refused as he knew they'd want him to not play, then worsened the injury to the point where he hasn't been fit enough to play their last couple of games. Not an ideal start to preseason

                      1. RogDog_jimmy
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 1 Year
                        9 days, 8 hours ago

                        ah - interesting. didn't realise that was why he wasn't playing.
                        thanks!

                        1. NateDog
                          • 1 Year
                          9 days, 8 hours ago

                          I imagine he'll be fine but I don't think he's exactly helping himself with renegotiations with stuff like this!

          15. Jordan.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            trent

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              8 days, 17 hours ago

              Then Salah?

          16. Little Red Lacazette
            • 5 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            I always start with a 4.5/4.0 keeper combo. Then will add TAA/Robbo and the Cancel man. Then build from there.

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              8 days, 17 hours ago

              Makes sense. I'm wondering if Dean Henderson might fit that criteria...

              1. Andy_Social
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                8 days, 17 hours ago

                Unfortunately, he'll probably be priced as a United keeper before he completes his move, so he'll more likely be 5.0m

                1. G-Whizz
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 4 Years
                  8 days, 17 hours ago

                  Someone get on the phone to Forest and tell them to complete today 😆

                  I think you might be right there...

          17. Inazuma X1
            • 4 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            TAA

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              8 days, 17 hours ago

              Over Salah?

          18. diesel001
            • 5 Years
            9 days, 7 hours ago

            Trippier

            1. ritzyd
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 7 hours ago

              Very high on my list but price dependent. 5m and he's a lock for GW1, 5.5m and that's a tough price point

            2. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              8 days, 17 hours ago

              Good shout!

          19. cutch
            • 7 Years
            9 days, 6 hours ago

            Robertson

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              8 days, 17 hours ago

              Fair play...

              Didn't he finish last season stronger than Trent?

          20. Eh, just one more thing ...
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 days, 6 hours ago

            Trent.

          21. LangerznMash
            • 5 Years
            8 days, 17 hours ago

            KdB

            1. G-Whizz
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 4 Years
              8 days, 17 hours ago

              Surprised he hasn't been mentioned sooner tbh...

              1. Andy_Social
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                8 days, 17 hours ago

                It's because many of us suspect Haaland will take his goals away, and additional assists won't make up for that.

          22. Jafalad
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            4 days, 19 hours ago

            Bamford, Rasmussen or Aaronson.

        • Andy_Social
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 days, 10 hours ago

          Saiss - gorrrn

          Romain Saïss signs as new Besiktas player until June 2024, deal finally completed after medical in the morning.

          Saïss joins the club on a free move after spending 6 years at Wolves.

        • Maradona10sean
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          9 days, 9 hours ago

          i saw the first touch of nunez
          its rough gentemen

          #shocking
          #backtobenfica next year

        • Maradona10sean
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          9 days, 9 hours ago

          haaland will get injured at frantic speeds in the epl

          1. Zim0
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            That's why u should start with him and get his returns before he gets injured 😉

            1. Maradona10sean
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              9 days, 7 hours ago

              this never dawned upon my thoughts lol

        • Trent Robbo 66✅
          • 10 Years
          9 days, 9 hours ago

          First name on your team sheet is......?

          1. Andy_Social
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 days, 9 hours ago

            ...discussed about 2 posts above.

          2. el polako
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            Luis Diaz.

        • Andy_Social
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 days, 9 hours ago

          Ahead of tomorrow, a spot of sanity:

          Premier League to scrap fixtures between Boxing Day and New Year in a shake-up for the 22/23 season. The traditional Dec 28/29 games will be moved in a bid to ease clubs back in after the World Cup.

          1. Monty the Magpie
            • 4 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            That's me off the hook then. December usually red arrows the clart out of me.

          2. Zim0
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            Woohoo

          3. mynameisq
            • 8 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            Tradition 🙁

          4. Little Red Lacazette
            • 5 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            This is great, in those Dec 28/29 fixtures, I usually put out a bus team as I can not be too much bothered to plan at that time.

          5. RedLightning
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 11 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            So the only Premier League fixtures in December to be on Boxing Day?
            I might rename the January to May League as the Post World Cup (December to May) League - for one season only.

            1. RedLightning
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 11 Years
              9 days, 8 hours ago

              ... or perhaps it might still start in January as usual - I'll have to think about it.
              (Will the Second Wildcard now start on Boxing Day instead of in January?)

        • Dynamic Duos
          • 8 Years
          9 days, 8 hours ago

          22/23 season of the striker

          1. mynameisq
            • 8 Years
            9 days, 8 hours ago

            Read that as stinker

            1. Maradona10sean
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              9 days, 7 hours ago

              lol

          2. Maradona10sean
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            9 days, 7 hours ago

            year of the centre forward

        • Dynamic Duos
          • 8 Years
          9 days, 8 hours ago

          Just going to have 6 players this season

          Haaland
          Nunez
          Son
          Diaz
          TAA
          Cancelo

        • Inazuma X1
          • 4 Years
          9 days, 7 hours ago

          Does a PL season never start with a big game?

          Teams playing against teams in top 6

          1. Dynamic Duos
            • 8 Years
            9 days, 7 hours ago

            We will find out tomorrow

          2. Van der Faart
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 days, 7 hours ago

            Spurs v City last season

            1. Inazuma X1
              • 4 Years
              9 days, 7 hours ago

              Ah yeah

        • child of God
          • 4 Years
          9 days, 6 hours ago

          Hellooo everybody. Tell me you missed me haha

          1. daitheboot
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 days, 5 hours ago

            Are you the messiah or just a very naughty boy?

        • Ooh Ah Cantona
          • 1 Year
          9 days, 6 hours ago

          I'm not starting the season with Haaland.
          I haven't forgot the lessons learnt from last season with regards forwards in general. This lesson is inbedded into modern football team structure surrounding the role of today's forwards, and makes no player exceptions!
          This coupled with any player will take a full season to adapt to "the Pep philosophy" ala Grealish, and there's nothing to suggest Haaland will be immune to Pep roulette.

          1. ritzyd
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            9 days, 4 hours ago

            Yeah, everyone seems to be forgetting they also signed Alvarez too so would expect him to be involved in the first team squad and deputise for Haaland to give him some rest.

            1. Ooh Ah Cantona
              • 1 Year
              9 days, 4 hours ago

              Id forgotten about Julian Alvarez too!

        • jay01
          • 7 Years
          9 days, 5 hours ago

          Crystal Palace vs Arsenal is the other fixture leaked

        • Lindelol
          • 3 Years
          9 days, 5 hours ago

          TAA could again be season keeper? Which other players do you think could be season keepers? Cancelo may be?

          1. Zim0
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            9 days, 4 hours ago

            Was he a season keeper? It would have been perfectly fine to get rid of him by the second half of the season. Especially if u shifted to Robertson. Then u really won out.

            1. Ooh Ah Cantona
              • 1 Year
              9 days, 4 hours ago

              Or even better yet, if you'd shifted to Matip for the last few weeks

          2. FPL Pillars
            • 5 Years
            9 days, 4 hours ago

            Hendo or Pope if they came in at 4.5 would be 😛

            1. Sillet Bang
              • 12 Years
              8 days, 21 hours ago

              Both should be 5m