Spot the Differential
19 August 2022 1619 comments
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Gameweek 3 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Leicester City and Brighton and Hove Albion, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

KAI HAVERTZ

Havertz shines again as Arsenal impress in FPL Double Gameweek 29 opener 6
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: lee | LEI | sou | WHU | ful

Kai Havertz (£7.9m) should have scored against Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 2, as Reece James’ (£6.1m) cross was put past the post by the German.

However, he led the line well, combining effectively with fellow attackers Raheem Sterling (£10.0m) and Mason Mount (£8.0m), and now faces Leeds United on Sunday.

Beyond that, the Blues’ fixtures look great right up until the international break, particularly from an attacking perspective. Indeed, not one of their next four opponents have kept a clean sheet this season, conceding a whopping 18 goals between them.

Across Chelsea’s opening two matches against Everton and Spurs, Havertz has attempted five shots, all inside the box. Notably, he’s also posted team-leading totals for penalty box touches, shots on target and headed goal attempts.

In Gameweek 2, Havertz was deployed alongside Sterling in a front two and given considerable freedom to roam. It was an interesting system that resembled a 4-2-2-2 in possession and relied upon James and Marc Cucurella (£5.0m) for width, which can only be a good thing for Havertz’s goalscoring prospects moving forwards, given both wing-backs crossing ability.

Havertz is owned by just 3.9% of FPL managers, and whilst difficult to fit in, could be a smart differential to take advantage of Chelsea’s kind run.

JAMIE VARDY

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £9.5m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: SOU | che | MUN | bha | AVL

Jamie Vardy (£9.5m) is an intriguing differential pick in Gameweek 3, given that opponents Southampton have failed to keep a single away clean sheet in the Premier League since October 2021.

On average, they have conceded 2.6 goals per game during that run, suggesting Vardy can net his first haul of the season on Saturday.

The veteran forward looks to be Leicester City’s first-choice forward again in 2022/23, starting his team’s first two matches and assisting Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall’s (£5.0m) strike against Brentford.  He is also on penalties and managed 15 Premier League goals last season, highlighting his FPL points potential.

Leicester haven’t got off to a great start, drawing with Brentford and losing at Arsenal, but they have scored four goals, so their attacking output hasn’t necessarily been affected. It’s also worth noting that they ranked fifth for goals scored (62) in 2021/22, with just under 55% of those goals arriving on home turf.

The swift turnaround between fixtures in Gameweeks 5 and 6 are possibly ones to watch for Vardy, given that Brendan Rodgers may manage his minutes, but there’s no Europe this season, which does help.

Vardy is a real livewire in the final third and an explosive differential for this forthcoming round of fixtures.

LEWIS DUNK

Fit-again Dunk a tempting FPL differential with goal threat and clean sheet potential 1
  • FPL ownership: 2.5%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: whu | LEE | ful | LEI | bou

Lewis Dunk (£4.5m) is a solid performer for Brighton and Hove Albion, and should now tick along nicely given his fixtures.

The Albion captain played a pivotal role in helping his side keep a clean sheet against Newcastle United in Gameweek 2, and that defensive solidity, combined with the 30-year-old’s threat from set-pieces, is appealing.

Last season, Dunk ranked 17th among all defenders for shots in the box, but in 2020/21 was second, so there does seem to be some potential for points at both ends of the pitch.

Despite losing two of last season’s star players, Yves Bissouma (£5.0m) and Cucurella, Graham Potter’s side have started the campaign unbeaten. They have won at Manchester United and then followed that result up with a goalless draw against the Magpies, a game in which they deserved to win.

Now, Brighton don’t face another top-six side until Liverpool and Spurs in October. In fact, their run from Gameweeks 3 to 8 sees them sit top of our Season Ticker, with particularly appealing matchups against Leeds United, Fulham and Bournemouth to come.

At just £4.5m, Dunk is decent value and could be a great enabler, allowing you to push more money further forward.



1,619 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Tomerick
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Can’t believe Mount just dropped ahead of Leeds

    1. Tomerick
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      At last, a worthy top post

    2. SHOOTER MCGINN
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sellers will regret

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Agree - hold if possible to until after transfer window close & squads settled

    3. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A haul would be sweet

    4. The Senate
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yep, wouldn’t be selling if I had him

    5. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      And Robbo and Bowen ...

    6. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      One more drop before next GW

    7. el polako
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Really depends on the Conte's tactics, against Spurs he was playing quite wide for the whole game.

    8. Mr. O'Connell
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Leeds, Leicester, Southampton. Doesn't get better than that. Let people have their Rodrigos, Großs and extra 0.1s. We will deal exclusively in points from now on.

      1. Tomerick
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Here’s hoping!

    9. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      On WC, might just bring him in.

    10. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I couldn't believe he'd be so quiet in the first two GWs, but here we are.

    11. masewindu
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Is he worth a hit if u had Da Silva/Aaranson/Andreas Mid? Or wait and play Patterson or one of the mentioned midfielders ??

      1. Tomerick
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I don’t think you need to rip up your team for him but I wouldn’t be getting rid either. I’d have a plan to get him in the next couple if I were you though as he’s gonna smash it soon.

  2. SHOOTER MCGINN
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Walker, Zinchenko or Gabriel?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If already have City def Zinchenko

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not Walket

    3. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zinc

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gabriel. Dreams can come true

  3. Blue Moon Rising
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Neto to Dasilva?

    1. The Philosopher
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      As bad as Neto has been, he's still a better option than Dasilva imo

  4. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I really can't pick between Mount, Diaz and Kulu.

    Currently thinking Mount...

    1. el polako
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same here, I got Foden in the mix too.

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ahh don't add another one...

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kulu GW1 Diaz GW2 and ... GW3?

    3. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Interesting, I switched Mount to Kulu on my WC

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Spurs spent a lot on Richarlison to keep him benched. That's my worry with Kulu

        1. C0YS
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Supposedly they don’t even compete for the same spot in the squad. He’s probably more of a Kane/Son rest option

  5. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If people have not realised their issue of asking, which 4.9 or 4.5 midfielder should I start then I do not know anymore...

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Gambling is full of doubt

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It’s ok, union said we don’t have to answer these questions any more. With inflation where it’s at these questions are about to come thick and fast. Best duck and cover.

    3. MYNAMEISBigtopmark.sman
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      In all seriousness, who is the best 4.5 to 4 9 midfielder? Thanks

      1. Andy_Social
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        The most popular one is Andreas. I'd say he and Bailey are the best at the moment. Could be DaSilva too.

  6. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Post fail on previous page...

    But yeah Robbo and Neto > James and Gross as my 2ft?

  7. Zenith UK
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Valar, you here?

    If yes, in answer to your question back on page 7/8 - I am set on Sanchez mate yes.

    I know what you mean regarding Robbo & 4.5 FWD > Neco & Toney, but I think Robertson will still do the business and Toney is a troll, plus I think Williams is slightly overhyped. He should be on 1 point right now (got lucky with the CS against West Ham - missed penalty and we hit the underside of the bar twice).

    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I watched the forest game and neco was immense. Shouldn't have got a cs but should have got an assist/ goal instead. On all set pieces, playing very high up, great cross on him.. he is non negotiable for me considering his price point. Toney ticks along nicely too. As long as you hold him for 10+ gws and not rage transfer him out when Brentford lose/ he gets nothing in a 4-0 win he is mint. Also we are on WC so I prefer playing safe with a good bench. We have no safety net left for 14 gws.

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Agree with Nico/Tony comments

        WC would hold on later than normal which has been around International Week break GW3/GW4 in the past
        as all squads changing - wait possible after transfer window change as lots of players trying to get loans or wanting to play with the World Cup in November (mid-season)

        WC possible GW8/GW9

    2. Valar(Keith)
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Btw I've kept Sanchez too. Feels much safer vs Raya. You playing Sanchez or Ward this week?

      1. Bluetiger1
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Raya - fixtures VG

  8. Tim LFC Fan
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Cucurella or Zinchenko

    1. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zinc

    2. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Probably Zinchenko

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zinc

    4. Make United Great Again
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Zinc

  9. C0YS
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On WC, who is the best 4.5-4.7 bench fodder to own?

    1. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Midfielder

    2. Tim LFC Fan
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Andreas

    3. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Pereira

    4. Valar(Keith)
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Andreas. Set pieces and playing quite advanced too. Will tick along nicely. He and neco are gifts

  10. Pukkipartyy
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any Brentford fans here? Is Dasilva in first xi? Or is he just one bad game away from benching?

    1. Stamford B
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not a Brentford fan but I believe it was said before the start of the the season that he wasn’t 100% nailed.

    2. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not a fan but Damsgaard will likely impact him. I expect Damsgaard to become the key creator for them

    3. ManofKent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He was key in their last championship season, but injured last season and they coped fine without him. There's a lot of competition for his spot - I'd bank on pretty regular gametime, but with a fair bit of it off the bench, but who knows...

  11. Tim LFC Fan
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    On a WC

    Toney or Kulu?

    1. KUN+10
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kulu

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Show the rest of the team...

    3. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kulu

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kulu

    5. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kulu

    6. Valar(Keith)
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Toney +1.1 for me if you can suffer a bit of frustration and don't believe in spurs cover. Penos and the most nailed on attacker in the game for 1.1 less

    7. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Toney

      Game time/goal scorer/assists plus good fixtures over possible rotation

  12. KUN+10
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pick one please, first 3 wins. Thanks!

    A - Ward (SOU)
    B - Sanchez (whu)

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. KUN+10
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thank you

    2. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. KUN+10
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

    3. Valar(Keith)
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A) expect both to concede though

      1. KUN+10
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Then maybe Sanchez for some save points?

    4. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. KUN+10
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanka

    5. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B for the win!

      1. KUN+10
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yes!!! Sanchez it is. Thank you

  13. The Tinkerman
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Happy with the early Perisic gamble I took as my transfer this week… g2g? Rough plan is to replace Iversen with Sanchez next week:

    Ward
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Perisic, Walker
    Salah (C), Kulu, Martinelli
    Haaland, Jesus (V)

    First sub Andreas

    1. Stamford B
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      2 players different from me so almost perfect :wink;

      1. Stamford B
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        😉

    2. KUN+10
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      2 players different from me Robbo Neco instead of Perisic Walker, same plan for next week

      1. The Tinkerman
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Nice. I sold Robbo, Neto for Perisic, Martinelli this week.

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I save 1FT for mini WC potentially next week ... lost 0.1 on Robbo but could get 0.1 back from Dasilva 😛 Eyes on Perisic whether he starts ...

  14. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A: Tripper to Cucurella
    B: Tripper to Dunk + Bailey to Gross
    C: Save Transfer

    Thoughts?

    1. jonny77
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If going for B I'd prefer Henry over Dunk,

      Probably A to beat the price rise though

    2. meenabakery
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm keeping Tripps. Beware Cucu. Might get benched when Chilwell returns.

    3. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Keeping, good fixtures after pool game, benched for neco this week

  15. Adzy
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Struggling with my captain choice this GW?

    A. Salah
    B. KDB
    C. Haaland
    D. Jesus

    1. Stamford B
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      When in doubt follow the poll leader, so A

    2. The Tinkerman
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If I had KDB I’d be tempted by his differential captaincy, going Salah myself.

      What does the rest of your team look like? Those 4 are very expensive

      1. Adzy
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ward
        Walker TAA James Neco
        Salah martinelli KDH KDB
        Jesus Haaland

        Iverson Trippier Andreas greenwood

        Feel that the keepers are my main issue

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      D

    4. Paddy Gooner
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going with A, VC=D

  16. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Put these in order:

    A) Neto
    B) Pereira
    C) N. Williams

    1. C0YS
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      CAB

  17. Dannyb
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best captain?
    A Haaland
    B Toney
    C Jesus.

  18. C_G
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Jesus(c)?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

  19. jonny77
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Mount's drop is the first loss of value in my team so far this season. Currently sitting on £100.8M and looks like Cucurella and Neco are expected to rise soonish

    1. Bennerman
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      This terrific Jonny, keep us posted

      1. jonny77
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        My name isn't Jonny

        also cry more over your 99.5M team value

        1. KUN+10
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Easy 77, no need to get testy

      2. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Perhaps a newletter in digital form?

        1. Mr. O'Connell
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I'm excited to find out who gets the lead role in the blockbuster film. Bet it's Tom Holland - he's in everything these days. Also think Tom Hardy would be good as Neco Williams and Antonio Banderas as Marc Cucarella.

  20. Canarinha
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Something tells me Gundogan will be a differential this season. Dont see loads of Gundo owners

    1. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Lot of people waiting to see if Bilva stays or leaves.

  21. meenabakery
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Totally boring question. Captain
    a) Kane
    b) Salah
    c) Jesus

    Leaning Kane. Got visions of United coming out (and going down) fighting.

    1. meenabakery
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Even briefly considered Mount. Madness that his value dropped, considering his fixtures.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I see them going down cowering and whimpering while their fans rage outside the stadium, refusing to watch their moppishness!

      1. meenabakery
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Also possible.

    3. KUN+10
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Im going with Kane

      1. meenabakery
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Me too.

    4. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

  22. Eleven Hag
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is Chelsea double defense risky with no kante/kovacic?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Against the best teams maybe, but against mediocre opposition, the 3 CDs should be alright. If RLC and/or Gallagher come in, that will help too.

      1. Eleven Hag
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  23. FCRS BGD
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    For United fans, what is your expectation from Martial this season? If Ronaldo stays is he going to play at all ? Thanks

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ronaldo will leave

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I don’t think the Man U fans want to be recognised. Tis a bit embarrassing these days.

  24. abaalan
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Trippier -> Perisic for free?
    or roll and just bench Trippier (means playing Andreas and Neto)

  25. kamdaraji
    • 17 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Team g2g? 2m in bank to upgrade somewhere later. All chips intact. 1 FT already made

    Sanchez
    TAA James Robertson Cancelo Zinchenko
    Salah Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Jesus

    Ward,DaSilva,Bailey,Stansfield

  26. Eleven Hag
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Howz this WC draft looking?

    Ederson
    TAA Cancelo James Cucurella NWilliams
    Salah Martinelli Groz Andreas Dasilva
    Jesus Haaland Toney

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Good

  27. meenabakery
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is there now a consensus that Haaland > Kane? I know he's a beast but he still only scored two goals, three games in, in a new league, and he's not the least injury prone. Kane is cheaper and has delivered season after season.

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If not Haaland you should try to fit KDB and Salah is already there, so it's threemium again 🙂

    2. It's a Wookie
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Only scored two, three games in? Wow that’s just terrible….

      1. meenabakery
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        That came out wrong. I get that it's a good return, I just mean that it's a relatively small data set for a player that's new to the league.

  28. dansmusen
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench ? Neco/Podence/Bailey

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Podence

  29. Paddy Gooner
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    My team:

    Allison (Ward)
    Gabriel, Trent, Neco, Cancelo, Cash
    Salah, Saka, DaSilva, Mount, Neto
    Jesus, Toney, Wilson.

    1FT, 0.4 ITB

    Do I:

    A) Cash > Mee
    B) Saka > Martinelli and Cash > James (for FT after GW3)
    C) Anything else
    D) Stay put.

    ?????

  30. masewindu
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Feeling the force. 2.6 Bank

    Sanchez
    Patterson TAA Cancelo Walker Zinchenco
    Salah Martnelli
    Toney Jesus Haalaand

    Andreas Da Silva Aaranson

    Moving forward I can't get Kulu. 0.1 short. Too slow...

    Next week A. Patterson to Perisic or Curru
    B. Andreas or Da Silva to a better Mid 7 m
    C. AARANSON to Maddison or Diaz or Mount

    Thinking Perisic or Curu at the moment.?