Spot the Differential
26 August 2022 1222 comments
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Gameweek 4 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

BRENDEN AARONSON

Auto Draft 33
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: bha | EVE | bre | NFO | mun

Brenden Aaronson (£5.5m) has made a great start at Leeds United following his summer move, scoring his first goal for the club in Gameweek 3.

Against Chelsea, the former RB Salzburg man added energy and creativity from his central attacking midfield position and was always looking to press and run in behind Thomas Tuchel’s defence. “He’s tireless. He’s relentless” were Jesse Marsch’s words when asked about Aaronson’s performance after the match.

Marsch later vowed that his team would “always attack”, which is a promising sign ahead of fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Everton (h), Brentford (a) and Nottingham Forest (h), given that Leeds are unbeaten so far this season.

Across the opening three rounds, amongst teammates, only Jack Harrison (£6.0m) has received more passes in the final third, while he has also racked up five goal attempts, three created chances and nine crosses. It’s also worth noting that he has also seen a goal taken away from him and given as an own-goal against Wolves.

Aaronson’s career numbers suggest he won’t ever be a prolific goalscorer, but there are often caveats with players at this price point, and it does feel like the US international is one of the best budget midfielders on offer right now.

MARCUS RASHFORD

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 3
  • FPL ownership: 5.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: sou | lei | ARS | cry | LEE

We’d originally included Anthony Martial (£6.9m) in this slot, only for Erik ten Hag’s Friday press conference to derail us.

As a result, we’ve turned to 5.4 per cent owned team-mate Marcus Rashford (£6.3m), who we’ve made an exception for despite sitting just over our usual differential threshold.

The 24-year-old has already suffered two price drops this season but netted his first Premier League goal of 2022/23 in an excellent display against Liverpool on Monday night.

Indeed, no player from either side racked up more goal attempts (five), shots in the box (five) or efforts on target (two) than Rashford.

United got off to a terrible start to the 2022/23 campaign and sat rock bottom following defeats to Brighton and Hove Albion and Brentford. However, there were encouraging signs in their win over Liverpool, which means they can approach Saturday’s trip to Southampton in a more positive frame of mind. Notably, the Saints’ have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League matches, extending back to last season.

There is competition for places at United, and we can’t simply forget that Cristiano Ronaldo (£10.4m) is still an option, but it does feel like Rashford can become an important player for ten Hag, who clearly has a lot of faith in him.

GONCALO GUEDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NEW | bou | SOU | liv | MCI

Goncalo Guedes (£6.0m) made a promising first Wolverhampton Wanderers start in Gameweek 3, as he went close to scoring in the first half.

The 25-year-old made some very good runs in behind Tottenham Hotspur’s defence, registering five shots – more than any other player on the pitch – and three chances created. He did fade a little as the match wore on, but that’s understandable given he is new to the league.

Guedes scored 11 La Liga goals and assisted a further six in 2021/22, his most productive season in Spanish football, and not only featured on the left coming inside onto his favoured foot but also centrally and on the right. His versatility and ability to play as a striker is appealing, then, especially with Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) still building up his fitness.

It must be said that Wolves aren’t in great form after a winless start to the campaign. Last season’s goalscoring woes, when they finished as the division’s lowest scorers outside of the relegated teams, have continued into 2022/23. However, there has been progress in each of the three games so far, with the signing of Guedes and fellow Portuguese Matheus Nunes (£5.0m) perhaps going some way to alleviate those concerns.

Guedes is a product of the Benfica academy, where he rose through the system under the watchful eye of Bruno Lage, who served as a youth at the Portuguese club. Now reunited at Molineux, the £6.0m midfielder could be a smart differential to capitalise on Wolves’ next three fixtures: Newcastle United (h), Bournemouth (a) and Southampton (h).



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  1. Rod Liddle's Young One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Ramsdale or Sanchez?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Sanchez with Saliba

      1. Rod Liddle's Young One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Thanks

    2. Mengo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Ramsdale this week

    3. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      this week or transfer? Sanchez i think both ways...I think. he should get a lot of save points if he doesn't keep a clean sheet.

  2. Gazpilicueta
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    A) Trent and Stansfield
    or
    B) Cucurella and Toney (But i have to bench someone and I have no idea who)

    1. Croaker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A if you’d only play one

    2. Angelic upstart
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A) TAA will be worth it eventually

  3. Mengo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Draft game question:

    Start two of: Mitro (ars), Mahrez (CRY), Sancho (sou), Watkins (WHU), Grealish (cry)

  4. brianutd-why always we? 20
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Triple City defence the differential

  5. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Rashford & Rodrigo for Mount and Bruno Guimaraes on FT a good move?

    1. TOLV TUMS
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I like the Bruno G move - I don't think I'd bring in Mount though (personally). I think there's better cover for Chelski

      1. damiang2233
        • 16 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        No I'm getting rid of Mount & Bruno G for Rashford & Rodrigo.

        1. TOLV TUMS
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          aha - sorry. yeah, I like that - though I think Leed's fixtures turn a little after this weekend, yeah?

          1. damiang2233
            • 16 Years
            4 years, 27 days ago

            Brighton, everton, brentford, NFO, united, villa, palace are there next 7 fixtures. Would take it decent enough run of games

            1. SuperG
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 27 days ago

              I’d ignore that guy if I were you. Not sure what he’s been smokin.

              Your changes are sound. Bruno playing rather deep this season.

    2. Camakazi9486
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Yea

  6. Dutchy
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Mark end up getting Gund instead of Zaha?

  7. DaveZubie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Need some help here:

    2FT 0.8m ITB

    Ramsdale (Ward)
    James, TAA, Cancelo, Perisic (N.Williams)
    Salah, Diaz, Martinelli, Dasilva (Andreas)
    Haaland, Jesus (Greenwood)

    1) Ramsdale -> Sanchez
    2) Williams -> Veltman or Dunk
    3) Ramsdale, Williams -> Sanchez, Saliba

    1. Camakazi9486
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      2

      1. Camakazi9486
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Actually keep Williams

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Selling Williams is rookie trade. Perfect 5th defender that will make money. People make trades like this now will have rubbish team value later in season

      1. DaveZubie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        TBH I've never had issues with team value by seasons end.
        Also I'll be WCing in about 4 GWs (probably)

        1. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          I would still keep Williams. A

    3. Angelic upstart
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      3 for me.

    4. Die Hard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      3 easy

  8. Camakazi9486
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Thoughts on options?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robertson walker james
    Salah Dasilva martinelli rodrigo
    Jesus haaland
    Ward nico Andreas Stansfield 3.1 in bank, 1 ft

    1. Walker to cancelo
    2. Stansfield to toney
    3. Save

    Thanks all.

    1. TOLV TUMS
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I'd book the transfer - nothing looking urgent there that I can see

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Get Toney. Stop messing about with silly 3rd striker that's irrelevant

      1. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        I don't know if I went three up top on WC because I wanted to, or because I've seen you say this 50 times the last few days. either way, you're in my head!

        and 3, save.

    3. RichieW
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      2

    4. DaveZubie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Save

    5. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Save and assess next GW with 2 FTs.

    6. Angelic upstart
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Upgrade da Silva. Future you will thank yourself for it

  9. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Want to get Diaz or Toney so need to downgrade Robertson:

    a) Robertson > N. Williams
    b) Robertson & Ramsdale > Saliba & Sanchez (-4)

    (to get Saliba instead of Neco, I'd need to take Ramsdale out as would have too many Arsenal)

  10. Dutchy
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Current WC draft, thoughts

    Raya
    Trent James Walker Trippier
    KDB Gundo Martineli
    Kane Jesus Toney

    Ward Rodrigo Fofana Andreas

    1. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I like it fine. and if you like it, even better.

    2. Angelic upstart
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Whilst I'm not against no Salah. I think it's dangerous so early on

    3. Mengo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I think it is too risky to go without Salah. Switch him out with Kane and get someone like Mitrovic before his run of good fixtures.Not sure I would have Walker either. Like the Gundo pick and Trippier and Toney are great value.

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Fulham next 4 horrible fixtures

  11. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Which move to do on a FT?

    1. Rashford & Rodrigo for Mount & Bruno Guimaraes
    2. Walker & Rodrigo for Guehi & Mount

    Thoughts please.

  12. Puntillimon
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Maupay to Everton is such a good transfer… for Brighton. If Welbeck gets injured Undav becomes a great option

    1. Angelic upstart
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      When Welbeck gets injured you mean?

  13. More Cowbell
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Two rapidfire questions:

    1) Mount to:
    a)Rodrigo
    b) Martinelli

    2) Bailey > GroB for -4
    Yay or nay?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      1) At home to worst defence in league and Chelsea's biggest GI threat

    2. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      a
      sure. i like a good hit though.

  14. The Frenchie
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    3 defeats in a row in my head to head league… Need a reaction this GW.
    Who will win? (I’m A and I have one FT)

    A)
    Sanchez (Leeds)
    Gabriel (Fulham)
    Dias (Crystal Palace)
    Alexander-Arnold (Bournemouth)
    Salah (Bournemouth)
    Mount (Leicester)
    Martinelli (Fulham)

    VS

    B
    Ramsdale (Fulham)
    Zinchenko (Fulham)
    Waker (Crystal Palace)
    Son (Nottingham)
    Kulusevski (Nottingham)
    Rodrigo (Brighton)
    Luis Diaz (Bournemouth)

    1. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      On current form, him... 🙂

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Salah TAA and Mount will win it

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B by 10 points

  15. Feed tha Sheep
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Who’s Best Brighton defender fantasy wise?

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Dunk

      1. Qui-Gon-Joe
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Why? Veltman hovering up bps atm

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Dunk or Veltman I would go least owned % and most BPS which is Veltman

  16. Dannyb
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    A Bailey to Rodrigo ft?
    B Bailey and Iverson to Rodrigo and Sanchez (other keeper is Ward) - 4?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Iversen to Sanchez FT

  17. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Is Saka still on penalties for Arsenal or Jesus?

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Saka pens

      1. brianutd-why always we? 20
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Not if Jesus is on a hatty

        1. Kiwivillan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          That wasn't the question

    2. Totti
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Yes saka

  18. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Prioritise bringing in Toney or Diaz?

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Toney

    2. mash
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Toney

    3. Totti
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Toney

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Toney as a decent placeholder for Isak.

  19. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Which move should I do on a FT?

    1. Rashford & Rodrigo for Mount & Bruno Guimaraes
    2. Walker & Rodrigo for Guehi & Mount

    Thoughts please.

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      2

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Mount will punish you

    3. Totti
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      2

  20. white91
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Got a FT to burn feel like I have the wrong Arsenal defender

    A White to Saliba
    B White to Gabriel

    1. Fer Fuch's Ake
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Wasteful, you'll be glad to hold to the FT

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Can’t hold it if it’s one that would be burned

    2. Totti
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Neither

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      We need to set up Tradeaholics Anonymous for nonsense like this

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Saliba

    5. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A, if you're saying you have 2FTs and have nothing else to use it on this GW.

      1. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        agreed, which I think is what he is saying.

    6. white91
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I’ve got 1ft maybe I could instead swap out Bailey or Rice for Aaronson?

      1. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        then not the sideways ARS move. maybe to Aaronson. but i'd save.

      2. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Well that confused me! Just roll in that case

  21. Totti
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Ederson
    TAA robertson cancelo james
    Salah martinelli groß dasilva
    Halland jesus

    Ward Andreas williams greenwood

    1FT 1.3 itb

    A) robertson and greenwood -> perisic and toney (-4) and bench dasilva
    B) robertson-> perisic/emerson royale
    C) save FT

    1. Fer Fuch's Ake
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      C, makes no sense dropping Robertson, specially before BOU

      1. Totti
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        But perisic is also so annoying

        1. Totti
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          Also toney will be instead of dasilva

  22. mash
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Evening all, looking for pointers on a price drop-related transfer dilemma

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Trippier
    Salah Mount Martinelli Bailey
    Haaland Jesus

    Ward Andreas Williams Archer

    1FT, 0.9 in bank

    A) Bailey to Gross (Bailey might drop tonight)
    B) Mount to Diaz
    C) Mount to Gundogan
    D) Save FT (more flexibility going into midweek games)

    I think it's between A and D - what would you pick?

    1. NowYaCunhaBelieveIt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

  23. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Is Trippier to Perisic worth a FT?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      No!

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      WTF???

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      No

    4. mash
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Trippier is the 'safer' choice as more guaranteed minutes, but Perisic has the higher points ceiling when he plays. I'd stick with Trippier for now, but I am a dullard!

    5. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I want both.

  24. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Walker or Trips in defence? I’ll likely move Walker over to Trips in a few GWs anyway.

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      If you can bench him for Liverpool away then probably Trippier.

    2. Puntillimon
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Trips to isak! Though he’s tall, his compilations haven’t included any headers.

      1. Hairy Potter
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        It'll be Trippier to Wood on Sunday!

  25. Puntillimon
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Just realised my whole team plays today.. exciting!

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Me too. Probably a lot like this

  26. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Start Walker or Trippier? Currently on Walker.
    Cheers.

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Have you got silly big 5 at the back and now don't want to play the 5 at the back?

      1. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        no, on WC. don't mind having a decent bench.

        TAA Walker Perisic Trippier Williams

        and yes, three up top 😉

        1. Kiwivillan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          I can't buy +4.5m defender and put on bench. This why I always go 343 structure cheap bench

  27. Feed tha Sheep
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Start Bailey or Andreas?

    1. CelticBhoy1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Same dilemma, currently on Andreas as more likely starter

  28. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Start Henderson or sanchez?

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Sanchez

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      H

  29. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Would you rather have

    Reece James or Ivan Toney?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      IT