Spot the Differential
26 August 2022 1222 comments
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Gameweek 4 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

BRENDEN AARONSON

Auto Draft 33
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: bha | EVE | bre | NFO | mun

Brenden Aaronson (£5.5m) has made a great start at Leeds United following his summer move, scoring his first goal for the club in Gameweek 3.

Against Chelsea, the former RB Salzburg man added energy and creativity from his central attacking midfield position and was always looking to press and run in behind Thomas Tuchel’s defence. “He’s tireless. He’s relentless” were Jesse Marsch’s words when asked about Aaronson’s performance after the match.

Marsch later vowed that his team would “always attack”, which is a promising sign ahead of fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Everton (h), Brentford (a) and Nottingham Forest (h), given that Leeds are unbeaten so far this season.

Across the opening three rounds, amongst teammates, only Jack Harrison (£6.0m) has received more passes in the final third, while he has also racked up five goal attempts, three created chances and nine crosses. It’s also worth noting that he has also seen a goal taken away from him and given as an own-goal against Wolves.

Aaronson’s career numbers suggest he won’t ever be a prolific goalscorer, but there are often caveats with players at this price point, and it does feel like the US international is one of the best budget midfielders on offer right now.

MARCUS RASHFORD

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 3
  • FPL ownership: 5.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: sou | lei | ARS | cry | LEE

We’d originally included Anthony Martial (£6.9m) in this slot, only for Erik ten Hag’s Friday press conference to derail us.

As a result, we’ve turned to 5.4 per cent owned team-mate Marcus Rashford (£6.3m), who we’ve made an exception for despite sitting just over our usual differential threshold.

The 24-year-old has already suffered two price drops this season but netted his first Premier League goal of 2022/23 in an excellent display against Liverpool on Monday night.

Indeed, no player from either side racked up more goal attempts (five), shots in the box (five) or efforts on target (two) than Rashford.

United got off to a terrible start to the 2022/23 campaign and sat rock bottom following defeats to Brighton and Hove Albion and Brentford. However, there were encouraging signs in their win over Liverpool, which means they can approach Saturday’s trip to Southampton in a more positive frame of mind. Notably, the Saints’ have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League matches, extending back to last season.

There is competition for places at United, and we can’t simply forget that Cristiano Ronaldo (£10.4m) is still an option, but it does feel like Rashford can become an important player for ten Hag, who clearly has a lot of faith in him.

GONCALO GUEDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NEW | bou | SOU | liv | MCI

Goncalo Guedes (£6.0m) made a promising first Wolverhampton Wanderers start in Gameweek 3, as he went close to scoring in the first half.

The 25-year-old made some very good runs in behind Tottenham Hotspur’s defence, registering five shots – more than any other player on the pitch – and three chances created. He did fade a little as the match wore on, but that’s understandable given he is new to the league.

Guedes scored 11 La Liga goals and assisted a further six in 2021/22, his most productive season in Spanish football, and not only featured on the left coming inside onto his favoured foot but also centrally and on the right. His versatility and ability to play as a striker is appealing, then, especially with Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) still building up his fitness.

It must be said that Wolves aren’t in great form after a winless start to the campaign. Last season’s goalscoring woes, when they finished as the division’s lowest scorers outside of the relegated teams, have continued into 2022/23. However, there has been progress in each of the three games so far, with the signing of Guedes and fellow Portuguese Matheus Nunes (£5.0m) perhaps going some way to alleviate those concerns.

Guedes is a product of the Benfica academy, where he rose through the system under the watchful eye of Bruno Lage, who served as a youth at the Portuguese club. Now reunited at Molineux, the £6.0m midfielder could be a smart differential to capitalise on Wolves’ next three fixtures: Newcastle United (h), Bournemouth (a) and Southampton (h).



1,222 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. 420king
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Bailey is on my bench. I don't need him and I got 1 FT. Sell or swallow the price drop?

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I'd take the price drop. No point making transfers where you will not get any point benefit. Money is important, but having 2 free transfers next week is going to be valuable. Remember the gameweek after this is only 3 days later.

  2. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    On a WC, which would you keep:

    a) Andreas (4.5)
    b) Da Silva (4.6)

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      on a WC? Andreas. Dasilva's minutes are all over the place.

      If I had a team with Da Silva, I would keep for a few weeks since his value will probably go up.

      1. nerd_is_the_werd
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        True, Brentford's fixtures are better.
        the 4.5 MID is unlikely to be in my starting XI most GWs.
        Andreas seems a bit more attacking out of the two.

    2. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

    3. Alcapaul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Andreas

  3. SalahFingers
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Mendy (Ward)
    TAA - Cancelo - James - Trippier - Perisic
    Salah (C)- Rodrigo - Martinelli (Neto, Andreas)
    Jesus - Haaland (Taylor)

    1FT, 0.9ITB.

    GTG right?

    1. Taegugk Warrior
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Right

    2. Ynwalfc
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Like the back five option

    3. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gtg

  4. Taegugk Warrior
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Sanchez
    TAA,James,Cancelo,Trip
    Salah,Mount,Martinelli,Rodrigo
    Haaland,Jesus

    Ward,Andreas,Neco,Archer
    1FT.
    A. G2G
    B. Mount to Diaz

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Similar to mine tbh. I would go A.

      Next gameweek is midweek. I think having 2 transfers will be good for that.

    2. Ynwalfc
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I would go with Diaz, he could get massive points this gw

  5. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Ramsdale
    Robbo TAA James Cancelo Perisic
    Neto Salah(c) Martinelli
    Haaland Jesus
    (Ward Pereira Reed Archer)

    2FT + 0.4ITB

    a) Ramsdale > Sanchez
    b) Archer > Stansfield
    c) Robbo & Archer > Veltman & Toney
    d) Ramsdale, Robbo & Archer > Sanchez, Saliba & Toney (-4)

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A, but I kinda like D too.

    2. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      D

    3. DycheDycheBaby
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B.
      I don't understand the appeal of Ramsdale to Sanchez, especially this week.

      1. Rosey Palmer
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        It must be a money thing...free up .5 to upgrade elsewhere on the second FT. Would not do it for a hit personally.

    4. Scratch
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      None of those options particularly appeal. I'd be ridding myself of Neto

      1. Scratch
        • 17 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Probably A
        Then Robertson & Neto -> Saliba / Fofana & quality midfielder next week.

  6. Zoostation
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Good to go?

    Mendy (Ward)

    TAA Cancelo Saliba (Williams, Patterson)

    Salah (C) Kulusevski Martinelli Gross (Andreas)

    Haaland Jesus Toney

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Looks good to me.

  7. Louis99
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    For captain:

    A) Haaland
    B) KDB
    C) Jesus
    D) Diaz

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Probably KDB

  8. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    My team:
    Ramsdale
    Perisic. James. Cancelo. Taa
    Salah. Diaz. DaSilva. Martinelli
    Jesus. Kane

    Fodders: Ward. Archer. Ansreas. N. Williams

    2Fts.. 0.9m itb

    What to do:
    A) ramsdale+ nico -> saliba/zinchenko + sanchez
    B) lose the FT
    C)?

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I would do Cancelo to Walker

      1. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Why? For fear of benching?

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          Nope at the moment Cancelo is not looking like he is worth 2.0 more than walker and you have one transfer to burn, so if I were you I would do this move and use the 2.0 to upgrade Dasilva to Rodrigo/Rashford/Harrison

  9. sully29
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Which for the next few weeks?

    A) Aaronson
    B) Gross
    C) Neto

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Guedes?

  10. PrestigeWorldwidewidewide..…
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Grealish to:

    A) Kulu
    B) Gundo
    C) Other

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

    2. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

  11. Eleven Hag
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    No Salah, will be watching the game from.behind the couch.

    G2G or would you punt captaincy on Son?

    Ederson
    TAA James Cancelo Saliba
    Diaz Son Martinelli
    Jesus (c) Haaland Toney
    - Andreas Dasilva NWilliams

    -

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Honestly, Son or Jesus look both like decent captains if you don't own Salah.

      1. Eleven Hag
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        I am also thinking of punting on Son, however I haven't seen forest play so far but saw somewhere that they had conceeded insane amount of shorts onf target in the first three games.

  12. C_G
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Kane(C) a good shout? Dont have Haaland, have KDB and Salah

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Kane could do very well if you wanted to go against the popular vote (Salah). KDB either.

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Both Salah and KDB are significantly better options than Kane imo

    3. Scratch
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Definitely a good shout but would choose Salah in your position.

    4. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Kane is a very good option but risky to go against salah

    5. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Salah for me

  13. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Who scores more this week?

    a) Robbo (BOU) & Neto (NEW)
    b) Saliba (FUL) & Toney (EVE)

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A just

    2. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B imo

    3. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

  14. Random Name
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Maupay has already scored more goals than Agbonlahor did in his entire career

  15. Scratch
    • 17 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Sanchez
    TAA, James, Trippier, Walker
    Martinelli, Salah, Diaz
    Haaland, Jesus, Mitrovic

    Ward, Cucurella, Andreas, Colback

    Team all set, possibly a last chance saloon for TAA

  16. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Chances of Bailey starting today?

  17. Moose™
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    2FT.

    Saka Bailey > Martinelli Rodrigo

    No brainer?

    1. Minty1337
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I'd do it. Would you play bailey this week if you didn't make the transfer? Or would he be on the bench?

      1. Moose™
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Hes playing. Is it any difference?

    2. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      It’s a yes from me Moose

    3. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Yup

    4. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Yep

  18. Minty1337
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Need some help. 2 free transfers. My natural response is to just leave it and waste the transfer. Any suggestions?
    0.0 itb

    Ederson - ward
    James - taa- perisic - Cancelo - neko
    Andreas - Salah - Diaz - martinelli - dewsburyhall
    Haaland - jesus - archer

    I could try shift KDH but not convinced it's worth it.

    1. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Instead of wasting it. Go for Iverson to get 0.1 or archer to the fulham 4.5 who for some reason is playing and is in the predicted line up for the coming week too

  19. RICICLE
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    G2G here guys?

    Ederson
    Cucurella - TAA - Cancelo - James
    Martinelli - Rodrigo - Salah (c)
    Toney - Jesus (vc) - Haaland
    _____________________________
    Ward: Andreas: Reed: N.Williams

    1FT, 0.2 ITB

    Have been undecided all week wether to bring in an Arsenal defender for Cucurella.

    What would you gents suggest here?

    A) Cucurella > Zinchenko for exact funds
    B) Cucurella > Saliba and pocket the 0.6m
    C) Do nothing, have 2FT’s next GW

    Cheers guys!

    1. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Don't sell cucurela before lei without Madison I guess. Plus arsenal have fulham who are attacking

      1. RICICLE
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Cheers man, yeah I was thinking along these lines, are Leicester will be less potent without Maddison I guess.
        It does feel like a lateral move because se know Cucurella is very likely to play anyway in Koulibaly’s absence.

        1. RICICLE
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          Typos, sorry, tired 🙂

  20. Vlekz
    4 years, 27 days ago

    WC team. Gtg?
    Ederson
    TAA James perisic Walker
    Salah kdb martineli guedes
    Jesus toney

    Iverson trippier andreas stansfield

    (If leeds still look good after brighton then guedes to harrison/aaronson.)

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Looks good

    2. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Love it. I am on a WC and have very similar team.

      What was your thinking of Ederson over Cancelo?

      1. Vlekz
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Money and lack of defensive spots. I want one good defender to cover for the upcoming weeks of rotation.
        Plus I probably don't think he is worth 2 mil more than Walker unless Walker starts getting benched way more than him

        1. 15men1cup
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          me too, I got Dunk on the bench and have Ederson as my City cover as he is totally nailed.
          I have Zinchenko instead of walker to mix it up

          1. Vlekz
            4 years, 27 days ago

            I had saliba but I don't like the arsenal defence considering I would have to use a transfer on it after gw 8(19th on ticker between gw 9-16). Moreover they are 6th on the ticker from now to gw 8(below city). So probably made more sense to go triple city over triple arsenal

    3. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Superb except Guedes imo

      1. Vlekz
        4 years, 27 days ago

        2 great fixtures after this one. I am ranked 4.5 mil. It's more hope than anything that leeds might revert to mean and some new differential like this one might emerge.

  21. Conte's Son
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Is there any solid news that Robertson is to be benched this week?

    1. The Iceman
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      There’s always rumours Robertson is going to be benched and he never is. No point speculating.

  22. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Who to play?
    1. Gabriel

    2. Bailey

    I have Ramsdale

    1. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I would double with Gabriel for the better fixture

    2. The Iceman
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gabriel.

    3. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      1

    4. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gabriel

    1. The Iceman
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Half of Twitter thinks it’s De Jong and the other half thinks it’s Ruben Neves.

      Cue Sander Berge on deadline day.

  23. 15men1cup
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Quick poll

    A) Ederson and James

    B) Sanchez, Cancelo

    Thanks

    1. The Iceman
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B.

    2. KanteTouchThis
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

    3. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

    4. Funky Monks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

    5. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A

    6. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Cheers for the input....a blessing for my brain

  24. KanteTouchThis
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    On wc
    A) Rodrigo Zinchenko Patterson
    Or
    B) Aaronson Saliba James

    1. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Probably B

      1. KanteTouchThis
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Could just do Aaronson and James instead of Rodrigo zinc

        Is zinc worth the cost over Saliba?

        1. 15men1cup
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          I ran a comparison and Zinchenko plays a lot higher up the field and clearly has more of an attacking threat.....thats not to say Saliba wont get a cheeky goal.....I settled with Z and happy with my choice

    2. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      If you have to play them every week then B Or of you want rodrigo badly then something like rodrigo saliba dunk

    3. Funky Monks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

    4. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

  25. LFC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Which one;

    A) Nunez to any other 9mil forward and who? (Already have Jesus and Toney)

    B) Nunez and son to Kane and Diaz (-4)

    C) Nunez and son to Haaland and Diaz (-4)

    1. KanteTouchThis
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      C

    2. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

    3. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Haaland good shout this week. Next week who knows. So not sure on the hit. But i would want a city attacker. Maybe KDB or else B

    4. nerd_is_the_werd
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      How do you still have Nunez???
      That's mind-boggling

    5. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      C

  26. JuanTP
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    WC chaos.

    Sanchez (Ward)

    Saliba Canelo Perisic (Trippier NecoW)

    Almiron Dasilva KDB Salah Martinelli

    Jesus Haland (Greenwood)

    Is KDB + Haland false economy when I could have better midfield balance without Kdb?

    Is TAA a must?

    Newcastle false dawn?

    Help.

    1. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      mate we are worlds apart in our thinking, but I will give you my 10c worth.
      I love the KDB pick. A lot of goals will go though him and he can score AND he is as nailed as it gets.
      No TAA is not a must, but I would have him for GW4 and can always downgrade
      The 3 premiums is a bad idea, IMHO. Choose either KDB or a 11.5+ forward.
      I would personally have Toney and Jesus upfront. The run of fixtures is well worth the punt coupled with Toneys form of late. Then stick the money back in your weak defence.

      1. JuanTP
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Good advice

        Haland / Almiron out for Toney & Kulu

        Haland Hattrick incoming 😉

        1. 15men1cup
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          Ha, yeah, you know it

      2. tokara
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Gd advice

  27. DycheDycheBaby
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Need to use a transfer. Choose:
    a) Ramsdale to Sanchez
    b) Plange to Stanfield
    c) James to Perisic

    1. Vlekz
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B or none

      1. DycheDycheBaby
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Cheers

    2. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

    3. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

  28. Gigi_Fernandes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Sanchez
    Trippier Saliba Perisic
    Salah(c) KDB Rodrigo Martinelli
    Jesus Kane Toney

    Ward, Andreas, N Williams, Patterson

    Thoughts?

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      GTG.

    2. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I like it! Some heavy hitting team that is for sure! Sacrifices a tad in defence which I’m not too much of a fan of but overall great!

      1. Gigi_Fernandes
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Yeah, definitely aware that it’s light at the back, but hoping to counter that with multiple heavy hitters elsewhere.

    3. 15men1cup
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      the 3 premiums to me IMHO still looks too weak at the back .
      But I hope it works out for you.

  29. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Already had to swallow some price drops… do I just roll FT and reassess next week? I know the weakpoints but tough to fix with 0.2 ITB 1FT

    Ramsdale (Ward)
    TAA Cancelo James Trippier (Neco)
    Salah(c) Martinelli Diaz DaSilva (Neto)
    Haaland Jesus (Archer)

    Best of luck everyone !

    1. tokara
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Save, play 433

    2. Gareth M
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Save. Play Neto this week