Big Numbers
25 March 2023 180 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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With an international break giving Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers time to assess their squad and formulate a transfer plan, it’s time to once again wheel out the Big Numbers article ahead of Double Gameweek 29.

If you’re new to the site, this article series looks at some notable FPL statistics ahead of the upcoming Gameweek.

These cherry-picked Opta stats can all be found in our Premium Members’ Area.

Only subscribers can read the full article; those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading, as well as see a list of the benefits that Membership brings, can do so by clicking here.




FPL Gameweek 18 differentials: Great fixtures for in-form Benrahma

15 – Since Gameweek 13, Said Benrahma (£5.5m) has been a regular starter for West Ham United. His 15 shots on target rank fifth amongst all midfielders during this time, which is one more than popular options Bukayo Saka (£8.6m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£6.6m).

12 – Crystal Palace are winless over their last dozen matches and have replaced Patrick Vieira with Roy Hodgson. The underlying defensive stats are poor, so it’s no surprise to see Vicente Guaita (£4.4m) on the highest number of post-World Cup saves (46).

3.94Alexis Mac Allister (£5.5m) has played in a more advanced role since Gameweek 23 and, from that starting point, has the league’s highest expected goals (xG) tally of just under four.

80 – Sticking with Brighton and Hove Albion midfielders, Kaoru Mitoma (£5.5m) has been a revelation since his first start in Gameweek 14. His 80 penalty area touches exceeds all of his teammates.

13.41– The Seagulls’ xG ranks second over every side’s last six matches, and Albion are also in that spot for goal attempts (104).

3 – Brighton’s defence is also posting some superb numbers. Over this same six-match period, their total of three big chances conceded is the best.

51Pervis Estupinan‘s (£4.8m) points total from his last eight outings, only once returning less than six.

FPL team news: Injury updates on Haaland, Rashford, Pope and Mount

22 – Unsurprisingly, Erling Haaland (£12.0m) is far in front for post-World Cup big chances. Next up is the 13 of Marcus Rashford (£7.3m).

31 – Less obvious is Luke Ayling‘s (£4.5m) penalty area touches during this time, a leading number amongst all defenders. He’s second for shots on target (four) and expected goal involvement (3.09), whilst being best at both these from Gameweek 22 onwards.

5.69 – The expected goals conceded (xGC) of Liverpool in their last six matches, despite the Reds only letting in one actual goal.

70 – Shots conceded by Manchester United in their most recent four outings, worse than everyone bar Bournemouth.

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FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

180 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Help

    What to do with my 3 Arsenal assets Zinchenko Martinelli Saka was thinking of putting Shaw March and Bruno but none play in 32 with no free hit available. If I take a -12 it’s thee. A -12 to get the 3 Arsenal back so basically a 24 pt hit. Yes or no

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Keep them if no FH

      Maybe just get Shaw

    2. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I have same 3 ars players, and gonna do March for Martinelli and maybe Shaw for Zinc. Keep saka

    3. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I'm keeping all 3, would be tempted to ditch the defender but that's all.

    4. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I have White, Odegaard, Saka. Moving Ode to March/Mac, good long term move and mitigates the damage in case ARS don't put up multiple goals vs. LEE

    5. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      No

      Possible zinc to shaw

  2. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is it worth the risk to go Kane to Havertz then bring kane back in 31?

    Trying to maximise the Bb. It's either losing kane or Martinelli

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Lose Mart first.

  3. Ruinenlust
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Will Saliba play v Leeds?

  4. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    How's his for BB. Perhaps move Odegaard to Bruno or Maddison? Move is already Zinc > Shaw.

    Raya / Odegaard / Saka / Shaw

    Thanks

  5. Vote Joke
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    How many flags you got? I’ve got James, Cash, Pope and Rashford. So annoying.

    1. Men in green tights
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Wouldn't worry about rash or pope

    2. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      James, Rashford, Haaland at 75%. If percentages worsen and/or another 3 are at risk I'll consider abandoning BB29 and aim for BB34.

    3. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Two, Rashford and Haaland. Need to keep both this week for my long term plan to work

  6. mdm
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Saka to Bruno for free? Yes or No?

    1. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Not sure I'd want to lose the highest scoring midfielder in the game. So no

    2. Lucky Z
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I am not sure in doing JWP to Bruno for free, you are asking on player just scored 18 in a single game

    3. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Any other options of players to lose?

    4. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I'm moving Saka on this week for a second Brighton mid, and then using the extra money ITB to add Bruno in gw31.

      Most people will say don't sell Saka, but I think it's worth the risk over the remainder of the season if you're bringing in DGW players from Brighton, Man U, Liverpool.

      It might not pay off in one GW, but probably will over the next few when you consider Arsenal's tougher fixtures and the fact they have no DGWs.

      1. Men in green tights
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Guess you've still got your FH

      2. Cheeky Reijnders
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Keeping Saka and losing Oodergard > Fernandes in GW34, is current plan.

  7. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Starting to think about the coming gw, got 2fts 0itb. Likely using BB

    Thoughts on Kane martinelli to havertz Bruno?

    Kepa
    Trippier chilwell estupinan
    Saka maddison rashford(c) March
    Kane Haaland toney

    Raya martinelli gabriel botman

    1. Men in green tights
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      There is a chance haaland might miss the pool game .
      But guess you know that so it's just swap haaland for havertz when you get more news .

  8. Junks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Morning all.
    Thoughts on the below? I will be bench boosting this GW. Thanks

    1FT 3.7ITB
    Raya Ward
    Tripps Zinc Mee Estupinan Chilwell
    Ode Marti Mads Rash Macallister
    Kane Toney Watkins

    Decided I'm going without Kane for rest of season to use funds to try and catch up as I'm over 100 off top in ML. So...
    A. Do i bring Haaland back for Kane this GW or GW30
    B. Happy to loose one of Ode / Marti / Zinc for a doubler for this GW but which one?
    C. Ward to Steele or Kepa??

    1. Men in green tights
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Would lose od
      Not sure on keeper I've gone De gea
      Haaland back in gw30

      1. Junks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A next GW
      B loose Zinchenko
      C) Kepa as we don’t know fir how long Steele’s run of starts will last

  9. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Still unsure of Marti to Bruno. The extra doubles for Bruno following 29 has me leaning towards the move.

  10. Paqueta Rice
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    This article doesn’t make for good reading owning only Steele from the gulls

  11. Fat Frank
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Bench boost then lads? Would be 2FT no hits:

    Steele*
    Trippier* | Shaw* | Zinchenko
    Salah* | Rashford* | McAllister* | Mitoma*
    Kane | Haaland | Uncle*

    Iversen* | Odegaard | Neco* | Emerson*

    *DGW

    0ITB

    Thanks

    1. agueroooooney
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I would.

      Uncle?

      1. Fat Frank
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Toney

      2. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Hello

  12. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    https://www.reddit.com/r/Gunners/comments/121yaij/absolutely_horrible_foul_from_rodri_on_captain_%C3%B8/

    No foul, no penalty and no card. Rodri is a scum. If this was Haaland, he wouldn't make the same tackle. I can guarantee you that. Odegaard was very lucky to escape without an injury there...

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Agree. The French ref was an arrogant disgrace, letting the Spanish defender fake situation s by at least 3 Norwegian set pieces.

    2. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah, that was a bad one. Hopefully there is no injury.

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      He knows exactly what he is doing.

  13. agueroooooney
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone with WC and FH left what's the current thinking? I've already 9 playing in GW32 so that's easily navigated.

    My thoughts are to WC33 and ditch my Arsenal trio and load up on teams with doubles remaining.

    Any thoughts on when using the FH would be most valuable?

    Is there any chance we see the lineups for GW38 before the deadline? Could be an interesting time to use it but would be risky without lineups.

    1. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Sounds like a good plan - possible FH in GW37

  14. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Ward, Gabriel and Ødegaard to DDG, Chilwell and bruno for a hit? Will BB in 29

    1. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Yes, assuming you have FH for 32

      1. WATERMELONS
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Can someone explain all the GK love for DDG, especially if you already have Shaw

        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Save points?

        2. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          You can use him in DGW 34 too. Kepa hasn’t a double then, and who knows how long Steele’s run of starts will last

  15. dshv
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Planning to bb29

    2FT
    Zinchenko to Shaw is probably sure?

    Do you think i have to swap Raya to another gk ??

    1. WATERMELONS
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      If you have no other fires, but surely some bigger upsides elsewhere in your team?

  16. WATERMELONS
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Somehow still have gakpo in my team from the last Liverpool double. Planning a BB.

    Which is the better move?

    A) Odegard > MacAllister
    B) Gakpo > MacAllister

    ?

    1. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Gakpo will be a nice differential and has two DGWs, I'd keep him and sell Ode.

      1. WATERMELONS
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks pal

  17. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Who scores more in 29 and 30

    A Saka (LEE, liv)
    B Maddison ( cry, AVL, BOU) -4

    1. Conners
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I'd say Maddison assuming he stays fit for all three games.

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Very tight, maybe Maddison, just.

  18. FPL Pillars
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    2FT FH and BB left, want to BB this week. 0.0itb

    Kepa / Raya
    Shaw / Chillwell / Zinck / Trip / Botman
    Maddison / Saka / Marti / Mitoma / Rashford
    Kane / Haaland / Toney

    Any suggestions?
    Obviously will wait for pressers on news 🙂

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Toney to Isak/Watkins/Havertz
      McFly to Bowen or Bruno

  19. Adnan ratul
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is it good to play free hit for gw29, wild card on 33 and bench boost in 34? Or should I wait to play bench boost on 37? P.s. I don't have triple captain left.