Watchlist
14 April 2023 412 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
Share:

The Watchlist takes a medium-term look at the more desirable Fantasy Premier League (FPL) transfer targets, rather than concentrating on just the upcoming Gameweek as the Scout Picks does.

We’ve recently had our weekly refresh, with the main changes explained below.

ABOUT THE WATCHLIST

FPL friendlies round-up: Odegaard and Doherty looking sharp as White returns 1

We typically concentrate on a four-to-six-Gameweek lookahead when compiling the Watchlist but it’d be remiss not to be thinking about what lies just beyond that hill, as Newcastle United, Brighton and Hove Albion, Chelsea and the two Manchester clubs still have at least one more Double Gameweek to come after Gameweek 34.

Players are selected and ranked according to factors such as form, club injuries, forthcoming fixtures, Rate My Team’s points projections and whether or not the player in question is likely to be a bargain in FPL.

Arrows before the name indicate whether a player has climbed or fallen in our reckoning since the previous update or if they are a new entry into the tables.

We typically toe the line with FPL’s definition of ‘form’ (average points accrued in matches played over the last 30 days) but here we’ve incorporated Gameweek 27 onwards to make up for the two weeks of non-action over the international break.

The key for the factors you’ll see in the below tables is as follows:

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL GOALKEEPERS

It’s important to acknowledge from the start that each individual manager’s Watchlist may be different from someone else’s and indeed ours. For example, FPL bosses playing a Free Hit in Gameweek 32 will likely be looking at different transfer targets to those who are negotiating the upcoming blank for Chelsea, Brighton and the two Manchester clubs without a chip.

So there’s a ‘something for everyone’ approach to this feature, at least until Gameweek 32 is out of the way.

In second and third here are goalkeepers who ‘double’, don’t blank and have decent remaining individual fixtures in the shape of premium pair Alisson (£5.4m) and Nick Pope (£5.4m). The Brazilian, who has made light of the abject defence in front of him to sit joint-second in the FPL goalkeeper standings, is the highest projected points scorer in his position in the run-in, with five games at fortress Anfield and four trips to bottom-half clubs still to come.

The custodians of City and United are positioned just behind Alisson and Pope: David de Gea (£5.0m) and Ederson (£5.4m) both have two Double Gameweeks to come and will likely rise further up the standings once their Blank Gameweek is out of the way but, as mentioned above, that’s less of an issue for Gameweek 32 Free Hitters.

Ahead of them all, however, is Jason Steele (£3.9m). Even factoring in the upcoming blank for Albion, you’ll get more fixtures and Double Gameweeks out of the Seagulls than any other side:

TeamRemaining FixturesRemaining Double GameweeksRemaining Blank Gameweeks
Brighton1031
Man City, Man Utd921
Fulham, Liverpool, Newcastle, West Ham910
Chelsea811
Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brentford, C Palace, Everton, Leeds, Leicester, Nottm Forest, Southampton, Spurs, Wolves800

At least £1.1m cheaper than any other goalkeeper we’ve already mentioned, Steele has also averaged more points per match (4.7) than any other current first-choice number one. Despite the gung-ho reputation, Brighton are a creditable fourth for fewest expected goals conceded (xGC) since Roberto De Zerbi took over.

Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.7m) just about stays in view: Chelsea do have a Double Gameweek still to come but it will involve trips to the two Manchester clubs, while there are clashes with Brighton, Newcastle and Arsenal on either side. Given Kepa’s chequered past with Frank Lampard, there’ll be a concern about a demotion at some point, too.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL DEFENDERS

Chelsea’s iffy schedule also costs Ben Chilwell (£6.0m) a couple of places, although his red card in Wednesday’s defeat to Real Madrid is likely good news for his game-time in Gameweek 31 as he might otherwise have been preserved for Tuesday’s return leg.

There’s still a heck of an FPL asset in there, as Chilwell was top among defenders for shots, chances created and expected goal involvement (xGI) during his unbroken run of starts from Gameweeks 24-29 – just don’t count on many clean sheets with the fixtures to come.

The defenders’ Watchlist has a similar feel to the goalkeeper version, with non-blanking doublers Kieran Trippier (£6.2m) and Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m) top of the pops and Gameweek 32 blankers Ruben Dias (£6.0m) and Pervis Estupinan (£4.8m) waiting in the wings for their time in the sun in Gameweeks 34-38.

Dias seems to have become the token mainstay of Pep Guardiola’s defence, shaking off his mid-season injury woes to start the last eight Premier League matches in a row. The deeper City get into the FA Cup and Champions League, the more the concern about the odd spot of rotation, but let’s not forget that the destiny of the league title is also now in the reigning champions’ hands following Arsenal’s draw at Liverpool.

Luke Shaw (£5.1m) remains on the periphery following Erik ten Hag’s declaration that he expects the defender back “at short notice”. Again, he’ll surge up the standings once he’s back to fitness and United’s Gameweek 32 blank is over and done with.

The one new entry is Joachim Andersen (£4.5m). There’s no Palace representation on our goalkeeping list due to Vicente Guaita (£4.4m) potentially returning to challenge Sam Johnstone (£4.4m) soon, but there are no such worries about the heart of the defence.

Joint-ninth among defenders for shots in the box this season, Andersen is part of a backline that boasts the second-best xGC in the last six matches. The upcoming fixtures are excellent, too, with the Eagles’ only remaining opponents sitting any higher than 10th in the table being a far-from-formidable Tottenham Hotspur.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL MIDFIELDERS

Again, we reiterate the earlier caveat about diverging chip strategies and the different transfer targets that accompany each approach.

Here in this strategy-neutral zone we’ve placed slightly more weight on the short term (as we tend to do in this article), so Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and the two Arsenal representatives rank higher than the Gameweek 32 blankers from Brighton, Man City and Man Utd.

Jack Grealish (£7.1m) gets the nod after 11 straight league starts for the Citizens and as many post-restart attacking returns; only the Arsenal pair featured above and the injured Marcus Rashford (£7.2m) can better that goals/assists tally among midfielders.

Kevin De Bruyne (£12.1m) is also on the fringes of re-entering the Watchlist but after being withdrawn in midweek for “tactical reasons” minutes after being crocked, we’ll hang fire on the offchance that there’s any Gameweek 31 game-time doubt.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m) falls slightly, even though the return of Casemiro (£4.9m) and Christian Eriksen (£6.2m) raises hope that he’ll be back in his usual number 10 role soon. He was still playing deep alongside Casemiro against Sevilla on Thursday, while there’ll be concern that he’s actually performed well in this quarter-back role, impressing Erik ten Hag sufficiently enough that the United head coach might consider it a viable tactic going forward. The fact that Marcel Sabitzer (£4.7m) is thriving in the more advanced midfield position is also worthy of note.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL FORWARDS

There’s not much movement in the forwards’ list, with Erling Haaland (£12.2m) set for a climb back to top spot once Blank Gameweek 32 is out of the way.

Gabriel Jesus (£8.1m) nudges up the standings despite Arsenal’s lack of a double, with three goals in two starts since his return from injury. The Gunners being out of Europe and the domestic cup competitions is in their favour from an FPL perspective, while Jesus is second only to Haaland for minutes per xG among forwards this season.

With Luis Diaz (£7.8m) potentially set to return to the Liverpool matchday squad on Monday night to give Jurgen Klopp a full complement of six fit attackers, there’s too much game-time risk for Darwin Nunez (£8.7m) to elevate him any higher than where he is now.



412 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    The filter is now working again - can't see that betting content 🙂

  2. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So basically there aren’t any strikers worth investing

    1. JonnyOnionRings
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Martial (if he can stay fit)

      Alvarez if he plays.

      So basically no lol

  3. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Jesus
    Watkins
    Isak
    Kane
    Haaland are all strong options.

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure about Kane and Haaland.

      1. cruzex
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Lol

  4. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    DDG
    Trippier Zinchenko Chillwell
    Martinelli Saka Mitoma Grealish
    Watkins Kane Haaland (c)

    Raya Eatupinian Maddison Mee

    Is this right?

    Is it worth a hit for Salah?

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not for a hit.

    2. The Parrot
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      team is in really good shape. Make the Salah move in 33 and 34

  5. Well you know, Triffic
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone encountering issues with the site whereby the background becomes adverts and half the buttons are responsive? (Not on mobile)

  6. The Parrot
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start 2 this week

    A) Chillwell
    B) Etsu
    C) Henry
    D) Dias (-4) (Saves a transfer down the line)

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A, C.

    2. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A C

    3. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ac

  7. Sharkytect
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Very few transfers left of the season for those of us with a free hit. If using the FH in gw32, then most of us have just 3 transfers before dgw34. Then another 2 or 3 before the next double gameweek (whether in gw36 or 37).

    You can probably expect at least one transfer to be required to deal with injury.

    With double gameweeks still to come, I think the strategy can be quite simple. Target man utd, man city, Liverpool and maybe a west ham player for transfers in leading up to gw34, and Newcastle players in your transfers in for emailing gameweeks.

    Most of us have 3x Brighton- don't transfer them out.

    That's basically it. Lots of talk of crystal Palace players with good fixtures, but I am literally just going to transfer in dgw players and transfer out players with no dgws moving forwards, and see where that gets me.

    Gw38 will probably be the next gameweek where I am picking transfers without double gameweeks in mind!

  8. The Iceman
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Please help me bench one:

    A) Saka (whu)
    B) Fernandes (nfo)
    C) Mitoma (che)
    D) Watkins (NEW)
    E) Toney (wol)

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Very hard, but I think Mitoma. If you have another ARS-mid, you might want to go Mitoma and bench Saka to spread the risk a bit tho...

    2. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Wow that's hard. Probably fetnandes for me.

      1. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Me too

    3. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Bench the defender

      B

    4. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks all for your replies. Currently leaning towards Mitoma and pray for the best!

  9. JIMMY TUGGINS
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Tarko (Fulham H, Palace A) or Guehi (Southampton A, Everton H) for the next two?

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I went Guehi on WC. Basically because he has 2 x better fixtures in 33 and 34 as well, if it matters long term

      1. JIMMY TUGGINS
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Definitely matters for 33.

  10. footballcandy
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is Johnstone nailed as keeper for Palace for the next two GWs?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not when Guaita is available

      1. footballcandy
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I get that, but Guaita is out until 29. april. So I was more thinking of if Johnstone is the obvious backup for Guaita vs. the other goalies in the squad?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          That's an estimated return so I would wait to see what Hodgson says today. Johnstone is the backup when Guaita is out.

  11. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    1FT, 0.3ITB.

    Roll FT and bench choice/order OK?

    Raya
    Trippier Mings Chilwell
    Mitoma Mac Salah Saka
    Toney Watkins Haaland

    Kepa Maddison Pinnock Estupian

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah, looks good

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No FH32?

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Undecided.

    3. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yea decent

  12. Irish Villan 1985
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Lads, chasing my mini league leader by 30 points - Thinking of a -4 bit, Toney to Haaland (I'll have 11 players playing next GW) and Rashford to Olise / Eze for a differential - What are your thoughts? And which of the 2 would you pick? Thanks.

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Well, you got to have Haaland in 31. Huge risk goint without him. So I thin your plan is the best way to get to him with Rash out for a while. I think Olise is the best choice.

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Olise the popular choice of the two CP. Haaland worth a punt 😉

  13. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Pull the trigger on Madd to Grealish?

    Raya
    Chilwell/Tripp/Estupinan
    Saka/(Madd)/Martinelli/March
    Haaland(c)/Kane(vc)/Watkins

    Kepa/Botman/Rash*/Shaw*

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Are we meant to assume everyone is FH32 unless they state otherwise?

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Would say so 😉

    2. boc610
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      yes .....but with the expectation of madd trolling sellers hard this week 🙂

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I'm already dead inside this season

  14. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What to do here. 1.3m. Free hit 32. Thanks

    A...rash to grealish (rash may he back for 33 tho...)

    B....nothing - play march and mitoma at Chelsea

    C...something g else

    Raya (kepa)
    Chilwell trippier shaw (botman estu)
    Bruno rash martinelli mitoma (march)
    Haaland kane watkins

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Has to be C

    2. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B, Chelsea are awful. And I say that as a lifelong fan

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        What is the C option tho?

        Don't want to lose march as he has 2 doubles to go.

        I'm genuinely stuck and not seeing a logical move to make

        1. Robe Wan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          C. Bruno to salah? Bruno the only weak spot imo

          Moany bugger too

          1. Flynny
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Will see if I can get to this...Good shout. Thanks

            1. Flynny
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              Nope almost 2m short!!

    3. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Get rid of Kepa

  15. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Any chance Toney doesn't get booked this weekend, or do I sell him now? No FH in 32.

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Hmmm, I’d keep personally, assuming you have Haaland

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Surely keep until he gets suspended

  16. WATERMELONS
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    On WC

    How nailed are Steele and Iverson until end of season?

    Good way to save a lot of cash…

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Both first choice. Difficult to say "nailed" as they have deputy GKs that have been #1

    2. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Think Steele is good for the run in if he doesn't start to mess up, Iverson I'm not so sure. Leicester have also let in goals every match all year, so even if the opposition looks OK on paper for the 3-4 gws after City, they probably won't keep many CS.

  17. Robe Wan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thinking about benching saving an FT, as two next week will get me to 11 in BGW 32. So can FH 34

    Am I misreading something?

    Raya (Kepa)

    Trips. zinch schar. (Mee chilly)

    Mitoma saka martinelli grealish (rash)

    Watkins Kane Haaland

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Looks right to me, I see 6 blankers in your team

      1. Robe Wan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks mate

  18. boc610
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    very tempted by mahrez over grealish now, didnt realise he had a ten point average at home against his former team

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Could be fun

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Should be fine for this GW. Beyond that could be an issue

    3. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Good shout. But any of them could be benched.

    4. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm looking at him too instead of Grealish.

      You sure he starts?

      1. boc610
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        impossible to call so its a risk (but grealish is to)hoping pep takes into account his record against leicester and the fact he's fully rested.

  19. Rex Lapis
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Shaw + Bruno to TAA + Grealish worth a hit?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No

    2. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I actually think that will pay off

  20. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A) Eze
    B) Olise

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Olise

  21. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How late will be the press conference times be today?

  22. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who to play?
    A) Estupinan
    B) Botman
    C) Chilwell

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    3. Boz
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      C

  23. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Will grealish outscore March or odegaard ? one of which I would have to bench if I do the rash to grealish move
    Cheers

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If he starts, I think he'll outscore both

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers

    2. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Probably yes

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks

  24. Solly The Seagull
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play two? Have Trippier and Kepa

    A) Chilwell
    B) Henry
    C) Schär
    D) Shaw

    1. Saka Laka Boom Boom
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Chill Henry

  25. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start one please?

    A. Moreno (NEW)
    B. Botman (villa) (double with trippier)
    C. Estupinan (chelsea)

    1. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

    2. boc610
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      thats tough, i dont see a cleanie for newcastle fwiw.
      A for the home fixture and potential attacking returns

  26. footballcandy
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Chil and Henry

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Reply fail to TonyRaw

  27. aidmata
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Any suggestions guys - really struggling to make up my mind this week and unsure whether to FH 32 or 34.

    Kepa Raya

    Mee Chilwell Trippier Botman Estupinian

    MacAllister March Rashford Saka Martinelli

    Haaland Watkins Toney

    1FT with £2.4 ITB - only FH left.

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Very similar team to mine above.

      I’m saving and using two fts next week to get 11 out.

      FH 34

      1. aidmata
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers!

  28. NumberSix
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    If your team needs work and you’ve no Haaland and a free hit, is there any point in waiting to WC to gw33 if you plan well?

    1. NumberSix
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      As in You have no Haaland, but do have a fh

      1. footballcandy
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        No, I'm WC this round and FH 34

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      WC31 and 33 teams should be similar assuming I have correctly understood you have a free hit left

  29. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Guys what do you say ?

    A Salah -4
    B Bruno

    1. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  30. TanN
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Rashford + Madders --> Grealish + Olise (-4) ?