Watchlist
14 April 2023 412 comments
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The Watchlist takes a medium-term look at the more desirable Fantasy Premier League (FPL) transfer targets, rather than concentrating on just the upcoming Gameweek as the Scout Picks does.

We’ve recently had our weekly refresh, with the main changes explained below.

ABOUT THE WATCHLIST

FPL friendlies round-up: Odegaard and Doherty looking sharp as White returns 1

We typically concentrate on a four-to-six-Gameweek lookahead when compiling the Watchlist but it’d be remiss not to be thinking about what lies just beyond that hill, as Newcastle United, Brighton and Hove Albion, Chelsea and the two Manchester clubs still have at least one more Double Gameweek to come after Gameweek 34.

Players are selected and ranked according to factors such as form, club injuries, forthcoming fixtures, Rate My Team’s points projections and whether or not the player in question is likely to be a bargain in FPL.

Arrows before the name indicate whether a player has climbed or fallen in our reckoning since the previous update or if they are a new entry into the tables.

We typically toe the line with FPL’s definition of ‘form’ (average points accrued in matches played over the last 30 days) but here we’ve incorporated Gameweek 27 onwards to make up for the two weeks of non-action over the international break.

The key for the factors you’ll see in the below tables is as follows:

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL GOALKEEPERS

It’s important to acknowledge from the start that each individual manager’s Watchlist may be different from someone else’s and indeed ours. For example, FPL bosses playing a Free Hit in Gameweek 32 will likely be looking at different transfer targets to those who are negotiating the upcoming blank for Chelsea, Brighton and the two Manchester clubs without a chip.

So there’s a ‘something for everyone’ approach to this feature, at least until Gameweek 32 is out of the way.

In second and third here are goalkeepers who ‘double’, don’t blank and have decent remaining individual fixtures in the shape of premium pair Alisson (£5.4m) and Nick Pope (£5.4m). The Brazilian, who has made light of the abject defence in front of him to sit joint-second in the FPL goalkeeper standings, is the highest projected points scorer in his position in the run-in, with five games at fortress Anfield and four trips to bottom-half clubs still to come.

The custodians of City and United are positioned just behind Alisson and Pope: David de Gea (£5.0m) and Ederson (£5.4m) both have two Double Gameweeks to come and will likely rise further up the standings once their Blank Gameweek is out of the way but, as mentioned above, that’s less of an issue for Gameweek 32 Free Hitters.

Ahead of them all, however, is Jason Steele (£3.9m). Even factoring in the upcoming blank for Albion, you’ll get more fixtures and Double Gameweeks out of the Seagulls than any other side:

TeamRemaining FixturesRemaining Double GameweeksRemaining Blank Gameweeks
Brighton1031
Man City, Man Utd921
Fulham, Liverpool, Newcastle, West Ham910
Chelsea811
Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brentford, C Palace, Everton, Leeds, Leicester, Nottm Forest, Southampton, Spurs, Wolves800

At least £1.1m cheaper than any other goalkeeper we’ve already mentioned, Steele has also averaged more points per match (4.7) than any other current first-choice number one. Despite the gung-ho reputation, Brighton are a creditable fourth for fewest expected goals conceded (xGC) since Roberto De Zerbi took over.

Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.7m) just about stays in view: Chelsea do have a Double Gameweek still to come but it will involve trips to the two Manchester clubs, while there are clashes with Brighton, Newcastle and Arsenal on either side. Given Kepa’s chequered past with Frank Lampard, there’ll be a concern about a demotion at some point, too.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL DEFENDERS

Chelsea’s iffy schedule also costs Ben Chilwell (£6.0m) a couple of places, although his red card in Wednesday’s defeat to Real Madrid is likely good news for his game-time in Gameweek 31 as he might otherwise have been preserved for Tuesday’s return leg.

There’s still a heck of an FPL asset in there, as Chilwell was top among defenders for shots, chances created and expected goal involvement (xGI) during his unbroken run of starts from Gameweeks 24-29 – just don’t count on many clean sheets with the fixtures to come.

The defenders’ Watchlist has a similar feel to the goalkeeper version, with non-blanking doublers Kieran Trippier (£6.2m) and Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m) top of the pops and Gameweek 32 blankers Ruben Dias (£6.0m) and Pervis Estupinan (£4.8m) waiting in the wings for their time in the sun in Gameweeks 34-38.

Dias seems to have become the token mainstay of Pep Guardiola’s defence, shaking off his mid-season injury woes to start the last eight Premier League matches in a row. The deeper City get into the FA Cup and Champions League, the more the concern about the odd spot of rotation, but let’s not forget that the destiny of the league title is also now in the reigning champions’ hands following Arsenal’s draw at Liverpool.

Luke Shaw (£5.1m) remains on the periphery following Erik ten Hag’s declaration that he expects the defender back “at short notice”. Again, he’ll surge up the standings once he’s back to fitness and United’s Gameweek 32 blank is over and done with.

The one new entry is Joachim Andersen (£4.5m). There’s no Palace representation on our goalkeeping list due to Vicente Guaita (£4.4m) potentially returning to challenge Sam Johnstone (£4.4m) soon, but there are no such worries about the heart of the defence.

Joint-ninth among defenders for shots in the box this season, Andersen is part of a backline that boasts the second-best xGC in the last six matches. The upcoming fixtures are excellent, too, with the Eagles’ only remaining opponents sitting any higher than 10th in the table being a far-from-formidable Tottenham Hotspur.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL MIDFIELDERS

Again, we reiterate the earlier caveat about diverging chip strategies and the different transfer targets that accompany each approach.

Here in this strategy-neutral zone we’ve placed slightly more weight on the short term (as we tend to do in this article), so Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and the two Arsenal representatives rank higher than the Gameweek 32 blankers from Brighton, Man City and Man Utd.

Jack Grealish (£7.1m) gets the nod after 11 straight league starts for the Citizens and as many post-restart attacking returns; only the Arsenal pair featured above and the injured Marcus Rashford (£7.2m) can better that goals/assists tally among midfielders.

Kevin De Bruyne (£12.1m) is also on the fringes of re-entering the Watchlist but after being withdrawn in midweek for “tactical reasons” minutes after being crocked, we’ll hang fire on the offchance that there’s any Gameweek 31 game-time doubt.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m) falls slightly, even though the return of Casemiro (£4.9m) and Christian Eriksen (£6.2m) raises hope that he’ll be back in his usual number 10 role soon. He was still playing deep alongside Casemiro against Sevilla on Thursday, while there’ll be concern that he’s actually performed well in this quarter-back role, impressing Erik ten Hag sufficiently enough that the United head coach might consider it a viable tactic going forward. The fact that Marcel Sabitzer (£4.7m) is thriving in the more advanced midfield position is also worthy of note.

THE WATCHLIST: BEST FPL FORWARDS

There’s not much movement in the forwards’ list, with Erling Haaland (£12.2m) set for a climb back to top spot once Blank Gameweek 32 is out of the way.

Gabriel Jesus (£8.1m) nudges up the standings despite Arsenal’s lack of a double, with three goals in two starts since his return from injury. The Gunners being out of Europe and the domestic cup competitions is in their favour from an FPL perspective, while Jesus is second only to Haaland for minutes per xG among forwards this season.

With Luis Diaz (£7.8m) potentially set to return to the Liverpool matchday squad on Monday night to give Jurgen Klopp a full complement of six fit attackers, there’s too much game-time risk for Darwin Nunez (£8.7m) to elevate him any higher than where he is now.



412 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Are people thinking of bringing in Martinelli if on FH?

    whm, mci, CHE, new really doesn't look appealing to me.

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Brought him in last night!

  2. Tshelby
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Martinelli or Grealish?

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Leaning towards Grealish as he’s a better option gw33 onwards.

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      M

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Grealish for me. Better long term hold.

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        This

    4. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Grealish has dgws to come, blank 32, ars 33

  3. SpaceCadet
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start March or Mitoma?

    1. Tshelby
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mitoma

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mit

  4. mr_3_bounce@hotmail.com
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Steele or Kepa for GW 31?

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Steele

      1. mr_3_bounce@hotmail.com
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        thanks. i am leaning towards Steele as chelsea have been terrible in attack and brighton have been great...

  5. Haa Haa Land
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who do I leave out between Grealish and Watkins?
    Sounds like Grealish is knackered and might not even start.
    cheers

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Grealish

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Where did you get the Grealish news from?

      1. tbos83
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        There were comments in media about how tired he looked after Bayern match

        1. LoneWolf1989
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          He’s on fire so would be amazed if he gets dropped but then Pep loves a bit of roulette.

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Did Pep say something about Grealish?

  6. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Worth starting Shaw? Or cameo risk?

    https://twitter.com/utdreport/status/1646636009893908486?s=20

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If he's available for Sunday I'd be confident enough he'll get a few mins from the bench to prepare him for next Thursday, would doubt he'd start but never know

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I'm starting him or Estupinan, similar points likely lol

  7. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So uhh keep Rashford now after ETH's comments? Can move to Salah for free this week but if he's back for DGW34 I'm thinking keeping makes most sense

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm defo keeping

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keep or be prepared to bring back in GW34

    3. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Keeping for now, can just play March for him, hope rash back for 33-34

  8. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Please help me find 0.5m in this WC to upgrade Greenwood to Ferguson

    Steele Iverson
    TAA Konate Shaw Botman Fofana
    Salah Mahrez Grealish Sancho Mitoma
    Kane Haaland Greenwood

    1. tordud
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      TAA to Robbo?
      Or Sancho to Brighton mid

      1. XX SMICER XX
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Sancho is my Rashford placeholder - 0.2m saving if I go straight to Rashford

    2. LoneWolf1989
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Konate out.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I wouldn't upgrade Greenwood to Ferguson. Not nailed to start with Welbeck available so would rather leave 3rd Brighton spot open for a midfielder

      1. XX SMICER XX
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        This is very true.

        I was planning on Mahrez & Kane to KDB & X for GW34.
        KDB would be big differential for the double but does mean ignoring 2nd Brighton mid

    4. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      TAA > Guéhi/Mitchell/Andersen (loads'a'dosh) 🙂

  9. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who is the best midfielder up to 7.6 for GW32/33? Eze / olise good fixtures but not sure can trust?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sorry not martnelli

  10. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Really torn here.
    A) Rashford > Grealish (FH gw31)
    B) Rashford > Martinelli + MacA > Olise (FH gw33)
    C) Maddi > Mahrez (FH gw31)

    Raya
    Mee Tripps Chilly
    Mitoma Saka Rashford* MacA
    Watkins Kane Haaland

    Iversen Maddison Estup Shaw*

  11. footballcandy
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How does this WC31 look?

    Pickford (Steele)
    TAA, Guehi, Trippier (White, N. Williams)
    Salah, Martinelli, Olise, Mitoma (Andreas)
    Haaland (c), Kane, Jesus

    Gives me this in 32 (+save ft):

    Pickford
    TAA, Guehi, White, Trippier (N. Williams)
    Salah (c), Martinelli, Olise, Andreas
    Jesus, Kane

  12. The Mighty Whites
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    1FT, 2.6 ITB, thoughts?

    Raya - Kepa
    Chilwell - Trippier - Shaw - Botman - Henry
    Saka - Rashford - Harrison - Mitoma - March
    Haaland - Kane - Watkins

    A: Harrison to Grealish
    B: Chilwell to TAA/Dias/Ake (and play Harrison)
    C: Harrison & Chilwell to Grealish & TAA (-4)
    D: Harrison & Chilwell to Grealish & Dias/Ake (-4)

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      depending on your chip strat, i dont mind C or D

      1. footballcandy
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        C is OK!

      2. The Mighty Whites
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        FH32

  13. LoneWolf1989
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    G2G?

    Pope.
    Trippier, Dunk, Robertson, White.
    Mitoma, Grealish, Saka.
    Watkins, Toney, Haaland (C)

    Bench - Neto, Maddison, Chillwell, Rashford.

    1. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Feels weird to bench Chilwell, but I don't see Chelsea scoring neither so why not start Dunk 🙂 GTG

      1. LoneWolf1989
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Legend! Yeah I didn’t feel great about benching him as a Chelsea fan but we are on a downward spiral and Brighton look so dangerous going forward.

        1. Eastman
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          I’m definitely starting him

  14. dbeck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    play Steele or Raya this week?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Steele,

      We can’t hit a barn door at the moment so Brighton should get a clean sheet.

    2. footballcandy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Steele

    3. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Made of Steele.

  15. Tonyawesome69
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Klopp on Diaz comeback: "He's 100% ready in training. He will be in the squad."

    Diaz could an interesting pick over Salah in 34. He has 3 games between now and GW34 to get up to speed and push for starts

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Will monitor Diaz over next couple games

    2. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      This is good news.

  16. sandman58
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start one?
    A Rico Henry (wol)
    B Alex Moreno (NEW)
    C Estupinan (che)

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

    3. The Mighty Whites
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      a

    4. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  17. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    GTG?

    DDG

    Trippier James Guehi

    Salah Mitoma Grealish Eze

    Kane Haaland(c) Watkins

    Raya Billing Estupiñian Shaw

  18. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ederson in for
    A Kepa
    B Raya
    Don’t want the city def roulette with dgws coming up
    Cheers

    1. Eastman
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Whoever gives you the most money I’d say. Ederson plays every game.

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers, my thinking to

      2. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        GL with CS & gets no save points.

  19. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start Raya or De Gea?

    1. thom830g
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      DDG

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks

  20. Eastman
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bottomed
    Any help welcome. FH in 32 and benching Rash I think. Looking to set up for 34 too.

    Kepa (Steele)
    Trip White Chilwell (Botman Shaw)
    Saka Grealish Madison Mitoma (Rash)
    Kane Haaland Watkins

    Thinking
    A. Madison > March
    B. Madison > Martinelli
    Anything else ?
    Thanks

    1. thom830g
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Would go A

  21. thom830g
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start Kepa or Raya?

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Raya

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Start De Gea or Raya?

        1. Count of Monte Hristo
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          😆

    2. tibollom
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      ive gone raya

  22. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Presser times today?

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Smith now

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Check FFS Hot topics

      1. Milk, 1 Šuker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers, got it

  23. The EJJ
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What are people doing with Bruno Fernandes? With the Rahsford news i'm thinking of doing Bruno > Grealish this week, then reassess whether i want bruno back for the DGWs

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You mean the news that Rashford has a chance to play against Sevilla 2nd leg

      1. The EJJ
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        meaning that in likelihood he's going to be well and fit for the DGW and even GW33 probably

    2. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I’m selling Bruno for Grealish and benching Rash. Bruno plays too deep now, and I anticipate that Sabitzer keeps his attacking role on Sunday after yesterdays performance.

  24. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    did rash to marti last night with my FT, plan is now to FH in 34 instead of BGW 32.. g2g for this GW? Not sure if I should bench Shaw for Mac?

    Raya
    White Trippier Mings Shaw
    Mitoma Saka Marti
    Kane Haaland(c) Watkins

    Kepa Mac Maddison Veltman

  25. Podorsky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is there something wrong with the tweets section? They have not been updated since last week.

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I asked 3 days ago...never had a response

    2. thobe230
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I've asked this questions twice also, and had no response. Have the mods not seen it?

  26. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hi everyone

    Been off here for a few days due to real life issues so forgive me if there’s a bit of repetition here.

    Originally planned to ship Chilwell this week (FH 32, plan for DGW34) but Rashford injury and Grealish form are spanners in the works.

    What would you do here? 1FT 0.0ITB

    A) Bruno to Grealish (free), play March
    B) Chilwell to Ake (free)
    C) Rashford and Chilwell to Grealish and Ake (-4)
    D) Something else

    Raya
    Trippier Schar Chilwell
    Bruno Rashford* Saka Mitoma
    Haaland Kane Watkins

    Kepa March Pinnock Estupinan

    Thanks!

    1. ggfussball
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      FPL is life

    2. ggfussball
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I’d do Rash for someone and play Estu

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Cool, thanks

  27. XABI 15
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    White or Andersen? no chips left

  28. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play two:

    A) Tarkowski (FUL)
    B) Estupinan (che)
    C) Mitoma (che)
    D) Macalister (che)

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      DC

  29. Hint
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play Bruno or March?

  30. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hold Rash and Shaw if I have bench cover?
    Gives me 2FT for GW32 and can then FH in GW34

    Raya,
    Tripps, Pinnock, Botman,
    Mitoma, March, Mart, Saka
    Kane, Haaland, Watkins

    Kepa, Botman, Rash, Shaw

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Seems fine. Not against selling the United players this GW either since you plan to FH34.