Spot the Differential
5 May 2023 376 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 35 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is nearing, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Nottingham Forest, Manchester City and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.


MORGAN GIBBS-WHITE

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: SOU | che | ARS | cry

Morgan Gibbs-White (£5.5m) has been a key figure for Nottingham Forest this season, claiming four goals and nine assists.

Ten of those attacking returns have arrived in 16 starts at The City Ground, which is where he has produced his most eye-catching displays. On home turf, he ranks fifth among all FPL midfielders for chances created and 18th for shots, highlighting his all-round threat.

Time and again this season, Gibbs-White has shown he is an excellent no. 10 who can create and score goals, with his ability to drop into pockets of space just behind the forward causing plenty of problems for opposition backlines.

Nott’m Forest have put six goals past Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion and Liverpool in their last three matches, a period that has seen Gibbs-White record two goals and two assists.

The final match of Gameweek 35 sees Steve Cooper’s side host Southampton, a fixture that will have huge implications for the relegation battle. Forest have picked up 24 of their 30 points at The City Ground in 2022/23, while Saints are winless in nine, so the home side will go into this one as favourites.

Gibbs-White is a key player for Forest and can be a nice midfield differential in Gameweek 35, who can capitalise on Southampton’s set-piece weakness.


JULIAN ALVAREZ

FPL Gameweek 34: Sunday's goals, assists, bonus points + statistics
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: LEE | eve | CHE + bha | bre

After tipping Riyad Mahrez (£7.3m) last week, this time it’s the turn of Man City team-mate Julian Alvarez (£6.0m).

The Argentine deputised for Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m) in Double Gameweek 34, impressing with a goal and assist at Craven Cottage last weekend.

Now, with the first leg of Man City’s UEFA Champions League semi-final against Real Madrid on Tuesday, Pep Guardiola could rotate some of his key players again, allowing Alvarez another start.

He tends to make the most of every opportunity he gets, too: no team-mate bar Erling Haaland (£12.4m) has a better goals-per-minute ratio than Alvarez this season. In fact, in his last four starts in the league, he has six attacking returns and three double-digit hauls.

Man City have claimed victory in 11 of their last 12 league outings, suggesting their match with relegation-threatened Leeds United – the league’s leakiest defence – will be another routine home win. The visitors, of course, now have Sam Allardyce at the helm, but it’s debatable just how much of an impact he can make here, given that he will have overseen only three training sessions.

Furthermore, Guardiola’s side are averaging 3.0 goals per game on home turf since the Premier League resumed after the World Cup.

Alvarez’s recent form suggests he might be worth a punt in Gameweek 35. He could even be a captaincy shout if we get a team news leak that he starts and Haaland doesn’t.


JAMES MADDISON

FPL review: Maddison's elite numbers, Spurs' injury woes 1
  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: ful | LIV | new | WHU

Patience will probably be wearing thin for James Maddison’s (£7.9m) FPL owners right now, after his penalty miss against Everton in Gameweek 34.

However, he has now supplied assists in two of his three appearances under Dean Smith, a period that has seen him rack up 10 goal attempts, six shots in the box and nine chances created.

Those numbers compare well to other midfielders in that period (Gameweek 31 onwards). His three created chances per 90 minutes ranks fifth in his position, while his rate of shots (3.33 per 90) sits 10th among players who have played a meaningful number of minutes (180+).

He will benefit from having a reinvigorated Jamie Vardy (£9.1m) leading the line, as they look to replicate their Gameweek 34 link-up at Fulham on Monday. The Cottagers have lost seven of their last nine league matches, failing to keep a clean sheet in each of their last ten.

Leicester will look to expose those troubles and they arrive in pretty decent form, earning five points from their last three games. They are, however, with a shut-out since the World Cup, so will probably need their attackers to step up and deliver.

Maddison has no doubt frustrated a fair few FPL managers in recent times, but in isolation, feels like a good pick for his trip to Fulham.



376 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Lav
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Two questions, thanks for help

    1. Who do I drop for Wilson?
    a. Watkins
    b. Toney

    2. Who should I start?
    a. Mitoma
    b. March

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      BA

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Very tricky decision, but BA for me.

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Toney
      Tough but Mitoma

  2. HellasLEAF
    • 17 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    For this GW:

    Mitoma or March

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      It’s a coin flip. March looked great in the last game while Mitoma was off on his finishing and gotta think March starts next one, but bri goals can come from anywhere.

  3. Zenith UK
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Maddison 😀

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      For those of us idiots who have held him for this long, it has to be his week this week! 🙂

      1. Scalper
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Personally have held him since GW26. Last week pure pain.

        This is his last chance… I’ve said this before though

    2. RWB_1991
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Thinking of bringing Foden in for him

  4. Skout
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Play Kepa or Raya and why?

    1. Nuka Girl
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I tend to go by cleansheet odds, so Kepa for me.

    2. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Raya because he’s not Kepa. I wouldn’t invest in a Chelsea program let alone playing asset

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      R

  5. DennisTheMenace
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start 1 and why:
    a) March (EVE)
    b) Isak (ARS)

    1. pablo discobar
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Which would you go for and why?

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      March - rested and looked sharp when he came on against UTd

    3. Bushwhacker
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Coin flip for me ; better fixture for March and likely a guaranteed start … Isak maybe not but Arsenal will leak.

  6. Boberella
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What are people doing with Jota this week?
    Tempted to move to Wilson for a hit l, (as want Wilson long term anyway)

    1. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I’m moving him out for either Wilson or Isak shortly

      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Why not Alvarez if indications are he's starting?

        1. Boberella
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Alvarez is also in consideration, but I want Wilson for the rest of the season and have already gone for Foden as a second city attacker.

        2. RICICLE
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I can see the appeal but I want a main player in a team, and Alvarez just a transfer waiting to happen really. A luxery I can’t afford with still needing to acquire the likes of TAA & Rashford as well 🙂

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Struggling to justify a hit there - Jota has a good fixture and might not be out, Wilson has a tougher fixture and might not start. If you have anyone half-decent to come in, I’d take a chance on Jota. Otherwise, I’d rather take the Alvarez punt if we get confirmation he’ll start

  7. Boberella
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Quick poll….
    Play:
    A) Rashford
    B) Martinelli

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

    3. RWB_1991
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      As an Arsenal fan, A. Guaranteed to start for one

  8. Bobby_Baggio
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Morning all. 2FT + 0.2m ITB. Not sure where to use my FT or use both?

    Edersen
    TAA - Estupinan - Dalot
    Grealish - Salah - Rashford - Mitoma - March
    Haaland - Isak

    (Iversen) - Jota - Trippier - Coufal

    A) Jota > Wilson
    B) Grealish + Jota > Bruno + Alvarez
    C) Coufal > Lindelof
    D) Anything else

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A,

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A

  9. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Jota > ???

    a - 4 for Alvarez

    b. Play March no hit

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

    2. Aksekladden
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

    4. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers lads that what I thought too

      1. Eastman
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I have Mitoma too but going B

    5. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Easy B

  10. Aksekladden
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Wolves at home is a different animal. They have three wins in a row without conceding.
    Keeping Moreno second on the bench.

    1. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I’m defo playing Moreno, Wolves are already on the beach it seems, they’ll be wounded by that 6-0

      1. Boberella
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Same here. Playing him over Shaw actually.

      2. Aksekladden
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Nothing is scarier then a wounded animal:)

        1. RICICLE
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Tis true, but Villa will also want to atone for their last game loss, I can see Villa starting off strong.
          Cue a Wolves goal inside the first minute haha!

          1. Aksekladden
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            One of thos bingo matches for sure. I make some bets, but not touching that one!

            1. RICICLE
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Haha! Don’t blame ya mate

      3. Aksekladden
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Even if they were on the beach, a 6-0 score would demand a reaction. They could do like palace and tug along with 2-0/2-1 defeats for the last half dozen games, but now they got to respond.

        1. RICICLE
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Yep I do agree there, just depends how stern Villa can be, I’m sure Emery will be aware of all this anyway, it’s actually a decent match up Villa And Wolves, I’d expect goals from both teams to be fair, just hope Moreno maybe snags an assist with some luck.

          1. Aksekladden
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Would definitly watch on a monday night! 🙂
            Moreno has been great for villa, i would say unlucky not to get a couple more assists.

            1. RICICLE
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Oh for sure! He has been quite unfortunate not to add more to his tally, hope he has a good game anyway, I do have a decent feeling about him, but I’ve learnt not to do this with players ha!

  11. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A) jJota to Isak with FT
    Or
    B) play March and save FT?

    Thanks

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Normally A is obvious move but I like the idea of starting march so B

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Leaning B

    3. RWB_1991
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B

  12. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    thoughts on this?

    Jota>Solanke
    March>Mahrez (start Mitoma/MacAllister)

    then next week do Watkins>Isak

  13. camarozz
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I don't have Salah but have Kane/haaland/Isak up

    I can afford Bruno without losing front 3.

    Would u punt on it ?(have Rashford)

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Stick

  14. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    I would play Solanke so am asking this...
    Who to play from those players
    Pick one GK & 3 Defenders
    Raya Kepa
    Tripper Schär Shaw Chilwell

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Bench Raya and Schar

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      R
      T, Shaw, C

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thxxx

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Bench Kepa and Schar

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers guys

  15. Kay317
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Jota to:
    A) Wilson
    B) Isak

    Or just bench and play March or Mitoma?
    I'll want one of the Newcastle strikers next week anyway.

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Bench + maybe March

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Play the Brighton midfielder.

    3. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Play March or Mitoma - I wouldn’t want to bench either!

  16. RWB_1991
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Start one?

    A) Martinez
    B) Steele

  17. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    2FT and won't be online for early Team News tomorrow.

    No clue what to do. If unsure, just Botman -> DEF to allow Newc double up next GW?

    Steele
    TAA -- Shaw -- Estupinán
    Salah -- Grealish -- Mitoma -- Rashford
    Haaland -- Isak -- Watkins

    Iversen -- Martinelli -- Trippier -- Botman [2FT +0.5m ITB]

    1. RWB_1991
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Grealish to Foden

  18. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Want to bring in one of Foden, Mahrez or Alvarez and Captain one them. Which one?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Foden

  19. Norco
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Really unsure what to do this week, team is just meh boring and no real confidence in decent return. 2.7ITB 1FT

    Kepa
    Trips Shaw Estu
    Salah Grealish Mitoma March Rashford
    Haaland Watkins

    (Raya | Jota Henry Burn)

    Do I:

    1. Save
    2. Jota > Wilson/Isak (bench Watkins)
    3. Grealish > Foden
    4. Grealish > Bruno
    5. Burn > Stones/Ake

  20. RICICLE
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Who do you think is more likely to play out if Isak & Wilson this GW guys?

    Head says Isak, gut says Wilson

  21. froggyyyy
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    best gk for wildcard?

  22. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best use of ft, taking out one of eze odeg marti or mee for:

    1.mitoma
    2.march
    3.estupinan

  23. Franfe98
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Opinions??

    A) TAA + Mahrez + Solanke
    B) TAA + Mitoma + Watkins
    C) 6.0 def + Mahrez + Watkins

    Thanks!

  24. Dušan Citizen
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Play Solanke instead of any of these to catch my rival?

    Salah Mahrez Rashford March Mitoma
    Haaland Watkins

    He has all the same players bar Mahrez, he's got Bruno.

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes Maybe instead of March or Mahrez if he benched tomorrow wait for leaks

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah March seems like logical one.

        I'd probaably do Mahrez to Foden C if we get early leaks tho

    2. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      S8lanke over March I think. Very poor form.

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, wouldn't be surprised if he's benched again or used as wb or lb even

  25. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    When is the Man City leak? Might bring in Mahrez + Alvarez this week.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      About a minute before the FPL website crashes.

      1. Lallana_
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Haha I hear about this happening a lot but my timezone does not align well with the "leaks"

        I guess I'll risk it because saving my FT is just as good as a -4 for Mahrez/Alvarez.

  26. gart888
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Grealish to:

    A) Mahrez
    B) Foden
    C) Roll
    D) Other

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Roll.the one you het will be bench next week.

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        This

  27. Ten Season Wonder
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    When do the prices change?

    1. Dušan Citizen
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      In 1h and 22 mins I think

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks Dusan

  28. froggyyyy
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    plz need help with wildcard

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Call 911

      1. froggyyyy
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        911 emergency.. who best gk for wildcard

        1. Ten Season Wonder
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Steele

        2. GC123
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Steele, DDG & Pope in that order

    2. Dušan Citizen
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I can't lend you mine, already used it, sorry

      1. froggyyyy
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        i just need some ideas

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          What are your current ideas?

          1. froggyyyy
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            de gea
            Estupiñán-arnold-man u defenders
            march -mahrez or kdb- salah-
            haland - wilson for next gw- kane

    3. GC123
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      3 Brighton, 3 Newcastle, 2 City, 2 United, 2 Liverpool + 3 fodder

    4. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Catching people?

      Try bringing in:

      De Bruyne
      Foden
      Diaz
      Son
      Kane

    5. Always a Red Devil
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      why play

  29. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Wilson or Issk?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Wilson for me

    2. Yankee Toffee
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Issak

    3. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Think Isak is the better player myself

  30. Yankee Toffee
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bench one:
    A) Shaw
    B) White
    C) March
    D) Mac Callister

    Cheers!

    1. Lallana_
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      B