Champions League

UCL Fantasy expert’s tips for the knockout stage

The 2024/25 UEFA Champions League (UCL) campaign resumes today with Matchday 11 – and so does the competition’s official Fantasy game.

Here, FPL Milanista, another one of our European football experts who finished 31st in the world in 2022, shares some of his tips on how to succeed in the knockout rounds.


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The round of 16 begins the final part of this UEFA Champions League campaign. With the best clubs in Europe still standing, there is no room for error. Stakes are getting higher and the drama will intensify, so UCL Fantasy managers must stay sharp, be proactive with transfers and take advantage of key players in the knockout rounds.

This is the very last time that we’re allowed unlimited transfers, as most active managers have probably already activated their chips during the easier group games. Therefore, it’s wise to study upcoming fixtures within the bracket.

PREDICT EACH ROUND

My first tip at this stage is to go through the tournament bracket and make your unbiased predictions about which teams will progress into the latter stages.

This is vital because it allows you to build a strong base of players that are expected to stay for a longer period of time.

Free transfers can then be used for luxury moves, instead of just replacing the eliminated players.

UCL Fantasy expert's tips for the knockout stage

Above: The Opta Supercomputer’s UCL knockout phase projections

Of course, this is much easier said than done. But with the right picks and an avoidance of shock results, navigation will be comfortable using each round’s free transfers.

INVEST IN DEFENCE

Next, think about the balance between star attackers and reliable defenders. As the tournament progresses, the number of goals diminishes because the gap between opponents gets smaller.

That makes owning a reliable selection of defenders very important, especially with ball recoveries being rewarded. From this point, spending a bit more than before on defence feels a sensible strategy.

RISKIER CAPTAINS

Let’s move to the most important aspect of UCL Fantasy – captaincy.

The general rule that we applied in the group stages must carry forward with us into the knockouts, which is to focus our free transfers towards grabbing each calendar day’s best captain.

Yet, in my opinion, the elimination of weaker sides changes this idea. It’s always said that the risk of not having the obvious Matchday captain strongly outweighs the benefits you may get if the player blanks.

Other managers can take the armband off his failure. But if he bags a hat-trick, it’ll be only you who suffers from the lost points.

However, the level of teams is becoming closer in a way that we’re not expecting to see any more thrashings. Given the strong template that will strengthen with each passing Matchday, taking a punt with your armband could be the only way to start overtaking if you’re unhappy with the overall rank.

THE TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY BALANCE

Next is the Tuesday v Wednesday split of players. Although many like to have a perfect balance by selecting seven or eight players from each day, I’m still a fan of putting a lot of my eggs into the earlier basket, knowing that punts can be easily substituted if unsuccessful.

In the round of 16, fixtures are reversed in the second leg. Whoever plays on Tuesday this week will feature next Wednesday and vice versa.

In an ideal world, my preference is to have nine or 10 players from this Tuesday. Then, use the trio of free transfers to sell three of them for those taking part next Tuesday. This maintains my ratio but isn’t always easy to achieve, as fixtures and prices need to be considered when making the final team selection.

Anyway, that’s it from me for now. Whether you’re in it for the excitement of European football or battling to climb the UCL Fantasy rankings, these next few weeks will be full of action.

Enjoy the ride – it’s going to be thrilling.

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27 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    1 - Who takes Jude's spot

    2 - Vinny or Kyllan or Lewie for a forward spot

    1. Men in green tights
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      1 no idea
      2 I've gone Lewie

  2. theodosios
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Henderson (Kepa)
    TAA Colwill RAN (Aina, Robinson)
    Salah Palmer Mbeumo Kluivert Dango
    Isak Gakpo (Wood)

    2FT 1.6ITB

    Anything worth a transfer?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Not at all (at the moment)

    2. JBG
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Not sure I'd bench Wood and not for Dango(who looks like he will be benched after Evanilson came back)

      1. Men in green tights
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Definitely reduced minutes .

    3. Bess75
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Yeah bench Dango over Wood as per JBG's comments.

  3. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Sels Flekken

    Gabriel TAA Mykolenko Hall Porro

    Salah Palmer Sarr Dango Mitoma

    Wood Isak Wissa

    1FT 0.1 ITB

    Anything worth a transfer yet?

  4. AD105
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    This worth a -4 in GW29? Would bring Salah back in on WC in 30/31

    Salah/Cunha/TAA > Haaland/Bruno/RAN

    Current team is

    Pickford
    TAA Gabriel Kerkez
    Salah Palmer Mbeumo Rogers Dango
    Isak Wood

    4.0 Robinson Greaves Cunha*

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Yes

    2. STHH
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      How much value would you lose in Salah by doing that and what's your team value?

    3. CONNERS
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      My current thinking is to try not to take a hit in 29 and to make do without Haaland, given there are plenty of decent cheaper options available. Brighton isn't that great a fixture for him regardless.

      As it stands, I'm currently aiming to bring in Beto and Bruno for Cunha and Rogers for free in 29.

      In GW30 I'm lining up a more aggressive move of switching Beto and Bruno out for Sarr & Mateta for Southampton as I think the hit is more likely to pay off that week.

  5. Saka White Rice
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    I now no longer believe its worth doing AM31-33 FH34 and BB at the end. Because GW33 is massive and I need loads of transfers to setup a team I like and I can't WC in 30 since we wont find out about doubles until GW31 probably. Therefore, best option is probably WC31, BB33, FH34 and AM36-38 (hoping we get a double in 36 which is possible). Anyone else?

    1. CONNERS
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      If you're planning to BB in 33, wouldn't it be better to WC in 32 to minimise any injury/suspension - related issues, or is there another reason why WC31 is being targeted? (Fixture swings?)

      1. STHH
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        I think the quick WCs has been in people's minds because they were going to dead-end their teams in GW29 and prepare for the BGWs and DGWs happening beyond. I'm not sure it should be set in stone. Completely team dependent.

        I was shifting away from that but now looking at my team I have a lot I would like to ditch and could probably benefit from an early WC to set my team up for the last 9 GWs.

        1. CONNERS
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Yeah, sounds fair.

      2. Black Knights
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        TC in 32 could come into play for some.

    2. kringe
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      My plan was also AM31-33 FH34 but doubting now whether FH 33 will be better. Depending who wins the QF games I could have 5 starters in 34 or 14.
      But problem is if I AM31-33 I block the FH33 option.

      1. Saka White Rice
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Exactly which is why I dont think AM31-33 works...

        1. kringe
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          If Liverpool, Newcastle, Forest & Bournemouth blanked I would have been nicely set up for DGW 33 and FH34.
          But now looking more likely AM36-38 like you mention.

  6. sirmorbach
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Kepa / Flekken
    TAA, Gabriel, Hall / Davis, Faes,
    Salah, Palmer, Mbeumo, Semenyo / Rogers
    Isak, Wood, Wissa

    3 ft. 0.6 itb. All chips available except TC.

    What would you do here? Many thanks!

  7. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Afternoon all:

    Which in theory do you prefer in GW29, both for a -4:
    A) Palmer & Gakpo > Dibling & Haaland (play cucurella vs Arsenal)
    B) Cucurella & Gakpo > Gvardiol & Marmoush (Play Palmer)

    1. CONNERS
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      B

    2. Alexis Nonsense
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      We all know Palmer will haul vs. Arsenal...that's just fpl logic.

      Cucurella high chance of clean sheet as Arsenal has no attack

      I'd go back to the drawing board if I were you, Haaland most def not worth a hit imo, 6 points is his new ceiling

      1. ShaunGoater123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        i'm not sure chelsea defence ever has a high chance of a clean sheet to be honest!

        But yeah,plamer feels risky and could do well so maybe that steers me away from haaland and to the other city options

  8. TKC07
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Is Ange AM 28-30 worth a punt, if not FH29.. ?