Spot the Differential
4 April 2025 310 comments
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Arsenal, Aston Villa and Newcastle United assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 31.

At the time of writing, these three players all have an ownership of 5.0% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

FPL Gameweek 31 team news: Isak, Kluivert + more injury updates

GABRIEL MARTINELLI

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £6.5m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: eve | BRE | ips + CRY | – | BOU

Following a superb display in Arsenal’s 2-1 win over Fulham on Tuesday, Gabriel Martinelli (£6.5m) is our headline selection.

The Brazilian produced an assist at the Emirates, when his deft flick teed up Bukayo Saka (£10.3m) for his goal.

He almost scored himself, too, but was deemed marginally offside when his effort hit the back of the net.

A constant threat down the left, Martinelli racked up three shots in the box, five chances created (see below) and 12 penalty box touches, the most of any other Arsenal player. He also enjoyed nine crosses from open play.

Above: Gabriel Martinelli’s key passes v Fulham in Gameweek 30

“Martinelli was superb. You see how much we missed him, that threat, that attacking purpose that he has every time he’s on the ball.” – Mikel Arteta

You’d think the return of Saka will galvanise Arsenal’s attack, too, as the Gunners prepare to visit Goodison Park in Gameweek 31.

The Toffees have been in decent form under David Moyes, but have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last seven matches.

It should also be pointed out that only Southampton and Nottingham Forest have conceded more key passes than Everton from their right flank in the last six Gameweeks, with just four clubs allowing more crosses from that zone.

In addition, Arsenal have a Double Gameweek 33 on the way, when they face Ipswich Town and Crystal Palace.

MARCO ASENSIO

  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: NFO | sou | NEW + mci | – | FUL

It’s a risky pick this, underscored by the fact that Marco Asensio (£6.1m) has started just two Premier League games for Aston Villa.

But having been benched in midweek and with some tasty fixtures on the horizon, the Spaniard potentially fits the bill as a differential gamble.

The reason Asensio has entered our thinking in Gameweek 31 is that he has been on fire since his Villa debut.

In just four starts and six sub appearances, he’s plundered eight goals and one assist in all competitions.

“The adaptation is going quick with Asensio because he’s playing his position. Some teams don’t play with a No 10, but we do and it’s easy for him.” – Unai Emery

Asensio could return to Unai Emery’s first XI for Saturday’s home clash with Nottingham Forest.

It’s one of the toughest match-ups an attacker can face this season, but Villa are unbeaten in 14 league matches on home turf, so he’ll fancy his chances.

Asensio then faces Southampton in Gameweek 32, before enjoying a Double Gameweek 33, when Villa take on Newcastle United and Manchester City.

In an ideal scenario, he starts against Forest on Saturday, is a substitute for the midweek trip to Paris Saint-Germain, and subsequently comes back into the first XI against Southampton.

You can then probably expect one start and one sub appearance in Double Gameweek 33.

Given his impact off the bench since arriving at Villa Park, it’s a gamble which could potentially pay off.

FABIAN SCHAR

  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: lei | MUN + CRY | avl | IPS | bha

Having recorded a clean sheet in their previous away fixture, Newcastle United look a decent bet for a second successive shut-out on the road in Gameweek 31.

That’s because opponents Leicester City have failed to find the back of the net in seven successive league games, while no side has scored fewer goals in 2025.

Ruud van Nistelrooy’s side are also bottom for attempts on goal, shots on target and expected goals (xG) since the turn of the year.

What potentially sets Fabian Schar (£5.4m) apart from his cheaper team-mates, such as Dan Burn (£4.4m) and Tino Livramento (£4.5m), is his goal threat.

Only 10 FPL defenders have registered more shots than Schar this season, with the centre-half prominent at set-piece situations and taking a few direct free-kicks, too.

Crucially, upcoming opponents Leicester and Manchester United both rank among the worst four sides for set play xG conceded in 2024/25, with 12.8 and 10.7 respectively.

There is also a Double Gameweek 32 to look forward to, plus an appealing clash against Ipswich Town in Gameweek 34, when four other teams blank.

So, with Kieran Trippier (£5.6m) flagged and Burn two bookings away from a suspension, Schar could be a nice differential pick to capitalise on Newcastle’s kind fixture run.



310 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FantasyTony
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    If you still have WC FH and BB left, is it better to wildcard this GW or next?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      It depends on how your team is looking for GW 30. If you are happy with it, then WC in 31.

      The best time to play your chips will also depend on who you wildcard in. The popular trend is to BB in 33 and FH in 34.

  2. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Feels strange being sober on a Friday when you're used to drinking almost every Friday. Who else sober tonight?

    1. Waynoo
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      As someone who works Saturdays, it's been a long time since I drank on Friday

      1. The Philosopher
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Which day is your off day?

    2. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 3 months ago

      As a judge

    3. notlob legin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      If the day of the week has the letter "y" in it I have a few drinks.

    4. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Is it Friday? Must have overslept again......

  3. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Palmer out for Saka 4ph?

    1. Sid07
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      No

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      No

  4. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bowen out, Tonali in -4. Y or N?

    1. Gazwaz80
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Bowen got Southampton at home in 33

      1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thanks!

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      No

      1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Gracias Gran Miguel

        1. Big Mike
          • 3 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          Esta bien.

    3. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Good lord no

      1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Tack

    4. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Same question: Bowen out, Newcastle mid in -4

  5. basilfawlty
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    GTG?
    Raya
    Munoz Gvardiol Burn
    Salah Saka Bowen Murphy
    Isak (C) Mateta Marmoush

    Martinez Sarr AWB Gabriel

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yep, looks good.

  6. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Raya Henderson
    Saliba Gvardiol Schar Livramento Konsa
    Salah Saka Rashford Rogers Sarr
    Isak Mateta Marmoush

    A Rogers & Livramento
    B Murphy & defender up to 5.3m

    1. Gazwaz80
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Villas 5 games in 14 days putting me off…

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      B but there isn't an outstanding defender option for 5.3.

      1. Big Mike
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        In my opinion.

  7. Sid07
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    play
    1) savinho
    2) sarr

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Savinho

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I’m on B. Just for the fact he will start for sure.

  8. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    What are Kluivert chances of starting?
    Thanks

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Significantly less than zero.

      1. bso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thanks mate

      2. No Kane No Gain
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Hey I’d say 25% not less than zero. Give the guy a proper answer

    2. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      25% and 50% he makes the bench

  9. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    martinelli almost certainly won't start this gw....why is he even in there?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I suspect he will.

  10. gomez123
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Which GK would you start this GW?
    A) Raya
    B) Martinez

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Agree Raya

  11. SomeoneKnows
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    1FT + 1.5itb (AM, FH, BB)

    Raya
    Gvardiol, Munoz, Kerkez
    Salah, Palmer, Sarr, Murphy
    Isak, Mateta, Marmoush

    (Verbruggen, Kluivert* Milenkovic, Gabriel*)

    Thoughts on the following plan and if I should transfer out Gabriel now or wait a week

    AM31 Howe
    AM32 Howe
    AM33 Glasner + Palmer>Saka
    FH34

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Looks good. Keep Gabriel as you’ve got good bench cover

      1. SomeoneKnows
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        He's likely out for the rest of the season, so no reason to keep him

  12. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Should i get Isak or hold of due to flag and vague update from Howe?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I suspect he will play. He had a similar issue earlier in the season where he was flagged and played, scoring 16 points.

  13. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Quansah to Schar for free or start Agbadou(ips) ?

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Schar. Good move for the next few gws.

  14. Bucket Man
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    I think I may have decided on Murphy reluctantly to Rashford and Gabriel to Konsa -4. AM Howe

    Leaving me with

    Raya
    Gvardiol, Munoz, Livramento
    Salah, Palmer, Rashford, Sarr
    Marmoush, Isak, Mateta
    Areola, Savinho, Konsa, Williams

    Good move? Rank is appealing so worth a try with Rashford

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Appaling lol

      1. Big Mike
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Keep an eye on who plays against PSG though, as Rashford is a good option for GW 32.

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I would keep Murphy as the Toon have Leicester. plus he doubles in 33. Rashford has a tricky game against Forest, plus Villa play PSG on Wednesday so there the risk of an early sub / rotation. In that respect I would keep Murphy, roll the transfer and sell Gabriel next week.

      1. Bucket Man
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thank you. I was thinking roll and AM Arteta originally but is it not maximising the AM chip with 3 good fixtures from Howe before I switch to Arteta.

        I Could alternatively take out Livramento but then I’d want to possibly do Isak to Watkins or Murphy to a Villa mid later on. If I do this I’d only want Saka for the DGW for Palmer, plus the AM transfer.

  15. Gazwaz80
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Is there going to be a big double on 36?

    1. notlob legin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      James from Planet FPL (listen to today's episode - "The Clayton and James Show" I think it's called) suggested there may be no doubles now in 36, but I can't remember the reasons etc.

      1. Gazwaz80
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Cheers Nige…

  16. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Have both Wood and Isak in my lineup, but also have a strong bench of Munoz, Nwaneri & Robinson.. any ideas or updates on them?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Who else do you have up front and how many transfers do you have left?

  17. Netters2018
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bennching headache this week! Gtg?
    Hendo
    Saliba Livra Konsa
    Salah Palmer Murphy Sarr
    Mateta Isak Marmoush

    Bench - Savinho Gvardial Konate

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Good to go.

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'd play Gvardiol over Konsa.

  18. Udogie-style
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Need to free up some cash for AM. I have two options:
    1) Foden to Villa mid (probably Rogers)
    2) Kerkez to Williams (keep for BB GW36)

    1 is good short term as the extra cash can allow for switching AM to a mire expensive option one week. 2 helps long term for BB planning.

    Which to do? Cheers.

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      2

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      2

  19. GINI MINI MANE MO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Help? One to play - Timber, Kerkez or Wan Bissaka?

    1. Udogie-style
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kerkez

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Agree Kerkez

    3. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kerkez

    4. GINI MINI MANE MO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Cheers guys - Kerkez it is

  20. RamboRN
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    How's my WC? Got 0m left. Feel like bruno could be someone else and maybe free up funds but dont even know where I would spend the extra anyway.

    Raya - Areola
    Saliba - Gvardiol - Munoz - Burn - milenkovic
    Salah - Saka - Sarr - Murphy - Bruno
    Isak - Mateta - Marmoush

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'd downgrade Bruno to a Villa midfielder (Rashford is the best pick for me) and just keep hold of the funds until you need them.

  21. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    What to do here with 1ft and 0.1m. Plan to bb32

    Raya (martinez)
    Gvardiol munoz burn (Gabriel van hecke)
    Salah palmer savinho Murphy (sarr)
    Isak marmoush mateta

    A.....gabriel to saliba - exact cash tonight

    B....save ft - might get milenkovic gw32 v everton

    Thanks

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Save

    2. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Might as well save for now

    3. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      If you bring in Saliba when do you plan to play him?

      1. Flynny
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        In the bench boost next week v Brentford

        Think I'll save and get a forest defender to bb v everton

  22. Fifa las vegas
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Foden > Gordon is probably asking for trouble this early on?

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Think you’ve got to stick with Foden this week. Gordon may or may not even play.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Will he even play again though? Was so stupid going for him in the first place really, and I could do with freeing up a bit of cash for AM, unless I leave AM for a while (see below)!

        1. Bucket Man
          • 7 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          The Am has caused me more headaches than any other decision, it’s a pain isn’t it. In that case could be worth it. But agree with Mike, Murphy may be better as you at least know he is fit to play.

          1. Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            1 year, 3 months ago

            My heads melted on whether to use AM or BB before 34

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Murphy is a better option as he has more attacking returns than Gordon.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        It’s the sensible move in fairness, thanks.

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          I know it’s been asked but will Murphy share minutes once Gordon takes over on the left wing again?

          1. Big Mike
            • 3 Years
            1 year, 3 months ago

            No, because Murphy predominantly plays on the right, with Gordon and Barnes sharing the left flank

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              1 year, 3 months ago

              Ya that’s fair enough. Cheers

  23. Alonso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    On wildcard
    Raya Sels
    Timber Livra Munoz VVD Gvardiol
    Saka Salah Diaz Rogers Murphy
    Mateta Isak Marmoush

    Possibly transfer Diaz to Asensio for the DGW

    Debating whether to move Saka to Palmer now for 2GW given Palmer has Ipswich H and then move back to Saka for the DGW?

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      It’s a tough one with Palmer and Saka. Have you AM to use where you might want the FTs to change it around week to week?

      1. Alonso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thanks for the reply - AM gone but have BB FH and TC. Am wondering whether Saka gets rested against Brentford between the Madrid games so can use the FT then to do Palmer to Saka for the DGW. I know basically which ever I choose will be the opposite of what happens. About to go out drinking and will likely do the transfer on the train home so who knows what I’ll end up with.

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          Haha, fair enough!

          I hadn’t even thought about the benching between RM games tbh. It’s a good point, probably stick with Palmer for now then for safety I guess.

          1. Alonso
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            1 year, 3 months ago

            Thoroughly drunk on the train home and going with Palmer for 2 gw then move to Saka

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'd keep Saka as it saves you an extra transfer that you may need later on. Lots of money on GK's and defenders too, so I'd downgrade Sels to Areola (he has Southampton in 33 which is an ideal time to BB) and sell VVD for Saliba, who doubles in 33.

      1. Alonso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thanks Mike. I feel a lot of loyalty to Sels after seeing me through the season and feel like Southampton are actually scoring goals now? I’ll already have 3 ars for the dgw with timber saka raya

  24. HelmutCool
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    So who to captain?
    People going with Isak? No worries about managed minutes or possible injury?

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Might chicken back to Salah

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Isak for me. He had a similar issue earlier in the season and he played, racking up a 16 pointer.

  25. Fifa las vegas
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Don’t all wag fingers at me, but I’ve under planned the usage of chips.

    Torn between AM now and FH in 34, or BB before 34 and AM sometime after.

    Which scores more up until 34? AM or BB?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      It depends on who you have in your squad. If you have a strong BB33 squad, then leave the AM chip till later.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Raya, Areola
        Kerkez, Munoz, Milenkovic, Digne, Burn
        Salah, Palmer, Foden, Sarr, Rogers
        Isak, Mateta, Marmoush

        Saka will be in at that point. What do you think?

  26. gomez123
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Used WC last week save FT this week and team GTG?
    Raya
    Kerkez Gvardiol Livramento
    Salah Eze Sarr Murphy
    Isak Mateta Marmoush
    Martinez Foden Nico Williams Gabriel

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Think so

      1. gomez123
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        thanks

  27. RogueBlood
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Current WC Draft 0.2ITB any suggestion what what swaps you'd make?

    Raya, Sels
    Munoz, Saliba, Gvardiol, Konsa, Schar
    Saka, Rogers, Murphy, Sarr, Salah
    Mateta, Isak, Marmoush

  28. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Good evening all!!

    Who to start here???

    A- Sels(Villa away)
    Or
    B- Henderson(Brighton home)

    Have Munoz and Milenkovic

    Cheers everyone!!

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'd play Sels and Munoz.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Cheers mate, should have put already starting Milenkovic and Munoz

  29. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Current WC draft. Is Palmer stretching funds in defence too far?

    Pope, Areola
    Gvardiol, Muñoz, Kiwior, Burn, Agbadou
    Salah, Palmer, Saka, Sarr, Murphy
    Isak, Mateta, Marmoush

    1. DagheMunegu
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kiwior not naild

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes. I'd look at downgrading Palmer to someone like Rashford or Rogers. Than you can upgrade Kiwior to Saliba who is more nailed.

  30. Big Mike
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    A) Play Gvardiol and have Ait Nouri 1st bench.
    B) Play Ait Nouri and have Gvardiol 1st bench.

    1. gomez123
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      a