Scout Notes
26 May 2025 56 comments
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The takeaways from Gameweek 38 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) will no doubt be long forgotten by the time 2025/26 gets underway.

But for the completionists, and for those wondering where the heck Danny Welbeck (£5.5m) was, here are our notes from the remaining five final-day fixtures:

Welbeck missed

WHY WELBECK MISSED OUT

Welbeck was the subject of over 100,000 transfers in ahead of Gameweek 38 but on what was a miserable day for most of the well-owned forwards, he missed out on Brighton and Hove Albion’s 4-1 win in north London.

The veteran striker, along with Pervis Estupinan (£4.9m), was injured.

“They had a minor injury and we had to take care of them.” – Fabian Hurzeler on Danny Welbeck and Pervis Estupinan

With Joao Pedro (£5.5m) also not considered, Fabian Hurzeler instead went with two ‘false nines’: Jack Hinshelwood (£4.9m) and Brajan Gruda (£5.4m).

Hinshelwood hit a brace but it had little to do with his starting position, as both strikes were from corners.

It wasn’t just a question of who was going to lead the line in the absence of Pedro and Welbeck but who would deputise on penalties, too.

Substitute Matt O’Riley (£5.5m) answered that, despatching a late spot-kick after Diego Gomez (£5.5m) had been felled. Gomez himself was to bag a Goal of the Month candidate in injury time.

Neither player has been able to establish themselves in Hurzeler’s starting XI in their debut Premier League seasons but the Seagulls rarely sign duffers, and it’ll be interesting to see whether they can kick on from here.

Kaoru Mitoma (£6.3m) hasn’t been part of the Albion line-up for seven Gameweeks but for another reason: his fitness. Still, he bagged his fourth return in five substitute appearances on Sunday.

As for Spurs, few connected with the club will give two hoots about losing after Wednesday’s win in Bilbao.

Dominic Solanke (£7.3m) netted from the spot and Brennan Johnson (£6.2m) and Mathys Tel (£5.8m) spurned huge chances but the shot count read 4-23, with the Lilywhites running on empty by full-time.

“Yeah. The emotion of the last three days, aside from the game itself. Obviously the players were allowed to celebrate that but irrespective of that the emotions of the last three days meant it was always going to be a tricky one for us. First half we competed well. We could’ve had a second goal which would’ve made it easier for us. Even second half Brennan’s got a good opportunity but you could tell last 35 minutes we ran out of legs and kind of understandable for the players.” – Ange Postecoglou on whether Spurs ran out of steam

NO CALAFIORI, ARTETA ROTATES

Like Welbeck, Riccardo Calafiori (£5.8m) was a surprise absentee on Sunday.

And as was the case with the experienced forward, fitness was behind the decision.

“We pushed Richy a lot to make sure that he was fit for the last few games and he was two, three weeks ahead of schedule in his injury. He’s been constantly dragged into areas where he was really, really stretched and he wasn’t comfortable the last week or two. With a lot of things, he still wanted to carry on but we decided to give him a break. He needs a rest, he needs to now make sure that he has proper preparation, a clear pre-season and give him the best chance to have a successful season next season.” – Mikel Arteta on Riccardo Calafiori

There were Gameweek-ruining team calls from Mikel Arteta elsewhere, with Bukayo Saka (£10.4m) among the regulars benched. Looking at the starting XI, it’s possible that as few as two or three – David Raya (£5.6m), Declan Rice (£6.3m) and maybe Gabriel Martinelli (£6.5m) – will be lining up in Gameweek 1 after the expected summer transfers in central midfield and up top, as well as the return from injury of several first-teamers.

One of the biggest Fantasy disappointments this season, Martin Odegaard (£8.2m), popped up with a fine late goal to seal all three meaningless points. He’s returned in six straight Gameweeks, which accounts for half of his dozen attacking returns in 2024/25. More of that next season, please, especially at a lower starting price.

There have been myriad ‘nearly’ moments in Saka’s eight consecutive season-ending blanks. Here there were more in a lively cameo, including a disallowed goal and a near-assist for a blocked Oleksandr Zinchenko (£4.8m) shot.

Really, though, this utterly inconsequential game will be remembered for two fond reasons: goals for the exit-bound Kieran Tierney (£4.3m) and the blighted-by-injury Ross Stewart (£4.4m).

THE CASE FOR CHELSEA’S DEFENCE

Raya ended up sharing the Golden Glove with Matz Sels (£5.2m), whose clean sheet was spoiled by Levi Colwill‘s (£4.8m) winner.

While the predicted Gameweek 38 goalfest failed to materialise elsewhere, this Champions League shootout, with the stakes so high, always looked like being a jittery, low-scoring affair.

So it was, with only seven open-play shots all game. There were more efforts (nine) from set pieces, indeed.

Both sides’ line-leading strikers Chris Wood (£7.2m) and an out-of-position Pedro Neto (£6.1m), couldn’t keep down first-half ‘big chances’. Forest’s Kiwi forward then blazed over in injury time; the Wood of earlier this season would have likely bagged both opportunities.

And that, pretty much, was that in terms of meaningful goalmouth action, aside from Colwill’s winner. Cole Palmer (£10.5m) finished 2024/25 with a 10th blank in 13 appearances, being denied an assist when Neto spurned that aforementioned chance.

A lack of recent shut-outs hasn’t distorted the picture that Forest’s defence has been one of the division’s best. Chelsea’s backline is less heralded but they’ve looked so much more solid recently, with eight clean sheets in their final 12 games. In the end, the Blues’ 43 goals conceded was a tally that only the top two clubs could better.

HOWE ON ISAK, PICKFORD SECURES TOP-SCORING ‘KEEPER CROWN AGAIN

Talking of nervy performances, Newcastle delivered a supremely fidgety display in defeat to Everton and nearly blew a Champions League place.

The Magpies had several openings, with two centre-backs accounting for almost half their shots: three for Sven Botman (£4.4m), a joint-game-high five for Fabian Schar (£5.5m). Both stoppers should have scored.

Schar, incidentally, finished the season with 18 attempts in the final eight Gameweeks. No other defender came close to that.

But Everton had just as many significant chances, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£5.4m) wasting two late big openings to add to Carlos Alcaraz‘s (£4.7m) opener.

It’s been an excellent second half of the season for Everton. Under David Moyes, the Toffees have produced top-half-level results and only two sides have conceded fewer goals (19). Jordan Pickford (£5.2m) even finished the season as the top-scoring FPL goalkeeper, defending his crown from 2023/24.

Above: The Premier League table since David Moyes’ appointment

Alexander Isak (£9.4m) blanked and again looked like he needed a period of sustained rest. A bit of downtime worked well earlier in the season and after a summer of recuperation, there’s every expectation that he’ll be hitting the ground running in Gameweek 1.

“I think whenever a player misses even that small amount of time, you lose a little bit of sharpness in your game, and I think that was possibly the case. But credit to him, he put himself available, he wanted to play, he wanted to try and make the difference. He had a couple of chances in the game, so I was just very pleased that he was so desperate to play.” – Eddie Howe on Alexander Isak

20-GOAL MBEUMO

Bryan Mbeumo (£8.3m) capped off a superb season by bagging his 20th goal of the campaign on Sunday. Yoane Wissa (£6.9m) almost did similar and was unlucky to blank, nearly scoring a fine goal of his own and seeing an assist go up in smoke when Keane Lewis-Potter (£5.0m) spurned a great chance.

Brentford’s failure to qualify for Europe could be viewed as a positive in FPL, with their players more dependable for starts in 2025/26 when nine other clubs will be juggling continental commitments with domestic duties.

Whether Mbeumo and Wissa will still be in west London is another question. If Mbeumo leaves but Wissa stays then yes, the latter may be affected by his good friend’s absence. But it’s worth pointing out that he may inherit spot-kick duties, too.

Impressively, all 19 of Wissa’s goals in 2024/25 were non-penalties.

Thomas Frank’s side started the better on Sunday but, perhaps with news filtering through that their European dreams were gone, the game went a tad flat in the second half.

Marshall Munetsi (£5.0m) scored an absolute thunderbolt of a goal to level the scores, while Matheus Cunha (£7.0m) registered a Gameweek-high eight shots.

The Brazilian finished the season as the forward with the most attempts (110) in the Premier League.



56 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Seems like the 2nd season that Pickford & Eze have had slow starts but strong finishes, while the opposite is true for Salah & Haaland.

    That's where players like Mbeumo are so useful - set and forget even if they blank for a spell sometimes.

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      maybe thats why most of us do well in 2nd half when usual suspects like Salah and Haaland slow down?

      lets see where Mbeumo ends up...

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        I took too long to sell Palmer, and never got Eze...

        1. Holmes
          • 12 Years
          6 months, 13 days ago

          When did you drop Palmer? I kept him till GW33 😀

          1. Sheffield Wednesday
            • 5 Years
            6 months, 13 days ago

            Sold GW30, though had him on FH34 too.

        2. Tommy Template
          • 11 Years
          6 months, 13 days ago

          Ditto on Palmer. Though it seemed like Mo slowed down and he did relatively speaking, he was remarkably consistent over 38 gws, think there were only single figure blanks.

          1. Tommy Template
            • 11 Years
            6 months, 13 days ago

            10 blanks all told for Mo. Sounds a lot but I suspect it isnt historically. You'd have done pretty well just set & forget cap Mo probably.

  2. Tommy Template
    • 11 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Pickford and Eze played for teams who had terrible starts to the season, cant recall last season so much but Palace didnt win for 8 games and Everton were missing Branthwaite early doors and were the whipping boys for the first few games.

    1. Tommy Template
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Reply fail to above

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Yes very true. I owned eze at the beginning of the season and he did nothing for me.

    3. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      It's partly that defences usually take a few weeks to sort themselves out, so the top goalscorers have a field day to start the season, but other goalscorers can take time to find form.

    4. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Everton are always slow starters.

  3. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Another season of low hits. Only took 5 and all before gw20.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Didn't manage to save 5 though, I think I never banked more than 3.

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      11 for me.

      2 in 2nd half, remaining in 1st half.

    3. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Yeah, took a few hits 2024 but none in 2025.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        Probably a sign that things were better in second half of the season:)

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          6 months, 13 days ago

          I like to build value, or at least avoid price drops, at the beginning of the season but once that's done just ignore for the rest.

    4. kempc23
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Zero for me! The first time. I like to play cautiously (probably too much). Normally what happens is I play rage hits that dont work out. It makes the game more enjoyable for me, as every free transfer means so much more and spend a lot of time thinking transfers through!

      160k, which is a bit disappointing mind.

    5. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      I only took x3 -4’s, all of which paid off 🙂

    6. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      All time low for me. Only six -4’s.

      Never banked more than 3 and made 1 FT most weeks.

      Great season.

    7. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      5 as well. As somebody who does several mini WC's (3-4 transfers in GW) being able to save more than 2 FTs helped in that regard

  4. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Have a nice summer everyone..see you when draft season starts !!

  5. Ruinenlust
    • 7 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Salad had half a season to break records and he bottled it

    1. All de Gea no iDier
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      What a stupid comment

  6. Tommy Template
    • 11 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    153 for a top scoring defender is really low historically, think most seasons that wouldnt even get into the FPL top scoring team of the season. Considering there were less goals conceded and more cleans than last season, you'd have to assume the bulk of that damage is from the bonus changes. One for somebody smarter than me to look at but until it changes theres no great incentive to spend much at the back.

    1. Tommy Template
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Quick glance at the golden glove wiki page, another factor will be spread of cleans. It was the lowest amount for a golden glove this season so cleans for the league as a whole back up but as I've alluded to elsewhere Arsenal's defence slightly worsened despite being the best underlying (injuries probably) where everyone else improved.

    2. All de Gea no iDier
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      I was thinking the same thing. Big at the back doesn't make sense now.

      Also, in the second half of the season rotation will be a big factor with clubs like Newcastle who haven't got the depth of squad to tackle 3 domestic competitions and the European matches.

      1. Tommy Template
        • 11 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        Injuries too. I think i saw Nathan Collins was the only outfield player to play every minute or something like that? Yesteryear there would be at least a handful of them

  7. The Knights Template
    • 12 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Mbeumo 10m next season?

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 7 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Only if he moves to a big club

      1. Tommy Template
        • 11 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        Nah he's going big wherever he is. Only 8 pts behind what Palmer managed last season as the top scorer in the game. He'll be at least 9.5m, could easily be into the 10's considering there's a lot of premiums who are due a drop.

      2. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        I’m.sure he will.

        1. Tommy Template
          • 11 Years
          6 months, 13 days ago

          Dare I say it he'll be bad value next season probably. Quite a lot of pens this season and a significant overperformance on his XG where he'd previously had a bit of a reputation as a not great finisher shall we say. Probably becomes even worse value if he gets a big move and isn't on pens.

          1. The Knights Template
            • 12 Years
            6 months, 13 days ago

            Yes, but his XB is outstanding, top of the league in fact!

      3. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        Paradoxically, he will be less attractive at a bigger club - hell be just one of the stars. 9.5 t0 10 if he stays - which I hope he does. 9 if he goes.

        1. MarkyMarkL
          • 3 Years
          6 months, 13 days ago

          No chance Mbeumo stays

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      9.5m

      Unless he doesn't stay in the PL.

      1. Tommy Template
        • 11 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        Isn't it likely they'll have priced him before any move anyway? A bit like Solanke this season and others I'm sure... I'm pretty sure they don't really factor in team changes that much its more on what they've done in previous seasons in the game. I recall Ben White was a 4.5m defender for Arsenal a few seasons back after he'd been at Brighton even though he had a huge transfer fee and was obviously going to be 1st choice.

        1. Old Man
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          6 months, 13 days ago

          Yes, that is true - good point!

    3. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      9.5m I would guess

  8. MarkyMarkL
    • 3 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Well what a season. Finished 136k and won our mini league. 6 weeks ago I was sitting at 29k though. My chip management was awful.

    Best decisions...

    Going without Haaland from the start.
    Sels as goalkeeper from gameweek 1.
    My wildcard gameweek 3 (which included Palmer against Brighton)

    Worst Decisions...

    All of my chips apart from gameweek 3 wildcard
    Not TC Salah in gameweek 32

    Bring on next season!

  9. Tommy Template
    • 11 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Assuming the scores are locked in looks like we're returning to a 3-4-3 formation for the team of the season which is reflective of the meta of forwards doing better for the bonus changes. No Haaland in the team of the season, who'd have thought it, in fact he was only the 5th highest scoring forward. Palmer gets in despite all the pelters he's taken.

    Pickford
    Gvardiol-Trent-Milenkovic
    Salah-Mbeumo-Palmer-Bowen
    Isak-Wood-Watkins

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      What is surprising is how well players outside the traditional 'big' clubs have done.

      Salah has been exceptional, but in defence Munoz and Kerkez have done very well. Mbeumo and Bowen in midfield. And you have Wissa in the forwards too.

      1. Tommy Template
        • 11 Years
        6 months, 13 days ago

        Yes true. No Arsenal, in fact only 5 of the 11 from teams who finished in the top 5 in the league. Probably a lesson in there for me actually as I tend to focus on the strength of the team too much where you've got talismanic players at lesser clubs like Bowen.

        1. space mercenary
          • 6 Years
          6 months, 13 days ago

          This. Bowen had another great season. A midfield of a couple if Bournemouth and Palace players would've ticked along nicely too.

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      The other thing to note is look how many of those players and other similar high-scoring players are new to the PL.

      It is very rare that a player who has no previous PL experience does well in their first season. The ones that do are usually exceptional (e.g., Haaland).

  10. space mercenary
    • 6 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    Terrible season, but overtook my mini keague rival yesterday. I started the day 5 points behind and he had TC left. I took a gamble and swapped out Saka for Salah (C) he got in Martinelli (C) despite having Saka and ended on a score of 26!

    1. Tommy Template
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      glad to see I wasn't the only one lured in by the charm of Martinelli. Didn't captain him at least. Well done on the mini league.

  11. Dutchy FPL
    • 2 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    What a season that was! Finished just inside top 46k in my third season. Again a lot of lessons learned. Next season I'm trying to build a team with the needed premiums, more set and forget players, and some players around that to transfer in and out. Players like Mbeumo, Bowen, Eze and even Bruno are good players if you hold on to them the entire season and play them every week to catch all the hauls/returns.

    1. space mercenary
      • 6 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      Good work man. Great season.

    2. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      6 months, 12 days ago

      Great shout

      Congrats on season

  12. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    6 months, 13 days ago

    When is next season of FPL starting?

    Not asking for PL start date but the date from which we can start tinkering!

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 13 days ago

      4 to 6 weeks before the new season starts (it was a day under a month year). So first half of July.