Gvardiol down? FPL price change predictions for August 21

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
O'Reilly	MCI	5.0m	88.1%	Likely
Senesi	BOU	5.1m	82.6%	Unlikely
Kayode	BRE	4.5m	83.3%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	82.9%	Unlikely
Rodon	LEE	3.9m	73.3%	Unlikely
Darlow	LEE	3.9m	58.1%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.5m	69.5%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	68.8%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	68.8%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	66.5%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	64.1%	Unlikely
Leno	FUL	4.9m	65.1%	Unlikely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	53.2%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	60.8%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	MCI	5.7m	60.9%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	14.4m	47.2%	Unlikely
Cucurella	CHE	6.0m	59.1%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	57.7%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.4m	40.6%	Unlikely
Sarr	CRY	6.3m	54.6%	Unlikely
Frimpong	LIV	5.7m	55.0%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	55.6%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	49.7%	Unlikely
Cunha	MUN	8.0m	45.6%	Unlikely
Damsgaard	BRE	5.6m	47.6%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	46.1%	Unlikely
Kelleher	BRE	4.8m	46.1%	Unlikely
Welbeck	BHA	6.2m	35.9%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.5m	27.4%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	43.6%	Unlikely
Groß	BHA	5.5m	33.2%	Unlikely
Bassey	FUL	4.4m	42.6%	Unlikely
Gomez	BHA	4.9m	37.8%	Unlikely
Aina	NFO	4.7m	38.7%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	38.1%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	38.1%	Unlikely
Thiaw	NEW	5.1m	45.3%	Unlikely
Struijk	LEE	4.3m	30.9%	Unlikely
Robinson	FUL	4.9m	36.6%	Unlikely
M.Fernandes	WHU	5.5m	33.8%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Ekitiké	LIV	9.3m	125.9%	Very Likely
Mbeumo	MUN	8.6m	96.9%	Likely
Rayan	BOU	5.6m	92.6%	Likely
Lucca	NFO	5.5m	96.5%	Maybe
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	84.5%	Unlikely
Lamadrid	WHU	5.0m	84.4%	Unlikely
Kevin	FUL	5.8m	82.2%	Unlikely
Areola	WHU	4.3m	81.6%	Unlikely
Spence	TOT	4.2m	80.4%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	80.7%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	80.2%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	77.3%	Unlikely
McAidoo	MCI	4.5m	79.3%	Unlikely
Merino	ARS	5.4m	74.2%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.8m	73.6%	Unlikely
Travers	EVE	4.3m	72.9%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	4.9m	72.2%	Unlikely
Emenalo	CHE	4.5m	72.0%	Unlikely
Salmon	ARS	4.0m	70.5%	Unlikely
Saliba	ARS	6.1m	73.9%	Unlikely
Potts	WHU	4.4m	66.6%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	4.9m	67.7%	Unlikely
Grealish	EVE	6.3m	67.4%	Unlikely
Gyökeres	ARS	8.8m	68.9%	Unlikely
Trafford	MCI	4.5m	67.0%	Unlikely
Johnson	CRY	6.5m	66.3%	Unlikely
Slonina	CHE	3.9m	65.9%	Unlikely
J.Timber	ARS	6.3m	57.0%	Unlikely
Steele	BHA	4.2m	61.6%	Unlikely
Reijnders	MCI	5.0m	61.0%	Unlikely
Fabianski	WHU	4.5m	61.1%	Unlikely
Moore	SUN	3.9m	60.6%	Unlikely
Andrey Santos	CHE	4.5m	58.6%	Unlikely
Evanilson	BOU	6.8m	56.0%	Unlikely
Estève	BUR	3.9m	55.7%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	7.3m	55.1%	Unlikely
Gallagher	TOT	5.1m	50.1%	Unlikely
Milenković	NFO	5.1m	56.0%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.7m	51.7%	Unlikely
Cairns	LEE	3.9m	52.6%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
Up	Donnarumma	MCI	C
Up	Verbruggen	BHA	C, Vs
Down	Raya Martin	ARS	A
Up	Darlow	LEE	B, Vs, £
Up	Petrovic	BOU	B
Up	Henderson	CRY	C
Up	Mamardashvili	LIV	C, £

Last updated: 7 Apr, 2026 3:01pm

	Player	Club	Factors
Up	O’Reilly	MCI	B
No Change	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	A
Up	van Hecke	BHA	B, Vs
No Change	Hill	BOU	B, £
Up	Struijk	LEE	B, Vs, £
Up	Lacroix	CRY	A
Down	van Dijk	LIV	C
Down	Thiaw	NEW	C, Rest
No Change	Kayode	BRE	B
No Change	Cash	AVL	C

Last updated: 7 Apr, 2026 3:02pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
Up	Semenyo	MCI	B
No Change	Palmer	CHE	C
Up	Tavernier	BOU	C, £
Up	Ismaila Sarr	CRY	A
No Change	Gordon	NEW	A, OoP
No Change	Rice	ARS	C
No Change	Rogers	AVL	C
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £
Down	Szoboszlai	LIV	B
Down	Wilson	FUL	A
No Change	Stach	LEE	C, Vs, Inj, £

Last updated: 7 Apr, 2026 2:55pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	C
Up	João Pedro	CHE	A
Up	Welbeck	BHA	A, Vs
Up	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	C, Vs
No Change	Bowen	WHU	B
Down	Thiago	BRE	B

Last updated: 7 Apr, 2026 3:01pm

The widget on the sidebar and our *new* filterable price predictions page detail the predicted Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes for the upcoming evening.

These come courtesy of LiveFPL, who launched their new price change predictor in late 2024.

Since then, the brains behind the site – our friend Ragabolly – has been tweaking his predictor tool to try and make it the most reliable one out there.

Only FPL themselves know how their mysterious price change algorithm works but Ragabolly’s predictor gives a pretty damned good gauge of who is falling or rising.

And here are the players who are close to a price change at 02:30 BST on Tuesday 21 August…

PRICE CHANGE PREDICTIONS: AUGUST 21

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
O'Reilly	MCI	5.0m	88.1%	Likely
Senesi	BOU	5.1m	82.6%	Unlikely
Kayode	BRE	4.5m	83.3%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	82.9%	Unlikely
Rodon	LEE	3.9m	73.3%	Unlikely
Darlow	LEE	3.9m	58.1%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.5m	69.5%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	68.8%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	68.8%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	66.5%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	64.1%	Unlikely
Leno	FUL	4.9m	65.1%	Unlikely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	53.2%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	60.8%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	MCI	5.7m	60.9%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	14.4m	47.2%	Unlikely
Cucurella	CHE	6.0m	59.1%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	57.7%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.4m	40.6%	Unlikely
Sarr	CRY	6.3m	54.6%	Unlikely
Frimpong	LIV	5.7m	55.0%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	55.6%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	49.7%	Unlikely
Cunha	MUN	8.0m	45.6%	Unlikely
Damsgaard	BRE	5.6m	47.6%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	46.1%	Unlikely
Kelleher	BRE	4.8m	46.1%	Unlikely
Welbeck	BHA	6.2m	35.9%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.5m	27.4%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	43.6%	Unlikely
Groß	BHA	5.5m	33.2%	Unlikely
Bassey	FUL	4.4m	42.6%	Unlikely
Gomez	BHA	4.9m	37.8%	Unlikely
Aina	NFO	4.7m	38.7%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	38.1%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	38.1%	Unlikely
Thiaw	NEW	5.1m	45.3%	Unlikely
Struijk	LEE	4.3m	30.9%	Unlikely
Robinson	FUL	4.9m	36.6%	Unlikely
M.Fernandes	WHU	5.5m	33.8%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Ekitiké	LIV	9.3m	125.9%	Very Likely
Mbeumo	MUN	8.6m	96.9%	Likely
Rayan	BOU	5.6m	92.6%	Likely
Lucca	NFO	5.5m	96.5%	Maybe
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	84.5%	Unlikely
Lamadrid	WHU	5.0m	84.4%	Unlikely
Kevin	FUL	5.8m	82.2%	Unlikely
Areola	WHU	4.3m	81.6%	Unlikely
Spence	TOT	4.2m	80.4%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	80.7%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	80.2%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	77.3%	Unlikely
McAidoo	MCI	4.5m	79.3%	Unlikely
Merino	ARS	5.4m	74.2%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.8m	73.6%	Unlikely
Travers	EVE	4.3m	72.9%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	4.9m	72.2%	Unlikely
Emenalo	CHE	4.5m	72.0%	Unlikely
Salmon	ARS	4.0m	70.5%	Unlikely
Saliba	ARS	6.1m	73.9%	Unlikely
Potts	WHU	4.4m	66.6%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	4.9m	67.7%	Unlikely
Grealish	EVE	6.3m	67.4%	Unlikely
Gyökeres	ARS	8.8m	68.9%	Unlikely
Trafford	MCI	4.5m	67.0%	Unlikely
Johnson	CRY	6.5m	66.3%	Unlikely
Slonina	CHE	3.9m	65.9%	Unlikely
J.Timber	ARS	6.3m	57.0%	Unlikely
Steele	BHA	4.2m	61.6%	Unlikely
Reijnders	MCI	5.0m	61.0%	Unlikely
Fabianski	WHU	4.5m	61.1%	Unlikely
Moore	SUN	3.9m	60.6%	Unlikely
Andrey Santos	CHE	4.5m	58.6%	Unlikely
Evanilson	BOU	6.8m	56.0%	Unlikely
Estève	BUR	3.9m	55.7%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	7.3m	55.1%	Unlikely
Gallagher	TOT	5.1m	50.1%	Unlikely
Milenković	NFO	5.1m	56.0%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.7m	51.7%	Unlikely
Cairns	LEE	3.9m	52.6%	Unlikely

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These numbers will keep changing throughout the day, responding to transfer market activity on FPL. So, keep checking back here!

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