To help managers finalise their UEFA Champions League (UCL) Fantasy squads for Matchday 1, we’ve rounded up the bookmakers’ odds for each club’s chances of finishing inside the league phase top eight.
These will receive a bye to the round of 16. Whereas teams ranked from ninth to 24th will compete in the knockout phase playoffs.
- READ MORE: How to play UEFA Champions League (UCL) Fantasy 2025/26
- READ MORE: A comprehensive guide to UCL Fantasy – Players, tips, team reveals + more
Both ourselves and Fantasy Football Community will be providing managers with plenty of content throughout the season.
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ODDS TO FINISH IN UCL’S TOP EIGHT
Using a well-known bookmaker, we’ve slightly adjusted the odds in order to remove their markup, ensuring these 36 numbers total 800%. Eight clubs that will eventually qualify with 100% certainty.
| TEAM | ADJUSTED PERCENTAGE | |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Pot 1 | 62.6% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Pot 1 | 60.7% |
| Liverpool | Pot 1 | 60.7% |
| Arsenal | Pot 2 | 58.5% |
| Real Madrid | Pot 1 | 54.3% |
| Manchester City | Pot 1 | 51.6% |
| Bayern Munich | Pot 1 | 48.8% |
| Chelsea | Pot 1 | 46.0% |
| Inter Milan | Pot 1 | 31.9% |
| Atletico Madrid | Pot 2 | 29.2% |
| Napoli | Pot 3 | 29.2% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Pot 3 | 29.2% |
| Newcastle United | Pot 4 | 25.1% |
| Juventus | Pot 2 | 21.9% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Pot 2 | 19.5% |
| Borussia Dortmund | Pot 1 | 17.5% |
| Atalanta | Pot 2 | 14.7% |
| Athletic Club | Pot 4 | 13.5% |
| Monaco | Pot 4 | 12.5% |
| Villarreal | Pot 2 | 12.5% |
| Marseille | Pot 3 | 11.7% |
| PSV Eindhoven | Pot 3 | 11.0% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Pot 2 | 11.0% |
| Benfica | Pot 2 | 9.7% |
| Galatasaray | Pot 4 | 9.7% |
| Ajax | Pot 3 | 8.8% |
| Sporting CP | Pot 3 | 8.8% |
| Olympiacos | Pot 3 | 6.8% |
| Copenhagen | Pot 4 | 5.2% |
| Club Brugge | Pot 2 | 4.2% |
| Union SG | Pot 4 | 3.8% |
| Bodo/Glimt | Pot 3 | 3.8% |
| Pafos | Pot 4 | 2.5% |
| Slavia Prague | Pot 3 | 1.8% |
| Qarabag | Pot 4 | 0.9% |
| Kairat | Pot 4 | 0.4% |
Nine teams belong to Pot 1, but Dortmund aren’t near the leading nine expectations. Instead, Arsenal are up there, placed fourth.
Reigning champions PSG have odds of 60.7%, despite needing to navigate a tough set of fixtures versus Barcelona, Bayern Munich and arguably the strongest sides from Pots 3 and 4.
Meanwhile, we see that Pot 2 confidence varies from Arsenal all the way down to 30th-placed Club Brugge.
In fact, Tottenham Hotspur (3), Napoli (3) and Newcastle United (4) are seen as more likely to finish in the top tier than seven of the Pot 2 outfits.
