Spot the Differential
18 September 2025 257 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Tottenham Hotspur, Crystal Palace and Aston Villa assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 5.

At the time of writing, these three players all have an ownership of 5.0% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).


XAVI SIMONS

  • FPL ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: bha | WOL | lee | AVL | eve

After marking his Tottenham Hotspur debut with an assist, Xavi Simons (£7.0m) looks a compelling option ahead of Saturday’s trip to Brighton and Hove Albion.

Fabian Hurzeler’s side have conceded six goals in their four matches so far and are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Albion also rank second-worst for most chances conceded from their right flank over the first four Gameweeks, with 19.

Simons started on the left against West Ham last week, and once more, he played out wide in the UEFA Champions League win over Villarreal on Tuesday night. There were some positive signs, too, as he combined nicely with Djed Spence (£4.5m) on several occasions.

With two wins from two, Simons – who is owned by only 2.7% of managers – should enter Gameweek 5 full of confidence.

Another factor behind the Dutchman’s appeal is Tottenham’s schedule.

Spurs face Leeds United, Aston Villa and Everton in the next five, as well as hosting a Wolverhampton Wanderers side that have conceded nine goals this season, the second-most of any team.

So, for those Fantasy managers who want to get in early on the set-piece taker, this is the time to invest.

Despite his low ownership, investing in Simons doesn’t feel like a punt.

He produced 11 goals and eight assists for RB Leipzig last season, on the back of delivering 10 goals and 15 assists in 2023/24.

YEREMY PINO

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: whu | LIV | eve | BOU | ars

After a lively debut, Yeremy Pino (£6.0m) has piqued our interest ahead of a trip to struggling West Ham.

The Spaniard played 83 minutes against Sunderland last week, during which he registered three shots, including two Opta-defined ‘big chances’.

He also received 14 passes in the final third, the most of any player.

“I’m very pleased with Pino’s performance today. The cherry on top would have been that big chance in the first-half. Then he was a little bit unlucky in the second-half. But, we could see where he will help us with his positioning between the lines, his understanding of the game.

“He will have to adapt to the physicality and the pace of the Premier League, but he’s not the first one and he won’t be the last one who has to adapt. He was good, he was dangerous, he had chances and it gives me a good feeling that he will score goals for us.” – Oliver Glasner

Gameweek 5 opponents West Ham are in poor form, having suffered a 3-0 defeat to Tottenham last week.

They are also ranked 20th for a) set-piece goals conceded and b) big chances conceded, so the corner-taking Pino will fancy his chances.

Above: West Ham have conceded six goals from set-pieces this season, at least four more than any other side

As for Crystal Palace, they have impressed on the road this season, having earned a draw against Chelsea and achieved a 3-0 victory at Aston Villa prior to the international break.

Priced at just £6.0m in FPL, Pino looks a tempting short-term punt, particularly for those FPL managers who can spare a transfer and are considering using their Wildcard in the next couple of weeks.

MATTY CASH

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: sun | FUL | BUR | tot | MCI

Okay, so bear with us.

Aston Villa may be heading into Sunday’s away clash at Sunderland in poor form, yet there are several reasons why Matty Cash (£4.5m) stands out as a differential option.

For starters, despite Villa’s struggles, they have still managed to secure two clean sheets in four matches this season, conceding only one goal on the road.

In fact, Unai Emery’s team have only allowed four shots on target in away matches – fewer than any other team except Liverpool.

Cash, meanwhile, has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch in Gameweek 5.

Due in part to his set-piece contributions, the Polish international has produced 21 crosses this season, ranking him second among FPL defenders.

He has also created four chances for his teammates, more than any other Villa defender, and banked two defensive contribution (DefCon) points.

Cash will now face a Sunderland side with the second-worst non-penalty expected goals (xG) tally in the top-flight.

Looking further ahead, home fixtures against Fulham and Burnley in Gameweeks 6 and 7 offer the potential for further returns.

Setting us back only £4.5m in FPL, Cash can always be benched for the tougher matches that follow, too.


257 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Reijnders + Anderson (4.5m) OR
    KDH + Tarkowski

    1. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      R + A

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      A

  2. tutankamun
    • 17 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    (H)aaland off early

    1. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      He’s on a roll

  3. AD105
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Bench correct?

    Sanchez
    Munoz Porro VDV Andersen
    Salah Bruno Semenyo
    Watkins Wood Mateta

    Dubravka Rutter Reijnders Esteve

  4. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Newcastle done in by Trashford, lol

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      I know this is the narrative...

      But perhaps playing for Barca and scoring the goal of the season so far suggests otherwise?

      Is it bitter man u fans?

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        He's a selfish trash player. Playing like he does (selfish) he will inevitable get streaks here and there where he looks good. Then he will go 3 years+ looking like shyte

      2. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        All the fans I know want him to do well, Brosstan just calls every player "trash" to be edgy

        1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
          • 1 Year
          10 months, 10 days ago

          Still want to hear the joke

        2. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          10 months, 10 days ago

          Theres not a single real United supporter who likes Rashford.

          1. x.jim.x
            • 11 Years
            10 months, 10 days ago

            Me and ones I go to matches with must be imaginary

  5. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Toon really outclassed tonight, after a bright start.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Some of my finest work 😆

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        7 mins added

  6. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    From GW8, which combo?

    A) Bruno, Larsen (-4)
    B) Pedro, Kudus (-4)
    C) Watkins, Kudus (free)
    D) Other (15.4M budget)

    Rest of attack from gw8:
    Semenyo Palmer Reijnders KDH xxxx
    Haaland Gyokeres xxxx

    1. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
      10 months, 9 days ago

      B

  7. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Newcastle GOAL

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Murphy to Gordon.

  8. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    We confident in capping Semenyo against this Newcastle defence?

    1. MJF
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Not particularly, probs go Salah myself.

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Might go Palmer against United

      2. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        I brought him in last night for a hit (for Cunha), so almost feel obligated to Capt him.

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Yes

    3. tutankamun
      • 17 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Newcastle better at home

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Schar and Trippier went off. I wouldn't be surprised if Howe played 3 CBs against Bournemouth with Livra and Hall as wingbacks. That might help the midfield which might be a bit leggy after tonight.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        At least they aren't our partying having a Biig nite

  9. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Who to play? On KDH at the moment

    A) KDH (liv)
    B) Reijnders (ars)
    C) Gudmundsson (wol)
    D) Alderete (AVL)

    1. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      C

    2. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
      10 months, 9 days ago

      C

  10. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Think playing it safe and salah (c) over haaland & semenyo

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Not sure it’s that safe, Everton have only conceded two goals, both at home.

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Ignore this post, wrong column 😆

      2. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Who ru going for ?

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          10 months, 10 days ago

          Salah 🙂

  11. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    I watched the first half of Newcastle

    But for those who might live in the sticks without easy access to a stick

    BBC have highlights straight up

    https://youtu.be/fnSVJRh43ns?si=mkP9gOLdUZPm5MQ-

  12. Moon Dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    10 months, 10 days ago

    2 goals from 0.37 xG for Marcus.

    He decided that game.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      If only Man Utd had goalscoring attackers

      1. PartyTime
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Or a manager like me

  13. Romford Pele - Don't w…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Have I got this defence/subs right?

    Starting: Gabriel (MCI) | Munoz (whu) | Diouf (CRY)
    Subs: Van der Ven (bha) | Esteve (NFO)

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Yes

  14. Wet Bandits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Is this BB material? (1FT & 2.6mil)

    Sanchez
    Munoz, Burn, Guehi
    Gapko, Semenyo, Kudus, Grealish
    Haaland, Mateta, Ekitke

    Dub, VDV, Reijnders, Chalobah

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      3 away games

      Probably not

      1. Wet Bandits
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Yeah.. I needed to hear that.

        Starting 11 look correct?

        1. cigan
          • 8 Years
          10 months, 10 days ago

          I'd play VDV ahead of Burn (or consider BB)

          1. cigan
            • 8 Years
            10 months, 10 days ago

            Actually I'd probably BB this yeah

  15. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Why are people bb this week?not better to wait for DGW?

    1. Sun God Nika
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Don’t think there is a dgw before Xmas ?

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      There won’t be any DGW’s this year.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Oh cheers

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        There might be if Palace make it to the quarter final of the league cup and draw a premier league opponent.

        Then they could double, the other team, especially if they are in European competitions too.

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          10 months, 10 days ago

          Hardly a big influence on BB though is it? Lots of ‘if’s’ too.

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 months, 10 days ago

            Yeah

            More value in FH for a double Gw

  16. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    It's a pure punt on a defender 4.9 million and below -
    Mykolenko or Oreilly ?

  17. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    What is going on with Hart’s head? It’s like he has varnished his thinning crown 😆

    1. PartyTime
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Lol. Give Hart a break! Will you? 😆 Man is a 38 yo pundit having retired from football.

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        He looks like a (slightly) hairy toffee apple 😆

  18. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Play 5 at the back & bench Jonny?

    Play Sels or Dubs?

    Dubs,
    Cucu, Senesi, Guehi, VDV, Gudmund
    Salah, Semenyo, Kudus,
    Pedro, Haaland

    Sels, Reijnders, Guiu, I Sarr

    1.3

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      I think Sels

      I've come round to the fact that Forest have more goal threat but I don't rule out Anthony etc.

      1. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Cheers, stay 5 atb or play Jonny who should be a handful for Arsenal?

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 months, 10 days ago

          Who's Jonny?

          1. g40steve
            • 8 Years
            10 months, 10 days ago

            Reijenders

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              10 months, 10 days ago

              Wolves probably score at home to Leeds in my view

              But you never know

          2. Hairy Potter
            • 11 Years
            10 months, 10 days ago

            Where's Jonny?

  19. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Sels
    Muñoz Milenković Diouf
    Bruno Semenyo Grealish Reijnders
    Haaland Ekitiké Wood

    Dúbravka. Johnson Estève Dorgu

    I take it you would not BB here.

    Any changes on the bench?

    £1.1m itb, anything else for a hit?

    1. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Hits about 300-400k drop so if tempted make sure it pays off.
      Better weeks for BB Ars vs City & Pool vs Everton don’t see high scoring.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Yeah

        BB8 is on but that means holding Burnley through WC6 or 7.

        Which might not be the worst idea.

    2. cigan
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      I wouldn't do it with Dorgu & Johnson

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Cheers, Johnson could score off the bench but pretty speculative.

        Or could he start?

        1. cigan
          • 8 Years
          10 months, 10 days ago

          Don't think he starts but he could always score off the bench ofc (but I really wouldn't use bb on that speculation)

  20. cigan
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Should I BB? Can use 1 FT

    1. cigan
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Browser acting strange, anyways ...

      Raya
      Cucurella Munoz Porro
      Gakpo Semenyo Grealish Kudus
      Haaland Ekitike Pedro
      Dubravka King Livramento Gudmundsson

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        I think Wolves and Forest are more likely to score than not

        So that's a swerve

        Bournemouth too

        Will King start this Gw?

        1. cigan
          • 8 Years
          10 months, 10 days ago

          I dunno, Burnley are tough at home and Forest seem to be in freefall or at least on the reverse new manager bounce. I think Bournemouth will score for sure but Livramento is quite attacking so that could be an upside. No idea about Wolves or King tbf

  21. HellasLEAF
    • 17 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Start Paqueta or King this GW (if King starts, (ESR?))

    1. cigan
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Paqueta

  22. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Capt?

    Pedro
    Salah
    Semenyo
    Haaland

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      B
      C
      D
      A

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Albeit I read Pedro as Porro

        Best call it a day!

  23. Slurpy
    • 11 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Raya
    Lacroix Livramento VVD
    Ndiaye Gakpo Xavi Semenyo
    Haaland Pedro Ekitike

    Dubravka Senesi Esteve King

    1.9m ITB 2 FT

    Bench Boost is currently active. Is that a mistake?
    Captain?
    And who to Captain?
    A) Haaland
    B) Semenyo
    C) J.Pedro

  24. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Milenkovic and Palmer to Romero and Palmer worth a hit?

    1. rozzo
      • 12 Years
      10 months, 10 days ago

      Milenkovic and Johnson even

      1. Pompel
        • 12 Years
        10 months, 10 days ago

        Surely

  25. GoonerSteve
    • 16 Years
    10 months, 10 days ago

    Worth a BB?

    Raya, Dubravka
    Senesi, Chalobah, Munoz, Gudmundsson, Esteve
    Palmer, Semenyo, Rejinders, Grealish, Kudus
    Haaland, Gyokeres, Ekitike

    Also, Palmer captain?