Spot the Differential
18 September 2025 257 comments
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Tottenham Hotspur, Crystal Palace and Aston Villa assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 5.

At the time of writing, these three players all have an ownership of 5.0% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).


XAVI SIMONS

  • FPL ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: bha | WOL | lee | AVL | eve

After marking his Tottenham Hotspur debut with an assist, Xavi Simons (£7.0m) looks a compelling option ahead of Saturday’s trip to Brighton and Hove Albion.

Fabian Hurzeler’s side have conceded six goals in their four matches so far and are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Albion also rank second-worst for most chances conceded from their right flank over the first four Gameweeks, with 19.

Simons started on the left against West Ham last week, and once more, he played out wide in the UEFA Champions League win over Villarreal on Tuesday night. There were some positive signs, too, as he combined nicely with Djed Spence (£4.5m) on several occasions.

With two wins from two, Simons – who is owned by only 2.7% of managers – should enter Gameweek 5 full of confidence.

Another factor behind the Dutchman’s appeal is Tottenham’s schedule.

Spurs face Leeds United, Aston Villa and Everton in the next five, as well as hosting a Wolverhampton Wanderers side that have conceded nine goals this season, the second-most of any team.

So, for those Fantasy managers who want to get in early on the set-piece taker, this is the time to invest.

Despite his low ownership, investing in Simons doesn’t feel like a punt.

He produced 11 goals and eight assists for RB Leipzig last season, on the back of delivering 10 goals and 15 assists in 2023/24.

YEREMY PINO

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: whu | LIV | eve | BOU | ars

After a lively debut, Yeremy Pino (£6.0m) has piqued our interest ahead of a trip to struggling West Ham.

The Spaniard played 83 minutes against Sunderland last week, during which he registered three shots, including two Opta-defined ‘big chances’.

He also received 14 passes in the final third, the most of any player.

“I’m very pleased with Pino’s performance today. The cherry on top would have been that big chance in the first-half. Then he was a little bit unlucky in the second-half. But, we could see where he will help us with his positioning between the lines, his understanding of the game.

“He will have to adapt to the physicality and the pace of the Premier League, but he’s not the first one and he won’t be the last one who has to adapt. He was good, he was dangerous, he had chances and it gives me a good feeling that he will score goals for us.” – Oliver Glasner

Gameweek 5 opponents West Ham are in poor form, having suffered a 3-0 defeat to Tottenham last week.

They are also ranked 20th for a) set-piece goals conceded and b) big chances conceded, so the corner-taking Pino will fancy his chances.

Above: West Ham have conceded six goals from set-pieces this season, at least four more than any other side

As for Crystal Palace, they have impressed on the road this season, having earned a draw against Chelsea and achieved a 3-0 victory at Aston Villa prior to the international break.

Priced at just £6.0m in FPL, Pino looks a tempting short-term punt, particularly for those FPL managers who can spare a transfer and are considering using their Wildcard in the next couple of weeks.

MATTY CASH

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: sun | FUL | BUR | tot | MCI

Okay, so bear with us.

Aston Villa may be heading into Sunday’s away clash at Sunderland in poor form, yet there are several reasons why Matty Cash (£4.5m) stands out as a differential option.

For starters, despite Villa’s struggles, they have still managed to secure two clean sheets in four matches this season, conceding only one goal on the road.

In fact, Unai Emery’s team have only allowed four shots on target in away matches – fewer than any other team except Liverpool.

Cash, meanwhile, has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch in Gameweek 5.

Due in part to his set-piece contributions, the Polish international has produced 21 crosses this season, ranking him second among FPL defenders.

He has also created four chances for his teammates, more than any other Villa defender, and banked two defensive contribution (DefCon) points.

Cash will now face a Sunderland side with the second-worst non-penalty expected goals (xG) tally in the top-flight.

Looking further ahead, home fixtures against Fulham and Burnley in Gameweeks 6 and 7 offer the potential for further returns.

Setting us back only £4.5m in FPL, Cash can always be benched for the tougher matches that follow, too.


257 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Totalfootball
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 15 hours ago

    Reijnders + Anderson (4.5m) OR
    KDH + Tarkowski

    1. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 15 hours ago

      R + A

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 15 hours ago

      A

  2. tutankamun
    • 16 Years
    7 months, 15 hours ago

    (H)aaland off early

    1. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 15 hours ago

      He’s on a roll

  3. AD105
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 15 hours ago

    Bench correct?

    Sanchez
    Munoz Porro VDV Andersen
    Salah Bruno Semenyo
    Watkins Wood Mateta

    Dubravka Rutter Reijnders Esteve

  4. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 15 hours ago

    Newcastle done in by Trashford, lol

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 15 hours ago

      I know this is the narrative...

      But perhaps playing for Barca and scoring the goal of the season so far suggests otherwise?

      Is it bitter man u fans?

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 15 hours ago

        He's a selfish trash player. Playing like he does (selfish) he will inevitable get streaks here and there where he looks good. Then he will go 3 years+ looking like shyte

      2. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 15 hours ago

        All the fans I know want him to do well, Brosstan just calls every player "trash" to be edgy

        1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
          • 1 Year
          7 months, 14 hours ago

          Still want to hear the joke

        2. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          7 months, 13 hours ago

          Theres not a single real United supporter who likes Rashford.

          1. x.jim.x
            • 11 Years
            7 months, 13 hours ago

            Me and ones I go to matches with must be imaginary

  5. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 15 hours ago

    Toon really outclassed tonight, after a bright start.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      7 months, 15 hours ago

      Some of my finest work 😆

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 15 hours ago

        7 mins added

  6. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 15 hours ago

    From GW8, which combo?

    A) Bruno, Larsen (-4)
    B) Pedro, Kudus (-4)
    C) Watkins, Kudus (free)
    D) Other (15.4M budget)

    Rest of attack from gw8:
    Semenyo Palmer Reijnders KDH xxxx
    Haaland Gyokeres xxxx

    1. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
        7 months, 7 hours ago

        B

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 15 hours ago

      Newcastle GOAL

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 15 hours ago

        Murphy to Gordon.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 15 hours ago

      We confident in capping Semenyo against this Newcastle defence?

      1. MJF
          7 months, 15 hours ago

          Not particularly, probs go Salah myself.

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • 9 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            Might go Palmer against United

          2. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            I brought him in last night for a hit (for Cunha), so almost feel obligated to Capt him.

        • IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          7 months, 15 hours ago

          Yes

        • tutankamun
          • 16 Years
          7 months, 15 hours ago

          Newcastle better at home

        • Hairy Potter
          • 10 Years
          7 months, 14 hours ago

          Schar and Trippier went off. I wouldn't be surprised if Howe played 3 CBs against Bournemouth with Livra and Hall as wingbacks. That might help the midfield which might be a bit leggy after tonight.

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            At least they aren't our partying having a Biig nite

      2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 15 hours ago

        Who to play? On KDH at the moment

        A) KDH (liv)
        B) Reijnders (ars)
        C) Gudmundsson (wol)
        D) Alderete (AVL)

        1. ball c
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          7 months, 14 hours ago

          C

        2. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
            7 months, 7 hours ago

            C

        3. Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          7 months, 15 hours ago

          Think playing it safe and salah (c) over haaland & semenyo

          1. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            Not sure it’s that safe, Everton have only conceded two goals, both at home.

            1. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              7 months, 15 hours ago

              Ignore this post, wrong column 😆

            2. Stranger Mings
              • 5 Years
              7 months, 15 hours ago

              Who ru going for ?

              1. The Bandit
                • 15 Years
                7 months, 15 hours ago

                Salah 🙂

        4. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 months, 15 hours ago

          I watched the first half of Newcastle

          But for those who might live in the sticks without easy access to a stick

          BBC have highlights straight up

          https://youtu.be/fnSVJRh43ns?si=mkP9gOLdUZPm5MQ-

        5. Moon Dog
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            2 goals from 0.37 xG for Marcus.

            He decided that game.

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              If only Man Utd had goalscoring attackers

              1. PartyTime
                • 4 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Or a manager like me

          • Romford Pele - Don't w…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            Have I got this defence/subs right?

            Starting: Gabriel (MCI) | Munoz (whu) | Diouf (CRY)
            Subs: Van der Ven (bha) | Esteve (NFO)

            1. Stranger Mings
              • 5 Years
              7 months, 15 hours ago

              Yes

          • Wet Bandits
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            Is this BB material? (1FT & 2.6mil)

            Sanchez
            Munoz, Burn, Guehi
            Gapko, Semenyo, Kudus, Grealish
            Haaland, Mateta, Ekitke

            Dub, VDV, Reijnders, Chalobah

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              3 away games

              Probably not

              1. Wet Bandits
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Yeah.. I needed to hear that.

                Starting 11 look correct?

                1. cigan
                  • 7 Years
                  7 months, 14 hours ago

                  I'd play VDV ahead of Burn (or consider BB)

                  1. cigan
                    • 7 Years
                    7 months, 14 hours ago

                    Actually I'd probably BB this yeah

          • Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            Why are people bb this week?not better to wait for DGW?

            1. Sun God Nika
              • 5 Years
              7 months, 15 hours ago

              Don’t think there is a dgw before Xmas ?

            2. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              7 months, 15 hours ago

              There won’t be any DGW’s this year.

              1. Stranger Mings
                • 5 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Oh cheers

              2. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                There might be if Palace make it to the quarter final of the league cup and draw a premier league opponent.

                Then they could double, the other team, especially if they are in European competitions too.

                1. The Bandit
                  • 15 Years
                  7 months, 14 hours ago

                  Hardly a big influence on BB though is it? Lots of ‘if’s’ too.

                  1. AC/DC AFC
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    7 months, 14 hours ago

                    Yeah

                    More value in FH for a double Gw

          • Totalfootball
            • 9 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            It's a pure punt on a defender 4.9 million and below -
            Mykolenko or Oreilly ?

          • The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            7 months, 15 hours ago

            What is going on with Hart’s head? It’s like he has varnished his thinning crown 😆

            1. PartyTime
              • 4 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              Lol. Give Hart a break! Will you? 😆 Man is a 38 yo pundit having retired from football.

              1. The Bandit
                • 15 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                He looks like a (slightly) hairy toffee apple 😆

          • g40steve
            • 8 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Play 5 at the back & bench Jonny?

            Play Sels or Dubs?

            Dubs,
            Cucu, Senesi, Guehi, VDV, Gudmund
            Salah, Semenyo, Kudus,
            Pedro, Haaland

            Sels, Reijnders, Guiu, I Sarr

            1.3

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              I think Sels

              I've come round to the fact that Forest have more goal threat but I don't rule out Anthony etc.

              1. g40steve
                • 8 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Cheers, stay 5 atb or play Jonny who should be a handful for Arsenal?

                1. AC/DC AFC
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  7 months, 14 hours ago

                  Who's Jonny?

                  1. g40steve
                    • 8 Years
                    7 months, 14 hours ago

                    Reijenders

                    1. AC/DC AFC
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      7 months, 14 hours ago

                      Wolves probably score at home to Leeds in my view

                      But you never know

                  2. Hairy Potter
                    • 10 Years
                    7 months, 14 hours ago

                    Where's Jonny?

          • AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Sels
            Muñoz Milenković Diouf
            Bruno Semenyo Grealish Reijnders
            Haaland Ekitiké Wood

            Dúbravka. Johnson Estève Dorgu

            I take it you would not BB here.

            Any changes on the bench?

            £1.1m itb, anything else for a hit?

            1. g40steve
              • 8 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              Hits about 300-400k drop so if tempted make sure it pays off.
              Better weeks for BB Ars vs City & Pool vs Everton don’t see high scoring.

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Yeah

                BB8 is on but that means holding Burnley through WC6 or 7.

                Which might not be the worst idea.

            2. cigan
              • 7 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              I wouldn't do it with Dorgu & Johnson

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Cheers, Johnson could score off the bench but pretty speculative.

                Or could he start?

                1. cigan
                  • 7 Years
                  7 months, 14 hours ago

                  Don't think he starts but he could always score off the bench ofc (but I really wouldn't use bb on that speculation)

          • cigan
            • 7 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Should I BB? Can use 1 FT

            1. cigan
              • 7 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              Browser acting strange, anyways ...

              Raya
              Cucurella Munoz Porro
              Gakpo Semenyo Grealish Kudus
              Haaland Ekitike Pedro
              Dubravka King Livramento Gudmundsson

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                I think Wolves and Forest are more likely to score than not

                So that's a swerve

                Bournemouth too

                Will King start this Gw?

                1. cigan
                  • 7 Years
                  7 months, 14 hours ago

                  I dunno, Burnley are tough at home and Forest seem to be in freefall or at least on the reverse new manager bounce. I think Bournemouth will score for sure but Livramento is quite attacking so that could be an upside. No idea about Wolves or King tbf

          • HellasLEAF
            • 16 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Start Paqueta or King this GW (if King starts, (ESR?))

            1. cigan
              • 7 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              Paqueta

          • g40steve
            • 8 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Capt?

            Pedro
            Salah
            Semenyo
            Haaland

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              B
              C
              D
              A

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Albeit I read Pedro as Porro

                Best call it a day!

          • Slurpy
            • 10 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Raya
            Lacroix Livramento VVD
            Ndiaye Gakpo Xavi Semenyo
            Haaland Pedro Ekitike

            Dubravka Senesi Esteve King

            1.9m ITB 2 FT

            Bench Boost is currently active. Is that a mistake?
            Captain?
            And who to Captain?
            A) Haaland
            B) Semenyo
            C) J.Pedro

          • rozzo
            • 12 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Milenkovic and Palmer to Romero and Palmer worth a hit?

            1. rozzo
              • 12 Years
              7 months, 14 hours ago

              Milenkovic and Johnson even

              1. Pompel
                • 12 Years
                7 months, 14 hours ago

                Surely

          • GoonerSteve
            • 16 Years
            7 months, 14 hours ago

            Worth a BB?

            Raya, Dubravka
            Senesi, Chalobah, Munoz, Gudmundsson, Esteve
            Palmer, Semenyo, Rejinders, Grealish, Kudus
            Haaland, Gyokeres, Ekitike

            Also, Palmer captain?