Spot the Differential
18 September 2025 257 comments
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Tottenham Hotspur, Crystal Palace and Aston Villa assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 5.

At the time of writing, these three players all have an ownership of 5.0% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).


XAVI SIMONS

  • FPL ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: bha | WOL | lee | AVL | eve

After marking his Tottenham Hotspur debut with an assist, Xavi Simons (£7.0m) looks a compelling option ahead of Saturday’s trip to Brighton and Hove Albion.

Fabian Hurzeler’s side have conceded six goals in their four matches so far and are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Albion also rank second-worst for most chances conceded from their right flank over the first four Gameweeks, with 19.

Simons started on the left against West Ham last week, and once more, he played out wide in the UEFA Champions League win over Villarreal on Tuesday night. There were some positive signs, too, as he combined nicely with Djed Spence (£4.5m) on several occasions.

With two wins from two, Simons – who is owned by only 2.7% of managers – should enter Gameweek 5 full of confidence.

Another factor behind the Dutchman’s appeal is Tottenham’s schedule.

Spurs face Leeds United, Aston Villa and Everton in the next five, as well as hosting a Wolverhampton Wanderers side that have conceded nine goals this season, the second-most of any team.

So, for those Fantasy managers who want to get in early on the set-piece taker, this is the time to invest.

Despite his low ownership, investing in Simons doesn’t feel like a punt.

He produced 11 goals and eight assists for RB Leipzig last season, on the back of delivering 10 goals and 15 assists in 2023/24.

YEREMY PINO

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: whu | LIV | eve | BOU | ars

After a lively debut, Yeremy Pino (£6.0m) has piqued our interest ahead of a trip to struggling West Ham.

The Spaniard played 83 minutes against Sunderland last week, during which he registered three shots, including two Opta-defined ‘big chances’.

He also received 14 passes in the final third, the most of any player.

“I’m very pleased with Pino’s performance today. The cherry on top would have been that big chance in the first-half. Then he was a little bit unlucky in the second-half. But, we could see where he will help us with his positioning between the lines, his understanding of the game.

“He will have to adapt to the physicality and the pace of the Premier League, but he’s not the first one and he won’t be the last one who has to adapt. He was good, he was dangerous, he had chances and it gives me a good feeling that he will score goals for us.” – Oliver Glasner

Gameweek 5 opponents West Ham are in poor form, having suffered a 3-0 defeat to Tottenham last week.

They are also ranked 20th for a) set-piece goals conceded and b) big chances conceded, so the corner-taking Pino will fancy his chances.

Above: West Ham have conceded six goals from set-pieces this season, at least four more than any other side

As for Crystal Palace, they have impressed on the road this season, having earned a draw against Chelsea and achieved a 3-0 victory at Aston Villa prior to the international break.

Priced at just £6.0m in FPL, Pino looks a tempting short-term punt, particularly for those FPL managers who can spare a transfer and are considering using their Wildcard in the next couple of weeks.

MATTY CASH

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: sun | FUL | BUR | tot | MCI

Okay, so bear with us.

Aston Villa may be heading into Sunday’s away clash at Sunderland in poor form, yet there are several reasons why Matty Cash (£4.5m) stands out as a differential option.

For starters, despite Villa’s struggles, they have still managed to secure two clean sheets in four matches this season, conceding only one goal on the road.

In fact, Unai Emery’s team have only allowed four shots on target in away matches – fewer than any other team except Liverpool.

Cash, meanwhile, has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch in Gameweek 5.

Due in part to his set-piece contributions, the Polish international has produced 21 crosses this season, ranking him second among FPL defenders.

He has also created four chances for his teammates, more than any other Villa defender, and banked two defensive contribution (DefCon) points.

Cash will now face a Sunderland side with the second-worst non-penalty expected goals (xG) tally in the top-flight.

Looking further ahead, home fixtures against Fulham and Burnley in Gameweeks 6 and 7 offer the potential for further returns.

Setting us back only £4.5m in FPL, Cash can always be benched for the tougher matches that follow, too.


257 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Totalfootball
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Reijnders + Anderson (4.5m) OR
    KDH + Tarkowski

    1. Pompel
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      R + A

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      A

  2. tutankamun
    • 16 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    (H)aaland off early

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      He’s on a roll

  3. AD105
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Bench correct?

    Sanchez
    Munoz Porro VDV Andersen
    Salah Bruno Semenyo
    Watkins Wood Mateta

    Dubravka Rutter Reijnders Esteve

  4. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Newcastle done in by Trashford, lol

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I know this is the narrative...

      But perhaps playing for Barca and scoring the goal of the season so far suggests otherwise?

      Is it bitter man u fans?

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        He's a selfish trash player. Playing like he does (selfish) he will inevitable get streaks here and there where he looks good. Then he will go 3 years+ looking like shyte

      2. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        All the fans I know want him to do well, Brosstan just calls every player "trash" to be edgy

        1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Still want to hear the joke

        2. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Theres not a single real United supporter who likes Rashford.

          1. x.jim.x
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Me and ones I go to matches with must be imaginary

  5. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Toon really outclassed tonight, after a bright start.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Some of my finest work 😆

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        7 mins added

  6. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    From GW8, which combo?

    A) Bruno, Larsen (-4)
    B) Pedro, Kudus (-4)
    C) Watkins, Kudus (free)
    D) Other (15.4M budget)

    Rest of attack from gw8:
    Semenyo Palmer Reijnders KDH xxxx
    Haaland Gyokeres xxxx

    1. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
        2 months, 17 days ago

        B

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Newcastle GOAL

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Murphy to Gordon.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      We confident in capping Semenyo against this Newcastle defence?

      1. White Pony
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Not particularly, probs go Salah myself.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Might go Palmer against United

        2. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          I brought him in last night for a hit (for Cunha), so almost feel obligated to Capt him.

      2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Yes

      3. tutankamun
        • 16 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Newcastle better at home

      4. Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Schar and Trippier went off. I wouldn't be surprised if Howe played 3 CBs against Bournemouth with Livra and Hall as wingbacks. That might help the midfield which might be a bit leggy after tonight.

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          At least they aren't our partying having a Biig nite

    4. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Who to play? On KDH at the moment

      A) KDH (liv)
      B) Reijnders (ars)
      C) Gudmundsson (wol)
      D) Alderete (AVL)

      1. ball c
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        C

      2. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
          2 months, 17 days ago

          C

      3. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Think playing it safe and salah (c) over haaland & semenyo

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Not sure it’s that safe, Everton have only conceded two goals, both at home.

          1. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Ignore this post, wrong column 😆

          2. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Who ru going for ?

            1. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Salah 🙂

      4. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I watched the first half of Newcastle

        But for those who might live in the sticks without easy access to a stick

        BBC have highlights straight up

        https://youtu.be/fnSVJRh43ns?si=mkP9gOLdUZPm5MQ-

      5. Moon Dog
          2 months, 18 days ago

          2 goals from 0.37 xG for Marcus.

          He decided that game.

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            If only Man Utd had goalscoring attackers

            1. PartyTime
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Or a manager like me

        • Romford Pele - Don't w…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Have I got this defence/subs right?

          Starting: Gabriel (MCI) | Munoz (whu) | Diouf (CRY)
          Subs: Van der Ven (bha) | Esteve (NFO)

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Yes

        • Wet Bandits
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Is this BB material? (1FT & 2.6mil)

          Sanchez
          Munoz, Burn, Guehi
          Gapko, Semenyo, Kudus, Grealish
          Haaland, Mateta, Ekitke

          Dub, VDV, Reijnders, Chalobah

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            3 away games

            Probably not

            1. Wet Bandits
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Yeah.. I needed to hear that.

              Starting 11 look correct?

              1. cigan
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 18 days ago

                I'd play VDV ahead of Burn (or consider BB)

                1. cigan
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 18 days ago

                  Actually I'd probably BB this yeah

        • Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Why are people bb this week?not better to wait for DGW?

          1. Sun God Nika
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Don’t think there is a dgw before Xmas ?

          2. The Bandit
            • 15 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            There won’t be any DGW’s this year.

            1. Stranger Mings
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Oh cheers

            2. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              There might be if Palace make it to the quarter final of the league cup and draw a premier league opponent.

              Then they could double, the other team, especially if they are in European competitions too.

              1. The Bandit
                • 15 Years
                2 months, 18 days ago

                Hardly a big influence on BB though is it? Lots of ‘if’s’ too.

                1. AC/DC AFC
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 18 days ago

                  Yeah

                  More value in FH for a double Gw

        • Totalfootball
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          It's a pure punt on a defender 4.9 million and below -
          Mykolenko or Oreilly ?

        • The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          What is going on with Hart’s head? It’s like he has varnished his thinning crown 😆

          1. PartyTime
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Lol. Give Hart a break! Will you? 😆 Man is a 38 yo pundit having retired from football.

            1. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              He looks like a (slightly) hairy toffee apple 😆

        • g40steve
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Play 5 at the back & bench Jonny?

          Play Sels or Dubs?

          Dubs,
          Cucu, Senesi, Guehi, VDV, Gudmund
          Salah, Semenyo, Kudus,
          Pedro, Haaland

          Sels, Reijnders, Guiu, I Sarr

          1.3

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            I think Sels

            I've come round to the fact that Forest have more goal threat but I don't rule out Anthony etc.

            1. g40steve
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Cheers, stay 5 atb or play Jonny who should be a handful for Arsenal?

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 18 days ago

                Who's Jonny?

                1. g40steve
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 18 days ago

                  Reijenders

                  1. AC/DC AFC
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    2 months, 18 days ago

                    Wolves probably score at home to Leeds in my view

                    But you never know

                2. Hairy Potter
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 18 days ago

                  Where's Jonny?

        • AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Sels
          Muñoz Milenković Diouf
          Bruno Semenyo Grealish Reijnders
          Haaland Ekitiké Wood

          Dúbravka. Johnson Estève Dorgu

          I take it you would not BB here.

          Any changes on the bench?

          £1.1m itb, anything else for a hit?

          1. g40steve
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Hits about 300-400k drop so if tempted make sure it pays off.
            Better weeks for BB Ars vs City & Pool vs Everton don’t see high scoring.

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Yeah

              BB8 is on but that means holding Burnley through WC6 or 7.

              Which might not be the worst idea.

          2. cigan
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            I wouldn't do it with Dorgu & Johnson

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Cheers, Johnson could score off the bench but pretty speculative.

              Or could he start?

              1. cigan
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 18 days ago

                Don't think he starts but he could always score off the bench ofc (but I really wouldn't use bb on that speculation)

        • cigan
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Should I BB? Can use 1 FT

          1. cigan
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Browser acting strange, anyways ...

            Raya
            Cucurella Munoz Porro
            Gakpo Semenyo Grealish Kudus
            Haaland Ekitike Pedro
            Dubravka King Livramento Gudmundsson

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              I think Wolves and Forest are more likely to score than not

              So that's a swerve

              Bournemouth too

              Will King start this Gw?

              1. cigan
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 18 days ago

                I dunno, Burnley are tough at home and Forest seem to be in freefall or at least on the reverse new manager bounce. I think Bournemouth will score for sure but Livramento is quite attacking so that could be an upside. No idea about Wolves or King tbf

        • HellasLEAF
          • 16 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Start Paqueta or King this GW (if King starts, (ESR?))

          1. cigan
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Paqueta

        • g40steve
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Capt?

          Pedro
          Salah
          Semenyo
          Haaland

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            B
            C
            D
            A

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Albeit I read Pedro as Porro

              Best call it a day!

        • Slurpy
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Raya
          Lacroix Livramento VVD
          Ndiaye Gakpo Xavi Semenyo
          Haaland Pedro Ekitike

          Dubravka Senesi Esteve King

          1.9m ITB 2 FT

          Bench Boost is currently active. Is that a mistake?
          Captain?
          And who to Captain?
          A) Haaland
          B) Semenyo
          C) J.Pedro

        • rozzo
          • 12 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Milenkovic and Palmer to Romero and Palmer worth a hit?

          1. rozzo
            • 12 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Milenkovic and Johnson even

            1. Pompel
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 18 days ago

              Surely

        • GoonerSteve
          • 16 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Worth a BB?

          Raya, Dubravka
          Senesi, Chalobah, Munoz, Gudmundsson, Esteve
          Palmer, Semenyo, Rejinders, Grealish, Kudus
          Haaland, Gyokeres, Ekitike

          Also, Palmer captain?