Spot the Differential
18 September 2025 257 comments
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Tottenham Hotspur, Crystal Palace and Aston Villa assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 5.

At the time of writing, these three players all have an ownership of 5.0% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).


XAVI SIMONS

  • FPL ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: bha | WOL | lee | AVL | eve

After marking his Tottenham Hotspur debut with an assist, Xavi Simons (£7.0m) looks a compelling option ahead of Saturday’s trip to Brighton and Hove Albion.

Fabian Hurzeler’s side have conceded six goals in their four matches so far and are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Albion also rank second-worst for most chances conceded from their right flank over the first four Gameweeks, with 19.

Simons started on the left against West Ham last week, and once more, he played out wide in the UEFA Champions League win over Villarreal on Tuesday night. There were some positive signs, too, as he combined nicely with Djed Spence (£4.5m) on several occasions.

With two wins from two, Simons – who is owned by only 2.7% of managers – should enter Gameweek 5 full of confidence.

Another factor behind the Dutchman’s appeal is Tottenham’s schedule.

Spurs face Leeds United, Aston Villa and Everton in the next five, as well as hosting a Wolverhampton Wanderers side that have conceded nine goals this season, the second-most of any team.

So, for those Fantasy managers who want to get in early on the set-piece taker, this is the time to invest.

Despite his low ownership, investing in Simons doesn’t feel like a punt.

He produced 11 goals and eight assists for RB Leipzig last season, on the back of delivering 10 goals and 15 assists in 2023/24.

YEREMY PINO

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: whu | LIV | eve | BOU | ars

After a lively debut, Yeremy Pino (£6.0m) has piqued our interest ahead of a trip to struggling West Ham.

The Spaniard played 83 minutes against Sunderland last week, during which he registered three shots, including two Opta-defined ‘big chances’.

He also received 14 passes in the final third, the most of any player.

“I’m very pleased with Pino’s performance today. The cherry on top would have been that big chance in the first-half. Then he was a little bit unlucky in the second-half. But, we could see where he will help us with his positioning between the lines, his understanding of the game.

“He will have to adapt to the physicality and the pace of the Premier League, but he’s not the first one and he won’t be the last one who has to adapt. He was good, he was dangerous, he had chances and it gives me a good feeling that he will score goals for us.” – Oliver Glasner

Gameweek 5 opponents West Ham are in poor form, having suffered a 3-0 defeat to Tottenham last week.

They are also ranked 20th for a) set-piece goals conceded and b) big chances conceded, so the corner-taking Pino will fancy his chances.

Above: West Ham have conceded six goals from set-pieces this season, at least four more than any other side

As for Crystal Palace, they have impressed on the road this season, having earned a draw against Chelsea and achieved a 3-0 victory at Aston Villa prior to the international break.

Priced at just £6.0m in FPL, Pino looks a tempting short-term punt, particularly for those FPL managers who can spare a transfer and are considering using their Wildcard in the next couple of weeks.

MATTY CASH

  • FPL ownership: 4.9%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: sun | FUL | BUR | tot | MCI

Okay, so bear with us.

Aston Villa may be heading into Sunday’s away clash at Sunderland in poor form, yet there are several reasons why Matty Cash (£4.5m) stands out as a differential option.

For starters, despite Villa’s struggles, they have still managed to secure two clean sheets in four matches this season, conceding only one goal on the road.

In fact, Unai Emery’s team have only allowed four shots on target in away matches – fewer than any other team except Liverpool.

Cash, meanwhile, has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch in Gameweek 5.

Due in part to his set-piece contributions, the Polish international has produced 21 crosses this season, ranking him second among FPL defenders.

He has also created four chances for his teammates, more than any other Villa defender, and banked two defensive contribution (DefCon) points.

Cash will now face a Sunderland side with the second-worst non-penalty expected goals (xG) tally in the top-flight.

Looking further ahead, home fixtures against Fulham and Burnley in Gameweeks 6 and 7 offer the potential for further returns.

Setting us back only £4.5m in FPL, Cash can always be benched for the tougher matches that follow, too.


257 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. SomeoneKnows
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Who should I bench? (Vicario as GK)

    A) Porro
    B) Lacroix
    C) Senesi

    1) Johnson
    2) Reijnders

    1. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      A2

  2. Slurpy
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Captain?

    A) Haaland
    B) Semenyo
    C) J.Pedro

    Currently on B

    1. tuvok
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      I think C… just because Utd have such an awful defence (while I expect Arsenal and Newcastle to keep the other two quiet)

  3. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Newcastle United starting line-up: Pope, Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento, Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton, Elanga, Gordon, Barnes

    Subs: Thompson, Ramsdale, Hall, Botman, Thiaw, Krafth, Osula, J. Murphy, Woltemade, Willock, A.Murphy, Miley

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      cheers

      shame dont get to see more of woltemade. but if barca play that silly high line, can understand why howe put gordon up top

      1. Moon Dog
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Don't think he's fully fit yet. The Premier League is intense, said he had cramp after 60 mins.

          That Barca midfield of DeJong, Pedri, Lopez looks squishy. Can see them getting rolled over by Newcastle's. Hopefully. Always fun to see a Spanish team get smashed. They've won enough in Europe.

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Man City XI: Donnarumma, Khusanov, Dias, Gvardiol, O’Reilly, Rodri, Silva, Reijnders, Foden, Doku, Haaland.

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Subs: Trafford, Bettenelli, Ake, Nico, Savinho, Nunes, Bobb, Mukasa, Lewis, Mfuni.

      2. Conners
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        10-4 good buddy.

        1. Stimps
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          I recon it'll be 3-1

        2. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
          • 1 Year
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Breaker, what’s yer 10-20?

      3. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Pep naming the same lineup two games in a row - surely this is a sign of the apocalypse?

    3. Mom, Butters just gave me a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      What about Bergvall, Bobb and Hickey as differntials?

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Bergvall possibly

        But might be rotate often?

    4. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Never back the 12:30pm captain.

      Semenyo (c)

      1. Mighty Duck
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Jped delivered goods perfectly well few weeks ago despite Ghandi. You know that it inevitably works only if it's you who captained an early KO.

        1. tuvok
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          It all hangs on how Newcastle fair tonight for me. Without this Thursday night CL fixture I wouldn’t be considering Semenyo at all, Newcastle have a top defence. But if they look like they could be leggy..

    5. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      @ avfc82. Did you look at my GW 4 WC?
      Simons, Pino and Cash all in there.

    6. Khalico
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Calafiori or Timber?

      1. Make FPL Casual Again
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Califiori seems more nailed and better attacking return track record, probably also a better option than Gabriel

      2. NoOneCares
          7 months, 1 day ago

          None

      3. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Mi familia,
        Caicedo played full match yesterday Will this impact his minutes on Saturday?

        Gracias

        1. NoOneCares
            7 months, 1 day ago

            Benched.

          • Miguel Sanchez
            • 9 Years
            7 months, 1 day ago

            No, will get his rest next midweek vs Lincoln in the cup

          • tuvok
            • 7 Years
            7 months, 1 day ago

            No te preocupes

            1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
              • 1 Year
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Gracias, mi amigo

          • Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            7 months, 1 day ago

            No

            1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
              • 1 Year
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Спасибо

        2. MarcusAurelius
          • 10 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Anyone had a go at Fantasy Champions League?

        3. Moon Dog
            7 months, 1 day ago

            Conte doing an Emery and playing a Scottish central midfielder on the wing.

            It's fine if you have an attacking fullback like Spinazzola or Digne/Maatsen holding the width. Emery gets too much flack for playing McGinn wide...

          • sirmorbach
            • 9 Years
            7 months, 1 day ago

            To WC or not to WC?

            2 FT, £3.9 itb.

            Sels / Dúbravka
            Gabriel, Porro, De Cuyper / Estève, Rodon
            Salah, Wirtz, Rogers, Kudus, Reijnders
            Gyökeres, Pedro / Guiu

            1. The 12th Man
              • 12 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              I'd roll this week and WC next week with FT's in tact.

          • BUZZBOMB ♡
            • 11 Years
            7 months, 1 day ago

            Really disappointed both Newcastle and City games this UCL GW are same night, same time.

            1. tuvok
              • 7 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Im still disgruntled about the new format. I liked Tues and Weds group games.

            2. Moon Dog
                7 months, 1 day ago

                Yep, two really juicy games.

                Really want to watch Lobotka and De Bruyne play, classy players, but the Newcastle v Barca game sounds more fun...

            3. DavvaMC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Who one would you start?

              A. VDV
              B. Williams
              C. Rodon

              Thanks

              1. denial
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                7 months, 1 day ago

                A

              2. Stranger Mings
                • 5 Years
                7 months, 1 day ago

                B

              3. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
                • 1 Year
                7 months, 1 day ago

                C

            4. Jolly Good
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Got Dubravka and Esteve - BB this week against NFO or wait till GW8 vs Leeds?

              1. Boxwoods
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                7 months, 1 day ago

                I'm waiting, but I also have C. Wood (not optimal to be facing Burnley defense) and would have need to burn FT to upgrade Guiu. What's the rest of your bench?

                1. Jolly Good
                  • 10 Years
                  7 months, 1 day ago

                  Sels
                  Munoz, Pedro, Richards
                  Salah(c), Bruno, Barnes, Paqueta
                  Mateta, Watkins, Wood

                  Bench: Dubravka, Esteve, Reijnders, N. Willaims

                  I would love a 0-0 Burnley vs NFO despite having Wood

            5. SomeoneKnows
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              With 2FT which option is the best?

              A) Replace Johnson with Enzo (mun)
              B) Replace Johnson with Xavi (bha)
              C) Replace Johnson with Grealish (liv)
              D) Save FT & play Reinjders (ars) instead of Johnson

              Vicario
              Cucurella, Lacroix, Senesi
              Bruno, Gakpo, Semenyo, Johnson
              Haaland (C), J.Pedro, Wood

              (Dubrovka, Porro, Reijnders, Gudmunson)

            6. FDMS All Starz
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Which combo is better from gw8-13? Will WC 13

              A) Bruno, Larsen (-4)
              B) Pedro, Kudus (-4)
              C) Watkins, Kudus (free)
              D) Other fwd/mid combo for 15.4M

              Rest of attack from gw8:
              Semenyo Palmer Reijnders KDH xxxx
              Haaland Gyokeres xxxx

            7. MVDP
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Mmmmm. Was expecting Harvey Elliott to be in this weeks selection. Not so.

            8. denial
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              BB? Raya / Reijnders / Cucurella / Gudmundsson

              1. iFash@FPL
                • 2 Years
                7 months, 1 day ago

                Yes

            9. Khalico
              • 10 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Keep Cucu + Kudus or move to Calafiori + Xavi Simons

              1. JBG
                • 7 Years
                7 months, 1 day ago

                2nd

            10. Tozier
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Is there no scout squad article this week

            11. JBG
              • 7 Years
              7 months, 1 day ago

              Would be a real shame if some key defenders went off with injury for Newcastle, considering I'm probably going to C Semenyo

            12. AAAFootball
                7 months, 1 day ago

                Xavi or pino

                1. dragen5
                  • 7 Years
                  7 months, 1 day ago

                  Xavi for me

                2. JBG
                  • 7 Years
                  7 months, 1 day ago

                  Xavi, better player, team(arguably) and fixtures.

                  1. AAAFootball
                      7 months, 1 day ago

                      Can i cap him?

                      1. JBG
                        • 7 Years
                        7 months, 1 day ago

                        Not sure about that tbh. Spurs seem to share the goals so difficult to predict

                        1. AAAFootball
                            7 months, 1 day ago

                            Should I buy and cap pino instead

                  2. dragen5
                    • 7 Years
                    7 months, 1 day ago

                    Do you prefer Calafiori or Timber?
                    Was set on Calafiori, but now im not too sure.
                    thanks

                    1. Sandy Ravage
                      • 10 Years
                      7 months, 1 day ago

                      both

                    2. The Tinkerman
                      • 10 Years
                      7 months, 1 day ago

                      Prefer the CBs, Arsenal have too many options at full back.

                  3. Moon Dog
                      7 months, 1 day ago

                      How are Newcastle not ahead yet 😆

                      1. Moon Dog
                          7 months, 1 day ago

                          Gordon completely air-shot a sitter 😆

                          1. Bobby Digital
                            • 8 Years
                            7 months, 1 day ago

                            Yeah that was terribul

                      2. MrMartini
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 3 Years
                        7 months, 1 day ago

                        WC this week, tired of wirtz, double forest def, watkins, richarlison rotation and munoz/porro being outscored by cheaper team mates (still like munoz though) thoughts and suggestions very much appreciated 0.5itb.

                        Petrovic, Dubravka
                        Senesi, Ekdal, Gudmundsson, Munoz, VDV
                        Salah, KDH, Semenyo, Potts, Caicedo
                        Gyokeres, Pedro, Haaland

                        1. Sandy Ravage
                          • 10 Years
                          7 months, 1 day ago

                          why not?

                        2. Bobby Digital
                          • 8 Years
                          7 months, 1 day ago

                          I'd have a very similar draft if I went with Gyok, but I'm planning a 352 formation as it is.

                      3. The Tinkerman
                        • 10 Years
                        7 months, 1 day ago

                        Thoughts on this WC6?

                        Raya, Dubr
                        Gabriel, Romero, Andersen, Senesi, Mukiele
                        Palmer, Semenyo, Xavi, Reijnders, KDH
                        Haaland, Gyokores, Pedro

                        Too light in midfield? Genuinely tempted by Foden, but feels a bit too risky.

                      4. The Mighty Hippo
                        • 9 Years
                        7 months, 1 day ago

                        So, is Foden an actual option again now, albeit still risky in terms of minutes?

                        1. Bobby Digital
                          • 8 Years
                          7 months, 1 day ago

                          Could be good vs Burnley

                          1. JBG
                            • 7 Years
                            7 months, 1 day ago

                            Would be typical of Bauldiola to bench him that match.

                            1. Bobby Digital
                              • 8 Years
                              7 months, 1 day ago

                              Yea I'd rather have Mbeumo at that price point

                              1. NoOneCares
                                  7 months, 1 day ago

                                  He plays for Man U who are utter garbage and relegation fodder.

                        2. Bobby Digital
                          • 8 Years
                          7 months, 1 day ago

                          Napoli down to ten men

                        3. Nightcrawler
                          • 6 Years
                          7 months, 1 day ago

                          start raya or dubravka?

                          1. Moon Dog
                              7 months, 1 day ago

                              Raya