FPL
29 October 2025 552 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Two weekend goals have caused Bryan Mbeumo (£8.2m) to be the most-bought Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in the run-up to Gameweek 10. By Wednesday afternoon, he’s already reached 750,000 purchases.

However, while he’s ahead of costlier Manchester United teammate Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m) for points, committing to the Cameroon international isn’t a straightforward decision.

Using basic numbers, deeper stats from our Members Area and some additional context, let’s try to determine which midfielder is best.


RECENT FORM

It’s not just Mbeumo’s brace, but also his Gameweek 8 goal at Anfield, which followed an assist against Sunderland. Whereas Fernandes has only one attacking return over the last four Gameweeks.

During this period, Mbeumo dominates his colleague for both goals and points, while both have created the same number of big chances (two).

[GAMEWEEKS
6 TO 9]
FPL POINTSATTEMPTSSHOTS ON
TARGET
BIG
CHANCES
CHANCES
CREATED
xG (DELTA)xGI (DELTA)
FERNANDES14104291.54 (-1.54)2.17 (-1.17)
MBEUMO3286471.05 (+1.95)1.82 (+2.18)

Fernandes’ shots are more about quantity than quality, as Mbeumo makes up for his fewer efforts by having a high accuracy (85.7%).

Yet here we have a case of overachievement versus underachievement when it comes to expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI) tallies.

Despite the worse FPL output from Gameweek 6, Fernandes has still outdone Mbeumo for both. Still, it’s worth remembering that the latter, when at Brentford, had 2024/25’s biggest xG Delta (+7.74), showing a recent history of beating the data.

GOAL THREAT


defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

552 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. iFash@FPL
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Trent back in to rescue Liverpool… 🙂

    1. iFash@FPL
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      The greatest top-page comment of all time. 😉

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Is he doing so badly in Spain?!? (I honestly haven't checked).

      1. thegaffer82
        • 15 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Injured a fair bit, and isn’t trusted for tougher opponents when he is fit

        1. tutankamun
          • 17 Years
          11 months, 14 days ago

          So the same as when he was a Liverpool?

        2. The Big Fella
          • 10 Years
          11 months, 14 days ago

          No change then?

  2. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Would you do this: Gyokeres Stach > Mateta Sarr (-4)?

    1. Snoopydog
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Yes

    2. Jimjams
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Yes.

    3. Lost for Wirtz
      11 months, 14 days ago

      If Gyo and Stach would be your starters, you might make up for the -4 immediately.

  3. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    potential dgw for whoever crystal palace draw in the league cup

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Ooooh

    2. Absolutely Muñozed
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 14 days ago

      in 2025 or 2026?

    3. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Unlikely. Crellin over-egging this pudding.

  4. THE Wild Rover
    • 16 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    I don’t know why I get so triggered by those two cretins in the betting ad, set on the car park roof. I want to bang their heads together so badly. Wanna bet?

    1. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Every ad on sports channels is for gambling and telling you not to gamble too much while selling their gambling product. Go figure.

      1. THE Wild Rover
        • 16 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Well I don’t gamble and I don’t even know which company they are advertising, so they are wasting their money on me. I just hate the script and the actors delivering it.

  5. pundit of punts
    • 13 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Any injuries to worry about in the games tonight?

    1. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Delap RC
      Haaland not on bench
      Matt Docherty injured

      1. pundit of punts
        • 13 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Cheers

  6. Snoopydog
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    GTG?

    Petrovic
    Gabriel Guehi Calafiori
    Saka Semenyo Mbeumo Gakpo
    Haaland Woltemade Mateta

    Dubravka Reijnders Esteve Acheampong

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Very much so

      1. Snoopydog
        • 2 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Thanks!

  7. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Kudus to rice or ndiaye or iwobi?

  8. Atimis
    • 10 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Saka suddenly looking better option after tonight or nothing changes?

    1. Snoopydog
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      As good as he was before

      1. Atimis
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        He wasn’t, that’s why I’m asking

        1. Snoopydog
          • 2 Years
          11 months, 14 days ago

          I don't think anything's changed

    2. thegaffer82
      • 15 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Not reading too much into it, but still happy to see him in the goals as an owner.

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      He had been ill and had therefore one game below his normal performance level. That was hardly a worry.

  9. marpy016
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    A) Gordon to Mbuemo (have Woltemade)
    B) Pedro to Mateta (have Sarr)
    C) Both for -4

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      C

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        You may need start saving some transfers so taking -4 isn't that bad idea. Objectively B might be correct answer though.

    2. thegaffer82
      • 15 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      B)
      Pedro been rubbish for too long. I did that move this week

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Pedro should have been sold long time ago, but content creators had their own stupid bubble 😉

    4. Snoopydog
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      C

    5. Jimjams
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 14 days ago

      C

  10. AlternativeB
    • 6 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Got 2FTS.
    1. J Pedro to Mateta
    2. J Pedro and Kudus to Thiago and Mbuemo

    1. AlternativeB
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Have Sarr (not Woltemade)

    2. cravencottage
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      2- not sure you want to double up on CP attack

  11. liboo
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Kudus out to :

    A. Minteh
    B. Ndiye
    C. Keep kudus

    ???

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Essugo might be option D if you need money.

    2. cravencottage
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Keep for now- neither is an obvious upgrade

  12. #1 Arne Engels Fan
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Cherki G+A tonight...

    Foden owners count your days.

    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      yep gone from my team, its the hope that gets me

    2. Lost for Wirtz
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Had Cherki in my week 1 team. Then he got injured.

  13. Visionaries
    • 10 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Enzo >
    A Sarr
    B Minteh
    C Keep

    1. cravencottage
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      A or keep

      1. Bleh
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        This

    2. Lost for Wirtz
      11 months, 14 days ago

      C

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Quite similar assets. I have both and feel like jumping from one to another based on just last performance isn't clever idea. Find another way to get Sarr, even for a hit(?)

  14. Mata of opinion
    • 7 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    A. Senesi+James
    B. Truffert+Calafiori
    Already have Gabriel

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      B

  15. Absolutely Muñozed
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Raya
    VVD Munoz Senesi
    Bruno Semenyo Sarr Gordon
    Haaland Gyokere Pedro

    Dubravka Gudmundson King Rodon

    2 FTs and have no Idea what to do because there are so many duds in my team.
    Help please open to take one hit

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Pedro to Mateta for sure

      Probably vvd to gabriel too

      1. Absolutely Muñozed
        • 1 Year
        11 months, 14 days ago

        what about Gyokeres and Gordon?

    2. Kingy109
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Give Gykores Burnley and Gordon West Ham and reassess next week

  16. cravencottage
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Would you rather have :
    A) Mateta
    B) Sarr
    C) Both

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Mateta

    2. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 14 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Both

    3. Lost for Wirtz
      11 months, 14 days ago

      B) Sarr had a nice brace today at Anfield

    4. Bleh
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Leaning A as on pens

    5. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      C

    6. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      C

  17. No Professionals
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Pope
    Gabriel Richards Rodon
    Saka Mbeumo Semenyo Enzo Sarr
    Haaland(c) Gyokeres

    Dubravka Senesi Foster Anderson
    0.1m 1ft

    A) roll
    B) Gyokeres to Mateta

    Think I just need to roll, Gyokeres should start v Burnley and I’d fancy him to get one…

    1. Bleh
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      A

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      A

  18. Lost for Wirtz
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Guys. Who is the one I should start this week (the other three on the bench.) My order is

    A) Kroupi (mci) I expect 6 points
    B) Kudus (CHE) I expect 2 points, maybe 7 points
    C) Chalobah (tot) I expect 2 points
    D) Senesi (mci) I expect 3 points

    Let me know your pick and how many points you think!

    1. Bleh
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      A or B. Probably B - 6 points.

    2. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Kroupi 2
      Kudus 1
      Chalobah 14
      Senesi 2

      1. Lost for Wirtz
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Haha, ok! Nice, are you starting Chalobah, too? Would be nice to get 14 points, would make up for the -3 points in gw6.

        1. Haa-lala-land
          • 5 Years
          11 months, 14 days ago

          If Chalobah can just hopefully avoid a RC

          1. Haa-lala-land
            • 5 Years
            11 months, 14 days ago

            Or at least get his G before it

    3. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      B

  19. Bleh
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Best move?

    A. Grealish > Sarr (-4)
    B. Pedro > Mateta (-4)
    C. Play Grealish

    1. Lost for Wirtz
      11 months, 14 days ago

      I have sold both. But Grealish gave me a nice 10 points farewell. JP on the other hand, nothing but disappointment. You should jump on the Mateta train.

      1. Lost for Wirtz
        11 months, 14 days ago

        But -4 is debatable, maybe play Grealish this week.

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      C

  20. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Will u do kudus to rice?

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Not bad idea supposing you already have Sarr.

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Yes

  21. F4L
    • 11 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    nice draw eh, all the big teams missing out on each other. hmm hmm 😉 never seen that one before

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      *does it take so long as thats the time needed to heat up the balls?

    2. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      I mean you could have predicted that being the exact draw before it was done

    3. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 14 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Yeah, surprise that 🙂

    4. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Which GW does it affect?

  22. Bayern Swine Flu
    • 12 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Porro, Kudus, Pedro > Mateta, Mbeumo, Acheampong (-4) ?

    Raya (Dubs)
    Gabby, Munoz, Senesi (Gud, Porro)
    Semenyo, Gordon, Sarr, Reijn (Kudus)
    Haaland, Pedro, Gyokeres

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Yea

  23. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Will Acheampong start gw10?

  24. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    We may get BGW17 due to Palace EFL Cup QF fixture against Arsenal clashing with Conference League

    Potential BGW17:
    Everton vs Arsenal
    Leeds vs Crystal Palace

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      That looks like FH to me.

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Every man and his dog is going to have 3 Arsenal and probably 2-3 CP players (Sarr goes to Afcon). Everton players on dgw vs Arsenal aren't must haves. However, cheap Leeds defenders might be worth having on dgw.

    2. adstomko
      • 10 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Some are stating free hit will be an option, but I don’t think it’ll benefit much.
      Can’t see many owning Palace players from this point anyway during the potential blank

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Are you joking? Everyone is buying Mateta and Sarr atm 😉

        1. adstomko
          • 10 Years
          11 months, 14 days ago

          Sarr will be at AFCON by then

    3. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      *Stares at photo of Free Hit*
      *Smiles*
      *Sleeps peacefully*

    4. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      - Leeds v Palace likely to be rearranged in the 2nd half of the season.

      - Everton v Arsenal could be brought forward to midweek GW16

      Potential DGW16:
      Arsenal vs WOL+eve
      Everton vs che+ARS

      https://x.com/BenCrellin/status/1983666273914679447?t=hsW2AoBSwPAD4kRtb_7W7A&s=19

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Triple captain Gabriel/Saka could be great

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          11 months, 14 days ago

          Yes. It's going to be difficult decision if that happens, supposing they are both fit. No defcon points to either but Gabi would be very tempting. Two clean sheets and one 9 pt goal isn't impossible.

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Sarr to Ndiaye is probably going to be quite popular move if that happens. Some will try their luck with Everton defs also.

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          11 months, 14 days ago

          Ndiaye may miss the 2nd game in GW16 due to AFCON unless Everton can get an agreement with Senegal to delay the call up

          1. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            11 months, 14 days ago

            I forgot that also he is going there because he hasn't been on my watchlist anymore 😉

      3. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Terrible potential DGW for Everton, but makes Grealish/Garner/KDH/Defenders a decent but from GW15 onwards (if you have a Free Hit) through to January.

    5. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      FPL Twitter is the only place suggesting this. Postponing PL matches for a League Cup match when there are other options seems unlikely.

    6. F4L
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      afcons fts to the rescue as someone who has burnt their fh already lol

    7. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Alternatively no blanks or doubles and Palace have to play every 3 days

  25. Guttelim
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    FT for 3rd gunner:

    A) Pope > Raya
    B) Senesi > Calafiori

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      B

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      a, wouldnt sell senesi

  26. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Budget Sub for wc a) Acheampong or b) lewis miley? Who is more secure? Thanks

  27. Absolutely Muñozed
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 14 days ago

    when will we get FTs for afcon? I mean which GW

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      I think GW16!

  28. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Sarr was fine after the game no reason to not get him in now?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Go for it

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        11 months, 14 days ago

        Thanks. Price change shouldn’t be an issue for a day or 2 but might as well get it done. Usually I don’t even wait for mid week games to finish, get em done Sat or Sun

  29. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Mateta's game time should be ok for the foreseeable...

    Nketiah picked up a hammy injury in tonight's game
    https://x.com/BobbyManzi/status/1983671457562685470?t=m2uNxSQyawxMHUJS30WxBQ&s=19

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Although high chance fatigue will have an impact in his performance unless Glasner manages his mins...

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2025/09/19/fpl-notes-glasner-on-fatigued-mateta-wood-under-pressure/

  30. Qaiss
    • 10 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    https://x.com/bobbymanzi/status/1983671457562685470?s=46&t=i1t6O2FcyTnnnYHKnnDydA

    Nketiah hamstring injury

    Mateta’s ownership ^^^^^^^^^^^^^