Scout Notes
21 December 2025 166 comments
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Two matches at the back-end of the Match of the Day running order to discuss in our Gameweek 17 Scout Notes now.

It’s Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley and Brighton and Hove Albion 0-0 Sunderland.

ESTEVE, WELBECK + VAN HECKE UPDATES

Three of the more popular picks from Brighton and Burnley missed out on their respective matches on Saturday.

Starting with the 11%-owned Maxime Esteve (£3.9m), the hitherto ever-present centre-half was unexpectedly absent for the Clarets’ trip to Bournemouth.

A training ground injury did for him, and while it doesn’t sound serious, managers hoping to use him in Gameweek 18 – on a Bench Boost or otherwise – will be sweating.

“I don’t think it’s too serious, I’m hoping maybe a week or so. We pulled him out of training at the last minute yesterday.” – Scott Parker on Maxime Esteve, via the Burnley Express

As for Jan Paul van Hecke (£4.6m), he also lost his ever-present starter status. We didn’t get much of an update on him, other than Fabian Hurzeler confirming it was an illness. The Argus reports that he’ll return next weekend.

Danny Welbeck‘s (£6.4m) absence was less of a surprise. He was already flagged as a doubt because of a niggling back and ultimately didn’t recover in time.

“We’re in daily exchange with the medical team. The situation didn’t get worse, didn’t get much better the last week. We have to see how we handle it. I think it’s very important that Danny is fully fit; not 80% or 90%, we need him fully fit because Danny is a game-changer for us.

“I think he’s not far away but let’s see the next days.” – Fabian Hurzeler on Danny Welbeck

SUNDERLAND MAKE LIGHT OF AFCON EXITS

Sunderland are the hardest hit of the Premier League clubs when it comes to Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) exits.

Six players have now departed for Morocco, four of whom were in the starting XI for the Tyne-Wear derby. Habib Diarra (£5.3m), who was actually on the bench yesterday as his AFCON exit was delayed, likely would have been another had he been fit.

But the expected drop-off didn’t come at the Amex. We shouldn’t be surprised: this is a well-coached, well-drilled squad that has been more than the sum of its parts all season. The exits weaken them, no doubt, especially in midfield. But the defence remains strong-looking, as it has done since Gameweek 1.

The above image shows how the Black Cats lined up at Brighton, with Chris Rigg (£4.7m) and Simon Adingra (£4.9m) brought in on the flanks, Trai Hume (£4.5m) returning at full-back and Lutsharel Geetruida (£4.5m) playing ‘out of position’ in midfield. Hume and Geertruida have been regulars in this squad anyway in 2025/26, so they’re hardly coming in from the cold.

While there was a late bit of pressure from the hosts, all four of Brighton’s shots on target came from outside the box. Albion created zero Opta-defined ‘big chances’, too.

The Mackems had the better opportunities, indeed. Dan Ballard (£4.6m) and Bryan Brobbey (£5.5m) so very nearly prodded beyond Bart Verbruggen (£4.4m), while Omar Alderete (£4.0m) drew an excellent save with a header.

Ballard and Hume banked DefCon points, too.

ALBION STRUGGLE UP TOP

With van Hecke out and Lewis Dunk (£4.5m) suspended, Brighton fielded Olivier Boscagli (£4.2m) and Diego Coppola (£4.2m) at centre-back. Hurzeler said that he was “pleased with their performances”, so let’s see what he does when Dunk and van Hecke return in Gameweek 18.

Further forward, as discussed above, Brighton carved out little of note. There are two major contributing factors: Georginio Rutter (£5.6m) is clearly not a nine, as he has been playing when Welbeck has been out, while Yankuba Minteh‘s (£6.1m) displays have tailed off.

It might be a case of limping through to January to reinforce up top in the transfer market, but at least Kaoru Mitoma (£6.1m) is back. A second successive half-hour off the bench means a start will likely come soon, and that obviously spells bad news for Maxim De Cuyper’s (£4.3m) ‘out of position’ run-outs.

SEMENYO BACK AT THE SUMMIT + SENESI CREATES

Esteve

The above xG race chart tells a story, with Bournemouth unable to turn pressure into more than one goal and Burnley ‘doing an Indiana Jones’, i.e., waiting for the fancy sword play to finish before delivering the killer blow through Armando Broja‘s (£5.2m) header. The Clarets hadn’t had a single effort until the 86th minute!

Antoine Semenyo (£7.7m) is, at least briefly, back on top of the midfielder points standings, scoring for the second game in succession. That’s a dozen returns in 16 starts for the winger, who got through 90 minutes yet again. That is certainly part of his appeal at this time of the year, when minute management is rife elsewhere.

Semenyo had had a couple of sighters from the left edge of the area before finding the net in the 67th minute; that was the Cherries’ first shot on target of the game.

David Brooks (£5.0m) was the main culprit when it came to Saturday’s profligacy. He had a game-high six shots, including one excellent close-range chance that he skied.

Looking at the fixtures, it’s not the greatest upcoming run for the out-of-form Cherries, who haven’t won in eight league games. In fact, Iraola’s troops sit bottom of the Fixture Ticker:

Esteve

Not too many clean sheets for Marcos Senesi (£4.9m) coming up, then, but does it matter? FPL’s leader for DefCon points, he delivered them for the 13th time in 16 games on Saturday. He also should have scored a late header, while something that is less heralded is his excellent distribution from the back: he’s the leading defender for chances created (CC, below) in the last six Gameweeks:


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166 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. TKC07
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Mateta, Minteh to DCL, BrunoF for a hit?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      No

    2. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      No. I don't see BrunoF as essential v Newcastle. I would wait a week

      1. x.jim.x
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        Wouldn't say essential, but Bruno's doing very well at the minute and Newcastle are poor away from home (and have a bad record at Old Trafford). Could see him making up that hit immediately, if not we've got Wolves the week after.

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Yes. No point in keeping Mateta or Minteh any longer.

    4. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Yes

  2. Dr Funk
    • 13 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Bowen - less than 7 percent owned and amazing fixtures for as far as the eye can see.

    West Ham utter gash though.

    Still a must have?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      I prefer DCL or Ekitike over him but he's the 4th best striker option

    2. MikeS
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Worth a punt I have taken the punt

    3. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Who's calling him a "must-have"?

      1. Dr Funk
        • 13 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        I am

        1. x.jim.x
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Based on what?

          1. Dr Funk
            • 13 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Fixtures mainly. 3 good Home games and am away game against Wolves in the next 4. If West Ham score he will be involved.

            I reckon he will get 4 or 5 returns across those gameweeks.

            Could be very very wrong though.

            1. x.jim.x
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              No fixture is good for West Ham - they've won 3 games all season, and Bowen only scored/assisted in one of them. Lack of pens goes against him too.

              I don't doubt that he'll tick over and pick up points here and there, just because he's a great player, but I wouldn't be choosing him over the likes of Ekitike or even Calvert-Lewin at the minute, and there are loads of midfielders I'd take first too.

              1. Dr Funk
                • 13 Years
                2 months, 7 days ago

                Im not convinced Calvert Lewin will keep up his form. I just don't think he's good enough. Could be wrong though.

                I should have a front 3 of Haaland, Bowen and Ekitike shortly.

                I wouldn't be surprised if that's the template in 3-4-3 team soon.

                1. x.jim.x
                  • 11 Years
                  2 months, 7 days ago

                  I'd much rather have an extra midfielder like Rice, Semenyo, Cunha and switch to 3-5-2 in that case though

    4. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Never been a must have, but if you're on a 3 up top strategy, he's in the mix for sure for those reasons. Can pick up a 6 or 7 pointer even in a heavy defeat, and has proven that time & time again

      1. Dr Funk
        • 13 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        That is my current strategy. Ill give it 4 weeks and if it hasn't worked then ill adjust.

    5. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      There is something between must have and crap pick. He's a good differential but not essential

      1. Dr Funk
        • 13 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        All craps are must haves. Or you will die.

        I digress...

        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Dr Funk spitting bowel movement facts!

    6. Fodderx4
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      I have exact cash for Raul to Bowen and have considered it. It's either that or I hold out for Ekitike next week or take a hit this week. Is Saka and Raul to Rice and Ekitike the better moves?

    7. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Assuming people have Haaland + Ekitike, I'm not a massive fan of spending 7.6m on Bowen given the reduced value of forwards in the defcon meta
      He's on 75 with a decent season but that's basically the same as KDH, Tavernier, Gravenberch, Xhaka, Stach who are all 5m or so

    8. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Poor teams don't have good fixtures.

    9. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      I am regretting selling Thiago for him last night. I want my FT back!

    10. fantasykid
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Bowen is definitely in the mix. A very good differential too. Go for it

  3. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Saka out who to Rice or Cunha?

    Thiago then to Ekitika

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Rice

    2. MikeS
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Rice hoovering up points everywhere

    3. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Rice

  4. MikeS
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    How this look for now?

    Raya
    Timber- vvd- Andersen
    Rice- bruno- Wilson - foden
    Haaland-ekitike-bowen
    ________________________
    Dubravka - Richards- l Miley - esteve

    2.3mn itb for future transfers.

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Very decent.

    2. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Great team

    3. fantasykid
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Looking good

  5. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    2FT and £1.9 ITB.

    A - Thiago > Eki and roll 1
    B - Thiago & Senesi > Eki & Keane
    C - Other suggestion?

    Raya
    Timber - Chalobah - Senesi
    Foden - Semenyo - Rice - BrunoG
    Haaland - Thiago - Woltemade

    Dubravka - Szob - Andersen - Gudmund

    1. MikeS
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      A

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      A

    3. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      A

    4. fantasykid
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      A

  6. Ronnies
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Would you sell Thiago and Szobo who is suspended for 1 game for a -4 to fund getting Ekitike?

    A) Yes
    B) No

    Cheers.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Yes

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        Actually not for -4. Thiago has a nice fixture

        1. Ronnies
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Yeah I'm thinking this way too

  7. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Which option:

    A) Saka + DCL
    B) Rice + Ekitike -4

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Dcl fixtures are not great unfortunately. I think b

      1. Over Midwicket
        • 14 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        He scored against City, Liverpool and Chelsea.

        1. Scapegoat Salah
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          This on pens as well, Leeds also creating most chances in league I read somewhere

          1. x.jim.x
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Ignoring the fact that "chances created" is a fugazi metric, this is inherently false - they're mid-table for most attacking metrics, both actual and expected.

    2. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Its a B from me as well.

    3. fantasykid
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      B

  8. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    2FT 1m ITB

    Raya Dub
    Chalobah O'Reilly Senesi Andersen Alderete
    Saka Bruno Foden Semenyo Bruno G
    Haaland Thiago Guiu

    Got exact cash for Bruno G + Thiago to Wilson + Ekitike, worth doing over Saka + Thiago to Rice + Ekitike?

  9. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Welbz + Thiago to Ekiteke + DCL for free no brainer? Have 0.4 spare to wait...

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Do it

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Sure

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Would you want to play DCL? sun, liv, MUN, new all not great fixtures, worth doing Guiu to give you funds to upgrade elsewhere perhaps?

      1. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        When a player is in that kind of form you just have to jump on, as the day, form over fixtures.

        Applied the same logic with Wilson this week and glad I did!

        1. Scapegoat Salah
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          *saying goes* not day

  10. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    "Burnley ‘doing an Indiana Jones’, i.e., waiting for the fancy sword play to finish before delivering the killer blow through Armando Broja‘s (£5.2m) header."

    😆 😆

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Cringe

    2. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      I've never heard an equaliser called a "killer blow" before

  11. Nightcrawler
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Minteh and Thiago ----> Ekitike and 4.5 bench fodder (free)

    A) Yes

    B) No

    rest of the the attack is:

    Saka Semenyo Foden Wilson Minteh

    Haaland DCL Thiago

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Yes

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Yep

    3. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Yes

    4. Nightcrawler
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Thanks all

  12. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Van Hecke no show spoiling my bench boost.

    1. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      No shows are a part of the busy schedule at this time of year. Although I didn't see that one coming.

  13. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Ekitike TC anyone?

  14. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Timber loses bonus with the update later
    Raya gets the 1 instead
    Opta gave Timber a big chance missed overnight

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Great stuff!

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Big chance missed was this apparently, as it's 0.46 xG: https://x.com/George_Zur/status/2002491627324186917?s=20
      But this doesn't count as a big chance created: https://x.com/George_Zur/status/2002488206533800174?s=20
      Bit rubbish - one of the flaws with xG sometimes, no way was the ball firing off the post a big chance for Timber that he should be expected to score!

    3. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Still showing as Timber on FPL

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        Will likely change in the bonus update tonight after Man Utd

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Cheers

    4. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Timber useless pick. 6 point ceiling

  15. thetommy14
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Thoughts on this team? GTG?
    0,1m ITB

    Verbruggen
    Timber, O’Reilly, Andersen
    Saka, Bruno, Foden, Cunha, Rice
    Haaland, Ekitike

    Dubravka, Mukiele, Gudmundsson, Guiu

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Very good

  16. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Matty Cash gonna go LARGE later! Can feel it!

  17. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    DCL and Ekitike in!

  18. G Banger
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Bowen for free or take a hit to get to Etikite?
    a) Bowen
    b) Etikite (-4)

    1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      stick

  19. FC Hakkebøf
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Who will score more points this gameweek?

    A) Ekitike and Senesi
    B) Thiago and Jimenez

    1. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      A by at least double

  20. FC Hakkebøf
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    A) Cunha + 5.1 defender
    B) Cherki + Hincapie

    1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      A probably, I assume Gabriel will be back in the not too distant future?

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        Rumours say gw19 vs Avl is the target. He could be a buy for gw20 imo. I at least want to see him play one game before getting him.

  21. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Thiago, Semenyo -> Ekitike, Wilson

    For -4 yes or no?

    Thanks.

    1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      probably not worth the hit, I'm giving Thiago another game or 2

  22. Snoop Udogie Dogg
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    I really need Rogers to give United a good Rogering later

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Need another 4-4. Rogers, Bruno, Cunha... but it will be 1-1 with goals from Dalot and Konsa

      1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        I'd take that, have Bruno also

        1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          but rival has Bruno too, so mainly down to Rogers

    2. Dr.Acula
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      bruno to get rogered, roger to be brunofied

  23. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    When will I get the attacking returns I was promised when I bought Timber 14 gws ago... useless player who never gets DC or does anything in attack

    1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      I've been waiting even longer for any kind of Cala return

      1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        might have scored yesterday but for the handball right in front of him

    2. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      He's just keeping Gab's spot warm.

  24. Mozumbus
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    I'm in a situation where I can only choose one of these
    A. Free Hit
    B. Bench boost

    Option A is like Free Hit now and then WC next week, forgoing BB
    While option B is like WC now and BB next week, forgoing FH

    Thanks

    1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      latter

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Use BB.

      Forget FH or even the WC if your team is okay.

  25. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Which BB?

    18: Verb (ars) Rodon (sun) Potts (FUL) Hartman (dropped?)

    19: Dub (NEW) Rodon (liv) Thiago (TOT)/HWilson (cry) - depends which one I start/bench Hartman (dropped?)

    1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      19

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      ASAP when all 15 likely to play. Injuries and suspensions could scupper any plan.

  26. Snoop Udogie Dogg
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Villa win today and they are smack bang in the title race

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      I would say a draw is likely

  27. FC Hakkebøf
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Best option?

    A) Timber, and Cherki
    B) Max 5.7 def (not Hincapie) and Cunha

  28. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    3 FTs and exact money to do;

    Senesi to Alderete.
    Bruno G. to H Wilson.
    Thiago to Ekitiké.

    This keeps Saka and Guiu, meaning the front 7 have to play most weeks.

    Also gives me double Sunderland defense.

    Is it worth doing?

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 7 days ago

      Supposing you can bench your Sunderland defs, possibly. Is Saka worth the money is another question.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        He's decent enough.

        Can sell him in the future but if so, probably best to do so whilst I still have extra transfers.

  29. brianutd-why always we? 20
    • 14 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Sesko starts

  30. brianutd-why always we? 20
    • 14 Years
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Mainoo injured aye right on