Spot the Differential
29 December 2025 259 comments
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It’s time to look at some more differentials as Gameweek 19 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) comes swiftly into view.

These three players all have an ownership of 5% or less.


DOMINIK SZOBOSZLAI

  • FPL ownership: 4.4%
  • Price: £6.6m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: LEE | ful | ars | BUR | bou

With his suspension now behind him, Dominik Szoboszlai (£6.6m) is a differential to consider.

The Hungary international offers multiple routes to points, including likely penalties in the absence of Mohamed Salah (£14.0m), corners and free-kicks, as well as open-play threat.

Indeed, Szoboszlai ranks first among Liverpool players for shots and key passes combined since the start of November, with a total of 33.

Above: Liverpool players sorted by shots and key passes combined in Gameweeks 10-18

At the other end of the pitch, he’s picked up defensive contribution (DefCon) points in four of his 17 starts, with an average of 10.12 DefCons per 90 minutes.

Also key to his appeal is his security of starts. Szoboszlai has started and completed 16 Premier League games in 2025/26, which minimises the rotation risk that is often linked to Liverpool’s other midfielders.

Coming into a very busy period, that reliability is a major plus point.

Should Szoboszlai be required at right-back, it undoubtedly dampens his Fantasy appeal. However, with both Jeremie Frimpong (£5.7m) and Conor Bradley (£5.0m) now available, it is hoped that Arne Slot will use him in a more advanced midfield position.

Against Leeds United on Thursday, Szoboszlai’s energy and running ability will be key.

Plus, there are some very decent fixtures to follow, with encounters against Fulham (a), Burnley (h) and Bournemouth (a) on the horizon.


IGOR JESUS

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: EVE | avl | whu | ARS | bre

With Chris Wood (£7.2m) expected to be out for several weeks following knee surgery, Igor Jesus (£5.8m) looks poised for more starts as Nottingham Forest’s number nine.

The Brazilian impressed against Manchester City on Saturday, claiming the assist for Omari Hutchinson’s (£5.4m) equaliser.  

And while Premier League goals have proved hard to come by thus far, his underlying stats suggest they aren’t far away.

Since the start of November, Jesus has racked up 30 shots (see image below), the most of any player except Erling Haaland (£15.1m) and Matheus Cunha (£8.1m).

It is also important to mention that Jesus has netted six goals in as many matches in both the Carabao Cup and the Europa League, so it’s fair to say he has quickly found his feet at the City Ground.

“He is doing well. He is learning about the game. He is strong. He plays hard, but he plays fair. The next step is to get more goals, but he is in there and he is hungry to get goals. He is certainly showing what a good all-rounder he is. Now it is just adding goals, which is not as easy as it sounds. But he has scored goals this season and I think he will score more because he does get in the right areas. He has had a couple chalked off, don’t forget – the one at Liverpool, everyone is still scratching their heads at how that was chalked off. It was similar but different at Wolves, so he could have had another couple.” – Sean Dyche on Igor Jesus

Nottingham Forest’s upcoming three-match run is pretty decent. Gameweek 19 opponents Everton have failed to win any of their last three matches, while West Ham United remain in the relegation zone.

Even high-flying Aston Villa have conceded eight times in their last five games, which suggests Jesus could thrive as a budget differential.

He certainly has the profile to lead the line under Dyche, who traditionally isn’t much of a line-up tinkerer, providing additional reassurance for the demanding schedule ahead.


DIOGO DALOT

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: WOL | lee | bur | MCI | ars

Manchester United have scored five goals and kept one clean sheet in their last two home matches.

Diogo Dalot (£4.5m) consequently has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch as Wolverhampton Wanderers come to Old Trafford on Tuesday.

The Portuguese produced his fourth attacking return in five Gameweeks last time out.

Back in a familiar right-back position, Dalot was later pushed forward into a winger role and really ought to have doubled United’s lead.

Dalot has registered six goal attempts and created as many chances in his last six appearances, and should have plenty of opportunities to bomb down the right flank against a Wolves side that play with wing-backs.

Rob Edwards’ side are also winless across the season, having lost 11 Premier League matches in a row.

United have further strong fixtures against Leeds United and Burnley to follow, so Dalot, whose ownership currently stands at just 3.4%, may be worth considering as a short-term option.

Furthermore, game-time should be assured for Dalot over this period, with three United players away at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) and defenders Matthijs de Ligt (£4.9m) and Harry Maguire (£4.3m) currently injured.


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  1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
    10 months, 20 days ago

    A: Mount to Neto/Szobos (or someone else for up to 7.4?)
    B: Mount and Richards to Semenyo and Alderete for -4
    C: Mount and Richards to Cunha and Heaven for -4

    1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Rest of team is a mess too... but they are the priorities to get out.
      Rest of team:
      Raya (Dubravs)
      O'Reilly, Van Hecke, Gabriel (Rodon*, Richards*)
      Saka, Palmer, Rogers, Mount* (King)
      Tiago, Haaland, Ekitike

    2. it lies in the proles
      10 months, 20 days ago

      C

    3. Here is Cash, give McGinn
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Wouldnt touch any of those

      1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Who to go for then you reckon? Mount and Richards out and 1.5 ITB leaves me 14.1m total to play with for the two spots.

  2. Sufy
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Szob or Gordon (or maybe even Reijnders)

    Draft league btw

    1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Szob for me - Newcastle are terrible away from home

      1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Really shortsighted !!

      2. Utopsis
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Fixtures breed form

  3. Vasshin
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Which Arsenal player to own in a freehit among Eze, Madueke, Trossard, Odegard, Merino, Gyokeres, Martineli?

    1. Triple Free Bench Hit Boost
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Think Odegard as captain most likely to start. May be sneaking back into form too.

  4. tucaoneo
    10 months, 20 days ago

    To FH £16 on James & Palmer when the manager can't only offer "we'll see" on their fitness is kind of not ideal...

  5. Skout
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Chances of Timber starting?

    1. My own Personal Jesus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Good I think, I'm keeping.

  6. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 months, 20 days ago

    For the next few weeks, which combo, B more differentials:
    A. O'Reilly Rogers
    B. Dalot Watkins

    1. OptimusBlack
      10 months, 20 days ago

      B
      But both are good

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 months, 20 days ago

        cheers

  7. Nightcrawler
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Goodbye Timber. i wish i could say its been a pleasure, but its not. Good riddance

    hello Dorgu

    1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Ends in tears

    2. Utopsis
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Lol really? One of my best picks this season

  8. theshazly
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Play DCL or BrunoG ?
    Captain Ekitike or Haaland ?

  9. Legohair
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Sorry for re-post, but i really need some opinions?

    Raya
    Timber-VVD-O'Reilly
    Semenyo-Rice-Foden-Minteh-Cunha
    Haaland-Ekitike

    Dubravka, Andersen, Esteve, Guiu
    1 FT
    A. Semenyo to Wirtz
    B. Semenyo&VVD to Palmer&Dorgu -4

    Im really 50/50 what to do here, please help

    1. JT11fc
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Palmers minutes may be managed so unsure on that part

  10. FplmorelikeFml
    10 months, 20 days ago

    My FPL Wizards! Playing BB this GW but Esteve is injured. One priority def to bring in this gw with a budget of 5.3m, thanks!

    Current defenders: guehi, vvd, Anderson, sensei

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Ekdal keeps getting DC points on my bench

      1. FplmorelikeFml
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Thanks mate!

    2. Jullepuu
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Dorgu. No need to spend more money on the 5th defender

      1. Utopsis
        10 months, 20 days ago

        This

      2. FplmorelikeFml
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Thanks mate!

  11. Ballito
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Best captain for GW19? Haarland, Ekitike or someone else?

    1. NaeIdea
      10 months, 20 days ago

      I'm going Ekitike. Sunderlands defence are decent so don't fancy Haaland.

  12. Vasshin
    10 months, 20 days ago

    In Freehit,

    What do you prefer
    1. Bowen vs Brighton home (343)
    2. Gapko or Wirtz or Foden or Kudus or Odegard or any other midfielder (beside Cherki, Gordon, Neto, Cunha)

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      2 Wirtz

    2. Nomar
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Can’t believe I’m saying this, but Wirtz. The guy looked damn good last Saturday.

      1. TST4N
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Playing Wolves will do that to a man.

  13. NaeIdea
    10 months, 20 days ago

    On a FH this week. I have Haaland and Ekitike. For a 3rd forward would you go:
    A - Thiago
    B - Joao Pedro
    C - Igor Jesus
    D - Go for an additional mid instead

    Mids I have are Cherki, Wirtz, Rice, Cunha and Schade (on bench).

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      D

  14. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Which one on FH?

    A) Hall
    B) Frimpong

    1. JT11fc
      10 months, 20 days ago

      A

    2. OptimusBlack
      10 months, 20 days ago

      A

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Cheers

    4. Utopsis
      10 months, 20 days ago

      A - Frimpong may not start

  15. JT11fc
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Any chance we get Cucu news before deadline?
    Only have 1 fit defender..

  16. Gazzpfc
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Views please

    Back to back -8’s not ideal but had to be agressive due to these crazy price swings

    Out Raya Timber Semenyo
    In Verbruggen Gabriel Cunha

    Now leaves exact money next week to either have Rice or Calvert Lewin as my 8th attacker got Saka who would you go for???

    1. Nomar
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Rice.

      You just know DCL will get injured the moment you get him in!

    2. My own Personal Jesus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      I'm going to play Timber this week but hold off on Virgil>Gabriel and Raya>? until after the deadline so I can do it without a hit. Will cost me 0.1 on Gabriel but save me a -4. I think Timber will play this week, although if you are planning to go from 2 to 1 Arsenal defence this week makes sense (but I think people will want 2 again once Gabriel/Saliba are playing regularly). I'd rather keep Saka than Rice although you can have both if you go one defender.

  17. Nomar
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Just done Senesi to Dalot.

    Rolling the other FT.

  18. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 months, 20 days ago

    I actually really like FPL at the moment.

    I feel like there's a lot of choice.

    3-5-2, 3-4-3, 4-4-2 are all decent looking formations.

    The only real nailed pick is Haaland. There are people with Arsenal defense, some without, goalkeepers are different, defenses are very different depending on how much you decided to invest. Midfield options are changing quite a lot depending on your structure.

    Saka, Foden, Cunha seem fairly template but that then means you probbaly have to have someone more budget in the last two attacking spots.

    Thiago vs Ekitike vs both is interesting. And now there are cool striker options for those willing to take risks like Jesus, Richarlison, Watkins.

    Midfield you can either have Saka and budget or else Rice + mid-price. Or you could even run differential with a midfield like Gordon, Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Cunha, Cherki. And that's not to mention defense where I see quite a lot of variety because of the Arsenal defenders dropping like flies.

    VvD, O'Reilly are popular but not in everyone's teams. Everton defense, leftover Palace, 4.0s. I have a defense of Calafiori, Nunes, Thiaw which I haven't seen anyone have paired with Sanchez in goal - I've seen Raya, Verbruggen, Pickford. Just lots of choice everywhere.

    I feel like it's a great time to gain ground if you can choose correctly. Hoping that my particular blend of structure and price pays off but I can also see teams with like 9 different players to mine being considered great atm.

    1. The Philosopher
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Such a long post and no mention of Master Bowen. Disappointing.

      1. THE Wild Rover
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Or DCL

        1. The Knights Template
          10 months, 20 days ago

          Love DCL. Love playing DCL!

          1. THE Wild Rover
            10 months, 20 days ago

            Bog off 😆 Tbf, I’m not too annoyed as I bought him as an 8th attacker, and I’d rather a first sub that gets points than one who doesn’t.

      2. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 months, 20 days ago

        He's an option. Not really one I'd go for because of form and because I really don't rate West Ham especially offensively but I suppose he's no worse of a punt than Watkins (from GW20)

    2. Bluetiger1
      10 months, 20 days ago

      wishing you a cracking GW19 onwards to end of season
      a certainly challenging for 18 Gws

  19. Ronnies
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Best option;

    A) Keep Timber
    B) Timber to Gabriel

    Cheers.

    1. Nomar
      10 months, 20 days ago

      B

    2. TKC07
      10 months, 20 days ago

      If you have bench cover then A

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      That really depends how many FTs you have.

      It's pretty sideways otherwise.

      Even if Gabriel has an edge, the Arsenal fixtures aren't great for their defense.

      1. Ronnies
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Just the one FT mate

      2. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 months, 20 days ago

        This

    4. My own Personal Jesus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      I want both and ditch Raya for cheaper keeper, but does involve multiple transfers.

  20. Count of Monte Hristo
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Bench one for Thiago

    a) Semenyo

    b) Rogers

    c) Minteh

    d) Bowen

    1. Nomar
      10 months, 20 days ago

      C. Offers nothing.

      1. Utopsis
        10 months, 20 days ago

        He was foiled only by a quite remarkable save from Raya last GW

    2. OptimusBlack
      10 months, 20 days ago

      C

    3. lilmessipran
      10 months, 20 days ago

      B

    4. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      C

    5. Bluetiger1
      10 months, 20 days ago

      c

  21. FPL Sanky
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Timber to Gabriel or roll?

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Gabriel not guaranteed to start or play 90

      1. FPL Sanky
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Yeah....even timber is not guaranteed....guess I'll hold off the transfer although Gabriel is rising today and Timber is also due to fall today

      2. Boz
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Neither is Timber!

    2. Boz
      10 months, 20 days ago

      There is a post above. It's sideways with risk so depends how many FTs you have any other issues.

  22. Vasshin
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Please rate my Free hit team
    Pickford
    Tarkowski Hall Dorgu
    Cherki Neto Wirtz Cunha Gordon
    Haaland Ekiteke
    Dub Bowen Keane Dalot

    Thanks

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Good team. Would start Bowen over both Gordon and Neto

    2. LS11
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Spend less on your bench to upgrade neto

  23. Pep Roulette
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Start one

    A. Hincapie
    B. Cucurella

    1. lilmessipran
      10 months, 20 days ago

      A

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      b

  24. Hxnsey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Richards or Andersen to Dalot or Dorgu?

  25. OptimusBlack
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Who is the Best Defender form Newcastle long term ??

    1. Flynny
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Thiaw

      1. Tambling5
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Especially after snow got on the pitch...

  26. lilmessipran
    10 months, 20 days ago

    1 FT 0.5 ITB, best use of FT here to improve this defence-

    VVD Keane Richards* Senesi Esteve

    1 Richards to Thiaw
    2 Senesi to Hall
    3 Esteve to Dorgu
    4 Save FT and roll with Richards with Senesi first sub?

    1. OptimusBlack
      10 months, 20 days ago

      1

  27. Flynny
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Defensive crisis....what to do with 1ft and 0.3m. 3 defenders injured....thanks

    A.....calafiori to Keane

    B.....richards to keane

    B ...rodon to dorgu

    Raya
    Oreilly andersen calafiori* richards* rodon*
    Saka foden cunha semenyo Anderson
    Haaland ekiteke guiu

    1. Bucket Man
      10 months, 20 days ago

      B

      1. Flynny
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Thanks

  28. Stranger Mings
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Dalot or dorgu as short term pick? Cheers

    1. chilli con kone
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Dorgu if short term

      1. Stranger Mings
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Nice 1

    2. Bucket Man
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Short term Dorgu. Cheaper and seems more attacking

      1. Stranger Mings
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Yeh tha ks

  29. Powers106
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Free Hit team thoughts on this? And who would you choose as GK on a FH? Thanks!

    Lammens (Dub)
    Dalot - Gvardiol - Gabriel (Guehi - Aldrete)
    Szoboszlai - Wirtz - Foden - Cunha - Rice
    Etike - Haaland (Kroupi)

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Great team! Also struggling with GKs.

      Here’s my draft;

      Dorgu, Chalobah, Hall
      Cunha, Foden, Cherki, Wirtz, Palmer
      Haaland, Ekitike

      Subs: John, one of Guiu or Mane, Keane, VdV

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 months, 20 days ago

        (On Lammens atm)

        1. Powers106
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 months, 20 days ago

          Yeah, don’t want to waste a GK on a team that can score a lot, but not much faith in Lammens! We will see!

    2. Hughes Your Daddy
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Got some of those players myself for my FH team this GW
      Goalie still not 100% either John or Dub
      rest...
      Frimpong/Hall/Dorgu
      Cherki/Wirtz/Foden/Palmer/Cunha
      Haaland/Ekitike

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 months, 20 days ago

        Same front 7, who’s your fodder?

    3. LS11
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Decent team, I like it. Here’s my draft:

      Lammens (Dubs)
      Dorgu Frimpong Hall (Keane) (Guds)
      Cherki Palmer Wirtz Gordon Cunha
      Haaland Ekitike (Kroupi)

  30. chilli con kone
    10 months, 20 days ago

    Thiaw or Hall?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Hall said to have the highest ceiling

    2. Bucket Man
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Tempted by Hall myself but think long term Thiaw may be better

    3. Hughes Your Daddy
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Hall

    4. brianutd-why always we? 20
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Hall

    5. Utopsis
      10 months, 20 days ago

      Hall is unbelievably attacking, like peak RAN. But he is a minutes risk and injury prone