Spot the Differential
2 January 2026 653 comments
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Our Gameweek 20 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


MARTIN ODEGAARD

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £7.8m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bou | LIV | nfo | MUN | lee

After scoring and providing an assist over the last two Gameweeks, Arsenal’s Martin Odegaard (£7.8m) looks like a great option for the Gunners’ trip to the Vitality Stadium.

The playmaker should certainly be full of confidence coming up against strugglers Bournemouth, having won possession to brilliantly set up Martin Zubimendi (£5.2m) against Aston Villa on Tuesday.

“He needed some consistency and some games. Obviously, he had two times the shoulder injury, then he had a big knee injury, and that takes a little bit of time.

“Now you can see that it’s flowing, that his energy level is back to where it is. He’s taking risks, he’s affecting the game in a great way and I think he was really, really good today again.” – Mikel Arteta on Martin Odegaard in Gameweek 19

Odegaard impressively ranks first among all players for chances created over the last six Gameweeks, with 20.

He is also joint-ninth in his position for goal attempts during the same timeframe (13).

Those underlying stats suggest Odegaard can continue his recent production against Bournemouth, as he comes up against a side that has failed to win since Gameweek 9, conceding 11 goals in their last four matches.

Andoni Iraola’s defence has admittedly performed better at home, but given Arsenal’s attacking output, Odegaard looks like an interesting differential prospect, particularly with Bournemouth conceding so many key passes from the left half-space.

Above: Bournemouth’s chances created conceded heatmap in 2025/26


FERDI KADIOGLU

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: BUR | mci | BOU | ful | EVE

For those Fantasy managers who aren’t afraid to roll the dice, Ferdi Kadioglu (£4.4m) could be a player to back this week as Brighton and Hove Albion entertain Burnley.

The £4.4m full-back provided his first assist of the 2025/26 campaign against West Ham United on Tuesday.

Furthermore, Kadioglu ranks joint-third among all FPL defenders for chances created and joint-10th for shots over the past four Gameweeks.

Set-pieces could prove crucial on Saturday, as Burnley, who have allowed nine goals in their last five matches, have conceded 76 goal attempts from dead-ball situations this season – only Aston Villa are worse off in that respect.

So as Brighton’s main corner-taker, Kadioglu could be set to profit from that weakness.

And with Brighton’s upcoming schedule pretty decent (they sit fifth on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty in Gameweeks 20-28), and considering Kadioglu has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, he could be a nice differential pickup with just 0.3% ownership.

Defensively, Fabian Hurzeler’s troops have kept four clean sheets in their last 10 matches, offering further optimism ahead of Gameweek 20.


MATEUS FERNANDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: wol | NFO | tot | SUN | che

West Ham have endured a difficult season thus far, picking up just 14 points from 19 matches.

However, the 2-2 draw against Brighton on Tuesday may provide the perfect springboard as they prepare for a favourable upcoming schedule.

In their next six matches, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face Wolverhampton Wanderers, Nottingham Forest and Burnley, all of whom are currently ranked 17th or below in the table.

“What I want is to perform, compete and make this point [against Brighton] really valuable. If we achieve a good win there [at Molineux], a good performance, this is what we’re going to prepare.” – Nuno Espirito Santo

Budget midfielder Mateus Fernandes, who costs just £5.5m, has been a key creator for West Ham this season.

He’s created 14 chances since the start of November, the most of any Hammers player.

Furthermore, Fernandes has produced defensive contribution (DefCon) points in five of his last eight starts.

West Ham visit Wolves on Saturday.

Rob Edwards’ side have failed to keep a clean sheet so far this season and have looked particularly vulnerable at Molineux, conceding nine goals across their new manager’s four home games in charge.

Fernandes could act as a decent enabler, then, given West Ham’s favourable upcoming schedule.


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Introducing The Eye Test 2
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  1. Sam (Team Sam)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Bruno G or Gordon?

    Really struggling to decide!

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Points say Bruno G.
      Stats probably say Gordon.

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      bruno g

    3. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Bruno

    4. Lost for Wirtz
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Neither,
      do you already have Rogers and Cherki?

      1. Sam (Team Sam)
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        I have Rogers. Cherki too risky for me given that I have Foden, plus Semenyo seems imminent.

  2. Soyland
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Any love for Kudus? The next four are quite good...

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      For Spurs' opponents

  3. JohnnyB10
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 19 days ago

    A: VVD and Senesi to Gabriel and Dorgu/Mukiele?

    B: Senesi and Reece James to Gabriel and Clyne?

    2 ft, any advice helpful… Or just roll? I have also Tarkowski and Gudmondsson…

    Senesi 4.5/4.9 value / Reece James 5.4/5.7

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      roll

      1. JohnnyB10
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Thanks! I wanted to roll in the first place and just nicely bank transfers, now in some doubt, Gabriel rising tonight, Senesi down… I’m happy with the defense, starting Reece/Tark/VVD this gw.

  4. Vasshin
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    I have 1.1 in bank and
    Rogers Gordon Foden Semenyo Rice

    Thinking of transferring Foden or Semenyo out but don’t have any real alternatives

    Cunha has good fixtures but can’t really trust United players to do anything against them, similarly Wirtz could be injured. Could have brought Gapko but he hasn’t started yet.

    Any other options you guys can suggest

  5. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Which one is better?

    A) Semenyo > Gordon/Bruno G
    B) Sem + Sensei to Minteh + Gabriel -4

    Thanks

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      No to Minteh

    3. CYN
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      A

  6. Cerylin
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Raya (Dubravka)
    VVD, Dorgu, O'Reilly (Chalobah, Andersen)
    Foden, Cunha, Saka, Anderson, Rice
    Ekitike, Haalaand (Guiu)

    I have 3 FT. I think i need Gabriel, I was planning to do Raya to VB so I can bring Gabriel in.

    Is this a smart move, I know Rice won't play on Sat. If so, who should I sub out for Gabriel:
    A) VVD
    B) O'Reilly

    Or something else entirely?

    1. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B

  7. Ronnies
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Are there doubts about O'Reilly starting aswell? Play it safe and go Gudmundsson?

  8. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Anderson with a bull check out to go 2-4, game back on...

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      What a SF, amazing contest...

  9. Kiyoshi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    A: Thiaw / Bruno G
    B: Thiaw / Gordon
    C: Hall / Bruno G.
    D: Hall / Gordon

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      C

    2. donbagino
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B

    3. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      D

  10. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Sorry for asking again but who to get ?
    A- Bruno G
    B- Cherki

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Id always say Cherki but theres a reason BrunoG is on a ton of points I guess

    2. The 12th Man
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Close. I’ve gone Cherki.

    3. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Cheers Thank you guys

  11. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Hows this draft look?
    Verbruggen
    Gab Timber Tarks Nunes
    Saka Foden Palmer Rogers
    DCL Haaland

    Dub Mukiele Mane Devenny

    Foden to Cherki allows Bowen and more depth?

    1. JohnnyB10
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Looks nice! Cherki yes, you get Bowen.

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Thanks, I do like Bowen

        1. JohnnyB10
          • 1 Year
          7 months, 19 days ago

          I brought him and Cheeky two weeks ago, I do like Jared too. Also Reece 🙂

    2. Captain Mal
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      No idea which of Foden or Cherki get affected by Semenyo. I'd rather start with Foden and have the option to downgrade than vice versa.
      I like the 2 strikers structure, wouldn't worry about Bowen. Bench admittedly too thin.

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Thanks, assuming Foden continues in the 10 with Doku Cherki Semenyo Savinho rotating on the wings but its Pep.

  12. KostaK
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Start Dorgu or O’Reilly?

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Dorgu more certain to start

    2. Home Late From Age
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Dorgu

  13. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Is this very silly? I’m on an early WC so banking transfers is going to be paramount moving forward. I want KDH as my 5th mid on WC and do not want to spend an important transfer on 5th mid fodder down the line.

    I will have fodder 3rd striker and want Keane too. This would mean I could be using WC without a playing bench for this gw…

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Not that silly, Keane shooould play

    2. Lost for Wirtz
      7 months, 19 days ago

      It’s a calculated risk, not silly. But you could make your life easier with Garner instead of KDH.

  14. The 12th Man
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    So, I’ve held off WCing.
    Took a -4. O’Reilly,Semenyo > Gabriel,Cherki.

    Dubravka
    Gabriel,VVD,Keane,Dalot
    Saka,Foden,Cherki,Cunha
    Haaaland,Ekitike

    Petrovic,Wilson,Senesi,Guiu.

    Thank you all, for your input.

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      No real issues there at all

      1. The 12th Man
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Just keeper issues.
        Changing soon hopefully if no issues outfield.

        1. JT11fc
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 19 days ago

          Yes definitely haha but theyr all so hit and miss

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Great transfer dude

    3. Lost for Wirtz
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Well done. Perfectly executed, and saved the WC.

      GL!

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      I want to do this transfer but 0.2 off.
      So it's a yes from me

  15. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    My team is so broken, and only 1 ft, don't know where to start

    Pope
    Timber O'Reilly Mukiele
    Saka Rice* Foden Minteh*
    Haaland Jimenez Ekitike

    Dubravka Dhaka Truffert Richards*

    Is rice, Foden, Richards to vdv, Rogers, BrunoG/ Gordon worth a punchy -8?

    Allows a possible route to Gabriel next week

    Or just keep it simple and go Richards to van de ven?

    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      No

    2. Lost for Wirtz
      7 months, 19 days ago

      That -8 you propose doesn’t look good.

      Have you considered WC? Play with that, what would your new team look like?

  16. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    These are some crazy darts. Anderson to be throwing those scores and doubles % and still being down 4-1 is mad

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Amazing contest, both playing so well...

    2. NZREDS
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      So mad, fantastic match - good to see Anderson pull one back there

  17. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    What to do? 1FT 1.8ITB. Defence isn't great.

    Raya
    Keane Timber Dorgu
    Cunha Saka Bruno G Wilson Foden
    Haaland Ekitike

    Dubravka Sensei Gudmundsson Guiu

    A) Raya to Pickford
    B) Raya and Keane to Pickford and Gabriel -4pts
    C) Raya and Senesi to Pickford and Gabriel -4pts
    D) Roll

    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      D

    2. Lost for Wirtz
      7 months, 19 days ago

      C

  18. Nightf0x
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    alison (dub)
    cala oriley mukiele clyne (richards)
    gordon foden saka (rice king)
    tiago eki haland

    3fts, itb 0.6, which ?

    a) alison cala oriley king tiago -8 to john gabriel alderete rogers dcl.
    b) cala oriley to gabriel obrien.
    c) alison cala oriley king -4 to pickford gabriel alderete garner.
    d) alison oriley saka king -4 to pickford gabriel rogers garner.

  19. Boleyn Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Evening All. Who is the best def for £4.9m or under? Thanks in advance

    1. Eze Come, Eze Go
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Any Everton defender

  20. Eze Come, Eze Go
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Evening All. Starting and bench positions looking G2G?

    Verbruggen
    Timber - Van Hecke - O’Reilly
    Saka - Gordon - Foden - Rogers - Minteh
    Haaland (C) - Bowen

    Dubravka - Chalobah - Gudmundsson - Kroupi

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Yep

  21. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Get in lad back to 4 - 3....

    1. Eze Come, Eze Go
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Who would you take out of midfield?

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Jocky Wilson - he might practice 12hrs a day but he's not shy of the burger van...

  22. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    A) Chalobah, Foden, DCL + 0.6
    B) Cash, Cherki, Watkins + 0.3
    C) Cash, Cherki, DCL + 3.0

    Roefs Dubravka
    Gabriel Tarkowski Nunes XXX Alderete
    Saka Palmer XXX Rogers Trossard
    Haaland XXX Obi

    1. Norco
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Bowen instead of Watkins?

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Nah don't want him

  23. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    What is the best way to get gabriel in please?

    A......semenyo and oreilly to cherki and gabriel - 4

    B.....raya and richards to verbruggen and gabriel - 4.......Andersen 1st sub

    C.....raya and Anderson to verbruggen and gabriel - 4...keep richards for palace good fixture run but no bench this weekend

    Raya
    Oreilly hall andersen (richards rodon)
    Saka foden cunha semenyo Anderson
    Haaland ekiteke (guiu)

    1. BR510
      7 months, 19 days ago

      I think B

    2. The 12th Man
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      A was my exact moves.

      All good options though.

      1. Flynny
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Think I'm with you! Thanks

    3. Yozzer
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      O'Reilly or you will have 4 city players and a forced hand soon

    4. Lost for Wirtz
      7 months, 19 days ago

      A

  24. BR510
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Long term:
    1. Timber and Rodon to Gabriel and Tark (Saka Rice Gab)
    2. Rice and Rodon to Gabriel and Rogers/Gordon (Saka Timber Gab)

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      1

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      1

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Nice

    2. Yozzer
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      That's not too surprising as they are assessing him before the game.

  25. CYN
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Which is better?

    A. Raya and Thiaw
    B. Verbruggen and Timber

    1. MJF
      7 months, 19 days ago

      B because Raya is never gonna be value. Prefer Roefs to Verbruggen, though,

      1. CYN
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        Roefs is financially out of reach for now unfortunately. Only 4.6 left for the keeper if keeping Timber.

  26. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Raya
    Virgil, Gabriel, Hall
    Cunha, Wilson, Foden, Saka, Anderson
    Ekitike, Haaland (c)

    Dubravka, Andersen, Rodon, Guiu

    3ft 0.9 itb

    Any suggestions here? Or just roll?

    1. CYN
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      Roll seems fine

  27. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Verbruggen Dubravka
    Gabriel VVD O'Reilly Lacroix Thiaw
    Foden Wirtz Rice Wilson King
    Haaland Ekitike Thiago

    3FT's + 0.4m

    Rice > Rogers?

    1. TBL
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      would rather keep Rice and move Wirtz

      1. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 19 days ago

        To who?

  28. TBL
    • 4 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    saka or palmer on WC

  29. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 months, 19 days ago

    Van Veen flinched 😯

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 19 days ago

      But not by much...