Spot the Differential
15 January 2026 183 comments
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Our Gameweek 22 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


KAORU MITOMA

  • FPL ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: BOU | ful | EVE | CRY | avl

Facing a Bournemouth side that have desperately struggled away from home in 2025/26, we’re backing Brighton and Hove Albion’s Kaoru Mitoma (£6.1m) to deliver.

The Cherries have conceded 29 goals on the road this season, the most of any team.

They also rank bottom for StatsBomb expected goals conceded (xGC) per 90 minutes in away games:

Brighton, meanwhile, have been in very decent form lately, triumphing 2-0 over Burnley in Gameweek 20, before claiming a crucial point at Manchester City last time out.

They secured their place in the FA Cup fourth round with a 2-1 win against Manchester United, too.

As for Mitoma, he netted the all-important equaliser against Man City, and later struck the post, earning the praise of his manager in the process.

“We all know that he can make a difference in a game, that he can be a game-changer. He is still not 100%, but we need to push him to 100%, we need to get him involved more and more into our game.” – Fabian Hurzeler on Kaoru Mitoma

Fabian Hurzeler’s side also face Fulham, Everton and Crystal Palace over the next four Gameweeks, so Mitoma, whose ownership currently sits at just 1.9%, may be worth considering as a punt, particularly against Bournemouth, with right-back generally considered an area of weakness in Andoni Iraola’s squad.


DAN BALLARD

  • FPL ownership: 2.9%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: CRY | whu | BUR | ars | LIV

It is the set-piece threat of Dan Ballard (£4.6m) that has seen us choose the Sunderland centre-back as our next differential.

The 26-year-old has already successfully scored twice from dead-ball situations in 2025/26.

He’s also had more attempts from set plays than any other Fantasy defender except Pascal Struijk (£4.3m), with 15.

Above: Defenders sorted by set-piece shots (Total) in 2025/26

Crucially, no team has conceded more goals from set plays than Crystal Palace this season.

Macclesfield Town’s Paul Dawson was the latest player to profit, heading in from a free-kick in the FA Cup last weekend. It was the 10th goal from a set-piece that Palace have let in out of the last 12 they have conceded.

“We can’t defend set plays. It is not acceptable, I need to find solutions… it is embarrassing.” – Oliver Glasner

Without a win in nine games across all competitions, Oliver Glasner’s team look vulnerable.

As for Sunderland, they have kept clean sheets in four of their 10 home matches this season, whilst ranking a very respectable eighth for xGC in front of their own fans (12.53).

And with fixtures against West Ham United (a) and Burnley (h) to follow, as well as Fulham (h) in Gameweek 27, there’s much to like about Ballard, who has banked 16 defensive contribution (DefCon) points in 2025/26.


HARVEY BARNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: wol | AVL | liv | BRE | tot

A ‘proceed with caution’ pick due to his long-term rotation risk status, Harvey Barnes (£6.1m) nevertheless looks like a very solid differential in Gameweek 22.

The in-form winger was benched in midweek, but now appears poised for a start against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday.

Even more so with Jacob Murphy (£6.0m) exiting the Carabao Cup encounter with a hamstring issue.

Barnes, who before Tuesday night had netted four goals in his last two matches against Leeds United and Bournemouth, leads all Newcastle United midfielders for minutes per shot in the box this season (45.9).

He is also Newcastle’s leading goalscorer across all competitions, having netted 11 times.

“It’s a brilliant return from someone who has always had the ability to score, always been a very, very good finisher, we see that in training consistently. It’s just great to see him getting the rewards on a game day.

“His two goals today were excellent and really pleasing for me because one comes off one side, one comes off the other, so he’s showing versatility.” – Eddie Howe on Harvey Barnes after Newcastle’s win over Bournemouth in the FA Cup

Sitting in just 1.4% of FPL squads, it suggests Barnes can provide a short-term solution in the mid-price bracket.

First up is Wolves, who, while showing recent signs of improvement under Rob Edwards, have still kept just one clean sheet all season.

Then it’s Aston Villa at St James’ Park, at which point Barnes could potentially be moved on for someone like Enzo Fernandez (£6.4m), when we’ll hopefully know a bit more about where Liam Rosenior plans to deploy him.


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  1. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    1 hour, 49 mins ago

    Enzo or Rice?

    1. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 hour, 39 mins ago

      Enzo may be brightest over the short term but hard to back against Rice

    2. The Hunt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 hour, 38 mins ago

      Orzo or Rice?

    3. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 hour, 30 mins ago

      Rice

    4. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      1 hour, 1 min ago

      Rice without doubt

    5. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      just now

      Rice.

  2. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    1 hour, 49 mins ago

    Bowen to
    a) Thiago
    b) DCL
    c) Woltemade

    Any ideas would be appreciated

    1. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 hour, 40 mins ago

      Between A and B for me

    2. Ray85
      • 8 Years
      1 hour, 29 mins ago

      Thiago

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      1 hour ago

      I fancy a well rested Thiago against tired legs

    4. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      just now

      A

  3. mixology
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 hour, 48 mins ago

    Hi all - toying with an early WC and Bench Boost 23

    Worth a BB in 23? (listing all players so folks don't say "that's not your actual bench!"

    1. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 hour, 40 mins ago

      Whoops!

      Roefs (whu)
      Kelleher (NOT)

      Romero (bur)
      VDV (bur)
      Gabriel (MUN)
      Timber (MUN)
      Ballard (whu)

      Rogers (new)
      Bruno G (AVL)
      Rice (MUN)
      Wilson (BRI)
      Foden (WOL)

      DCL (eve)
      Thiago (NOT)
      Haaland (WOL)

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 hour, 11 mins ago

        You wouldn’t really wildcard with double Spurs defence, would you???

        1. mixology
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          1 hour, 4 mins ago

          Yes! For next 2 fixtures. This is the upside WC24 isn’t getting. Easy switch to a Chelsea defender in 24

  4. Yes Ndidi
    • 6 Years
    1 hour, 43 mins ago

    Pickford
    Gabriel O'Reilly Van Hecke (VDB Keane)

    Keane to Alderete was to be next week's move (Cunha > Enzo this week)

    No other fires to fight. Am I safe to run with the above defence, or should I do the Keane > Alderete switch this week to be sure. Benching Cunha anyway.

    TY

    ps Will Alderete even still be nailed when Reinildo returns?

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      just now

      Yes and yes.

  5. hawkeyes
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 39 mins ago

    1FT, please pick
    A) Enzo
    B) Tavernier

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      1 hour, 18 mins ago

      A

    2. dragen5
      • 7 Years
      1 hour, 17 mins ago

      Context?
      If none, then A

      1. hawkeyes
        • 11 Years
        8 mins ago

        My mid is:

        Saka, Foden, Wilson. Grealish, Paqueta

        So it is either:
        A) Enzo for Grealish
        B) Tavernier for Paqueta

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      59 mins ago

      A

    4. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      just now

      A

  6. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 36 mins ago

    Rice, Foden, Wilson, Rogers, Cunha. Bench one?

    1. Wolfman180

    2. hawkeyes
      • 11 Years
      30 mins ago

      Cunha

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      11 mins ago

      Cunha and I'm a United fan

      1. Wolfman180
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 mins ago

        I just know that everyone will bench him and he'll inevitably score. Makes me want to play him but I cant justify it over any of the others

        1. Just think about all the points he already owes you, and will never be able to repay!

  7. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    1 hour, 35 mins ago

    Who is more important in team dalot or alderete?

    1. hawkeyes
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 20 mins ago

      Alderete

    2. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 mins ago

      Alderete.

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 7 mins ago

      If theres one thing Ive learned from playing this game for years, its to not change your decision right before the deadline because of some random stat like this.

  8. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 hour, 34 mins ago

    Thoughts on Foden to Bruno G? (got Semenyo)

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 26 mins ago

      If you want Bruno G I would

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      1 hour, 24 mins ago

      I think Bruno G’s best days are behind him now. I’m looking to hop off, either this week or next.

      1. dragen5
        • 7 Years
        1 hour, 22 mins ago

        I disagree. For Bruno G, I think what you've seen is just the beginning.

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          1 hour, 9 mins ago

          I’ve always liked him and will be keeping, as I’ve said. I consider this the end of the matter!

    3. estheblessed
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 17 mins ago

      Foden at home to United could do something... But equally Bruno is on a good run. He seems to create a lot and gets the odd goal. He's definitely more consistent in the long run.

    4. CelticBhoy1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 hour, 13 mins ago

      Bruno is 1.5 cheaper, could def upgrade elsewhere. Plus Foden way more rotation risk too

    5. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      1 hour, 2 mins ago

      Foden always scores against United

  9. estheblessed
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 21 mins ago

    a) Cunha to Wirtz?
    b) Play Wilson and roll?

    1. AD105
      • 9 Years
      1 hour, 15 mins ago

      B

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      1 hour, 7 mins ago

      Really hard to ignore that Burnley fixture.

    3. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 mins ago

      A

  10. AD105
    • 9 Years
    1 hour, 19 mins ago

    Have 2 FT, 0.9 ITB and planning to WC in 24 - what would you do this week if anything?

    Raya
    Timber VVD Alderete
    Rice Cherki Foden Wilson Cunha
    Haaland Ekitike

    Dubravka Andersen Tarkowski Guiu

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      1 hour, 4 mins ago

      Cunha to Liverpool player.

      1. AD105
        • 9 Years
        1 hour, 3 mins ago

        I am flirting with Wirtz

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          1 hour, 2 mins ago

          Flirtz away!

  11. Assisting the assister
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 15 mins ago

    People still with Wolte - hold for Wolves or just get DCL?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      1 hour, 7 mins ago

      Latter

    2. Saka Punch
      • 7 Years
      1 hour, 4 mins ago

      I've made the move. Could get punished of course, but the rotation risk is too annoying and he's not in great form anyway

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      1 hour, 4 mins ago

      Surely you play him this week

      1. Saka Punch
        • 7 Years
        1 hour, 2 mins ago

        Could easily be Wissa starting again

  12. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    1 hour, 8 mins ago

    Hey fam! Planning to do Saka & Bowen to Rice & Thiago for free. Will have 3.5 ITB to get Bruno or Enzo very soon. GTG?

    Roefs
    Gabriel Timber Konsa
    Rice Rogers Guimaraes Stach
    Haaland Ekitike(C) Thiago

    Dubravka Garner Tarkowski Alderete

    Hoping Villa get a CS against Everton at home.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      1 hour, 4 mins ago

      Yep

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 8 Years
        1 hour, 1 min ago

        Cheers Ser

  13. kanuforpresident
    • 3 Years
    1 hour, 5 mins ago

    Keane to

    A) Frimpong
    B) Cash

    1. Saka Punch
      • 7 Years
      59 mins ago

      Frimpong great if wildcarding in 24, otherwise fixtures aren't ideal for next few after Burnley

    2. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      59 mins ago

      Frimpong short term
      Cash long term

    3. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      2 mins ago

      A - live a little.

  14. Zack124
    • 3 Years
    1 hour ago

    A. Cunha & Foden to Semenyo & Bruno for free.
    B. Wait and have 3FT next week

    1. Prob B. Can you not just bin Cunha this week?

    2. Onz
      • 8 Years
      7 mins ago

      B. Roll
      Semenyo and Bruno F ( I assume F not G) can wait.

    3. Dazzler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 mins ago

      B

      1. Zack124
        • 3 Years
        just now

        Thanks all, yes Bruno F. I can bench Cunha this week.

  15. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    54 mins ago

    Current WC is this, im super happy with it.. but only slight doubts i have are with Semenyo as my final and 5th mid, any suggestions? Budget of 8.2m..

    Sanchez
    Gabriel - Tarkowski - Chalobah
    Saka - Rice - Bruno F - Enzo - Semenyo
    DCL - Haaland

    Dubravka - Kroupi - Mukiele - Senesi

    1. Sam (Team Sam)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 min ago

      Very similar to mine. Assuming you mean 0.2?

      Do you definitely want Enzo this week? I've currently gone for Rogers instead while I see what's going on at Chelsea.

      Could you afford it by doing Tarkowski to Guehi?

  16. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    53 mins ago

    Current team, lads. Please:

    Raya
    Gabriel, Chalobah, Cash
    Saka, Cunha, Foden, Rogers, Wilson
    Haaland, Thiago

    Dúbravka / Mukiele, Heaven, Guiu

    £1.8m in the bank. 1 FT.

    A. Saka to Rice
    B. Cunha to Bruno G.
    C. Cunha to Enzo
    D. Saka to Rice, Cunha to Palmer for a hit
    E. Roll

    1. Onz
      • 8 Years
      46 mins ago

      E roll.

    2. Dazzler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      41 mins ago

      B

    3. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 min ago

      E

  17. Sir Michael Taker
    • 11 Years
    47 mins ago

    Interesting looking at the clean projections for the next 6 and basically everyone other than Arsenal are projected somewhere between 0.9 for Wolves up to 2.1 for Chelsea. Good luck picking a defence on wildcard because the projections have them all pretty much the same bar Arsenal. Coin flip territory

  18. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    45 mins ago

    Evening folks. 1 FT 🙂

    Raya
    Gabriel VVD Thiaw
    Foden Cunha Rice Bruno G Szoboszlai
    Haaland Ekitike
    Dubravka // Alderete Guiu Keane*

    Bench a bit weak thanks to Keane but just going to let him rot.

    A) Cunha > Enzo
    B) Cunha > Bruno F
    C) Roll FT
    D) Other

    In GW24 Szoboszlai will become whichever of Enzo/Bruno F I haven't already got.

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      4 mins ago

      B

    2. Dwotle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 min ago

      A

  19. Gatsby
    • 15 Years
    41 mins ago

    Need some advice on this team, not quite sure what to do.

    Vicario

    Gabriel, Timber, Senesi

    Wilson, Rogers, Rice, Foden

    Woltemade, Bowen, Haaland (c).

    Subs: Dubravka, Cherki, Andersen, Estève

    have 1.7m in the bank and 1 free transfer.

    any ideas - play as is and roll or what would you change?

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      9 mins ago

      Vicario, wow! Looking at your team is a little bit looking at a time capsule, haha.

      Cherki bench could be iffy. Rolling would be useful so you can restructure a bit, might need the FTs for Chelsea/Bruno soon. Wouldn't really have Bowne or Wolt in my team personally.

      1. Gatsby
        • 15 Years
        2 mins ago

        Thanks for the reply.

        Yeah vicario has just stayed there as i didnt want to use a transfer on him haha.

        Cherki on the bench but who would u replace him?

        Yeah think i will roll and figure out the enzo/bruno situation next week.

        Thanks!

  20. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    40 mins ago

    Probably there’s no sudden rush to use FT for Saka to Rice or even two for Timber to Rice?
    Then I’m looking at Enzo, Rogers or BrunoG next two fixtures and they don’t feel that exciting.
    Maybe go Cunha to Wirtz for now?

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      10 mins ago

      He keeps doing the business somehow for me but would rule out Bruno G as good run ending.

      Enzo good next 6 on paper I suppose. Question marks on role, but again was one of our better players vs. ARS. Rogers probably is a better longer term hold, albeit meh xG.

      Agree there's not a rush on the Arsenal switch really. Pot luck. Swap around when convenient?

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        1 min ago

        Could keep Saka and drop him if we see limited minutes again, that’s probably my idea right now.

  21. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    29 mins ago

    Can I get some advice here please?

    Roefs
    Dorgu / Gabriel / Mukiele
    Foden / Rice / Rogers / Wilson
    Haaland / Thiago / Ekitike

    Bench: Dubravka, Gordon, Rodon, Keane*

    A. Keane to Cash?
    B. Keane to Timber?
    C. Gordon to Saka
    D. Any other suggestions!

    1FT 3.5 itb

    1. OLB
      • 10 Years
      just now

      Keane to Richards now he’s fit again ?

  22. OLB
    • 10 Years
    14 mins ago

    Need some help / advice here pls :
    Thiago and Wirtz. ( current ) or swap to Semenyo and Watkins for free
    Or Bruno G to Enzo for free
    Or do both or leave as is?

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      4 mins ago

      Leave as is.

      1. OLB
        • 10 Years
        2 mins ago

        Cheers

  23. hawkeyes
    • 11 Years
    5 mins ago

    Pick 1 to start please:
    A) Guehi
    B) Rodon
    C) Van Hecke

    My other 2 defenders are Gabriel and Timber

    1. The Iceman
      • 3 Years
      1 min ago

      C

    2. OLB
      • 10 Years
      just now

      A

  24. The Iceman
    • 3 Years
    2 mins ago

    Which combo is better if on WC?

    A) Saka & Semenyo
    B) Bruno F. & Wirtz