Spot the Differential
27 February 2026 266 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Our Gameweek 28 Spot the Differential column puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Bournemouth and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.


KEVIN SCHADE

­­­FPL Gameweek 2 differentials: Gordon, Schade + Diarra 3

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: bur | bou | WOL | lee | EVE

While he has only managed two assists in seven appearances since the turn of the year, Kevin Schade (£6.9m) could be a fine differential option given Brentford’s favourable upcoming schedule.

Keith Andrews’ men travel to Turf Moor on Saturday to take on Burnley, a side that has conceded more goals than any other team except Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweeks 19-27.   

Plenty of left-sided attackers, like Crysencio Summerville (£5.7m) and Chemsdine Talbi (£4.9m), have exposed the Burnley defence in that period, and we reckon that Schade should be capable of enjoying similar success.

Above: Burnley’s goals conceded map in Gameweeks 19-27

While Schade has largely underwhelmed in 2026, partly due to his three-match suspension for his red card at Villa Park, he has racked up six goals and four assists this season.

He also ranks favourably (just!) when compared to Dango Ouattara (£5.9m).

PlayerPriceMins per shotMins per shot in boxMins per pen box touchMins per chance createdMins per cross
Schade£6.9m46.347.518.183.0126.5
Ouattara£5.9m46.553.119.1106.024.0

In truth, facing off against Burnley, both Schade and Ouattara look like very decent options, while the longer-term fixture outlook also looks pretty favourable for Brentford.

Back after suspension in Gameweeks 25-26 (he featured for the second-half against Brighton and Hove Albion last time out, but we think he could return to the starting XI on Saturday), Schade has the type of upside that looks ideal for those managers looking to make up lost ground in mini-leagues.


ALEX SCOTT

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: SUN | BRE | bur | MUN | ars

For those Fantasy managers who really want to roll the dice, Alex Scott (£5.0m) could be a player to back this week.

The budget midfielder certainly carries some potential, given the raft of injuries suffered by Sunderland recently.

Notably, Scott has produced seven shots and three chances created over his last four matches, as well as racking up 55 defensive contributions (DefCon), the most of any Bournemouth player in any position.

Discussing his recent form, he said:

“I think all season I have been at a decent level. I started pretty strong, I think there were a few games where my levels dropped, but I’m back to my best. I’m definitely in the form of my life.

“I feel really good and I can probably play 90 minutes most weeks now. Defensively, I have definitely improved and I’m trying to make the box to score goals and create chances a lot more.

“It’s a tough role to do, any of those three positions in midfield. It’s very demanding physically in games, the way we press and jump the opposition. It’s good to have fresh legs on the bench. For me personally, it’s good to have such competition because it helps me stay on my A game.” – Alex Scott

With his DefCon potential, plus the fact that he’s completed 90 minutes in seven consecutive league games, Scott could potentially outscore fellow Bournemouth midfielders Rayan (£5.6m), Amine Adli (£5.4m) and Marcus Tavernier (£5.3m) over the next two Gameweeks, particularly given the tight Saturday-Tuesday turnaround.

Gameweek 28 opponents Sunderland have conceded nine goals in their last three away matches, so Bournemouth have to be fancied to find the back of the net.

In addition, Andoni Iraola’s troops also face Brentford and Burnley soon, so Scott, who is owned by only 1.2% of Fantasy squads, could certainly offer a bit of value at just £5.0m.


DIOGO DALOT

  • FPL ownership: 4.8%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW28-32 fixtures: CRY | new | AVL | bou | LEE

Manchester United have had one of the Premier League’s best defences since the appointment of Michael Carrick.

Over the last six Gameweeks, no side has kept more clean sheets than their three, while their 5.81 expected goals conceded (xGC) tally is only bettered by Arsenal.

Diogo Dalot (£4.5m) is consequently worth a look for those Fantasy managers in the market for a new defender.

Across the last six matches, the Portuguese full-back has combined six shots with five chances created.

He’s often in the mix for bonus, too, having picked up extra points in two of United’s three clean sheets under Carrick.

The Red Devils face Crystal Palace at Old Trafford in Gameweek 28. Oliver Glasner’s side have struggled in attack this season, having found the net only 12 times in 14 league matches since the start of December.

Quite a few goals have been created from their left in that period, too, which could be good news for Dalot down the right flank on Sunday.

Above: Crystal Palace’s chances created conceded map (assists in green) in Gameweeks 14-27.

Importantly, Dalot has started every match under Carrick so far, and with his various routes to points, could be a nice differential pick-up with an ownership of just 4.8%.

price change predictions
266 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Tcheco
    • 8 Years
    10 days, 4 hours ago

    Hello!

    Wilson or Mbeumo?

    1. z13
        10 days, 4 hours ago

        Mbeumo

      • PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        10 days, 4 hours ago

        Wilson

      • Stimps
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 days, 4 hours ago

        Wilson for the run in

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 days, 4 hours ago

      Saka limping off every week making me delay my transfers to the last minute and losing value. Arteta usually provides no update on him then to make the uncertainty worse

      1. z13
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          Do you still have Saka? For me next season I've made up my mind to try and give price changes a higher priority, and risk it. The chances I get an injury post-transfer more than once in a season is quite low, I feel. I missed out on hauls several times this year by 0.1 or 0.2

          1. FPL Blow-In
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            10 days, 3 hours ago

            Yeah, I tried change the way I play this year a little bit and not focus on the prices, particularly because we didn’t need to accommodate both Salah and Haaland and as there are such good value picks it didn’t seem as important. Due to this, I’ve been much more patient with players and held them for far too long. In years gone by that would have worked wonders however this year it’s been worse!

            1. Fifa las vegas
              • 13 Years
              10 days, 3 hours ago

              Patience has paid off in some cases this year too though. Thiago weeks ago and O’Reilly recently!

      2. The-Red-1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        10 days, 4 hours ago

        Anyone think it's mad putting the armband on Thiago rather than Bruno or Haaland? I'm pretty sure the rest of my league will go Haaland or Bruno (I'm chasing)

        1. z13
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Similar position, going Ekitike

          • Tcheco
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Captaincy is split anyway so you might as well

          • PascalCygan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Any of those three are good options

          • Rednev1983
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            10 days, 3 hours ago

            If chasing then he's a great choice.

        2. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          Would you start?
          A) Munoz (mnu away)
          B) Andersen (Spurs home)

          I’ve got Bruno F and Mbeumo, so would be counting on attacking return from Munoz, where Andersen likelier to hit defcon

          1. Tcheco
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            You said it yourself

            1. PascalCygan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              10 days, 4 hours ago

              Ha, thanks

        3. Freshy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          Sanchez-Dubravka
          Gabriel-Timber-Guéhi-Cash-Hill
          Palmer-BrunoF-Semenyo-Rogers-Wilson
          Haaland-Pedro-Thaigo

          Ya like any of these

          A - Sanchez to Roelfs
          B - Timber to VVD
          C - Get high and watch the tube

          1. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            C

          2. PascalCygan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            C

          3. Jackali Quanthavers
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            10 days, 3 hours ago

            C

          4. Hotdogs
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 days, 3 hours ago

            B

            ...but also C

          5. Rednev1983
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            10 days, 3 hours ago

            B, good fixtures/form. People are dumping Timber for VVD. Ad his ownership rises & if he continues to do well his effective ownership could hurt your rank. That or just get high mate.

        4. jpb333
          • 11 Years
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          Help with benching headache. One of these must miss out, but which one?

          Hill (SUN)

          Thiaw (EVE)

          Rice (CHE)

          Wilson (TOT)

          1. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Thiaw

          2. Tcheco
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Thiaw

          3. JBG
            • 7 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Thiaw

          4. Stimps
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Hill

          5. jpb333
            • 11 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Thanks all. I'm surprised with your responses. As an Everton fan i don't fancy us to get much against Newcastle. I was reluctantly leaning towards benching Rice

          6. it lies in the proles
            • 9 Years
            10 days, 2 hours ago

            Rice

        5. Slurpy
          • 10 Years
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          j.pedro or strand Larsen to Thiago?

          1. Tcheco
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            I wouldn’t lose the most in form striker in FPL just yet

          2. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Strand

          3. Josh.E
            • 4 Years
            10 days, 3 hours ago

            Larsen

        6. Stimps
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          Play Raya or Dubravka?

          Have Gabriel

          1. Tcheco
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Raya

          2. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Raya

          3. citizenkane
            • 7 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Raya

          4. RealSocialDads
            • 9 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Raya

          5. Stimps
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Dubravka it is

            1. Tcheco
              • 8 Years
              10 days, 4 hours ago

              😀

        7. citizenkane
          • 7 Years
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          Start Roefs or Dubravka?

          1. RealSocialDads
            • 9 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Roefs

          2. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            I would, yes

        8. RealSocialDads
          • 9 Years
          10 days, 4 hours ago

          Captain if chasing:

          A. Haaland
          B. Semenyo

          Start:

          A. Kroupi (SUN)
          B. KDH (new)

          1. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            AA

          2. z13
              10 days, 3 hours ago

              AA

            • it lies in the proles
              • 9 Years
              10 days, 2 hours ago

              BA

          3. UTFB
            • 8 Years
            10 days, 4 hours ago

            Would you go -

            1. Sanchez (ars)

            2. Dubravka (BRE)

            1. z13
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                going 1, as I have Brentford attackers. If Chelsea pull out a clean sheet it's an 11 pointer for him

              • Feed tha Sheep
                • 13 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                I’m going 2

            2. JBG
              • 7 Years
              10 days, 4 hours ago

              Would you do Timber or Gudmondssen to O'Reilly/VVD for a -4? And start over Timber?
              Have Gabriel and Rice

            3. RogueBlood
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              10 days, 4 hours ago

              4FT 1.3ITB What changes would you make here?

              Verbruggen
              Gabriel, Timber, Guehi, Senesi, Andersen
              Semenyo, Fernandes, Rice, Mbeumo
              Haaland

              Dubravka, DCL, Enzo, Mane

              1. JBG
                • 7 Years
                10 days, 4 hours ago

                I'd do Timber to VVD/OReilly(whoever you prefer) and upgrade Mane or DCL, Šeško could be a great differential, on fire atm.

                1. JBG
                  • 7 Years
                  10 days, 4 hours ago

                  Or Thiago if you can afford him

              2. Freshy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                10 days, 4 hours ago

                do you like Timber to VVD

            4. Skout
              • 6 Years
              10 days, 4 hours ago

              Roll or any changes recommended? 2 FT, 0.9itb

              Petrovic
              Gabriel Timber Thiaw
              Palmer Bruno Semenyo Wilson
              Haaland Pedro Thiago

              Dubravka Stach Reinildo Rodon

              1. tmstrand
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Roll

            5. mad_beer ✅
              • 11 Years
              10 days, 4 hours ago

              Benching headace. Bench one:

              1. Wilson
              2. Dalot

              1. GC123
                • 4 Years
                10 days, 4 hours ago

                Dalot

              2. tmstrand
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                2

              3. The Road to Turfdom
                • 9 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                2

            6. BoroPhil
              • 4 Years
              10 days, 4 hours ago

              Would you play Kroupi/Rodon or Enzo/Alderete?

            7. Hazardous1983
              • 15 Years
              10 days, 3 hours ago

              Start enzo mande or guehi

            8. Taegugk Warrior
              • 7 Years
              10 days, 3 hours ago

              A. Szobo + Thiago
              B. Dango + Ekitike

              1. Feed tha Sheep
                • 13 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                A

              2. tmstrand
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                B

              3. The Road to Turfdom
                • 9 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                B

            9. Feed tha Sheep
              • 13 Years
              10 days, 3 hours ago

              Which is better this week please?

              A. Rice > Dango (bench Kropi)
              B. Save and play Kropi and bench Rice

              1. tmstrand
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                I'd probably go A

              2. Jordan17
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  I'm tossing up the same but currently benching rice and playing kroupi

                • Ray85
                  • 8 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  B

              3. tmstrand
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Brobbey + Rice > Wilson + Raul

                Yay or nay?

                (Medium-term; until BGW31 is over and done with)

              4. JabbaWookiee
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Raya
                Gabriel - Hill - Alderete
                Mbeumo - Wilson - B.Fernandes - Semenyo
                Haaland - Thiago - João Pedro

                Subs: Dubravka / Enzo / Chalobah / Esteve
                £2.6m itb. 1FT.

                Which one?
                (A) Enzo to DANGO, bench Pedro
                (B) Esteve to VVD, bench Alderete
                (C) Save the FT

                1. tmstrand
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  C

              5. Henning
                • 11 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Rice to Dango for free?

                1. Ray85
                  • 8 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  Yes

                2. The Road to Turfdom
                  • 9 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  Yep

              6. Ray85
                • 8 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                JP to Thiago for a hit?

                1. The Road to Turfdom
                  • 9 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  Not for me

                  1. Ray85
                    • 8 Years
                    10 days, 3 hours ago

                    Would you play JP v Arsenal? Originally had him benched but Wirtz injured screwed me.

                    1. The Road to Turfdom
                      • 9 Years
                      10 days, 3 hours ago

                      Honestly yeah I’d just play him

              7. Jinswick
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Whatcha reckon? Currently have 6 x GW31 blankers, so short on FT unless FH31.

                A) Palmer -> Bruno
                B) Richards & Palmer -> Thiaw & Bruno (-4) [removes an extra 31 blanker and bench Alderete (bou) this week]
                C) Save FT

                Verbruggen
                Gabriel, Guehi, Alderete
                Palmer, Semenyo, Rice, Wilson
                Haaland, Ekitike, Thiago

                Dubravka, Stach, Richards, Keane
                Bank 0.0m, 1FT, all chips

                1. The Road to Turfdom
                  • 9 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  A

              8. The Road to Turfdom
                • 9 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Wirtz to Wilson (or Semenyo/Rayan) worth -4? Otherwise playing Tark

                1. Ray85
                  • 8 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  Same dilemma! Wirtz might be back next week?

                  1. The Road to Turfdom
                    • 9 Years
                    10 days, 3 hours ago

                    Seems a bit… indeterminate?

                    1. Ray85
                      • 8 Years
                      10 days, 3 hours ago

                      Yeah but given the fixture list he has, worth keeping him and benching for at least a game?

              9. joeynse99
                • 10 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Good to go? 1FT 0.1m ITB

                Dubravka

                Gabriel, Hill, Cash, Andersen

                Mbuemo, Palmer, Fernandes (C)

                Haaland, Thiago, Evanilson

                Subs; Sanchez, Enzo, Zubimendi, Mukiele

                Any changes?

                1. The Road to Turfdom
                  • 9 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  Looks good , I’d be tempted to play Enzo over cash or and but close

                  1. joeynse99
                    • 10 Years
                    10 days, 3 hours ago

                    Cheers pal interesting thoughts

              10. GINI MINI MANE MO
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                JP to Etikite or Enzo to Szob

              11. FPLMACKEM
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Raya
                Virgil, Gabriel, Chalobah,
                Enzo, Bruno (c), Semenyo, Anderson, Wilson
                Ekitike, Haaland

                Dubravka, Andersen, Munoz, Guiu
                5ft 1.5 itb

                A Guiu and Chalobah to Thiago and Hill (Start Anderson)
                B Guiu, Chalobah and Enzo to Thiago, Hill and Dango (bench Anderson)

                1. jonnybhoy
                  • 13 Years
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  B

              12. jonnybhoy
                • 13 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Start one

                A) Sanchez (ARS A)
                B) Dubravka (BRE H)

              13. FPL Blow-In
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                10 days, 3 hours ago

                Brentford and Villa let me down big time last gw. Cash, Rogers and Watkins tonight better show up. Thiago and Kelleher tomorrow too

                1. FOREST FOREVER 2
                  • 1 Year
                  10 days, 3 hours ago

                  GL. I have only got Rogers and Thiaogo of those. Kayode in the bench.