Spot the Differential
15 May 2026 405 comments
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Our Gameweek 37 differentials column puts the spotlight on three low-owned players.

This time, we’ve selected assets from Everton, Brentford and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.

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BETO

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SUN | tot

A favourable home fixture against Sunderland has seen us plump for Everton forward Beto (£5.0m) as our headline differential.

Crucially, the Toffees can still finish as high as sixth, and need to win in order to maintain their hopes of European qualification.

Beto has found the net six times in his last eight matches, the most of any forward from Gameweek 28 onwards.

In that time, he has received eight Opta ‘big chances’, and averaged a shot every 31.9 minutes:

Beto’s appeal is further boosted by the fact that Sunderland are third-bottom for StatsBomb expected goals conceded (xGC) in away matches across 2025/26.

The forward could get some joy from crosses into the box, too.

That’s because Regis Le Bris’ men are 18th for headed chances conceded in the last six matches.

While many Fantasy managers are looking to Everton teammate Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.3m) this week, the fifth-most transferred-in player, Beto is going under the radar and could be worth a gamble.


KEANE LEWIS-POTTER

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: CRY | liv

Brentford play host to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 37, so Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) could be worth a punt.

The 25-year-old has impressed for Keith Andrews’ side recently, getting forward at every opportunity from left-back.

Indeed, since returning to the Brentford starting XI in Gameweek 30, he’s supplied two assists in seven matches.

In that time, he ranks second among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI), having received 14 passes in the opposition penalty box.

Above: Defenders sorted by passes received in the opposition penalty box (Pen) in Gameweeks 30-36

Clean sheets are the bread and butter for Fantasy defenders, however, and Brentford have four of those since the start of March, the second-most of any team behind Arsenal.

The goalscoring form of Palace is far from prolific, too, having failed to find the net in each of their last two away matches, with Europe very much the focus for the remainder of the campaign.

Like Everton and a few other clubs, Brentford are locked in a battle for sixth, which may even be enough for UEFA Champions League qualification.

Lewis-Potter, who comes with obvious attacking upside, could subsequently prove a canny acquisition.


HARVEY BARNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: WHU | ful

Following an impressive substitute appearance at the City Ground last week, Harvey Barnes (£6.1m) presents an intriguing differential option.

The winger scored in the 74th minute and has now netted in consecutive Gameweeks, bringing his total for the season to 16 goals across all competitions

His underlying numbers further illustrate his impact.

Barnes is averaging a shot every 35.9 minutes in 2025/26, the fastest rate of any Newcastle player.

On home turf, it’s even better (27.8 minutes per shot).

With Anthony Gordon (£7.3m) seemingly out of the picture, Barnes looks like he’s in the frame to start in Gameweek 37.

Speaking last week, Eddie Howe said:

“He is such a good player and he has goals in him. He has done well for us historically, off the bench. He has done well when he’s started too and he’s an outstanding player. He took his goal well and that gives Harvey a great chance to start the next game.” – Eddie Howe on Harvey Barnes

Barnes’ match-up with West Ham United on Sunday looks favourable.

Instead of merely relying on a draw, the Hammers will likely try to come out and beat Newcastle, so Barnes, who has an ownership of just 1.1%, could have a field day if the match becomes more dynamic.

A favourable fixture follows, too, with a trip to Fulham on the final day.

It all bodes well for Barnes, whose pace and goal threat could cause plenty of problems for both opponents.

There’s an obvious risk involved with Newcastle stocked with wide options, but Barnes could hold the upper hand given his recent output.

At least we know that when Barnes gets on the pitch, he’s more than capable of finding the net, as shown in Gameweeks 35 and 36.


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  1. RealSocialDads
    • 9 Years
    8 hours, 13 mins ago

    1 defender under 4.9 for this GW only? Bonus if good game in 38 but not a necessity.

    A. Van Hecke / Kadioglu (lee)
    B. Mavraponos (new)
    C. Thiaw (WHU)

    1. Keane There Dunne That
      • 13 Years
      8 hours, 10 mins ago

      Keane / Lewis Potter

      1. RealSocialDads
        • 9 Years
        8 hours, 10 mins ago

        Already have them both! Meant to say

  2. Udogie-style
    • 2 Years
    8 hours, 12 mins ago

    Please bench one:
    Welbeck
    KDH
    Hinshelwood
    J. Pedro

    Cheers

    1. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      8 hours, 1 min ago

      One of H or Jp

  3. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 hours, 11 mins ago

    Play two:

    1) Hinselwood
    2) Pedro
    3) Semenyo

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 9 mins ago

      1 and 2

  4. Keane There Dunne That
    • 13 Years
    8 hours, 11 mins ago

    A) Van Hecke -> Keane (Start Verbuggen)
    B) Save FT (Start Darlow + Van Hecke)

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 9 mins ago

      A

  5. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    8 hours, 11 mins ago

    A) Tavernier to KDH and bench DCL
    B) DCL to Beto

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 7 mins ago

      A

  6. Sun God Nika
    • 5 Years
    8 hours, 11 mins ago

    Would you go (3FTs)

    A) Thiago Trossard Dewsbury
    OR
    B) Thiago Trossard Bruno G

    Was thinking of the boring route of Saka Gyko Bruno G but feels abit generic

  7. Visionaries
    • 9 Years
    8 hours, 9 mins ago

    What would you do?
    Leading ML by 30 pts, rival has 4 FT and no Arsenal defenders..

    A VVD > Lewis-Skelly/Mosq -4
    B Play VVD (villa,& Brentford next 2)

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 8 mins ago

      B

    2. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 hours, 6 mins ago

      B

  8. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 hours, 9 mins ago

    Another round:

    1. BrunoG

    2. Hinshelwood

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 8 mins ago

      2

    2. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      8 hours, 7 mins ago

      1

  9. WibblesTeam
    • 8 Years
    8 hours, 8 mins ago

    Eze to Trossard for -4?

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 8 mins ago

      no

    2. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      8 hours, 8 mins ago

      depends what you're trying to achieve at this stage

      1. WibblesTeam
        • 8 Years
        8 hours, 6 mins ago

        Just win a minileague cup semi final H2H

        1. No Professionals
          • 8 Years
          8 hours, 4 mins ago

          depends on their team etc, but at this stage, just do whatever feels fun.

  10. No Professionals
    • 8 Years
    8 hours, 8 mins ago

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel O'Reilly Senesi
    Saka Bruno Semenyo Gross
    Haaland DCL Welbeck

    Darlow Strujk Hill Tavernier
    4.2m 2ft 6k OR

    a) DCL to Gyokeres and roll 1FT
    b) Senesi to Saliba and roll 1FT
    c) Senesi and DCL to Saliba and Thiago

    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 hours, 7 mins ago

      C

  11. Haul or Nothing
    • 6 Years
    8 hours, 7 mins ago

    Play

    A: Wilson (wol)
    B: Welbeck (lee)

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      8 hours, 7 mins ago

      B

    2. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 hours, 7 mins ago

      B

    3. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      8 hours, 4 mins ago

      B

    4. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 1 min ago

      Thanks all. Was on Wilson

  12. Lightbody
    • 16 Years
    8 hours, 7 mins ago

    If you had MGW but a weak three on the bench as well, would you hold and roll the FT for GW38, or sell for Harry Wilson/Szoboszlai?

    1. Haul or Nothing
      • 6 Years
      8 hours, 2 mins ago

      Sell.

      I moved him and Sarr on for KDH and Saka

  13. Skout
    • 6 Years
    8 hours, 5 mins ago

    A) Tavernier to KDH
    Or
    B) Welbeck to Thiago
    And why?

    1. R Whites
      • 10 Years
      8 hours, 1 min ago

      A. Bigger swing

  14. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    8 hours, 5 mins ago

    Hi guys what to do? 1FT 1.7ITB

    Verbruggen
    Van Hecke O'Reilly Gabriel
    Semenyo Saka Bruno F Gross
    DCL Haaland J Pedro

    Darlow Senesi Tavernier Struijk

    A) J Pedro to Gyokores
    B) Verbruggen to Raya
    C) Something else

    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 59 mins ago

      Struijk to Califiori?

  15. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 hours, 4 mins ago

    Bring in KDH or Saliba? (Have Gabriel). Which is better upside?

    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 hours, 3 mins ago

      KDH has higher ceiling but lower floor so if it is upside you want, go for him.

      1. R Whites
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 59 mins ago

        Same issue. Leaning to Saliba for safety, but like the potential upside of kdh

  16. scarlet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 hours, 4 mins ago

    Want to bring in a second Arsenal defender so shall I:

    A) Go safe and pick Saliba or
    B) Chase upside and go Califiori

    I am leading my cash mini league by 2pts, if that influences your choice.

  17. Manani
    • 14 Years
    8 hours, 3 mins ago

    would you sell any of these for KDH? (BB this week)

    Saka Rogers Cherki Gros Enzo

    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 hours, 2 mins ago

      Rogers

  18. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    8 hours, 1 min ago

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Van Hecke, O'Reilly
    Saka(c), Bruno, Gross, Cherki
    Haaland, DCL, Pedro

    Darlo, Hill, Tavernier, Struijk

    3ft 4.2itb

    2k rank

    Who would you prioritise for transfers here? Im only planning to use two transfers

  19. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 hours, 1 min ago

    Arsenal don't need Saka for burnley, 45 mins max most likely if any minutes? Thinking Trossard and Madueke to potentially start

    1. threeputt
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 51 mins ago

      not sure, he needs match fitness imo and could tear Burnley to pieces

  20. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    8 hours ago

    To buy Gyökeres, sell:
    A) Pedro
    B) DCL

  21. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    7 hours, 59 mins ago

    Start Welbeck or DCL? Already planing Van Hecke too

    Thanks

    1. R Whites
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 58 mins ago

      welb

    2. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 hours, 58 mins ago

      Welbeck

    3. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      7 hours, 56 mins ago

      Thanks both of you

  22. Aster
    • 5 Years
    7 hours, 57 mins ago

    Who to sell for Gyokeres?

    1) Welbeck
    2) Jp
    3) Haaland (Chasing)

    Thanks

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 53 mins ago

      Of those, JP.

      But that's because I wouldn't sell Haaland (rank threat & Villa lots of rotation predicted final fixture).

      And I wouldn't sell Welbeck this week due to Leeds injuries.

      But so think Chelsea can sore against both Spurs & Sunderland. The cup final may restrict JP minutes though.

  23. Supersonic_
    • 4 Years
    7 hours, 56 mins ago

    A. Palmer to Saka Captain -4
    B. Pedro to Gykores Captain -4
    C. Neither

    1. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 53 mins ago

      B for minutes

  24. Atters
    • 11 Years
    7 hours, 56 mins ago

    Bench one
    A) Rogers
    B) DCL
    C) Cherki

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 54 mins ago

      A

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 53 mins ago

      B

  25. Jigger & Pony
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 hours, 54 mins ago

    Captain?

    A. Saka
    B. BrunoF

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      7 hours, 54 mins ago

      I'm going A

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 53 mins ago

      Gyok 🙂

      A here

  26. SIMBOBIANTHEIII
      7 hours, 54 mins ago

      Start 1:
      Hill MCI
      Richards bre
      Richarlison che

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 53 mins ago

        Hill

    • Tibbs
      • 15 Years
      7 hours, 54 mins ago

      Stuck, which is best:

      a) Struijk> Tarkowski (or play one of Hill / Truffert)
      b) Tav> KDH (bench one of Welbz/ Grob)

    • RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      7 hours, 54 mins ago

      Bench one?

      A. Bowen (new)
      B. Eze (BUR)
      C. KDH (SUN)
      D. Hinshelwood (lee)
      E. Cherki (bou)

      1. Sid07
        • 11 Years
        7 hours, 53 mins ago

        Kdh

    • Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 54 mins ago

      Eze to Barnes or Casemiro
      and
      Watkins to Gyokeres
      For free?
      Is it worth saving the transfers for the final gameweek?

      1. Flynniesta
        • 11 Years
        7 hours, 53 mins ago

        Ive currently got Watkins 1st sub playing 3-5-2 with DCL playing alongside Haaland

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        7 hours, 52 mins ago

        Very Good Moves. You think Eze doesn’t play? I like Barnes

        1. Flynniesta
          • 11 Years
          7 hours, 46 mins ago

          Unsure about Eze.
          Cheers for the input

    • Sid07
      • 11 Years
      7 hours, 54 mins ago

      1) J pedro to Thiago
      2) struijk to keane
      3) both for 2ft