Spot the Differential
9 October 2026 247 comments
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Names from Ipswich Town, Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa feature in our differentials column this week.

All three players have a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) ownership of 5% or lower.

JULIO ENCISO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: FUL | mci | NFO | hul | BOU

While he has failed to deliver any attacking returns in each of his last three matches, we feel that Julio Enciso (£5.5m) shouldn’t be written off ahead of Saturday’s home encounter with Fulham.

The Paraguayan is only £5.5m in FPL and has an ownership of under 1%.

Although he is yet to score this season, he started the campaign with back-to-back assists against Sunderland and Manchester United.

Enciso has impressively racked up 17 shots over the first five Gameweeks, the joint-fourth most of any FPL midfielder…

With a knack for finding the back of the net from outside the box (11 of his 17 shots have come from distance), Enciso’s ability to create attacks is equally important.

Primarily as a No 10, he’s created six chances for his teammates so far this season.

That could be important, too. Fulham are in the bottom four for key passes conceded from the centre of the pitch in Gameweeks 1-5, with 20.

As for Ipswich Town, they surprisingly rank fourth for open play expected goals (xG), with 7.32.

After they host Fulham, who have conceded more big chances than any other side (20), Gary O’Neil’s men have a pretty decent schedule…

Enciso could warrant consideration as a fourth/fifth midfielder, then.

MURILLO

  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: cry | ARS | ips | bre | MCI

One of the standout defensive contribution (DefCon) performers over the first five Gameweeks, Murillo (£5.5m) could be a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Nottingham Forest centre-back is one of only two FPL defenders to have secured eight DefCon points in 2026/27 so far…

With an average of 10.7 DefCons per 90 minutes, Murillo also carries a bit of goal threat.

He’s had five shots in his last four matches, with four of those attempts from set plays.

Sunday’s opponents, Crystal Palace, have notably conceded 25 attempts from dead-ball situations this season, the fifth-most of any team.

Above: Murillo’s shot map in 2026/27

After five Gameweeks, Nottingham Forest have conceded only 4.77 xG, the second-lowest of any team.

No side in the division can better their tally of only six big chances conceded, either.

Oliver Glasner’s men will subsequently be optimistic about securing away clean sheets at Palace and Ipswich Town over the next three Gameweeks, given that they tend to perform well on the road.

However, Murillo’s ability to rack up DefCons means he could still return points even in the tougher upcoming fixtures against Arsenal, Brentford and Manchester City.

Certainly, without Europe or the EFL Cup, Murillo should be a nice ‘set-and-forget’ option right through until the end of the year.

JOHAN MANZAMBI

FPL notes: Manzambi haul, Porro injury + goals for Spurs 2

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: BRE | new | MCI | FUL | mun

After an impressive full debut in Aston Villa’s 3-2 win over Tottenham Hotspur prior to the international break, Johan Manzambi (£5.9m) is a differential name to consider.  

The 20-year-old scored and supplied an assist in Gameweek 5, amassing 13 points.

Dovetailing beautifully with Nicolas Jackson (£6.5m), he racked up four shots and two chances created in north London. It offers an exciting glimpse into what Unai Emery could potentially develop with his new group of players.

Above: Aston Villa’s average position map v Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 5, featuring Manzambi (No 44) and Jackson (No 11)

After the match, Emery added…

“Manzambi played a good match, but he does not understand everything that we want in terms of positioning. His qualities go beyond the tactical idea that I want to achieve with him because he is a fantastic player. Sometimes he must feel free to play and exploit his qualities, but always within our structure.” – Unai Emery on Johan Manzambi

It’s clearly early days for Manzambi. However, he now looks likely to keep his starting berth against Brentford, who have conceded in both of their away matches in 2026/27 so far.

Notably, three of the Villans’ next four matches are on home turf, too.

Manzambi’s arrival at Villa Park was greeted with much anticipation after he produced three goals and two assists in four matches for Switzerland at the World Cup.

With his fitness on the rise and another goal for Murat Yakin’s team against North Macedonia over the international break, he certainly looks like a player who could be worth taking a gamble on if you’re looking for a high-impact differential.


247 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. leo_messi
    • 14 Years
    1 hour, 26 mins ago

    Start Egan or Gvardiol??

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 4 mins ago

      Gvardiol

  2. Stimps
    • 13 Years
    1 hour, 24 mins ago

    Ugh, bench one

    A) Konsa (doubt, also have Calafiori, Saka)
    B) De Cuyper
    C) Hall

    1. CRAZY TRAIN
      • 15 Years
      28 mins ago

      Konsa

  3. The Kopites
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 22 mins ago

    A) Szobo, Isak -> Gonzalo, Saka -4
    B) WC
    C) Other?

    Verb
    Konsa Cala Shaw
    GroB King Mbeumo Saka(C)
    Haaland Pedro Gonzalez

    Kinsky/Gvardiol/Semenyo/Hume

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      39 mins ago

      B

    2. Red Generals
      • 5 Years
      just now

      Just swap Isak for Semenyo and play 3-5-2. Alternatively 4-4-2 with Gvardiol. I'm predicting a 2-2 draw and either player has a chance at scoring

  4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 22 mins ago

    Which option:

    A) Tavernier + Kadioglu
    B) Barnes + Affengruber

  5. DagheMunegu
    • 6 Years
    1 hour, 21 mins ago

    A Schade Muha Van Hecke
    B Palmer Thomas Egan

    1. DagheMunegu
      • 6 Years
      1 hour, 21 mins ago

      A Schade Muha Van Hecke Raya
      B Palmer Thomas Egan Verbruggen

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 hour, 17 mins ago

        A

  6. it lies in the proles
    • 9 Years
    1 hour, 21 mins ago

    Play Mitchell, Hume or DCL?

  7. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 hour, 18 mins ago

    Seems like very few price changes tonight too

  8. One for All
    • 8 Years
    1 hour, 16 mins ago

    Verbruggen
    Calafiori, Hall, De Cuyper
    Grob, Gibbs White, Palmer, Odegaard, King
    Pedro, Haaland

    Kinsky, Konsa, Egan, Isak

    1FT

    A) Start Pedro
    B) Isak> Gonzalo

    Thanks

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 hour, 14 mins ago

      A

      1. One for All
        • 8 Years
        1 hour, 12 mins ago

        Thanks

    2. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 hour, 8 mins ago

      Probably A

    3. Red Generals
      • 5 Years
      37 mins ago

      I did Isak->Wissa because Newcastle are playing Coventry and thought why not!

      1. One for All
        • 8 Years
        21 mins ago

        Lol I had Wissa before but sold him on wildcard. He's playing too deep. Not looking good.

  9. Ronnies
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 14 mins ago

    Best option;

    A) Hope Konsa plays, Slater as my first sub in if not.

    B) Isak to Gonzalo as my 1 FT.

    Cheers.

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 hour, 13 mins ago

      B

  10. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 hour, 13 mins ago

    What would you do with Konsa? Bench cover for him is Bogle (ars) and Thomas (NEW) 😀

    1 free transfer in the bank and also some money in the bank for possible replacement

    1. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      20 mins ago

      Thomas not a bad play, 50/50 him or Konsa

    2. Capocannonieri
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 min ago

      Thomas is going to get a 17 pt haul one weekend.

      He is a beast in the air.

  11. sentz05
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 10 mins ago

    2FTs 1m ITB
    A. Tzolis and Ndiaye out for Ode and Barnes
    B. Tzolis out for Ode and play Ndiaye against Liverpool and have him for Ipswich at home next week
    C. Tzolis out for someelse?

  12. mixology
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 hour, 10 mins ago

    All opinions are appreciated!

    Isak out and Konsa flagged not ideal here. Just play Muharemovic and DCL if necessary or use a FT? 1 ITB

    Raya
    Tark, Konsa*, Munoz, Gvardiol
    Saka, Rogers, Palmer, Gross, MGW
    Isak*

    Muharemovic, DCL, Walle Egeli

  13. dshv
    • 9 Years
    1 hour, 9 mins ago

    Play one;

    Tavernier or Gonzalo (have king starting)

  14. Vasshin
    • 7 Years
    1 hour, 6 mins ago

    Currently have

    Konsa, Palmer and Pedro as yellow flagged and on the bench Dom, Mitchell(forest H), Ajahi (everton H)

    Do I need to spend my FT or can save it?

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      7 mins ago

      Palmer and Pedro not yellow flagged these days

  15. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 5 mins ago

    Play one

    A) Konsa* (LEE)
    B) Szoboszlai (MCI)

  16. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 hour, 1 min ago

    Best 4.5 FWD please. Thanks

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      4 mins ago

      FPL_LegoEgeli

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        3 mins ago

        say it fast

        effpee-elegelegeli

        1. Deulofail
          • 10 Years
          2 mins ago

          Now say it slow, and low, and closer to my ear

  17. marpy016
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    59 mins ago

    Raya - 4m
    Calafiori - Gvardiol - Hall - Muharemovic - Davis
    Saka - Rogers - Grob - Schade - Taverner
    Haaland - JP - Garcia

  18. RogueBlood
    • 11 Years
    57 mins ago

    Current WC team 2.1ITB what changes would you's suggest?

    Tzolakis, Verbruggen
    Calafiori, Gvardiol, Hall, Davis, Thomas
    Saka, Gross, Rogers, Schade, King
    Haaland, Kostoulas, Pedro

  19. HODARI
    • 9 Years
    56 mins ago

    Do I have to use WC?

    Verbruggen
    Calafiori Maguire *Konsa
    Bruno MGW Gross *Palmer
    Haaland Barry *JP

    Steele Davis Dasilva Slater
    1 transfer 0.0 itb

    Seems a waste to only upgrade bench and kerp almost

    1. HODARI
      • 9 Years
      55 mins ago

      **keep almost all the starters.

      Thanks

    2. More Tragic
      • 11 Years
      52 mins ago

      No need to wc yet. that XI could do very good this week

  20. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    55 mins ago

    I have decent bench cover.

    A. Keep hold of Isak

    B. Isak > Thiago (Konsa if fit or Thomas would shift to the bench)

  21. tim
    • 17 Years
    52 mins ago

    Verb
    Cala Tark DeCuyper
    Saka Gross Rogers Schade MGW
    Haaland JP

    Kinsky Barry Konsa Thomas

    GTG???

  22. Capocannonieri
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    51 mins ago

    I am benching Szoboslop this weekend.

    So, you other trapped Szoboholders can enjoy a 13 point haul.

    He is a captain option with my benching.

  23. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    51 mins ago

    Would you reckon it's worth using 2 FTs to switch DCL out and get Gross in? Switching to 3-5-2. Still have wildcard.

    Kinsky
    Gvardiol Calafiori Konsa
    Bruno(c) Mbuemo Rogers Szos
    Haaland JP DCL

    Slater Thomas VanEwijk

  24. DagheMunegu
    • 6 Years
    51 mins ago

    On WC

    A Barnes
    B King

    If A

    1 Gvardiol
    2 Muha

    1. DagheMunegu
      • 6 Years
      1 min ago

      If B of course

  25. Under my Cucurella
    • 11 Years
    50 mins ago

    Which WC looks better?

    A
    Verb 4.0
    Cala Hall Affengruber Thomas Davis
    Bruno Saka Rogers Tav Gross
    Haaland Gonzalo Barry
    +0.1ITB

    B
    Raya 4.0
    Cala Hall Vuskovic Affengruber Thomas
    Saka MGW Rogers Gross King
    Haaland Pedro Gonzalo

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 8 Years
      49 mins ago

      Not a fan of either King or Tav tbh. JP is essential though

      1. Under my Cucurella
        • 11 Years
        36 mins ago

        How about this one?

        Raya 4.0
        Cala Hall Silva DC Affengruber
        Saka Rogers Schade Barnes Gross
        Haaland JP Gonzalo
        +0.4ITB

        1. Tony Moon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 17 Years
          14 mins ago

          Prefer your original B. Tav and King both very decent options. Tav has the best underlying stats of any 6m-ish mid, according to a recent article.

  26. Tsparkes10
    • 8 Years
    50 mins ago

    Worth a WC? Only 1FT…

    Lammens
    Cali DeCyup Muham
    Mbeumo Rogers Palmer Schade
    Havertz JPedro Haaland
    (Kinsky, Thomas, Sangare, Van Ej)

  27. Efe Ambrose
    • 10 Years
    49 mins ago

    Start Shade or King?

    Rest of my WC Team (feedback welcome too)
    Leno
    Calafiori Gvardiol Hall
    Saka Gibbs Shade/King Rogers
    Barry Haaland Pedro

    Kinsky, Davis, Konsa

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 8 Years
      49 mins ago

      Schade easy

    2. CRAZY TRAIN
      • 15 Years
      47 mins ago

      Start both and sub Barry

      1. Tony Moon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        11 mins ago

        Agree with this. I'd start King though, then a toss up between Schade (bit hot and cold for me) and Barry (same comment applies, but underlying stats v good).

  28. DJ14
    49 mins ago

    Start JP?

    1. RICICLE
      • 4 Years
      12 mins ago

      For sure, I reckon he starts

  29. Atimis
    • 10 Years
    46 mins ago

    Need help with two dilemmas:

    1. MGW or Mbeumo?

    2. Cherki (bought for 7.5) or someone like Barnes/Tav/Schade, King punt?

    1. Efe Ambrose
      • 10 Years
      1 min ago

      Just for this week? MGW
      I would punt Barnes

  30. JBG
    • 8 Years
    45 mins ago

    https://x.com/norway_fpl/status/2108626550287458404

    "Bruno Fernandes vs Spurs:

    4 goals + 3 assists in 14 appearances.

    He’s never had more than one goal involvement in a single game against them.

    #FPL"