634x258 Spot the Differential
14 August 2015 1071 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual look at a trio of low-ownership Fantasy assets arrives a little earlier than normal, due to this evening’s 6.45 pm deadline. We’re backing a couple of midfielders from Spurs and Sunderland, whilst Villa’s weekend match-winner comes into consideration for their home encounter with United.

Nacer Chadli

Despite tallying an impressive 11 goals and six assists last term, Nacer Chadli (7.0) is currently owned by just 7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, with most preferring Liverpool duo Jordan Henderson (22%) and James Milner (10%) in that price bracket. Given Spurs’ favourable schedule beyond their season-opener at Old Trafford (STO, lei, EVE, sun, CRY), it’s perhaps surprising that the Belgian winger hasn’t attracted more substantial investment, with many looking to the likes of Dimitri Payet and Andre Ayew as alternatives.

Poring over his underlying statistics, Chadli’s goal conversion rate (20.4%) in the 2014/15 campaign far surpassed team-mate Christian Eriksen’s (10.3%) and any other Spurs midfielder. Furthermore, his goal frequency (one every 228.5 minutes) ranked fourth among the league’s full roster of midfielders, with Alexis Sanchez (192.4), Sadio Mane (204.3) and Kevin Mirallas (213.7) claiming the top three spots.

Chadli ended the previous campaign in a strong fashion, netting three goals in six starts at a time when Eriksen struggled for returns. Considering that weekend opponents Stoke carded just four clean sheets away from home last season and lack the commanding presence of Ryan Shawcross in central defence, the former FC Twente wide man could well kick start a similar run at the start of this campaign.

Jeremain Lens

In light of the news that Adam Johnson will be sidelined for two months with a shoulder injury, even greater emphasis has been placed on Jeremain Lens to provide a spark from the wings. The Netherlands international certainly got his Black Cats career off to a promising start, serving up the cross for Steven Fletcher’s strike at Leicester.

Lens chalked up five goals and ten assists across 18 starts for Dynamo Kiev last term, underlining his knack for accruing attacking returns – indeed, he has produced double figures for assists in four of his last five seasons. There are signs of his influence already beginning to emerge on Wearside, given that he ranked joint-fourth for penalty box touches (four) among all midfielders last Gameweek and posted more successful passes in the final third than any team-mate.

Priced at 6.5, Lens could profit from Sunderland’s excellent run of fixtures (NOR, SWA, avl, TOT, bou), with the home tie against Spurs representing the only top-six side on their agenda. In the short term, the fact that the Canaries placed second for big chances conceded (three) last Gameweek enhances our faith in Lens delivering attacking returns as Dick Advocaat’s side look to recover from last week’s mauling at the King Power.

Rudy Gestede

Debutant Rudy Gestede instantly endeared himself to the Aston Villa faithful, entering the fray as a second-half substitute to nod home a winner against Bournemouth. Such exploits rarely go unrewarded and manager Tim Sherwood looks inclined to agree, having alluded to the prospect of Gestede earning a start when Manchester United pay a visit on Friday.

From a statistical standpoint, the former Blackburn Rovers frontman proved far more impactful than lone striker Gabriel Agbonlahor – who lasted the distance at the Vitality Stadium. Gestede racked up more passes (16) than Agbonlahor (14) – despite clocking 59 fewer minutes – while he also mustered as many shots on goal (two) as the fleet-footed marksman.

Although Man United opened the campaign with a home shut-out against Spurs on Saturday, they registered just five clean sheets away from Old Trafford last term. It’s worth noting that since the start of 2013/14, Gestede’s total of 20 headed goals is five more than anyone else in the England’s top four divisions – given that he’s likely to be up against Daley Blind, it’s certain that Sherwood will be tasking his wide men to get plenty of crosses into the box.

Furthermore, the Villains have been bested just once in their previous quintet of home encounters under Sherwood, offering incentive to invest ahead of an enticing batch of fixtures (cry, SUN, lei, WBA).

  1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    This Sakho fellow. Is he any good. Are we not scared that he plays along side Zarate?

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      looked lively last weekend and has great service from payet. convinced me.

    2. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      good-yes!!
      scared-no...because sakho is 1st choice!!

      1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        But if he plays alongside Zarate, Zarate will steal his points.

        1. Get up ya bum
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Freeze sakho. This is a stick up. Move and I'll zarate kick ya

        2. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          that can happen but still sakho will get the goals imo.....

    3. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Zarate hardly played last season but he's a good player. I don't see why that should be off putting.

  2. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Guys just the thought of rooney(c) playing today and benteke(vc) later on makes me nervous.....

    1. Uncle John from Jamaica
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Have same issues and went Benteke as like the excitement of waiting to Monday plus he is at home.

    2. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      rooney (c) is a worry in itself...

      1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        ^this..hehe....so should i go with benteke,hazard,mane,kolorav,ozil..?

        1. GaGa Over Gazzaniga!!
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          still rooney(c) for me..pheww!!let's see.....

  3. Nonameentered
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed.

    G2G? - Hopefully ill score more than 28!

    Panti
    Azpi – Cedric – Coates
    Hazard – Özil – Walcott – Mané
    Rooney – Benteke (C) - Wilson
    --------------------------------------------------------
    Hennessey – Fletcher – Huth – Francis

    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Gtg pal

    2. COW
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Im guessing you are thinking Azpi is going to have more chance of keeping a CS than Huth?

      Or just in for attacking returns?

  4. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Walcott Haz Ayew Mata
    Rooney Sakho Vardy

    Who to captain and vice captain?

    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I'm so torn I will probably take advice

    2. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Rooney captain Sakho/Ayew vice

    3. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Sakho and Ayew out of that lot, for me.

    4. Al Bundy
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Cap Sakho, vice Ayew

    5. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Interesting. Definitely considering Ayew.

    6. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Thanks for responses

  5. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Walcott

    What are owners doing - transferring out tonight ?? and for whom ?

    1. Nonameentered
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Payet

      1. Les Majesteux
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Payet

    2. Bullet Tooth Bony
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Next week

    3. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I wouldn't make a transfer before the players have played. It rather pay 0.1 for further information

      1. QPR expects... glory!
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Could leave you 0.2 off the players you want in a double transfer

      2. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I'm going to. If it goes wrong I'll just wildcard

    4. che
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Depends what he does first! If he starts, scores and plays more than 60 mins you've gotta keep right? If not he'll be going for Sanchez (provided he plays more than a cameo and looks half decent)
      Won't risk getting rid before he even plays, what if someone else gets injured? Plus, if Roonpig blanks and Kun starts and scores I'll be swapping them two instead

      1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        once he drops .1m you'll need to find 2.5m ( not 2m) to go to Sanchez

        1. che
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          He didn't drop last night so what makes you think he will drop tonight? Remember, casuals and dead teams will still be classed as live until after this week. (Got 2.5 ITB anyway BTW)

          1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            pretty sure hes nailed on for a drop tonight ?

            1. che
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 4 months ago

              If you've only got 2.0 ITB to get Sanchez in, then do it. Otherwise, why risk any injuries to other players costing you your FT.

  6. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    What do you guys think for next week,

    A) benteke & sterling > aguero & I've (for free)

    B) benteke, sterling & mane > aguero, cabaye & 6.5m (-4)

    ?

  7. Les Majesteux
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I have heard people saying "never Captain anyone the early game on saturday. Does that count for Friday too?

    I´m torn between C Rooney or Tekkers.
    I think Rooney was horrible last game. But he is usually v solid when facing Villa.

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No, it never counts. If you think the player playing early will score the most points that week (from your team) just captain them.

    2. C-Dawgg
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      The only reason people say this is because a bad captaincy early Saturday can ruin your weekend - sometimes it's better to still have something to hold onto 😀

    3. stilicho
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      It's just superstition, people just tend to remember early kickoff captain fails more than normal captain fails

      1. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Think that fallacy was knocked on the head when kun got a hatful against spurs at 12.45

        1. Les Majesteux
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          True! End of story :-d

        2. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Although he did also miss a penalty so maybe there's something in it 😛

      2. Les Majesteux
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I guess so 🙂

        But still torn between Roo and Tekkers tho.

  8. toxik
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Depay&Ritchie out Tadic/Payet in a good move?

    1. Les Majesteux
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Not really

  9. KING_ZLATAN
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Ozil sterling hazard mahrez mane

    Benteke deeney Kane

    __________________

    Should I play Ozil sterling hazard mane ?

    Would love to get AYEW in but who should I drop if I'm gonna do so ?

    1. Les Majesteux
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I would not drop any of them for Ayew.

  10. ElliotJHP
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    WC worthy or not?

    Ruddy (Rudd)

    Azpilicueta-Cedric-Koscielny (Richards-Targett)

    Henderson-Hazard-Shelvey-Sanchez-Cabaye

    Aguero-Sakho (Jerome)

    1. Les Majesteux
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      WC never smart so early in my opinion.
      We are just on gameweek 2. Could your current team be so bad?

      1. ElliotJHP
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah not at all, will probably hold on til next week and simply take a four point hit for Aguero.

        1. Les Majesteux
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          WC is more likely to do at GW 4 than now.
          For now i would just sit tight and see 🙂

          Good luck.

  11. Shifty
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    GW3: Walcott > Yaya, save 1 FT

    GW4: Rooney > Aguero, Ozil > 7.0 mid and below with 2 FTs

    would give me: Kolarov, Yaya, Aguero

    Never gonna miss out on a City pen!

  12. super zlatan
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Any of the following trades worth a hit?

    a) Wilson > sakho
    B) sterling > Sanchez

    1. Les Majesteux
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No

    2. Watmore do ya want?
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No, they both seem like kneejerks at the moment.

    3. SUAREZ_MESSI_COUTINHO
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Safe option - No
      but B) could work.

  13. Nickofoz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I'm thinking Hazard -> Silva from GW4 onwards. Depending on form obviously. Hmm

    1. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I'll be plonking Silva in he3 or 4,for sure. Your move btw. Rook and pawn for knight and bishop. Should be an interesting end game

      1. Nickofoz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Indeed 🙂

    2. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I would do that as well. Considering Man City triple up

      1. Nickofoz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Triple up with defender or three attackers?

  14. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    A lot of people considering selling Walcott after deadline before the teams have played. Surely there will be some son stories to come.

    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Sob stories. Stupid autocorrect

      1. Get up ya bum
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I hope it bites them in the arse

        1. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          I'm doing it coz getting Sanchez today so don't need both. Wont cry if backfires, worst case scenario is have to wildcard

  15. r0scr0w
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bit of help please guys. My keepers are Courtois & Hennessey. Which would you transfer out?

    A. Hennessey > McCarthy

    B. Courtois > Mignolet

    C. Courtois > Romero.

    1. Les Majesteux
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I would go B.
      Just because the story about De Gea is not 100% clear.

  16. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Azpi Merte Cedric Gomez Francis

    Fab Walcott Ozil Depay Bentaleb

    Benteke(C) Pelle Rooney

    What the hell do i do with this midfield????

    Cant see Fab coming away with anything this week
    Walcott is dropping tonight
    Ozil doesnt look the smartest of moves
    Hopefully Depay shows something at Villa
    Bentaleb was rubbish vs Man U

    a)save transfer
    b) act to sort midfield this week

    1. Slash
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      See what Theo does on the weekend

      1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        dont wana lose .1

    2. Blues Cruise
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Replace Fab with Payet.
      Good to go!

  17. Breadbin
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I've been asleep and fear there may be some Walcott news I've missed. Fill me in chums.

    1. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Didn't drop

    2. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Best captain choice for next 3 weeks.

    3. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Team theo won

    4. Arx
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      He's expected to drop in price tonight.

      1. QPR expects... glory!
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        *guaranteed.

        Already over 100% on all price change prediction sites

    5. Heytch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Hahaha

      1. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        How could anyone sleep with a Theo price drop imminent. Amateur

  18. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    If Oxford starts and keep cs we might have first double rise of the season.

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Position under threat. But, yes would be great if he gets a game.

  19. The Machine
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Deadline one hour before kick off?

    1. Dre
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      its clear as day on the fpl site

    2. Namtab Nomolos
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah all season now, 1hr before first kick-off

  20. Lazarus Star
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    So what I don't understand is that it must only be the Walcott owners moaning about him being sold en mass and his price drop. However, if you still have you must be part of the Wally faithful an expect to get returns in GW2 and further games, therefore the price drop is irrelevant as only topical if you plan to sell him.

    Those always planning to sell him are justified in selling him before the price drop to maximise funds (likely for Aguero) perhaps a bit earlier than anticipated but Aguero and Sanchez returning just expedites the original plan.

    1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Didn't drop still time to sort

    2. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Who will you replace him with and will he be any good? GW1 bandwagons are never a sure thing, better to have a 2/3 GW's to assess the prospects.

      1. Lazarus Star
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Already sold him for Sanchez. Was always my plan

        1. Ryan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Cash in the bank? or a hit elsewhere? There are no guarantees that Sanchez will start this week either. He might not be ready.

          1. Lazarus Star
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Accidentally hit the WC button (iPhone app mistake) so have a different worry now...to maximise fail and get the right team again.

            1. Ryan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 4 months ago

              Oh thats a shame. Good luck!

              1. Lazarus Star
                • 12 Years
                10 years, 4 months ago

                Cheers. You too. Personally I think Wallcot will perform away from home and get a brace (hopefully with Sanchez doing better :))

    3. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I am an owner and fancy him for gw2 and maybe 3, but probably not long-term.

      Saying that I don't particularly care about a 0.1 loss. I enjoy picking value players anyway in this game

      1. Lazarus Star
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Exactly....that 0.1 is likely to get made up elsewhere (e.g. Mahrez or Gomez bandwagon)

  21. Get up ya bum
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Squirrel

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Reported

    2. jennmenn
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Champii! Are you still keeping Walcott??
      It's getting hard to hold my horses 😀 But 2 FT next gw sounds g00d

      1. Get up ya bum
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        For sure mate selling now makes no sense to me. Should be a great game for him and is very likely to start up front. He has my armband 😉

        1. jennmenn
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          shiiiiii` you are ballsy!

  22. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    for a -4 next week ???

    Rooney + Fabregas + Walcott to Aguero + Yaya + best 7m eg Ayew

  23. Dom15
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Pick 3 to play this GW:

    Darmian (AVL, A) - Cedric (EVE, H) - Alderweireld (STK, H) - Gomez (BOU, H) - Oxford (LEI, H)

    Cheers guys!

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Darmian Cedric and Gomez

      1. Blues Cruise
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        This

    2. pingreen
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Darmian, Cedric, Gomez

    3. Business Dog
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      A great problem to have this week, envious of those choices.

      Darmian, Cedric, Gomez

    4. Danno - Emre Canada
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Lovely problem to have, I would happily pick any of them, especially as Oxford seems set to start again. But if pushed, I'd go for Darmian, Alder and Gomez.

  24. Namtab Nomolos
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    This extra column on the gameweek history for bench points is going to be great for keeping track of all your selection disasters.

  25. Francescoli
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Just became a FFS member... I felt naked without the little gray and white man next to my username.

    Now, it's time to trawl through Doos' tables...

  26. Arx
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Darmian, Alderweireld, Gomez

    1. Arx
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Oops. Reply fail to Dom15.

  27. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone else getting rid of Walcott TONIGHT ?

    1. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I'm sure there are thousands.

    2. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Ive jumped the gun and pulled the trigger on Walcott > Payet. Cannot risk him being a sub for 30 minutes again.

      The decision will not come back to bite me on the behind as Wenger starts him no doubt but 9.0 is too much tied up in a player or isn't nailed on.

      Better value for cheaper elsewhere IMO.

    3. Business Dog
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yes.

  28. Painter
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Deeney or mahrez on the field this week? Or bench boost or is it to soon?

  29. pingreen
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Probably been asked a million times, but I was set on Kane until I saw the massive difference in the captains pole.

    Captain, Rooney or Kane?

    1. SUAREZ_MESSI_COUTINHO
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Kane

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Stoke are strong this year.. I think they are top 6 candidate. Stokealona 😉

    2. Les Majesteux
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Rooney

      1. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I don't pay any attention to captain polls. Just back your own gut as to who will do best

  30. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Lads please link to goalscoring odds this w/e or hulked post here with that data.

    Thaaaaaanksssas