634x258 Spot the Differential
14 August 2015 1071 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual look at a trio of low-ownership Fantasy assets arrives a little earlier than normal, due to this evening’s 6.45 pm deadline. We’re backing a couple of midfielders from Spurs and Sunderland, whilst Villa’s weekend match-winner comes into consideration for their home encounter with United.

Nacer Chadli

Despite tallying an impressive 11 goals and six assists last term, Nacer Chadli (7.0) is currently owned by just 7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, with most preferring Liverpool duo Jordan Henderson (22%) and James Milner (10%) in that price bracket. Given Spurs’ favourable schedule beyond their season-opener at Old Trafford (STO, lei, EVE, sun, CRY), it’s perhaps surprising that the Belgian winger hasn’t attracted more substantial investment, with many looking to the likes of Dimitri Payet and Andre Ayew as alternatives.

Poring over his underlying statistics, Chadli’s goal conversion rate (20.4%) in the 2014/15 campaign far surpassed team-mate Christian Eriksen’s (10.3%) and any other Spurs midfielder. Furthermore, his goal frequency (one every 228.5 minutes) ranked fourth among the league’s full roster of midfielders, with Alexis Sanchez (192.4), Sadio Mane (204.3) and Kevin Mirallas (213.7) claiming the top three spots.

Chadli ended the previous campaign in a strong fashion, netting three goals in six starts at a time when Eriksen struggled for returns. Considering that weekend opponents Stoke carded just four clean sheets away from home last season and lack the commanding presence of Ryan Shawcross in central defence, the former FC Twente wide man could well kick start a similar run at the start of this campaign.

Jeremain Lens

In light of the news that Adam Johnson will be sidelined for two months with a shoulder injury, even greater emphasis has been placed on Jeremain Lens to provide a spark from the wings. The Netherlands international certainly got his Black Cats career off to a promising start, serving up the cross for Steven Fletcher’s strike at Leicester.

Lens chalked up five goals and ten assists across 18 starts for Dynamo Kiev last term, underlining his knack for accruing attacking returns – indeed, he has produced double figures for assists in four of his last five seasons. There are signs of his influence already beginning to emerge on Wearside, given that he ranked joint-fourth for penalty box touches (four) among all midfielders last Gameweek and posted more successful passes in the final third than any team-mate.

Priced at 6.5, Lens could profit from Sunderland’s excellent run of fixtures (NOR, SWA, avl, TOT, bou), with the home tie against Spurs representing the only top-six side on their agenda. In the short term, the fact that the Canaries placed second for big chances conceded (three) last Gameweek enhances our faith in Lens delivering attacking returns as Dick Advocaat’s side look to recover from last week’s mauling at the King Power.

Rudy Gestede

Debutant Rudy Gestede instantly endeared himself to the Aston Villa faithful, entering the fray as a second-half substitute to nod home a winner against Bournemouth. Such exploits rarely go unrewarded and manager Tim Sherwood looks inclined to agree, having alluded to the prospect of Gestede earning a start when Manchester United pay a visit on Friday.

From a statistical standpoint, the former Blackburn Rovers frontman proved far more impactful than lone striker Gabriel Agbonlahor – who lasted the distance at the Vitality Stadium. Gestede racked up more passes (16) than Agbonlahor (14) – despite clocking 59 fewer minutes – while he also mustered as many shots on goal (two) as the fleet-footed marksman.

Although Man United opened the campaign with a home shut-out against Spurs on Saturday, they registered just five clean sheets away from Old Trafford last term. It’s worth noting that since the start of 2013/14, Gestede’s total of 20 headed goals is five more than anyone else in the England’s top four divisions – given that he’s likely to be up against Daley Blind, it’s certain that Sherwood will be tasking his wide men to get plenty of crosses into the box.

Furthermore, the Villains have been bested just once in their previous quintet of home encounters under Sherwood, offering incentive to invest ahead of an enticing batch of fixtures (cry, SUN, lei, WBA).

  1. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Is it worth a -4 to bring in one of either Benteke or Sakho for Wilson this GW?

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Or Gomis?

    2. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No

    3. SUAREZ_MESSI_COUTINHO
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No, Wilson had the most touches ITB for any player in GW 1. Were expecting a goal/assist from him in every game ?

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Nope but Im not expecting much from him v Liverpool A.

        Gomis has a home fixture v Newcastle and Sakho v Leicester.

        I don't want to miss a potential haul from either of those players for a 1 or 2 point return from Wilson thats all.

        1. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Don't use a hit for
          1 juicy fixture. That's a good rule to follow

        2. che
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Be honest, did you pick him as a one week punt? If yes, get rid. If not, surely you noticed they were playing Pool away GW2 and picked a strong enough squad to cover his points!

    4. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      or swap for Zarate ?

  2. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    who to have as first sub

    A)zpi - mcy
    B)entaleb - STO

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Id play Azpi.

      Mourinho is renowned for getting clean sheets from tough fixtures.

  3. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Please answer on the last page..

  4. Shifty
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Meh. Walcott drops in price tonight, plenty have sold (assuming price drops as a % of ownership)

    Scores a brace against Palace, plenty will buy and he'll get a price rise (assuming price rise tresholds are a fixed number of NTIs)

    Glass half full.

    1. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Thats the positive attitude of a Walcott owner.

      1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        A bit too positive 😀

      2. Shifty
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        don't you dare burst my bubble Ryan.

        1. Ryan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Luckily for you I'm also a Walcott owner.

          1. Shifty
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            i know 🙂

            1. Ryan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 4 months ago

              You're safe Shifty 😉

            2. boombaba
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 4 months ago

              captain?

    2. zencro 42
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I sold him off, seems like its gonna be a weekly headache thinking whether he or Giroud starts. Plus Alexis is back, further threatening his place.

      Of course, a brace against Palace is definitely possible to bite me in the arse

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        This. Sanchez's return made my decision on whether or not to keep Walcott.

        I went with NOT. However, usually my decisions don't turn out how I want so expecting a brace and an assist from him now.

        1. Shifty
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          that's the spirit!

  5. Heydudes13
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Deadline at 11:30 then?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      In Belize, yes

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Tells you on the site.

  6. Blues Cruise
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I have Ramsey, Hazard and Sterling at midfield. What should I do?
    a. Save the transfer and do big changes next week.
    b. Use the transfer to strengthen the midfield (suggest transfer as well)
    Thanks in advance 🙂

  7. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone at Everton nailed on for Baines replacement?

    1. Eze Really?
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Oviedo for sure if:
      Lennon comes or Del Boy is fit.
      May recall Garbutt but I doubt it.

      1. Shifty
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        no idea why Garbutt was loaned out. He looked good preseason

        1. Eze Really?
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Surprised a lot of us. But Martinez thought 2 left backs were enough.

    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I think Martinez will have to play there.

      1. Eze Really?
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        I like it.
        Oviedo is a class act who can play upfield.
        Injuries have curtailed his progress but he is good.
        Baines is still a good player but he became a bit easy to work out over last season and carried injuries too.

        1. Daniel Exeter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          And to think, you could of got £25m for him from Moyes' United.

          1. Eze Really?
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Yep. That was A) Political. B) Oviedo injury. C) Our chairman hates spending the balance.
            Only Lukaku was sanctioned and we overpaid for him.

    3. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Galloway for now until they get a replacement.

      For the life of me I cannot understand why Martinez doesn't rate Garbutt. He looked brilliant at the end of last season.

      1. Eze Really?
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        most blues feel the same way. Galloway will only play while we have trouble for left mid/wing.

      2. che
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Looked sh1te for the U21s in the tournament

    4. Namtab Nomolos
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Mirallas seems to like taking over his roles

      1. Eze Really?
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        As good as he is he is petulant and won't be forgiven for the penalty incident last year.

        1. Arx
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Only given a new contract.

          1. Eze Really?
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Once he realized he was not that popular in the market and became more valuable with a longer contract period. He still walks on eggshells at Goodison.

  8. Arx
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    What do we think?

    Adrian
    Bellerin Kolarov Shaw
    Hazard Sanchez Mata Cabaye Ibe
    Rooney Pelle (C)

  9. JY
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Front 7 of,
    Payet Ozil Fab Depay Chadli
    Rooney Pelle
    should I drop any of them for Wilson?

    Rooney (C) ? or a punt on Payet or Depay....

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I like punts.

  10. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    playing Gomez and Cedric at home

    who do i drop to the bench

    a) azpi mcy
    b) merte cry

  11. Eze Really?
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Please give me an idea:
    Is it true the NET GW transfers are carried over each GW for price changes?

    1. Shifty
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I recall they are usually reset at deadline. But i might be wrong.

      1. Eze Really?
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        If that is so then Wally is safe. I think they have restructured and are carrying over tfrs. Friday night football puts a spanner in the works also. Now you can't assess a price change over 4 days of the 7.

  12. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    bit repost:

    How did Newcastle play last gw? Was wondering if Swans could trash them.

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      A swan is stronger than a magpie but then a magpie is more cunning than a swan

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      very good from reports, quite attacking. However southampton were also rather poor defensively. Might be tougher v swansea

    3. Olivier Bernards watch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      We were better than we've been a long while in a lot of ways, and thoroughly outplayed Southampton for most of the game. However, we are still very vulnerable to aerial balls (see southhamptons goals for example) and I fear Swansea and go is in particular will exploit this. Fancy us us to get a goal though.

      1. Olivier Bernards watch
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        *gomis

      2. BobbyV
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Is Haidara nailed now?

  13. Alan Hansen's Emu
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Would like thoughts, captain question.

    Currently deciding between Sakho & Pelle. Why does RMT suggest Sakho is the better pick do you think? Last years form vs fixtures?

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Better fixture and probably favored by bookies

      1. Alan Hansen's Emu
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Bookies have Pelle to score.

        Agree fixture-wise thoigh.

  14. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Lads please link to goalscoring odds this w/e or hulked post here with that data.

    Thaaaaaanksssas 😉

  15. Krul Runnings
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    - Wait until after tonight's match starts and then transfer out Walcott and make my two pre-planned transfers?

    1.) Is this madness as he might do amazingly well/my new players get injured.

    2.) a gamble worth taking to save 0.1 as he inevitably falls in price tomorrow morning.

    Thoughts guys?

    1. Shifty
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      If you worry about prices and are very certain about the players you want to bring in, i would avoid the drop.

      Personally, i'm willing to pay the 0.1 and buy myself abit of time.

    2. che
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Depends if he's definately the only one you're getting rid of and if you've only got the exact money for whoever you're getting in. Otherwise, why risk it?

  16. Blues Cruise
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsey to be benched tomorrow in order to adjust Sanchez & Walcott in the XI.
    BET!

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      I'll lay you a grand

  17. Elwood
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Any idea when the scout pics will be out?

    I've made no changes & had no price rises this week. 27 pts and a week to forget!

  18. laGan1n1
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Myhill

    Skrtel Alder PVA

    Tadic Eriksen (C) Ozil Sterling

    Rooney Sakho Benteke

    subs: Hennesey, Mahrez, Mert, Francis

    suggestions ?

    1. Daniel Exeter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Tekkers C definitely

      1. laGan1n1
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        boring : )

    2. Shifty
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Ever the maverick. Good to go

      1. laGan1n1
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        tnx 😀

  19. boombaba
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    People thought wally would play last week. He didnt, Arsenal lost at home.

    Wally will play this time. He wont be on bench for 2nd time after 150k a week going into his bank account 🙂

  20. dehat
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    what abou this transfer for -4
    ritchie and koscielny to payet and gomez ? thanks

  21. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Man Utd, LIV, Bayern all win this week @ 2,47, good bet?

    1. Breadbin
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Not that good.

  22. SUAREZ_MESSI_COUTINHO
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    If Baba Rahman comes to Chelsea, is he good enough to take gametime from Azpilicueta ?

    1. Patty
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      no.

    2. The Darkest Knight
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      No....!
      He is a backup... Replacement of Louis.

    3. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      He will affect his game time for sure imo

  23. The Darkest Knight
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Guys... Sterling to Eriksen/Payet....

    Yes or no?

  24. Numb
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    The best thing about Walcott dropping tonight is that, because people are saying it is equivalent to a drop to 8.5, I can then happily take another 4 drops before it has any impact! 😎

    1. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      But it isn't equivalent... 😛

    2. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Exactly. Everyone has 0.5 to lose really unless they plan to somehow avoid all fallers.

    3. Olivier Bernards watch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Either that, or according to their logic, every 0.1 drop is really a 0.5 drop, so you'd lose 2.5 if you did that. Getting expensive

      1. Numb
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Oh no, I didn't think of that! 🙁

  25. Dr Dream
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Oooh....I forgot about my FUT lark. OR of 214, how did everybody else do ?

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      1,2M

  26. Nickofoz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    It doesn't really matter since I'll be asleep anyway, but is tonight's deadline 1hr before kickoff?

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yep

    2. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      yup. You're from Asia?

      1. Nickofoz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers all.

        Nah, Australia 🙂

    3. Namtab Nomolos
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      This season it's always 1hr before

    4. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      All deadlines are one hour before kickoff of earliest game now

      1. Shifty
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        great. Now I don't do silly stuff like Silva > Sanchez and Giroud > Defoe just because we get to see line ups early.

  27. Arx
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I'm not very confident of returns from the Southampton defense this season, given that they lost Clyne and Alderweireld and Forster is injured.

    Alderweireld especially is a big loss, in my opinion. I've never been a huge fan of Yoshida.

    What's the reason for Cedric's popularity?

    1. boombaba
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      attaching full back

      got an assist in his first game

  28. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Just made two UFPL transfers. Jagielka + Lukaku out for Darmian + Gomis.

    Probably should have saved my transfers but done now. Rest will be saved for getting Aguero and Sanchez in hopefully.

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Anyone else made UFPL transfers this week? I'm still trying to get to grips with the game...

      1. Dr Dream
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Aye....Brought Gomis, Payet and Gestede in and got rid of some other folk.

  29. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    who do i Captain

    a) Rooney
    B) Benteke
    c) Pelle

    1. Elwood
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Rooney

    2. The Darkest Knight
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Bentekke

  30. waputs101
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    who to use???

    Azpi or Oxford??