634x258 Members
22 January 2016 1409 comments
Paul Paul
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Our weekly members article, focusing on the Gameweek’s captain conundrum, returns in a new Friday evening slot. As always, we analyse the Opta data for the main contenders and assess the team statistics and Rate My Team’s reckoning, before rounding off with our opinion on the current poll standings in the light of the data analysis, including our view on differential captains.

The Captain Poll

In a situation similar to last weekend, it’s very much a two-way tussle at the top of the Captain Poll as we head towards Gameweek 23.

This time around, it’s the tightest call of the campaign so far, with both Romelu Lukaku and Sergio Aguero currently sitting on 31% of the vote ahead of clashes against Swansea and West Ham respectively.

The Everton frontman has earned points in each of his last six at Goodison and faces a defence with one clean sheet on their travels, whilst Aguero – who saw off Harry Kane’s challenge for last week’s armband in our Poll – rolls up to Upton Park on the back of a 16-point return against Palace.

Kane manages to take third spot after delivering a goal and assist against Sunderland, though just 10% are willing to back the Tottenham frontman for the visit to out-of-sorts Palace.

Further down the poll, Roberto Firmino and Odion Ighalo are both backed by 4% of Fantasy managers as they face off against Norwich and Newcastle respectively. Having blanked in his last three, the 39%-owned Nigerian is perhaps on his last chance for some after some disappointing recent returns.

Wayne Rooney is also in the mix as a differential prospect. Just 2% are willing to gamble on the United skipper, whose four goals and assist in the last three Gameweeks represents his best form of the season ahead of the visit of a Southampton side that’s lost each of their previous four on the road.

Next up, we now delve into the data over the last four matches to shed further light on the situation and assess the validity of the current crop of poll results.

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  1. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Which 3 to start?
    Dawson dann dier Moreno Simpson

    1. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Dawson Moreno Simpson

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Dier Dawson Moreno

  2. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    alii or mehrez ?? thanks

    1. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      alli

    2. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Mahrez

    3. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Same problem. Currently Mahrez but have Butland so may change.

  3. Areid13
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    GTG?

    Butland
    Bellerin Wolly Walker
    KDB Ozil Wijnaldum Arny
    Kane Kun Ighalo

    Hennessey Mahrez Delaney Williams

  4. Hardly Athletic
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Got 2 free transfers. I want to replace Ighalo with Lukaku. Doing so, I'd have 7.2 in the bank if I replaced KDB and 5.9 if I replaced Ozil. What should I do?

    Butland 4.9 - Hennessey 4.1

    Bellerin 5.9 - Alderweireld 5.9 - Ward 4.5 - Martin 4.3 - Simpson 4.1

    Mahrez 6.5 - De Bruyne 10.7 - Ozil 9.4 - Alli 5.4 - Payet 7.9

    Aguero 13.2 - Kane 9.9 - Ighalo 5.7

    1. JJJ
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      I would hold onto Ozil over KDB. Who are you bringing in to midfield?

  5. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Leicester will not have any blank GWs or DGWs this season (weather/non-football reasons/freak fixture occurrences permitting). Reason is they aren't involved in the permutations for the C1C Final (GW27), and in the two GWs that are also FA Cup weeks (QF GW30 and SF GW35) they are playing Newcastle and Swansea respectively, who are both out of the FA Cup already, as are Leicester.

    1. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Another reason to keep Mahrez

    2. I Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      GW27: Norwich (H)
      GW30: Newcastle (H)
      GW35: Swansea (H)

      Could be reason enough to hold onto Mahrez.

    3. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Hot Topic agrees.

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Sorry - missed that 🙂

  6. FantasyFS007
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Butland | Hennessey

    Dawson | Toby | Moreno | Bellerin | Ake

    Oil | Alli | Mahrez | Willian | Arnautovic

    Aguero | Kane | Vardy

    2 FT 0 ITB

    1) Willian/Mahrez to Payet
    2) Arnautovic to Barkley
    3) Bellerin to Targett or 4.3m DEF
    4) All 3

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      2

  7. Ryan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    It has to be said that basing statistics on the last 4 matches has its flaws. Particularly when you look at the fixture difficulty of the last 4 matches between Aguero and Lukaku

    Aguero (CRY, EVE, wat, lei)

    Lukaku (che, mci, TOT, STK)

    We would also do well to remember what Everton are like when they face easier opposition in comparison to top 6 opposition. The fixture swing in GW11 was stark and it resulted in an instant change in form for Everton.

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      So.... Lukaka (c) ?

      1. Ryan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Indeed

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 12 months ago

          Hmmmm....

          I've just switched to Aguero

          1. Skruffy
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 12 months ago

            Just did the same... Its a coin realy

    2. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      true but define hard fixture. Chelsea and Man City defences aint been impressive at all

      1. Ryan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        They would have dominated the game stats. That makes a difference

    3. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      So then Kane (c)

      1. Ryan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        No, he's had pretty good fixtures in the last 4. Lukaku has had the toughest by far so no wonder his stats are down a little. Expect an upturn with easier fixtures.

  8. SANTACLAUS
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    KDB dropping again wow, people will be kicking themselves soon.

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      I won't, I'm keeping the ginger ninja 😉

      1. Paul Psychic Octopus
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        For no apparent reason made me think how bad an FPL prospect Billy Bremner would have been.

  9. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Play KDB (whm) or Alli (cry) ?

    1. SANTACLAUS
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      KDB

    1. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Usurper... 😉

    2. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Old articles hate you.

  10. New Post
    Fitzy.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    NEW POST up if no-one has mentioned it...

    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/01/22/the-community-round-up-129/

  11. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 12 months ago

    Can someone please explain why Evans is so hot? Injury prone and WBA is leaking goals like never before

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Just look at his fixtures

  12. Worzel Gummidge
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Play Rudd or Henn? On Rudd just now.

      1. Reedy
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        I'd play Rudd yeah

    • KLOPPTOMANIA
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      good to go?

      Butland
      Moreno Dawson Alderwereild (Simpson Cresswell)
      Oxil Alli KdB Payet (Mahrez)
      Kane Kun Lukaku [c]

    • Mr.Bojangoals
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      No one's responding to my posts, so I won't write out my team and will ask just one question:

      I wildcarded because I'm in a H2H league and not too fussed about Overall rank.

      ***Is it crazy to ditch Mahrez to boost my defensive options?***

      1. Reedy
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        No, not if you don't care about rank - nothing is crazy with that caveat. Just have fun 🙂

        He'd help you win your H2H though IMO

    • Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Getting in CBJ does crazy things to the size of your captain tab: http://i.imgur.com/tULeq7K.png

    • Paul Psychic Octopus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Some tough decisions this week. Currently benching Bellerin and Ward, both of whom have home games. Playing Daniels away to Sunderland.

      Mad?

      1. Paris Ganja Man
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        With him on pens not at all. Who are you starting 3 out of interest?

        1. Paul Psychic Octopus
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 12 months ago

          Daniels, Moreno, Simpson

      2. Danno - Emre Canada
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        I hear you, I'm in a pickle as well and thinking of benching Bellerin

      3. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        No. As a Chelsea fan I say Costa or William will score and Bellerin will produce nothing on the other end. That sai I benched him too for Alder Ivan and Dawson.

    • Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      When are we getting the wildcard? I want to fully load up on 11 in dgw, to trim a 98 point deficit in my minileague.

      1. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        DGW 25

        1. Eskimooo
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 12 months ago

          For 2 sides .....

    • Skruffy
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Who to bench?

      A) Bennet
      B) Ballerina
      C) Daniels

      Thansk!

      1. MrFrodo
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Bennet

    • Danno - Emre Canada
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Evening all, any ideas which 3 to play out of this lot, tough defending decisions this week, I must have picked every conceivable combination. The defenders are:

      1)Bellerin
      2)Dier
      3)Sagna
      4)Moreno
      5)Daniels

    • MrFrodo
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      2 3 5

      1. Danno - Emre Canada
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Oooohhhh intersting cheers, that's the combo I'm currently on.

    • Paris Ganja Man
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      As an arsenal fan it feels just awful starting Azpi

    • Mr.Bojangoals
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Anybody starting Alli over Payet or Mahrez? I could see him getting something at Palace.

      1. AF90
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 12 months ago

        Had him on the bench all week but starting him over Mahrez I think...which means Mahrez will score as I haven't had him for his 6 goals in 3 games but had him for 2 pen misses

    • 50pipsDaily
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Need to burn 1 from 2fts and 2.3itb, the team is,

      Elliot (Hennesy)
      Toby, Evans, Moreno (Belerin, Simpson)
      KdB, Ozil, Mahrez, Alli (King)
      Kun, Kane, Lukaku

      A) Bellerin -> Baines
      B) Toby -> Baines
      C) Mahrez -> Payet
      D) King & Toby/Bellerin -> Payet & Targett/Daniels
      E) KdB -> Silva
      E) King -> Gosling

    • AF90
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Arni doubt has helped make my mind up....Arnautovici -> Payet

      Payet, Ozil, Alii, Wijnaldum
      Vardy, Aguero, Lukaku

      Mahrez on bench?

    • AF90
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Arni doubt has helped make my mind up....Arnautovic -> Payet

      Payet, Ozil, Alii, Wijnaldum
      Vardy, Aguero, Lukaku

      Mahrez on bench...thoughts please? 🙂

    • Skruffy
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Start Daniels over Bellerin would you say?

    • Buckeye
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Thoughts on this starting XI and bench? Thanks mates!

      Butland
      Dawson, Toby, Adam Smith
      Wijnaldum, Payet, Ozil, Alli
      Kun (c), Lukaku (vc), Deeney

      Hennessy / Mahrez, Monreal, Cresswell

    • Alittude
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 12 months ago

      Who has better chance of cleanie Leicester s Stoke or Watford vs Newcastle?