We take our usual post-Gameweek delve into the members data this evening. Chelsea and West Ham’s playmakers are under assessment, as are Spurs and City’s main men up front, whilst we also cast an eye over Bournemouth’s fit-again flier and Norwich’s improving wide man as the Canaries attempt to salvage their top-flight berth for another season.
Current results “prediction” for each match next GW (based on each team’s number of team goals spread market mid-point).
Norwich 0.95 Man C 1.95
Bournemouth 1.45 Swansea 0.9
Stoke 1.15 Southampton 1.1
Villa 0.8 Spurs 1.95
Leicester 1.95 Newcastle 0.85
For example, if Norwich v Man C was played at the same time in parallel universes, say, 100 times, the spread-betting website reckons that Norwich would score 95 goals (i.e. a 0.95 average) and Man C 195 (i.e. a 1.95 average).
Interesting that the big three are all at 1.95 average.
Is no Kane too risky? Trying to be different but not stupid.
Lloris
Otamendi Simpson Daniels Rangel
Arnautovic Silva Alli Silva Drinkwater
Aguero
Not owning a highly owned attacker vs Villa is the definition of risky.
a highly owned attacker on penalty duty.
Full Season: http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/my-stats-tables/view/10778/
Form: http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/12374/
Read these and you'll catch my drift 🙂and this is without taking into account Marveaux's points!
As someone who loves risk, that's suicide. Aguero and Kane are by far the best FPL players to own this GW imo, even above Leicester players, who seem to be scoring goals fewer recently.
fewer goals*
Agree with this about Leicester.
Cheers all.
Your logic is undeniable, and that form table made me throw up in my mouth a little.
Ahh I can't decide between siggy and yaya as my payet replacement? Please help
Also struggling to choose between hart and butland to replace ddg
I was leaning to Siggy but ML rival got him last week and I need to differentiate so will now most likely go Yaya, really boils down to your own circumstances I think
Bench one!
A) Williams (bou)
B) Van Djik (stk)
C) Simpson (NEW)
D) Dier (avl)VVD
B
I randomly own Jagielka. Would you straight swap him for Daniels/Williams or upgrade Bennett to Daniels/Williams. It would mean tieing up a million in the defence that could come in handy later. Kane to Costa in GW32 for example. But maybe I should hold Jags as he'll have a couple of dgws in the future.
Upgrade Bennett, Jags could be useful later.
I dunno man. Would probably prevent me from the Kane to Costa move in 32. Ben Davies would be ideal even short-term. We'll see tomorrow what Poch says about Rose.
payet > siggy dilemma. which pill do i swallow?
Red pill:
• GW30: Smith (SWA)
• GW31: Payet (che)
• 1FT in pocket
Blue pill:
• GW30: Siggy (bou)
• GW31: Siggy (AVL)
Very much the Blue pill.
when written in this form, it's almost clear that payet > siggy is a good option.
however most on this forum simply say, "hold payet, play 4-5 defenders if you have to"
blue
Blue
Red Pill. Payet is fixture proof.
Liverpool's fixtures from GW33 on to the end of the season, coupled with their DGWs makes Firmino essential? must be.
yep i agree
even if targett plays this week i'll be 1 short.
so i'm thinking of doing costa & willian (blank & WHM) -> kane and siggy for a hit for a 2 week punt (they both play bou and avl) before bringing CHE players back.
yay or nay?cant rely on Targett
yeah thats why i need to take a hit to cover him, worth it? it would be to get siggy
Risers: Arnautovic
Fallers: Borthwick-Jackson, Doumbia, Saivet
Wednesday 09/03/2016, 01:12:24 AM+1
-0
go on Arnie son
Thanks Puppy
Not a fan of buying Arnie. Stoke don't score many goals, so one of their attackers is only worth it over super easy fixtures.
Over the last 10 GWs, Arnie has returned in just two fixtures, NOR & AVL.
I like that he's rising 🙂His last 8*
He missed two games.This is why I'm looking at my options below 🙂
No Ozil fall again, good.
what's your sky captain plan this weekend?
I'll have a look, back in bit when I logged in an' stuff.
nice one
What are you doing Carrick? I'm on a simple Aguero -> Vardy. Though I've seen others using transfers to do Aguero -> Kane -> Vardy
That requires taking Aguero or Kane out assuming you don't own the incoming player of course, ------ Unfortunately....
Yeah that is the problem. iirc Sarj sold Vardy last week so he owns just Aguero and Kane, allowing him to sell Kane for Vardy for that third captaincy. Then he'll sell a mid for Kane next Saturday night to catch Kane vs Bou 😮
damn, didn't think of that
yeah 3 transfers for an extra two games from a mid and also an extra captaincy on Kane
I already have aguero, kane and vardy so cannot do the latter plan. Wish I could!
Thinking Aguero to Mahrez
I currently have both teams with Aguero (C) for Saturday
I'll probably keep him and just swap to Mahrez on Monday who then plays again on the Saturday with a swap to whoever I think best for Sunday as the blank GW following gives us a free Captaincy swap for the start of the next GW.
That is my theory it is mine and no one else's. 🙂Think I'm doing the same! Really annoying not being able to captain Kane against Villa tho
I already own all the players that would be best punts, Would it be worth two transfers?
Actually I think it's more to get everyone back. Nope it's a no hoper as far as I can tell.agreed
Butland
Williams Kompany Fuchs
Sigurdsson Eriksen Mahrez Arnautovic
Kane(vc) Aguero(c) Vardy
Hennessey* Ozil* Bellerin* Azpilicueta*
1FT 0.0itb
a) save
b) Arnautovic ➡ Alli
🙂A, already have eriksen and kane that's enough spurs i reckon.
A
I'd wait until pressers, something else may come up. I heard a rumour that Alli has been struggling with fitness a bit lately. But I like the move if he is 100% 🙂
Cheers GB. Yes, the only thing putting me off is the Poch news. Though a rest on Thursday can only be good for him
A
A
Cheers all
A
Ozil + Nyom > Yaya + Daniels for a hit?
need a hit to field 11 playersNyom to Daniels
only play 10 players this GW?
What are your other options? Ozil is best long-term - Ozil to Yaya is not worth a hit
Elliot
Kompany Williams Huth
Mahrez Alli
Kane Kun Vardy
Hennessey Bellerin Firmino Payet Ozil NyomI'd rather get rid of Payet and bring him back after the second blank.
cheers Poch
Or earlier if you want, but if you're desperate to get XI this week, move Nyom and Payet on
Silva or siggy?
Siggy
Should I sell Azpi or Bellerin?
Azpi
Is Arnie > Gradel mad?
I like Gradel, he's a very good player but I'm not sure if he's still that good after coming back from a long injury, too early imo.
Worth taking a hit to field a full XI this week?
Seen a lot of "depends" answers to this Q previously.. but i think you should.. every single time.
One hit, if you can't field 11
Would be looking to move one of Ozil, Payet, or Barkley
cash for Payet -> Silva? If not, Yaya?
I've got 2.4ITB - 10.5 to spend if I move Payet
Silva in would be my move then
Yep I think thats where I will go, City v Norwich looks tasty
Which ever one you have the least value in, because you will probably want them back when there dgw comes calling
which position? Almost always yes though.
Thanks all!
If Man City's DGW fixture is schedule for GW34, do we then exclude all City assets in our GW36 WCs and field 15 DGWers in GW37.. Specifically, do we exclude Aguero?
thanks!
I would put him in for 36 ft him out then probably ft him back
actually, wouldnt play him at Southampton, would roll my 36 ft then probably get back for gw38 as one of two fts.
when are the er,.. dgws?
I think I read 34 and 37 right.. or did I imagine that.likely to be scheduled then.. nothing confirmed as yet
Butland
Simpson, Toby, VVD
Mahrez, Alli, Özil*, Arnie
Vardy, Aguero, Kane
Hennessey, Payet*, Bellerin*, Azpi*
2FT, 1.0 ITB
Any Help?
Similar position as me. Either get Kompany for Bellerin/Azpi or get Silva for Payet/Ozil
Shift Sanchez out for Silva and play 343 of sell Ward for Kompany and play 433?
the latter
Cheers
If City get a dgw34, then if you can get to this team that I will post below (or cheaper players from same teams if funds are tight) then you can have 11 doublers in gw34 and at least 10 maybe 11 starters in gw35. Saving WC for gw36.
Looks decent. GW37 may mean more rotation and more teams at the beach.
Yh that's a huge worry, I've just got a nice little mental image of my rivals cursing me when I BB in 37 🙂
Looks ok, shame that I have nothing close to it
Not sure about Moreno (he's cursed) and Ighalo but it looks good!
We're all going to have to play really smart now.Moreno can change to Janmaat or WBA or WAT defender. He's just there as a filler for now
Right, this is actually frying my brain. SSell Payet for Siggy or get a defender nd play 4/3/3 benching Payet. It would cost me 0.4 mil to get Payet back.
4-3-3
The smart money seems to be on this strategy. I just can see Siggy doing very well next couple of weeks.
Shall I play 5-2-3 (with Simpson, Daniels, Toby, VVD and Williams), or do Sanchez to Sigurdsson?
Best use of a FT here fellas 4.6itb
Currently 10 players, Just need to ship one of the players listed below for the 11 man team for GW30
Kompany best option right now?
Lloris VVD Simpson
A -Koscielny >> Kompany
B - Jagielka >> Kompany
C - Azpilicueta >> Kompany
Do I sell ozil or samchez to YaYa or silva this week?
Or go boring and do Dawson to Daniels instead?Sanchez, surely - unless you didn't buy Ozil cheap.
Thanks just afraid of missing his eventual haul
Got to get through these next two weeks without Toby. The one player I fear not owning.
Seems like everyone has really similar teams in general though.Yeah, but now everyone here does people have stopped using the word template lol.
Asked earlier but didn't seem to be any on.
Ultimate question if anyone is in who plays :
Or doesn't matter, h2h league of two. You have 12 players this gw, full team of 11 and a sub on the second game day. They have 12 also but no keepers, 4 strikers and only 2 defenders.
So they have to either make at least 1 loan for 3 points to have 11 played at the end of the game week. I'm thinking of doing at least 1 but possibly 4 loans just so I have some flexibility this gw, what do you think?No idea, interesting name change and grav.
Whats your 12?
I'm just rolling with a squad of 13 as they're all goodNot a great 12:
Lloris
Kolarov, Smith, Williams, munisia, targett
Silva, mahrez, Alli, King (bou)
Kun
Shelvey on the benchyeahhhh get in Kane and Vardy
@ Carrick and Balders + any other SKY players (Don't thank me just send cash).
Chosen Sunday/Monday player you have but want to end up with.
Saturday; Aguero (C) also transfer in for a S/M player best Saturday player for the S/M,
Hang on this looks pants but you get the idea.
I can come up with a specific process but I need tea and the family need me atm.ooh I get you, an FT for Aguero -> unowned spurs (Eriksen) then switch captain to Vardy. Then next week do Siggy/Ramsey -> Aguero Saturday night?
love it ILF 🙂
Think I've got my team sorted, your thoughts?
Hart
Toby . Huth . Daniels . VVD
Mahrez . Yaya . Alli
Aguero (c) . Vardy . Kane (vc)
Butland . Ivanovic . Özil . Firmino
Morning DZ, what's to do here?
Schmeichel
Alderwerield, Van Dijk, Cedric
Sanchez*, Siggy, Mahrez, Alli
Kun, Vardy, Ighalo*
Butland, Ozil*, Monreal*, Jagielka*
2FT, 1.1m
If i get Kane for Ighali i have 7.4m on a Sanchez replacement. Thoughts appreciated
Ayew maybe a decent punt in that price bracket. Or Arnie/Shaq though the fixture isn't too plum.
Cheers bud, was thinking Arnie but yea like the Ayew shout a lot.
Butland Ruddy
Kompany Huth Walker Moreno* Belllerin*
Arnautovic Mahrez Alli Özil* Payet*
Aguero Kane Vardy
A) Sell Moreno, play 433
B) Sell Payet/ÖzilB with Payet and then yo-yo him back in next week. Rest of your team is well enough sorted you could probably do with burning next transfer getting Payet back. Get Silva or Siggy.
Thanks alot Walsh! Think I'm getting Silva 🙂
Might lean Siggy. Silva has the pedigree but has attempted a total of zero shots in last two fixtures puts me off him a bit...
Thanks, I'll think about it. Currently leaning towards Silva because it bothers me that I had a chance to get Siggy last round and didn't take it 😉
