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11 March 2016 1466 comments
Paul Paul
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Friday afternoon continues with our usual pre-Gameweek members article, as we cast an eye over the captaincy conundrum ahead of the weekend’s five fixtures. As always, we analyse the Opta data for the main contenders and assess the team statistics and Rate My Team’s reckoning, before rounding off with our opinion on the current poll standings in light of the data analysis, including our view on differential captains.

The Captain Poll

Once again, Sergio Aguero is the clear leader in our poll. After bagging a brace in City’s 4-0 thrashing of Villa, the Argentine has collected over 56% of the votes cast ahead of a trip to a Norwich side that’s shipped 12 goals in their last four at Carrow Road.

Somewhat surprisingly, Harry Kane has been earmarked by just 20% for a trip to Villa. The Tottenham frontman has netted four times in his last quartet of road trips and is now up against a dire defence that’s conceded 15 times in four and have one foot in the Championship.

Below that duo, Riyad Mahrez (7%) and Jamie Vardy (5%) are shaping us as major armband differentials for Leicester’s home encounter with a Newcastle outfit that’s lost six on the bounce away from home. Whilst Vardy has struggled for returns of late, with a goal and assist in five, Mahrez has stepped up his consistency and produced points in five of the last seven Gameweeks, including an 11-point haul at Watford last time out.

Beyond them, the likes of Josh King, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Christian Eriksen, David Silva and Dele Alli are have the potential to spring a surprise, with 2% or less backing so far.

Are these current standings backed by the underlying statistics?

Let’s start breaking down the player and team data for their respective last four matches and shed a little more light on the situation.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

  1. JK - Cønt ⭐
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    well, this was helpful

    not

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Rude.

      Paul's put time and effort into this, JK!

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      You weaael

  2. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Silva or Arnie as my Yaya replacement?

    Opinions please!

    1. The Handsome Hunk
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Silva

  3. The Handsome Hunk
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Targett to Williams for -4 ??

  4. Eden Hazardous
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Wow! Yaya Toure(c) locked then!

    Thanks Paul 😉

  5. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    This has not cleared my decision up between Kane and Kun 🙁

    1. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      nor mine

    2. The Handsome Hunk
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I think Kane is the way to go as no YAYA will diminish his attack.

    3. stumanchuu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I have both, going Kun, seems to save me every week he is fit...

    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Do your thing Sergio 🙂

  6. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Alexis to wijnaldum ? Have 11 players for this gw and 2 ft...

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Short answer: no
      Long answer: nooooooooooooooooooo

    2. Frank Black
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Wijnaldum is a home boy and he has three away games in the next four(Leicester included).

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I've just done Barkley -> Wijny if it makes you feel better. Wouldn't sell Alexis though.

  7. CPanc
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Ageuro it is (c). Planning should finally allow to close gap on ML.

    So a bit of help here please. Sterling or Silva? For Man City midfielder?

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Silva

      1. CPanc
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks

  8. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    The stats on recent defensive performances are frightening if I don't captain Kane!

    1. Eden Hazardous
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      My logic is that Kane will

      a)Share goals/assists
      b)Share bonus points
      c)He is not the best player in the league*

      *Maybe I am going hard on him 😛

      1. GreenWindmill
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        There's enough points pie to go around for everyone in the team to have a slice against Villa though!

        1. Eden Hazardous
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 10 months ago

          You talk as if Villa gonna conceded 6-7!!

          1. GreenWindmill
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 10 months ago

            Would it be that big a surprise?

            1. Eden Hazardous
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 10 months ago

              Yes.

              1. GreenWindmill
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                9 years, 10 months ago

                Anyway, it's really just about them conceding comparatively more than Norwich - certainly a trend that's been the case for a while.

          2. Frank Black
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 10 months ago

            Well...Villa has conceded 9 goals in the last three games and 15 in the last four. Norwich only 4 in the last three and 6 in the last four, so....

      2. Defcons are for Kinnear
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Me too. I have Eriksen/Alli/Kane so all bases should be covered and only Kun(c) from City

    2. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      A good point of reference may be the highlights of City v Villa from last weekend. Made Kane the clear choice for me

      1. jaybommber
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        What minutes did Alli and eriksen play last night..
        Pick one for a gamble.
        Leader has a 80 pt lead and alli.

        1. Respect My Authoritah
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 10 months ago

          Eriksen in your case

          1. jaybommber
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 10 months ago

            Cheers. If I go alli I can get back Sanchez, now it's the standard ozil

  9. halnone
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    ffs I'm down to 6 players this week. I did not plan well....

    a..am I a casual?

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      lol

    2. Hooky
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Bold moves are required

  10. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Not sure on how to feel. McClaren had to go. Fact. I just can't see why Rafa would sign up for 3 years, albeit with a relegation clause. He's way above our league even by his worst critics. Maybe his reputation has fallen recently. One thing that comes to my mind is his cup record is fantastic and I see this as the main reason for his appointment. The move does lack long term stability and his lack of experience in relegation compared to BFS is a worry. 

    Nevertheless I'm still pleased for following reasons. 
    -McClaren was taking us down. 
    -Rafa is the biggest name we could get and if this doesn't galvanise the club then nothing will.

    I'm a cautiously optimistic but 2009 wasn't long ago and this season has been very similar to that. We got Shearer in around this time, bought Nolan (Shelvey) to add some grit in the team and Saylor /Collocini were our CBS.

    1. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Spencer kindly asked for my thoughts earlier so here's a quick reply

  11. Frank Black
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Is Rose ok or is he out? I've got a feeling that Davies is going to play anyway.

    1. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Ok according to his brother: https://youtu.be/rKAZsV5Y7Zg?t=57s

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        that's impressive . How did you find that ?

      2. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Wow, thanks.

      3. Frank Black
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        His brother should be Danny's back up in the squad instead of Davies.

  12. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    BIG CHANCES CONCEDED! 🙂

    1. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      good point Doos

    2. Eden Hazardous
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      BIG CHANCES AGUERO

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        He just played Villa = Kane C.

    3. Frank Black
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Who are you captaining Doosra? Kun or Kane?

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Eriksen

    4. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Wow, didn't expect Norwich to have so many!

    5. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Sarcasm noted. 🙂

  13. weaver93
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Aaagh

    Which one??
    A:Dawson to Kompany
    B:or Sanchez/Payet to Silva
    C:or both -4

    Forster (Hennessey)

    Dier,Simpson,Dawson*,Wollischied Targett

    Sanchez* Payet* Mahrez Arnie Lingard*

    Kun Kane Vardy...

    Worth a -4

    ITB 4.3M
    cheers guys

  14. Tronity
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    I'm sure I'm not the first to ask this but is Ozil > Silva a good move for my FT?

  15. Paganoi
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Looks like I have to play 4-3-3 thanks to Yaya. The question now is what swap to make:

    Payet or Yaya > Siggy or Silva

    1. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Yaya > Siggy

  16. stumanchuu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Currently can only field 10 players...

    Kazri and Payet to Ali and Siggy for a - 4?

    Yea or Nay?

    1. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Just the one transfer, Khazri to Siggy if you can afford it, otherwise Alli

      1. stumanchuu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Can do Khazri to Alli only, not enough funds for Siggy w/ out Payet...and cheers

  17. Ed
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Hi guys, got 2FTS and struggling to decide where to make a transfer...

    Hennessey Forster
    Aldy Williams Daniels Fuchs Kompany
    Ozil Alli Payet Siggy Mahrez
    Aguero Kane Vardy

    0.8m itb. Is it worth doing Payet > Yaya & benching one of Kompany/Siggy

    1. stumanchuu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Yaya injured

  18. Elijah's Wood
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    No stand out transfers this week IMO:

    A) Moreno > Bavies/Rose

    B) save FT and play with 10 men (3-3-3)

    Schmeichel
    Wolly Williams VVD
    Mahrez Alli Siggy
    Kane Aguero Vardy
    (Elliot Sanchez Payet Moreno Dawson)

    1. stumanchuu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      takes up a Spurs spot and neither guaranteed...maybe save...

  19. Chris_H
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    I think it's one of those weeks where you pick who you like and don't kick yourself! There really is nothing to call between them.

    I think for me it comes down to numbers, Tottenham have scored 24 away, City only 13.

    1. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      I agree, but Aguero is at the head of City attack whereas Spurs players have been sharing the points between Kane, Erikson, Alli

  20. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Who's on Shaqiri?
    Worth a punt instead of Yaya, just seen Najtaj's post about him being injured?

    1. FFFrog
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah I wonder who his inside man is?

    2. Hooky
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Gerard Piqué

  21. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    There must be a mistake at Norwich BC conceded in last 4.

    1. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Don't think so...

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      They aren't as bad as many think defensively.

      1. Frank Black
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Over the last four games Villa has conceded 9 more goals than Norwich. NINE.

        1. S.Kuqi
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 10 months ago

          Yeah. Thats a lot 😐

          1. Frank Black
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 10 months ago

            And they've played against good/great teams too: West Ham, Leicester, Chelsea and Swansea.

    3. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      They've lost 8 out of their last 9 for a reason

  22. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    When looking at last 4 stats, it's important to consider who they played against in those games imo. So here's a side sheet for the article:

    City: LEI TOT liv AVL
    Spurs: mci SWA whu ARS

    Norwich: WHM lei CHE swa
    Villa: LIV stk EVE mci

    Villa have faced tough opposition imo, so their defensive stats are expected to be bad. It's a close call this week between Kun and Kane...

    1. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Context is always important - I agree. Thanks for this.

    2. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Sorry but what are you trying to say?

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        according to this Norwich have defended well against good attacking teams right?

      2. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Just giving the last 4 for context. Use as you want...

        There was no hidden agenda.

        1. S.Kuqi
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 10 months ago

          Who are you capping btw?

          1. Piggs Boson
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 10 months ago

            Not sure yet. Probably Kun.

    3. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Opposition strength seems fairly even to me

    4. Frank Black
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Huh? Norwich has played against West Ham and Leicester who are doing much better than Liverpool, Stoke, Everton or City. Chelsea too has been in much better form than City for example.

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Strictly speaking about the strength of their attack in that part. Liverpool Everton and City are very strong in attack.

        Leicester have been poor offensively recently, Chelsea haven't been tearing up trees either...

        .
        Just an opinion. Only use the fixturess I listed if you disagree with that sentence.

  23. Gianfranco Zola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    How would you rate Shelvey (5.3m) as a 5th mid option? Good fixtures and potential DGW. New manager effect possibly.

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      No

    2. Vincent Adultman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Assist to the assister type

  24. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Holy cow - West Ham are just 3 points behind Arsenal?!?!?!?

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      They'll drop off, they always do 🙂

    1. Eden Hazardous
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      😯

  25. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Giggs - im back from my coma

    So what now?

  26. CPanc
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Why is everyone just talking about Silva? No love for sterling? He can hit 4 in a game

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      If a game lasts 10 000 minutes.

    2. The Handsome Hunk
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Are you talking of Shots off target ? 😛

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Sterling should quit football and become a shelf stacker

    4. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Not from the bench

      1. CPanc
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Ok i get all your points here. Time to dive in to stats. Wish me luck fellows. Finally a GW where topper in my ML is having only 6 players

    5. Pasqualinho
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Wouldn't be a bad shout if you can guarantee he'll get 90 - but he's all too often only a sub.

    6. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      If the nets are vastly wider

      1. CPanc
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks all. Seems verdict is unanimous

  27. Papaoutai
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Should i use my FT or save it for the DGW ? 7,3 ITB, WC/AOA/BB/TC available

    Elliot

    (Targett), Huth, Dier

    Arnautovic, Mahrez, Alli, Sigurdsson

    Vardy, Kane, Agüero

    Subs : Hennessey, Payet, Cresswell, Dawson

  28. AdamJ91
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    Daniels or Targett?

    Need to bring either one of them in to replace YYT, presume the obvious choice is Daniels?

    1. Gianfranco Zola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Targett hasnt started the last 2. Was he injured?

      1. CPanc
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 10 months ago

        Seems out of favor again. They did concede in both. Hopefully gets a call based on that fact

    2. Lucy.
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      For the love of God, leave Targett alone.

  29. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 10 months ago

    What changes to do ???

    Butland / Forster

    Daniels / Huth / VVD / Kosc / Ward

    Mahrez / Siggy / Arnautovic / Alli / Ozil

    Kane / Aguero / Vardy

    1. Hooky
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      None

    2. La Vida Latte
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 10 months ago

      Looks fine. You´ve got a starting 11. Maybe ward or Kosc out if you want a bench back up. But better save it to next week