Spot the Differential
14 May 2016 1881 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
Share:

We head into Gameweek 38 with many mini-leagues still on the line, as Fantasy managers seek some last-minute inspiration. This time around, Liverpool’s midweek goal hero is joined by City’s up-and-coming young striker and Southampton’s Senegal marksman in our quest for differential success.

Christian Benteke

Understandably, Jurgen Klopp is primed to name a second-string side for Liverpool’s trip to West Bromwich Albion, given that Liverpool are schedule to clash with Sevilla in the Europa League final on Wednesday. Daniel Sturridge appears unlikely to play any part at The Hawthorns, which paves the way for Christian Benteke (8.0) to spearhead the Reds’ attack. Despite notching just 180 minutes across his previous five appearances, the Belgian frontman mustered three goals and one assist, with a last-gasp midweek leveler at home to Chelsea sure to boost his confidence.

Although Benteke was only granted a 16-minute cameo against the Blues, he charts joint-third for attempts (nine) and joint-second for shots inside the box (seven) among forwards in his last two outings. Taking the season in its entirety, Benteke’s goal frequency (one every 173 minutes) is only bettered by five counterparts who’ve amassed at least 1000 minutes of pitch time. The same can be said of his shot frequency (26.4), which places sixth under the same parameters.

Liverpool’s concluding match-up pits them against a Baggies outfit that’s recorded just five clean sheets at home all term. In addition, only six teams have conceded more big chances on their own turf (30). Liverpool’s attack on the road also measures up favourably – Tottenham Hotspur are the only team that’s chalked up more attempts (272 vs 252) than Liverpool, underlining their swashbuckling style away from home under Klopp.

Kelechi Iheanacho

In the wake of back-to-back braces against Stoke City and Southampton – which boosted his tally to seven goals (695 minutes) for the season – Kelechi Iheanacho (4.8) shot onto our radar as a tantalising budget forward. Having started each of the last three, the Nigerian marksman will be savouring the prospect of taking on a Swansea outfit that’s missing key first-team regulars such as Ashley Williams, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Lukasz Fabianski.

Razor-sharp finishing has been Iheanacho’s most striking attribute, illustrated by the fact that he ranks top among all forwards for shot-conversion rate (31.3%). Moreover, only Sergio Aguero (98 minutes) lays claim to a superior goal frequency (110.7). Illustrating how central he’s become to the Sky Blues’ attack in recent fixtures, Iheanacho ranks joint-second for touches (181) and second for touches in the final third (95) among forwards since Gameweek 35.

Swansea managed convincing victories over Liverpool and West Ham United in their last pair of outings, yet Man City will be heartened that only three teams shipped more goals (nine) in their previous quartet of league ties. The Swans also surrendered the joint-fourth-most shots inside the box (38) and the second-most big chances (13), obliging defensive form that could play into the hands of the league’s top-scoring attack.

Sadio Mane

Given that Sadio Mane (7.4) has recovered from the virus that forced him off early against Spurs, it would be remiss for us not to shine a spotlight on the 5%-owned winger.

Mane – who netted a three-minute hat-trick in the final home clash of last season – boasts five goals in four starts and next faces a Crystal Palace team that will surely be shuffled ahead of their FA Cup final date with Manchester United next weekend.

Scrutinising the underlying stats, Mane ranked joint-top among midfielders for shots on target (seven) across his previous four appearances. It’s also worth noting that, despite registering just 281 minutes, he accrued three more penalty-box touches (31) than any of his midfield rivals. In home matches, the Senegalese wide man ranks second among midfielders for shots inside the box (35) and joint-second for shots on target (18).

Mane has five double-figure hauls to his name this term, which highlights his potential for explosive returns against an Eagles rearguard that places joint-bottom for shut-outs (two) and fourth for goals conceded (31) since Gameweek 20. Alan Pardew’s men will certainly be tested by a Saints attack that bagged 10 goals in their previous trio of home encounters and placed top for goals (11) across their last four outings.

  1. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Best transfer this week?
    A. Sturidge > Vardy
    B. Sturidge and Lingard > Vardy and Tadic (-4) play all out attack
    C. Sturidge and Gabriel > Giroud and any def (-4)
    D. Sturidge and Carroll > Kane and Long/Deeney (-4)

    Winning mini league by 45pts if that makes any difference

    1. Bartowski
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      If you've got the chip left, I'd do B

      1. Feed tha Sheep
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I know it makes sense to use the chip but is it really that beneficial..comes down to Cresswell or Tadic (-4)?

        1. Bartowski
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Eh you're winning your league by miles, so miles as well use it.

          Would be very surprised of Cress outscored Tad

    2. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A or B, depends on your defence

      1. Feed tha Sheep
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Def would be Bellerin Gabriel and Cresswell?

    3. Big Mac 24
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Would be a shock if Cresswell equals Tadic, West Ham have 1 cleano in 9 I think and have to push on to score today.

  2. xtina
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    If i'm ahead (just about...by 15 points), is it better to get players matching my rival, or to have differentials?

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Tough one but I think just pick players that you think will score well and if they happen to be players he owns then all good and well

    2. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Same boat. Think mine will be a diff, but logic would suggest match

    3. LÖrKingMuch
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Depends on who the players are you'd be looking to match to protect your lead. Avoid taking hits in any case I'd say.

  3. pundit of punts
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone watching IPL?

    Kohli and ABD just had an amazing partnership. 229 runs. Both scored hundreds.

    Best T 20 partnership imo. What great hitting!

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      thanks for the survey replies... good luck on the final day !

      1. pundit of punts
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks HOH. Hope I beat the drop. Sorry for the delay.

  4. jernej93
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Aguero vs Sanchez for captain? 🙂

    I would say Aguero because Swansea looks really poor, missing 4 key players (Williams, Fabianski, Siggy, Ki) and West Ham should have scored 3 or 4 at least 🙂

    1. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Villa worst defence in the league.
      Swansea in form & signed new manager.
      Sanchez home or Kun away.

      1. jernej93
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Swansea looks really poor since they have nothing to play for anymore 🙂

    2. Bartowski
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'm doing Aguero. More to play for. Better form. Better position for goals.

      Plus I can imagine Sanchez being taken off once they're got a good lead for one of the players that are leaving

      1. jernej93
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Last 4 games - Shots conceded (Shots on target)

        Aston Villa - 9(3), 18(6), 17(7), 13(4)

        Swansea - 25(7), 11(3), 18 (9), 12(7)

        1. Woy of the Wovers
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          We get it. You're choosing Aguero.

  5. Heels_Over_Head
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Seeking:

    Newman-cini
    Borghino007
    Ellipsis
    Zasa
    Jaffalicioius!
    Arvin
    Moosie The Staggie
    Slimboyslim
    Fuzzy Warbles
    Holmes
    Gazpilicueta
    John Terry's Dog (a dog like no other)

    Please report to the Knocks & Niggles commissioner's office

    1. Billy Gilmore
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Uh oh, someone's in trouble...

  6. FISSH
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Payet to mane or De Bruyne guys? Or just leave payet

    1. jernej93
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      why Payet out???

      1. FISSH
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        West ham resting players

        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          You what? 😕

        2. Bartowski
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          No

        3. Cilly Bonnolly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Really?! Aren't they playing for a Europa League spot? Can't see Payet not playing.

        4. Lynxy
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          So true, nobody likes Europa! lol

    2. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      inclined to keep Payet but a KDB would be nice

    3. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Wouldn't want to lose Payet but, of those, KDB. Can see City scoring a few against Swansea with Fabuanski and Williams not playing.

      1. Cilly Bonnolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        *Fabianski

      2. Konig Luther
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        we said the same last week (but fabianski played that one) and they won 4-1..

        1. Cilly Bonnolly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Yeah, that wasn't against a City side with something to play for and Aguero chasing the golden boot though.

  7. Cilly Bonnolly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    I have to take a hit to do Sturridge to Aguero don't I? I'm fifteen ahead, he has Aguero.

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      yes

      1. Cilly Bonnolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Would you take that hit, even if the other player you transferred in you have no intention of playing? Asked this a few times but still not sure. 😀 The other transfer would be De Gea to Ruddy. Going to play Cech.

        1. Heels_Over_Head
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          if you need the money to get Aguero, then yes

          1. Cilly Bonnolly
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            Thanks man.

        2. TheTinman
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          This makes perfect sense btw

    2. jernej93
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      He will probably captain Aguero and you could be in real trouble 🙂

      1. Cilly Bonnolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Haha. I might captain Aguero but knowing my luck he'll transfer in Sanchez and captain him, and he'll go nuts against Villa. 😀

        1. TheTinman
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Captain the Sanchez hat trick. Getting Aguero in is enough, if he captains Kun then more fool him

          1. Cilly Bonnolly
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            That is my plan I think.

    3. Baron Saturday
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Yes you do. Is your other transfer necessary to get the funds?

      1. Cilly Bonnolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Yes. See reply above. Going to transfer in someone to bench which seems mental but it's better than any of the other options which involve getting rid of players I want to keep.

        1. Baron Saturday
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          No, that makes sense and I'd do the same. I would very uncomfortable not having Kun in your situation. Can you imagine the stress!

          1. Cilly Bonnolly
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            There's not a big enough couch to watch that game from behind!

    4. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'm in the same boat but mine involves taking out Hazard 🙁

      1. Cilly Bonnolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        That is infinitely trickier. No other way?

      2. Cordomver
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I did Hazard to Mane to afford Carroll to Kun to block my rival.
        Hazard is not going to score 2 or 3 vs Leicester, Kun might vs Swansea...
        Too big a risk not to have Kun when defending and your rival does have him.

  8. Bartowski
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Tadic or Mane?

    Best out of 10...

    1. jernej93
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Tadic

    2. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Mane

    3. Baron Saturday
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Tempted by Mane for some impact but the form of Tadic is hard to deny

      1. Numb
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Form? Mane just scored a hattrick against City!

    4. Worzel Gummidge
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Mane for me.

      • Sean.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Got Tadic but would have Mane if i had the funds

      • The Red Devil
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Tadic, consistent point scorer + on pens

      • Woy of the Wovers
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Tadic 9/10 - Mane 7/10

      • Big Mac 24
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Mane

    5. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Which is better?

      A- Hazard + Giroud + Lukaku

      B- Ozil + Aguero + Carrol (-4)

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        or C

        KDB + Lukaku + Giroud (-4)

      2. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        A

    6. Who Ate All Depays?
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Guys, what changes would you suggest?

      Migs*
      Bellerin / Gabriel / Cresswell
      Sanchez / Hazard / Coutinho* / Payet
      Aguero / Kane / Defoe*
      (Robles* / Lanzini/ Simpson / Darmian*)

      A) Coutinho -> Mane / Tadic
      B) Mignolet & Cout -> Forster & Mane/Tadic (-4)
      C) Mignolet & Cout -> DDG & Tadic (-4)
      D) any other suggestion

      1. Baron Saturday
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        All great options mate. Possibly B by a smidgen

    7. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      How do feel about this lads?

      Darlow
      Pva Bellerin
      Townsend Hazard Payet Tadic Sanchez (c)
      Kun Giroud Defoe

      Using my AoA chip

      1. Hammers Select
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Nervous about DeFoe time on the pitch.

        1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          same here... heard a couple of comments saying that Sam will let him play to increase his chances of going to Euros :/

    8. Baron Saturday
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Transferring a defender this week - how boring.

      Best for 5.1 or under.

      Currently playing Morgan, Rose, Bellerin. Considering Valencia because I'm unsure of PvA not playing. Cheers

      1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Gabriel ?

        1. Baron Saturday
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Interesting. Thanks

    9. rnrd
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Hi guys
      i am 14 points Ahead in my league before Gw38.
      Rival has a front Line of lukaku - Costa - defoe so I guess he Will drop Costa and keep lukaku.

      My front Line is martial - lukaku - Deeney. i am planning to bring Giroud in and for money recasons I can only drop Either martial or lukaku.

      What would you do in my shoes?
      My idea is to block rival and keep lukaku so to drop martial. My aim at this stage of the competition is to win my league.

      Would you drop
      A- martial
      V- lukaku
      ?

      1. LÖrKingMuch
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        If he does what you expect he'll do then V makes sense 😉

    10. Sean.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Is there a Scout League for Euro 16, ?

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        League Code: 01011DGH

        1. Sean.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Cheers

    11. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Already have Bello and Gabs starting, who to join them:

      A) PVA
      B) Cresswell
      C) Fuchs

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        B

        1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          A

    12. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Got a funny feeling Ramsey will outscore Tadic & Mane, RMT agrees...

      1. d1sable
        • Has Moderation Rights
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Mentioned him on the scoutcast, a good chance of that imo

    13. boombaba
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Azpil, Cathcart or PVA today? Pick one

      1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Pva

    14. upthemiddle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      13 pts behind my mini-league leader.

      Need to get rid of Firmino.

      Can't afford KDB so thinking Tadic or Mane. Most seem to be bringing in Tadic but does Mane have more potential explosiveness plus he seems to have recovered from the virus.

      1. ZLATAN'S PONYTAIL
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        True. I debated it too but Tadic seems to have been more consistent for points. Id wait to ensure that Mane plays. See if you have any news trickling in later.

        Helps not disclose your move to your rival who could try and block you. I would 🙂

    15. 50pipsDaily
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      6 pts behind ML leader, so

      A) Coutinho & Sturridge out for Mane & Vardy/Kane

      Or

      B) Coutinho & Lanzini out for Mane & Tadic (bench Sturridge)

    16. boosted83
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Will Mignolet start? or should i take a hit and bring in Forster?

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Hit for Forster is risky. Needs a CS or you lose. Sot didn't keep a cs in a while

        1. boosted83
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          I know. What about Schmeichel? CS away to Chelsea?

    17. All about the galacticos
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      have 3 arsenal
      bellerin, sanchez, iwobi
      is it worth -4, to take out iwobi to giroud?

      1. Jimmers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Anyone better than Iwobi available from your bench? Not sure if -4 would be worth it

      2. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I did Carroll, Iwobi to Giroud, Tadic for -4. Risky, but a final roll of the dice.

    18. Nohzee
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Mahrez to Tadic worth it for a -4 hit? I probably won't play any other Leicester players (only have Fuchs)

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Chelsea not very good defensively so would just play Mahrez.

    19. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      a) Coutinho to Tadic/ Mane
      b) Defoe to Long
      c) Lukaku + Coutinho to Aguero + Stanislas for -4

      If I play C, it means I will bench Stanislas and not use my AOA

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        A

    20. jernej93
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Hazard - Tadic - Sanchez - Lanzini - Payet
      Carroll - Aguero - (Defoe)

      Worth any hits? 🙂

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        If you have money in the bank and have one Arsenal spot left then maybe, otherwise no.

    21. Az
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Chasing 21 points

      Sturridge -->

      A: Long
      B: Vardy
      C: Martial
      D: Rashford

      &

      Milner -->

      1: No-one (play Cresswell)
      2: Tadic (-4)
      3: Mane (-4)
      4: De Bruyne (-4)

      Thanks 🙂

    22. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      When you click Fabianski it says 'Fatigue, expected back 13th August' never knew fatigue lasts that long 😛

    23. Slacker
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Defoe or Carroll?

    24. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Tadic and Mane likely to get equal mins? If not, who plays more?

    25. Aston-villain
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Are any team lineups out?

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        About 24 hours.

    26. SpaceCadet
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Anything worth a hit here or good to go?

      Darlow
      Smalling Gabriel clyne
      Ozil Sanchez fabregas payet mane
      Kun deeney

      Robles Carroll Reid Simpson

      1. Milner4eva
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Looks sweet, one of the best rmt teams I've seen