Shrewd Corner - Gameweek 1 - Best FPL Tips, Advice, Team News, Picks, and Statistics from Fantasy Football Scout

Price Change Predictions

	Player	Club	Factors
Up	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	A, Vs
No Change	Keane	EVE	B, Vs, Inj
Up	Mukiele	SUN	A, £
Up	van Hecke	BHA	C, Vs
Up	Cash	AVL	C, Vs
Up	Thiaw	NEW	C, Vs
No Change	Marc Guehi	CRY	C
Down	van Dijk	LIV	B
Down	O’Reilly	MCI	C
Down	Andersen	FUL	B

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Rogers	AVL	7.6m	99.2%	Likely
Garner	EVE	5.1m	99.4%	Maybe
Saliba	ARS	5.9m	92.7%	Unlikely
Kelleher	BRE	4.5m	89.1%	Unlikely
Ødegaard	ARS	7.8m	88.8%	Unlikely
Enzo	CHE	6.4m	84.3%	Unlikely
Gabriel	ARS	6.7m	83.0%	Unlikely
Dorgu	MUN	4.2m	81.9%	Unlikely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	74.4%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.4m	73.3%	Unlikely
Frimpong	LIV	5.7m	67.3%	Unlikely
Roefs	SUN	4.9m	62.3%	Unlikely
Bruno G.	NEW	7.2m	61.5%	Unlikely
E.Le Fée	SUN	4.9m	55.3%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	54.8%	Unlikely
Thiaw	NEW	5.1m	53.1%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	50.6%	Unlikely
Mané	WOL	4.5m	48.4%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	7.1m	48.7%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	7.3m	45.3%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	46.8%	Unlikely
Wissa	NEW	7.3m	46.9%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	45.5%	Unlikely
McGinn	AVL	5.4m	44.7%	Unlikely
Xhaka	SUN	5.2m	44.3%	Unlikely
L.Paquetá	WHU	5.9m	43.8%	Unlikely
Tielemans	AVL	5.9m	43.5%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	43.3%	Unlikely
Konaté	LIV	5.4m	42.1%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.5m	42.4%	Unlikely
Šeško	MUN	7.2m	40.9%	Unlikely
Lewis-Potter	BRE	4.9m	40.6%	Unlikely
Cherki	MCI	6.8m	41.4%	Unlikely
Hall	NEW	5.3m	37.4%	Unlikely
Kayode	BRE	4.5m	37.4%	Unlikely
James	CHE	5.7m	36.7%	Unlikely
Martinez	MUN	4.8m	34.9%	Unlikely
Mykolenko	EVE	4.9m	34.0%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.5m	33.2%	Unlikely
Wharton	CRY	5.0m	33.3%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Marc Guiu	CHE	4.3m	100.1%	Very Likely
Bettinelli	MCI	3.9m	96.1%	Maybe
Fraser	WOL	4.3m	96.4%	Maybe
Bellegarde	WOL	5.2m	96.4%	Maybe
Sousa	AVL	3.9m	95.9%	Maybe
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.5%	Unlikely
Adams	BOU	5.0m	94.3%	Unlikely
Robertson	LIV	5.8m	93.6%	Unlikely
Lewis	MCI	4.7m	92.9%	Unlikely
Fer López	WOL	5.2m	91.9%	Unlikely
Abdullahi	SUN	4.3m	92.0%	Unlikely
Mount	MUN	5.9m	90.5%	Unlikely
Harriman-Annous	ARS	4.5m	90.7%	Unlikely
Dowman	ARS	4.3m	90.4%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	5.0m	90.3%	Unlikely
Damsgaard	BRE	5.8m	88.7%	Unlikely
G.Rodriguez	WHU	4.8m	89.5%	Unlikely
Ward-Prowse	WHU	5.6m	87.8%	Unlikely
Rees-Dottin	BOU	4.4m	87.4%	Unlikely
Marsh	CRY	4.5m	86.4%	Unlikely
Kudus	TOT	6.4m	85.5%	Unlikely
Kovačić	MCI	5.9m	82.1%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	82.7%	Unlikely
Arthur	BRE	3.9m	82.3%	Unlikely
Phillips	MCI	4.8m	80.7%	Unlikely
Cunha	MUN	8.2m	76.7%	Unlikely
Roberts	BUR	4.4m	79.4%	Unlikely
Gana	EVE	5.4m	77.2%	Unlikely
Poveda	SUN	4.8m	76.8%	Unlikely
Henderson	CRY	5.1m	75.1%	Unlikely
M.Salah	LIV	14.0m	74.6%	Unlikely
Meslier	LEE	4.2m	72.4%	Unlikely
R.Williams	LIV	3.8m	70.4%	Unlikely
Bergvall	TOT	5.3m	68.8%	Unlikely
Neil	SUN	4.8m	70.5%	Unlikely
Peart-Harris	BRE	4.4m	70.2%	Unlikely
Ebere	EVE	4.4m	69.0%	Unlikely
Bajcetic	LIV	4.3m	69.8%	Unlikely
Grealish	EVE	6.5m	67.4%	Unlikely
Nichols	ARS	3.8m	68.6%	Unlikely

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	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C, Vs
No Change	Pickford	EVE	B, Vs
Up	Verbruggen	BHA	C, Vs
Up	Martinez	AVL	C, Vs
No Change	Kelleher	BRE	A
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	B, £

Last updated: 3 Jan, 2026 9:39am

	Player	Club	Factors
Up	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	A, Vs
No Change	Keane	EVE	B, Vs, Inj
Up	Mukiele	SUN	A, £
Up	van Hecke	BHA	C, Vs
Up	Cash	AVL	C, Vs
Up	Thiaw	NEW	C, Vs
No Change	Marc Guehi	CRY	C
Down	van Dijk	LIV	B
Down	O’Reilly	MCI	C
Down	Andersen	FUL	B

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	A, Vs
No Change	Foden	MCI	B
No Change	Matheus Cunha	MUN	B
Up	Rogers	AVL	A, Vs
Up	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	B, Vs
Down	Semenyo	BOU	A
Down	Wirtz	LIV	A
No Change	Grealish	EVE	C, Vs
No Change	Schade	BRE	A
No Change	Minteh	BHA	C, Vs, Inj
No Change	Anderson	NFO	C, £

Last updated: 3 Jan, 2026 9:31am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A
No Change	Ekitiké	LIV	A
No Change	Bowen	WHU	B, Vs
Up	Watkins	AVL	A, Vs
Up	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	A
Down	Thiago	BRE	C

Last updated: 3 Jan, 2026 9:38am

In this series, I will be attempting to preview the Premier league action each weekend, with the articles being generally betting and/or stat based. This will look at key team news, an alternative captain, stat heaven and where to spend your cash. This article will get longer from next week as i’ll then be capable of reviewing the results of the previous gameweeks.

Key Team Issues

It’s fair to say Robert Huth will be a big miss at the back for Leicester as he continues to serves a suspension carried over from last year. In his 40 starts since joining the club, Leicester have averaged two points per game. Leicester conceded in all three of the matches Huth missed last season.

Moussa Dembele is another player serving a suspension in the opening weekend. In Spurs’ last 50 matches, Dembele has featured in 28 of them, and missed 22. In the 28 he featured, Spurs have averaged 2.1 points per game, compared to 1.4 points per game in the 22 he didn’t. Spurs also score more goals with him in the side (two goals per game compared to 1.36 goals per game without ) and concede less goals (0.68 goals per game compared to 1.5 goals per game without).

Per Mertesacker has missed 16 of Arsenal’s last 50 league matches and will be absent again this weekend, having been sidelined by a long-term injury. In the 16 matches without Mertesacker, Arsenal have averaged more goals per game, conceded less goals per game and gained more points per game, compared to the 34 of the last 50 that he has featured in.

Alternative Captain

Aguero and Ibrahimovic are the clear leaders of the FFScout Captain poll for the opening weekend, which comes as no huge surprise given their pedigree and the decent fixtures against Sunderland and Bournemouth respectively. An alternative captain to rival the big two this weekend is Andy Carroll away to Stamford Bridge. Only four teams conceded more headed goals than Chelsea last season. West Ham made a habit of upsetting the big sides last year, and who could forgoet their opening day win at the Emirates. The big man should be full of confidence after his pre-season brace against Juventus.

Stat Heaven

Since their return to the top flight, Leicester are undefeated in nine of their 10 games against newly promoted sides.
Spurs have been undefeated against Everton in the league since the 2012/13 season, while Everton have won just one of their 12 games against the top six in the past two seasons.
Bournemouth conceded nearly two goals per game at home last season, and conceded 13 in six games against last year’s top six.
Since the 2013-14 season, Southampton have kept 17 clean sheets in 30 home games against the bottom half.
Sergio Aguero has scored three and provided two assists in his last three meetings with Sunderland in the Premier league.
Swansea are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League games played in the month of August.

Spending The Kitty

(*A budget of £100 is allocated for the start of the season, and i will look to spend £30 each weekend on bets, with the aim to hopefully end up in profit at the end of the season.)

(*Odds correct at the time of writing.)

– £10 on David Silva MOTM vs Sunderland @ 11/2 with Paddy Power

– £15 on Leicester to win against Hull @ EVS with Paddy Power

– £5 on Andy Carroll to score against Chelsea @ 4/1 with Paddy Power

J0E

9 years, 5 months ago

cheers. looks like a good new regular feature.

Andy Carroll certainly could do well - Arsenal still have nightmares about him from last season.

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Wimmer winner chicken dinne…

Fun article, I like it. Great work, I do a similar thing with betting throughout the season and trying to stay in credit, looking forward to the tips!

ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$

Stick the whole £30 on Leicester - the odds for the other two look pretty terrible IMO

Tangerine

Not sure how this makes me feel about Morgan in defence... Leicester good against newly promoted teams but generally worse without Huth!

Hmm

Piggs Boson

Thanks Demi.

Andy Carroll could well be fixture-proof.

Defcons are for Kinnear

Demister is back!

michaelpmurphy

Tadic| Hazard | Eriksen| ______

Firmino or Ayew?

The Mighty One

From the guy who captained Carroll in DGW37 last year....no ....effing ....way.

Good article though besides that advice!!

tm245

Nice article. The Mertesacker part is sobering.

Arsenal14

A) Vardy and Hazard
B) Ibra and Firmino

Please help

Fawell
9 years, 5 months ago
a for sure
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Pete Campbell

Yes! I'm so glad this is back again this season.

Pete Campbell
9 years, 5 months ago
Please ignore this.

There are reply fails......and there are ARTICLE REPLY FAILS.

fml
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The_Kane_Train

In terms of differentials, after watching Leicester vs Barca I'm really tempted to play Chilwell, Demarai Gray and Musa over Vardy/Mahrez. A bit nuts but my gut says go with it, thoughts?

Rhinos

Tanks this article will be worth reading.
Good luck making 100 last a season when you've got a third of it at risk in gw1 😆

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